Fertility & birth rates in Mongolia and Tajikistan

Fertility rate in Mongolia vs Tajikistan chart

According to the latest available data on birth rates, the fertility rate in Mongolia was 2.7 children per woman in 2023, compared to 3.07 in Tajikistan in 2023. The replacement level is considered to be 2.1 children per woman.

Check Mongolia vs Tajikistan population clock for a dynamic visualization of the changing population.

The chart below showcases historical changes in the birth rates.

Table

Year	Fertility rate
	Mongolia	Tajikistan
1960	6.82	6.24
1961	6.96	6.35
1962	7.1	6.48
1963	7.24	6.62
1964	7.33	6.68
1965	7.38	6.74
1966	7.41	6.82
1967	7.39	6.89
1968	7.37	6.91
1969	7.34	6.91
1970	7.31	6.91
1971	7.3	6.91
1972	7.28	6.89
1973	7.24	6.84
1974	7.17	6.77
1975	7.07	6.69
1976	6.93	6.6
1977	6.79	6.49
1978	6.62	6.4
1979	6.42	6.31
1980	6.21	6.21
1981	5.98	6.12
1982	5.8	6.03
1983	5.63	5.98
1984	5.45	5.96
1985	5.26	5.94
1986	5.03	5.91
1987	4.83	5.84
1988	4.65	5.75
1989	4.42	5.61
1990	4.5	5.46
1991	4	5.28
1992	3.5	5.06
1993	2.5	4.92
1994	2.7	4.79
1995	2.77	4.66
1996	2.5	3.94
1997	2.4	4.06
1998	2.3	4.07
1999	2.3	3.85
2000	2.2	3.49
2001	2.2	3.49
2002	2.1	3.47
2003	2	3.42
2004	2	3.51
2005	2	3.4
2006	2.1	3.34
2007	2.3	3.37
2008	2.6	3.39
2009	2.8	3.43
2010	2.4	3.46
2011	2.6	3.46
2012	2.7	3.42
2013	3	3.43
2014	3.1	3.46
2015	3	3.46
2016	3	3.38
2017	2.8	3.29
2018	2.9	3.29
2019	3	3.28
2020	2.9	3.21
2021	2.8	3.17
2022	2.7	3.13
2023	2.7	3.07
2024	2.65	3.04
2025	2.6	2.99
2026	2.55	2.96
2027	2.51	2.93
2028	2.47	2.89
2029	2.44	2.86
2030	2.4	2.83
2031	2.37	2.8
2032	2.34	2.76
2033	2.31	2.73
2034	2.29	2.7
2035	2.26	2.68
2036	2.23	2.65
2037	2.21	2.63
2038	2.19	2.6
2039	2.17	2.58
2040	2.15	2.55
2041	2.13	2.53
2042	2.11	2.51
2043	2.09	2.49
2044	2.08	2.46
2045	2.06	2.44
2046	2.05	2.42
2047	2.04	2.4
2048	2.02	2.38
2049	2.01	2.37
2050	2	2.35

Children 0-14 years as share of population

Table

Year	Share of people 0-14 years old
	Mongolia	Tajikistan
1960	38.1%	40.2%
1961	38.8%	41.4%
1962	39.6%	42.5%
1963	40.4%	43.4%
1964	41.4%	44.1%
1965	42.4%	44.4%
1966	43.3%	44.6%
1967	44.2%	44.7%
1968	44.9%	44.7%
1969	45.4%	44.6%
1970	45.6%	44.6%
1971	45.8%	44.5%
1972	45.8%	44.4%
1973	45.8%	44.3%
1974	45.6%	44.2%
1975	45.4%	44%
1976	45.2%	43.8%
1977	44.8%	43.6%
1978	44.5%	43.4%
1979	44.1%	43.2%
1980	43.7%	43.2%
1981	43.3%	43.2%
1982	43%	43.2%
1983	42.7%	43.3%
1984	42.5%	43.3%
1985	42.3%	43.3%
1986	42.1%	43.1%
1987	42%	43.1%
1988	41.8%	43.2%
1989	41.7%	43.4%
1990	41.4%	43.7%
1991	41%	44%
1992	40.5%	44.3%
1993	40%	44.6%
1994	39.5%	44.8%
1995	39%	44.9%
1996	38.4%	44.7%
1997	37.8%	44.3%
1998	37%	43.7%
1999	36.2%	43%
2000	35.2%	42.3%
2001	34.1%	41.5%
2002	32.9%	40.7%
2003	31.8%	39.9%
2004	30.8%	39.3%
2005	29.9%	38.6%
2006	29.1%	38%
2007	28.5%	37.6%
2008	28.1%	37.3%
2009	27.9%	37%
2010	27.9%	36.8%
2011	28%	36.7%
2012	28.1%	36.7%
2013	28.5%	36.5%
2014	28.9%	36.4%
2015	29.5%	36.3%
2016	30.2%	36.3%
2017	30.9%	36.2%
2018	31.6%	36.2%
2019	32.3%	36.3%
2020	32.8%	36.4%
2021	32.9%	36.6%
2022	32.9%	36.6%
2023	32.6%	36.5%
2024	32.2%	36.3%
2025	31.6%	35.9%
2026	30.9%	35.4%
2027	30.1%	35%
2028	29.2%	34.5%
2029	28.2%	33.9%
2030	27.3%	33.2%
2031	26.3%	32.5%
2032	25.6%	32%
2033	24.9%	31.6%
2034	24.3%	31.2%
2035	23.8%	30.8%
2036	23.4%	30.4%
2037	23.1%	30.1%
2038	23%	29.8%
2039	22.9%	29.6%
2040	22.8%	29.4%
2041	22.9%	29.2%
2042	22.9%	29.1%
2043	23%	29%
2044	23.1%	28.9%
2045	23.2%	28.7%
2046	23.3%	28.6%
2047	23.4%	28.4%
2048	23.4%	28.1%
2049	23.4%	27.9%
2050	23.3%	27.6%

Children aged 0-14 make up 32.2% of the population in Mongolia and 36.3% in Tajikistan in 2024, compared to 41.4% and 43.7% respectively in 1990.

Demographics of Mongolia and Tajikistan compared.

Natural population change in Mongolia vs Tajikistan by year

For the past 10 years, the annual natural population change (excluding migration) has been +1.81% in Mongolia and +2.42% in Tajikistan. The chart below illustrates the comparison of the absolute yearly changes resulting from births and deaths.

Table

Year	Population change due to births and deaths
	Mongolia	Tajikistan
1960	20,726	65,415
1961	21,873	68,182
1962	22,960	70,700
1963	24,142	73,065
1964	25,317	74,030
1965	26,364	75,139
1966	27,338	76,702
1967	28,178	78,733
1968	29,017	80,698
1969	29,781	82,931
1970	30,558	85,645
1971	31,536	88,618
1972	32,727	91,677
1973	33,993	94,523
1974	35,297	97,481
1975	36,490	100,604
1976	37,670	103,777
1977	38,995	106,920
1978	40,276	110,564
1979	41,568	114,496
1980	42,343	117,888
1981	43,588	121,418
1982	45,179	127,838
1983	46,919	133,280
1984	48,562	139,145
1985	49,944	145,720
1986	50,329	155,987
1987	51,140	163,611
1988	51,588	172,805
1989	51,420	179,212
1990	49,443	178,429
1991	47,884	177,585
1992	42,437	163,652
1993	36,924	157,975
1994	34,711	167,590
1995	34,473	168,934
1996	33,741	138,287
1997	32,403	149,825
1998	31,757	153,508
1999	32,283	147,622
2000	32,753	136,549
2001	32,052	142,276
2002	30,439	146,492
2003	28,827	150,391
2004	28,418	161,201
2005	29,290	160,189
2006	33,609	164,046
2007	39,636	173,200
2008	45,843	182,337
2009	48,876	192,851
2010	44,914	201,389
2011	50,711	208,429
2012	55,942	213,078
2013	62,618	220,693
2014	66,078	227,304
2015	64,473	230,903
2016	62,086	228,547
2017	57,940	224,396
2018	60,635	228,597
2019	61,433	231,817
2020	60,888	219,467
2021	52,109	222,850
2022	47,730	228,336
2023	46,995	223,828

Maternal mortality chart: Mongolia vs Tajikistan

The maternal mortality rate, which is the probability of dying during childbirth or within 42 days of pregnancy termination, is 41 deaths per 100,000 live births in Mongolia, compared to 14 deaths in Tajikistan.

Table

Year	Maternal mortality per 100K births
	Mongolia	Tajikistan
1985	352	98
1986	346	91
1987	341	91
1988	335	83
1989	311	85
1990	276	80
1991	227	79
1992	199	84
1993	181	84
1994	178	85
1995	176	81
1996	178	82
1997	180	76
1998	174	72
1999	162	64
2000	144	58
2001	130	58
2002	120	48
2003	114	39
2004	108	36
2005	99	36
2006	90	35
2007	81	30
2008	77	29
2009	75	29
2010	71	26
2011	67	25
2012	63	23
2013	59	21
2014	56	21
2015	52	20
2016	48	20
2017	45	17
2018	45	16
2019	45	16
2020	47	25
2021	63	25
2022	41	14
2023	41	14

Under-five mortality rates

The chance that a newborn baby will die before reaching age five is 1.36% in Mongolia and 2.73% in Tajikistan. Below is the historical data on under-five mortality rates.

Table

Year	Mortality rate before reaching 5 years of age, per 1,000 live births
	Mongolia	Tajikistan
1972	-	15.5%
1973	-	15%
1974	-	14.4%
1975	-	14%
1976	-	13.5%
1977	-	13.2%
1978	17.3%	13%
1979	16.7%	12.8%
1980	16.1%	12.7%
1981	15.5%	12.6%
1982	15%	12.5%
1983	14.4%	12.3%
1984	13.9%	12%
1985	13.4%	11.6%
1986	12.8%	11.1%
1987	12.2%	10.5%
1988	11.7%	10.1%
1989	11.1%	9.88%
1990	10.7%	9.92%
1991	10.2%	10.2%
1992	9.78%	10.6%
1993	9.39%	10.9%
1994	9%	11%
1995	8.6%	10.8%
1996	8.19%	10.4%
1997	7.74%	9.86%
1998	7.27%	9.26%
1999	6.78%	8.62%
2000	6.29%	7.97%
2001	5.8%	7.34%
2002	5.32%	6.75%
2003	4.87%	6.18%
2004	4.45%	5.67%
2005	4.07%	5.22%
2006	3.71%	4.82%
2007	3.39%	4.47%
2008	3.11%	4.17%
2009	2.85%	3.92%
2010	2.63%	3.7%
2011	2.44%	3.52%
2012	2.28%	3.36%
2013	2.15%	3.23%
2014	2.04%	3.12%
2015	1.94%	3.02%
2016	1.84%	2.94%
2017	1.74%	2.88%
2018	1.64%	2.83%
2019	1.56%	2.81%
2020	1.48%	2.8%
2021	1.43%	2.79%
2022	1.39%	2.77%
2023	1.36%	2.73%