Fertility & birth rates in India and Tajikistan

Fertility rate in India vs Tajikistan chart

According to the latest available data on birth rates, the fertility rate in India was 1.98 children per woman in 2023, compared to 3.07 in Tajikistan in 2023. The replacement level is considered to be 2.1 children per woman.

Check India vs Tajikistan population clock for a dynamic visualization of the changing population.

The chart below showcases historical changes in the birth rates.

Table

Year	Fertility rate
	India	Tajikistan
1960	5.92	6.24
1961	5.94	6.35
1962	5.95	6.48
1963	5.97	6.62
1964	5.98	6.68
1965	5.94	6.74
1966	5.88	6.82
1967	5.83	6.89
1968	5.76	6.91
1969	5.68	6.91
1970	5.62	6.91
1971	5.57	6.91
1972	5.48	6.89
1973	5.4	6.84
1974	5.33	6.77
1975	5.2	6.69
1976	5.13	6.6
1977	5.01	6.49
1978	4.89	6.4
1979	4.81	6.31
1980	4.78	6.21
1981	4.7	6.12
1982	4.62	6.03
1983	4.57	5.98
1984	4.52	5.96
1985	4.43	5.94
1986	4.4	5.91
1987	4.31	5.84
1988	4.22	5.75
1989	4.13	5.61
1990	4.05	5.46
1991	3.96	5.28
1992	3.88	5.06
1993	3.8	4.92
1994	3.72	4.79
1995	3.65	4.66
1996	3.58	3.94
1997	3.51	4.06
1998	3.45	4.07
1999	3.38	3.85
2000	3.35	3.49
2001	3.3	3.49
2002	3.22	3.47
2003	3.12	3.42
2004	3.05	3.51
2005	2.96	3.4
2006	2.87	3.34
2007	2.78	3.37
2008	2.71	3.39
2009	2.67	3.43
2010	2.6	3.46
2011	2.53	3.46
2012	2.47	3.42
2013	2.4	3.43
2014	2.29	3.46
2015	2.29	3.46
2016	2.28	3.38
2017	2.19	3.29
2018	2.18	3.29
2019	2.12	3.28
2020	2.05	3.21
2021	2.01	3.17
2022	1.99	3.13
2023	1.98	3.07
2024	1.96	3.04
2025	1.94	2.99
2026	1.93	2.96
2027	1.91	2.93
2028	1.9	2.89
2029	1.89	2.86
2030	1.88	2.83
2031	1.87	2.8
2032	1.86	2.76
2033	1.85	2.73
2034	1.84	2.7
2035	1.84	2.68
2036	1.83	2.65
2037	1.82	2.63
2038	1.81	2.6
2039	1.81	2.58
2040	1.8	2.55
2041	1.8	2.53
2042	1.79	2.51
2043	1.79	2.49
2044	1.78	2.46
2045	1.78	2.44
2046	1.78	2.42
2047	1.77	2.4
2048	1.77	2.38
2049	1.77	2.37
2050	1.76	2.35

Children 0-14 years as share of population

Table

Year	Share of people 0-14 years old
	India	Tajikistan
1960	40.6%	40.2%
1961	40.9%	41.4%
1962	41.2%	42.5%
1963	41.5%	43.4%
1964	41.6%	44.1%
1965	41.7%	44.4%
1966	41.7%	44.6%
1967	41.6%	44.7%
1968	41.5%	44.7%
1969	41.5%	44.6%
1970	41.4%	44.6%
1971	41.2%	44.5%
1972	41.1%	44.4%
1973	41%	44.3%
1974	40.8%	44.2%
1975	40.7%	44%
1976	40.5%	43.8%
1977	40.3%	43.6%
1978	40.1%	43.4%
1979	40%	43.2%
1980	39.8%	43.2%
1981	39.7%	43.2%
1982	39.6%	43.2%
1983	39.5%	43.3%
1984	39.4%	43.3%
1985	39.3%	43.3%
1986	39.2%	43.1%
1987	39.1%	43.1%
1988	38.9%	43.2%
1989	38.8%	43.4%
1990	38.6%	43.7%
1991	38.4%	44%
1992	38.1%	44.3%
1993	37.9%	44.6%
1994	37.6%	44.8%
1995	37.3%	44.9%
1996	37%	44.7%
1997	36.7%	44.3%
1998	36.3%	43.7%
1999	35.9%	43%
2000	35.6%	42.3%
2001	35.2%	41.5%
2002	34.8%	40.7%
2003	34.4%	39.9%
2004	34%	39.3%
2005	33.6%	38.6%
2006	33.1%	38%
2007	32.7%	37.6%
2008	32.2%	37.3%
2009	31.8%	37%
2010	31.3%	36.8%
2011	30.9%	36.7%
2012	30.4%	36.7%
2013	29.9%	36.5%
2014	29.4%	36.4%
2015	28.9%	36.3%
2016	28.4%	36.3%
2017	27.8%	36.2%
2018	27.3%	36.2%
2019	26.8%	36.3%
2020	26.3%	36.4%
2021	25.9%	36.6%
2022	25.5%	36.6%
2023	25.1%	36.5%
2024	24.6%	36.3%
2025	24.2%	35.9%
2026	23.8%	35.4%
2027	23.4%	35%
2028	23%	34.5%
2029	22.7%	33.9%
2030	22.4%	33.2%
2031	22.1%	32.5%
2032	21.8%	32%
2033	21.5%	31.6%
2034	21.3%	31.2%
2035	21%	30.8%
2036	20.8%	30.4%
2037	20.6%	30.1%
2038	20.4%	29.8%
2039	20.2%	29.6%
2040	19.9%	29.4%
2041	19.7%	29.2%
2042	19.5%	29.1%
2043	19.3%	29%
2044	19.1%	28.9%
2045	18.8%	28.7%
2046	18.6%	28.6%
2047	18.4%	28.4%
2048	18.2%	28.1%
2049	18%	27.9%
2050	17.8%	27.6%

Children aged 0-14 make up 24.6% of the population in India and 36.3% in Tajikistan in 2024, compared to 38.6% and 43.7% respectively in 1990.

Demographics of India and Tajikistan compared.

Natural population change in India vs Tajikistan by year

For the past 10 years, the annual natural population change (excluding migration) has been +1.06% in India and +2.42% in Tajikistan. The chart below illustrates the comparison of the absolute yearly changes resulting from births and deaths.

Table

Year	Population change due to births and deaths
	India	Tajikistan
1960	10,237,489	65,415
1961	10,468,816	68,182
1962	10,743,409	70,700
1963	11,016,705	73,065
1964	11,285,378	74,030
1965	10,925,714	75,139
1966	11,089,894	76,702
1967	11,279,897	78,733
1968	12,006,807	80,698
1969	12,167,671	82,931
1970	12,417,866	85,645
1971	12,787,104	88,618
1972	13,041,792	91,677
1973	13,412,707	94,523
1974	13,795,836	97,481
1975	13,958,642	100,604
1976	14,435,504	103,777
1977	14,575,662	106,920
1978	14,898,145	110,564
1979	15,392,957	114,496
1980	16,018,786	117,888
1981	16,422,159	121,418
1982	16,790,507	127,838
1983	17,219,127	133,280
1984	17,698,810	139,145
1985	17,968,697	145,720
1986	18,455,495	155,987
1987	18,496,213	163,611
1988	18,702,916	172,805
1989	18,848,915	179,212
1990	18,893,588	178,429
1991	19,049,524	177,585
1992	19,132,757	163,652
1993	19,152,399	157,975
1994	19,310,798	167,590
1995	19,396,161	168,934
1996	19,442,699	138,287
1997	19,494,098	149,825
1998	19,569,575	153,508
1999	19,648,424	147,622
2000	19,984,160	136,549
2001	20,182,573	142,276
2002	20,024,621	146,492
2003	19,720,507	150,391
2004	19,469,758	161,201
2005	19,034,839	160,189
2006	18,641,737	164,046
2007	18,331,648	173,200
2008	18,234,926	182,337
2009	18,286,055	192,851
2010	17,991,935	201,389
2011	17,793,362	208,429
2012	17,552,365	213,078
2013	17,107,541	220,693
2014	16,165,943	227,304
2015	16,211,195	230,903
2016	16,202,593	228,547
2017	15,394,041	224,396
2018	15,451,168	228,597
2019	14,859,846	231,817
2020	13,366,946	219,467
2021	10,227,523	222,850
2022	13,912,130	228,336
2023	13,711,993	223,828

Maternal mortality chart: India vs Tajikistan

The maternal mortality rate, which is the probability of dying during childbirth or within 42 days of pregnancy termination, is 80 deaths per 100,000 live births in India, compared to 14 deaths in Tajikistan.

Table

Year	Maternal mortality per 100K births
	India	Tajikistan
1985	658	98
1986	624	91
1987	592	91
1988	562	83
1989	538	85
1990	516	80
1991	498	79
1992	482	84
1993	467	84
1994	451	85
1995	437	81
1996	422	82
1997	407	76
1998	393	72
1999	378	64
2000	362	58
2001	349	58
2002	330	48
2003	313	39
2004	296	36
2005	277	36
2006	258	35
2007	240	30
2008	223	29
2009	205	29
2010	188	26
2011	173	25
2012	160	23
2013	148	21
2014	137	21
2015	129	20
2016	121	20
2017	113	17
2018	107	16
2019	101	16
2020	101	25
2021	155	25
2022	90	14
2023	80	14

Under-five mortality rates

The chance that a newborn baby will die before reaching age five is 2.77% in India and 2.73% in Tajikistan. Below is the historical data on under-five mortality rates.

Table

Year	Mortality rate before reaching 5 years of age, per 1,000 live births
	India	Tajikistan
1960	24.1%	-
1961	23.8%	-
1962	23.5%	-
1963	23.2%	-
1964	22.9%	-
1965	22.7%	-
1966	22.4%	-
1967	22.2%	-
1968	22%	-
1969	21.7%	-
1970	21.5%	-
1971	21.2%	-
1972	20.8%	15.5%
1973	20.5%	15%
1974	20.1%	14.4%
1975	19.6%	14%
1976	19.1%	13.5%
1977	18.6%	13.2%
1978	18%	13%
1979	17.5%	12.8%
1980	16.9%	12.7%
1981	16.4%	12.6%
1982	15.9%	12.5%
1983	15.5%	12.3%
1984	15%	12%
1985	14.6%	11.6%
1986	14.2%	11.1%
1987	13.8%	10.5%
1988	13.4%	10.1%
1989	13%	9.88%
1990	12.7%	9.92%
1991	12.3%	10.2%
1992	12%	10.6%
1993	11.6%	10.9%
1994	11.3%	11%
1995	11%	10.8%
1996	10.6%	10.4%
1997	10.3%	9.86%
1998	9.89%	9.26%
1999	9.53%	8.62%
2000	9.16%	7.97%
2001	8.8%	7.34%
2002	8.45%	6.75%
2003	8.11%	6.18%
2004	7.77%	5.67%
2005	7.44%	5.22%
2006	7.11%	4.82%
2007	6.79%	4.47%
2008	6.46%	4.17%
2009	6.14%	3.92%
2010	5.82%	3.7%
2011	5.5%	3.52%
2012	5.2%	3.36%
2013	4.91%	3.23%
2014	4.63%	3.12%
2015	4.36%	3.02%
2016	4.11%	2.94%
2017	3.87%	2.88%
2018	3.64%	2.83%
2019	3.43%	2.81%
2020	3.24%	2.8%
2021	3.06%	2.79%
2022	2.91%	2.77%
2023	2.77%	2.73%