Fertility & birth rates in Canada and Tajikistan

Fertility rate in Canada vs Tajikistan chart

According to the latest available data on birth rates, the fertility rate in Canada was 1.26 children per woman in 2023, compared to 3.07 in Tajikistan in 2023. The replacement level is considered to be 2.1 children per woman.

Check Canada vs Tajikistan population clock for a dynamic visualization of the changing population.

The chart below showcases historical changes in the birth rates.

Table

Year	Fertility rate
	Canada	Tajikistan
1960	3.81	6.24
1961	3.75	6.35
1962	3.68	6.48
1963	3.61	6.62
1964	3.46	6.68
1965	3.12	6.74
1966	2.75	6.82
1967	2.53	6.89
1968	2.39	6.91
1969	2.33	6.91
1970	2.26	6.91
1971	2.14	6.91
1972	1.98	6.89
1973	1.89	6.84
1974	1.84	6.77
1975	1.82	6.69
1976	1.8	6.6
1977	1.78	6.49
1978	1.77	6.4
1979	1.75	6.31
1980	1.74	6.21
1981	1.7	6.12
1982	1.69	6.03
1983	1.68	5.98
1984	1.65	5.96
1985	1.67	5.94
1986	1.68	5.91
1987	1.68	5.84
1988	1.68	5.75
1989	1.77	5.61
1990	1.83	5.46
1991	1.72	5.28
1992	1.71	5.06
1993	1.69	4.92
1994	1.69	4.79
1995	1.67	4.66
1996	1.63	3.94
1997	1.57	4.06
1998	1.56	4.07
1999	1.55	3.85
2000	1.51	3.49
2001	1.54	3.49
2002	1.52	3.47
2003	1.55	3.42
2004	1.56	3.51
2005	1.58	3.4
2006	1.63	3.34
2007	1.67	3.37
2008	1.7	3.39
2009	1.69	3.43
2010	1.65	3.46
2011	1.63	3.46
2012	1.63	3.42
2013	1.61	3.43
2014	1.61	3.46
2015	1.6	3.46
2016	1.59	3.38
2017	1.55	3.29
2018	1.51	3.29
2019	1.47	3.28
2020	1.41	3.21
2021	1.44	3.17
2022	1.33	3.13
2023	1.26	3.07
2024	1.25	3.04
2025	1.24	2.99
2026	1.24	2.96
2027	1.23	2.93
2028	1.24	2.89
2029	1.23	2.86
2030	1.24	2.83
2031	1.24	2.8
2032	1.24	2.76
2033	1.25	2.73
2034	1.25	2.7
2035	1.25	2.68
2036	1.26	2.65
2037	1.26	2.63
2038	1.26	2.6
2039	1.27	2.58
2040	1.27	2.55
2041	1.27	2.53
2042	1.28	2.51
2043	1.28	2.49
2044	1.28	2.46
2045	1.28	2.44
2046	1.29	2.42
2047	1.29	2.4
2048	1.29	2.38
2049	1.3	2.37
2050	1.3	2.35

Children 0-14 years as share of population

Table

Year	Share of people 0-14 years old
	Canada	Tajikistan
1960	33.8%	40.2%
1961	33.9%	41.4%
1962	33.9%	42.5%
1963	33.9%	43.4%
1964	33.7%	44.1%
1965	33.3%	44.4%
1966	32.9%	44.6%
1967	32.3%	44.7%
1968	31.6%	44.7%
1969	31%	44.6%
1970	30.2%	44.6%
1971	29.3%	44.5%
1972	28.6%	44.4%
1973	27.8%	44.3%
1974	27%	44.2%
1975	26.2%	44%
1976	25.5%	43.8%
1977	24.7%	43.6%
1978	24%	43.4%
1979	23.4%	43.2%
1980	22.8%	43.2%
1981	22.3%	43.2%
1982	22%	43.2%
1983	21.8%	43.3%
1984	21.6%	43.3%
1985	21.3%	43.3%
1986	21.1%	43.1%
1987	20.9%	43.1%
1988	20.8%	43.2%
1989	20.8%	43.4%
1990	20.7%	43.7%
1991	20.7%	44%
1992	20.7%	44.3%
1993	20.7%	44.6%
1994	20.6%	44.8%
1995	20.4%	44.9%
1996	20.2%	44.7%
1997	20%	44.3%
1998	19.8%	43.7%
1999	19.5%	43%
2000	19.2%	42.3%
2001	18.9%	41.5%
2002	18.6%	40.7%
2003	18.3%	39.9%
2004	18%	39.3%
2005	17.7%	38.6%
2006	17.4%	38%
2007	17.1%	37.6%
2008	16.9%	37.3%
2009	16.7%	37%
2010	16.6%	36.8%
2011	16.4%	36.7%
2012	16.3%	36.7%
2013	16.3%	36.5%
2014	16.2%	36.4%
2015	16.2%	36.3%
2016	16.2%	36.3%
2017	16.2%	36.2%
2018	16.1%	36.2%
2019	16%	36.3%
2020	15.9%	36.4%
2021	15.7%	36.6%
2022	15.5%	36.6%
2023	15.3%	36.5%
2024	15.1%	36.3%
2025	15%	35.9%
2026	14.9%	35.4%
2027	14.7%	35%
2028	14.6%	34.5%
2029	14.5%	33.9%
2030	14.4%	33.2%
2031	14.3%	32.5%
2032	14.2%	32%
2033	14.1%	31.6%
2034	14%	31.2%
2035	13.9%	30.8%
2036	13.9%	30.4%
2037	13.8%	30.1%
2038	13.8%	29.8%
2039	13.7%	29.6%
2040	13.7%	29.4%
2041	13.6%	29.2%
2042	13.6%	29.1%
2043	13.6%	29%
2044	13.5%	28.9%
2045	13.5%	28.7%
2046	13.5%	28.6%
2047	13.5%	28.4%
2048	13.5%	28.1%
2049	13.5%	27.9%
2050	13.5%	27.6%

Children aged 0-14 make up 15.1% of the population in Canada and 36.3% in Tajikistan in 2024, compared to 20.7% and 43.7% respectively in 1990.

Demographics of Canada and Tajikistan compared.

Natural population change in Canada vs Tajikistan by year

For the past 10 years, the annual natural population change (excluding migration) has been +0.22% in Canada and +2.42% in Tajikistan. The chart below illustrates the comparison of the absolute yearly changes resulting from births and deaths.

Table

Year	Population change due to births and deaths
	Canada	Tajikistan
1960	338,487	65,415
1961	334,360	68,182
1962	325,745	70,700
1963	318,595	73,065
1964	307,268	74,030
1965	269,589	75,139
1966	236,566	76,702
1967	220,450	78,733
1968	211,589	80,698
1969	216,588	82,931
1970	215,372	85,645
1971	208,640	88,618
1972	188,857	91,677
1973	184,432	94,523
1974	182,464	97,481
1975	196,718	100,604
1976	196,979	103,777
1977	199,297	106,920
1978	194,102	110,564
1979	203,293	114,496
1980	203,480	117,888
1981	206,005	121,418
1982	200,935	127,838
1983	202,931	133,280
1984	204,856	139,145
1985	204,153	145,720
1986	190,532	155,987
1987	190,416	163,611
1988	192,901	172,805
1989	207,304	179,212
1990	213,222	178,429
1991	207,477	177,585
1992	204,273	163,652
1993	186,451	157,975
1994	179,804	167,590
1995	167,023	168,934
1996	153,973	138,287
1997	134,577	149,825
1998	126,651	153,508
1999	118,565	147,622
2000	110,469	136,549
2001	114,777	142,276
2002	106,621	146,492
2003	110,749	150,391
2004	111,786	161,201
2005	116,074	160,189
2006	130,285	164,046
2007	134,845	173,200
2008	142,963	182,337
2009	144,609	192,851
2010	139,425	201,389
2011	133,923	208,429
2012	135,382	213,078
2013	129,799	220,693
2014	127,563	227,304
2015	117,825	230,903
2016	115,555	228,547
2017	98,672	224,396
2018	88,974	228,597
2019	86,523	231,817
2020	53,241	219,467
2021	57,360	222,850
2022	15,574	228,336
2023	28,058	223,828

Maternal mortality chart: Canada vs Tajikistan

The maternal mortality rate, which is the probability of dying during childbirth or within 42 days of pregnancy termination, is 12 deaths per 100,000 live births in Canada, compared to 14 deaths in Tajikistan.

Table

Year	Maternal mortality per 100K births
	Canada	Tajikistan
1985	7	98
1986	7	91
1987	7	91
1988	7	83
1989	8	85
1990	7	80
1991	8	79
1992	8	84
1993	8	84
1994	8	85
1995	8	81
1996	9	82
1997	8	76
1998	9	72
1999	9	64
2000	9	58
2001	10	58
2002	10	48
2003	10	39
2004	10	36
2005	11	36
2006	11	35
2007	11	30
2008	12	29
2009	12	29
2010	11	26
2011	11	25
2012	11	23
2013	11	21
2014	12	21
2015	11	20
2016	12	20
2017	12	17
2018	13	16
2019	12	16
2020	17	25
2021	14	25
2022	15	14
2023	12	14

Under-five mortality rates

The chance that a newborn baby will die before reaching age five is 0.51% in Canada and 2.73% in Tajikistan. Below is the historical data on under-five mortality rates.

Table

Year	Mortality rate before reaching 5 years of age, per 1,000 live births
	Canada	Tajikistan
1960	3.26%	-
1961	3.15%	-
1962	3.05%	-
1963	2.94%	-
1964	2.82%	-
1965	2.71%	-
1966	2.6%	-
1967	2.5%	-
1968	2.4%	-
1969	2.3%	-
1970	2.19%	-
1971	2.09%	-
1972	1.99%	15.5%
1973	1.89%	15%
1974	1.79%	14.4%
1975	1.7%	14%
1976	1.6%	13.5%
1977	1.51%	13.2%
1978	1.42%	13%
1979	1.33%	12.8%
1980	1.25%	12.7%
1981	1.18%	12.6%
1982	1.12%	12.5%
1983	1.06%	12.3%
1984	1.01%	12%
1985	0.98%	11.6%
1986	0.94%	11.1%
1987	0.91%	10.5%
1988	0.88%	10.1%
1989	0.85%	9.88%
1990	0.82%	9.92%
1991	0.8%	10.2%
1992	0.77%	10.6%
1993	0.74%	10.9%
1994	0.72%	11%
1995	0.69%	10.8%
1996	0.67%	10.4%
1997	0.65%	9.86%
1998	0.64%	9.26%
1999	0.63%	8.62%
2000	0.62%	7.97%
2001	0.62%	7.34%
2002	0.62%	6.75%
2003	0.62%	6.18%
2004	0.61%	5.67%
2005	0.61%	5.22%
2006	0.6%	4.82%
2007	0.6%	4.47%
2008	0.59%	4.17%
2009	0.58%	3.92%
2010	0.57%	3.7%
2011	0.56%	3.52%
2012	0.56%	3.36%
2013	0.55%	3.23%
2014	0.54%	3.12%
2015	0.54%	3.02%
2016	0.53%	2.94%
2017	0.52%	2.88%
2018	0.52%	2.83%
2019	0.51%	2.81%
2020	0.51%	2.8%
2021	0.51%	2.79%
2022	0.51%	2.77%
2023	0.51%	2.73%