Fertility & birth rates in Russia and Tajikistan

Fertility rate in Russia vs Tajikistan chart

According to the latest available data on birth rates, the fertility rate in Russia was 1.41 children per woman in 2023, compared to 3.07 in Tajikistan in 2023. The replacement level is considered to be 2.1 children per woman.

Check Russia vs Tajikistan population clock for a dynamic visualization of the changing population.

The chart below showcases historical changes in the birth rates.

Table

Year	Fertility rate
	Russia	Tajikistan
1960	2.52	6.24
1961	2.45	6.35
1962	2.36	6.48
1963	2.27	6.62
1964	2.18	6.68
1965	2.13	6.74
1966	2.1	6.82
1967	2.04	6.89
1968	1.99	6.91
1969	1.97	6.91
1970	1.99	6.91
1971	2.03	6.91
1972	2.04	6.89
1973	2.01	6.84
1974	2	6.77
1975	1.98	6.69
1976	1.97	6.6
1977	1.95	6.49
1978	1.92	6.4
1979	1.9	6.31
1980	1.89	6.21
1981	1.91	6.12
1982	2.04	6.03
1983	2.11	5.98
1984	2.06	5.96
1985	2.05	5.94
1986	2.15	5.91
1987	2.22	5.84
1988	2.12	5.75
1989	2.01	5.61
1990	1.89	5.46
1991	1.73	5.28
1992	1.55	5.06
1993	1.39	4.92
1994	1.4	4.79
1995	1.34	4.66
1996	1.27	3.94
1997	1.22	4.06
1998	1.23	4.07
1999	1.16	3.85
2000	1.2	3.49
2001	1.22	3.49
2002	1.29	3.47
2003	1.32	3.42
2004	1.34	3.51
2005	1.29	3.4
2006	1.31	3.34
2007	1.42	3.37
2008	1.5	3.39
2009	1.54	3.43
2010	1.57	3.46
2011	1.58	3.46
2012	1.69	3.42
2013	1.71	3.43
2014	1.75	3.46
2015	1.78	3.46
2016	1.76	3.38
2017	1.62	3.29
2018	1.58	3.29
2019	1.5	3.28
2020	1.51	3.21
2021	1.51	3.17
2022	1.42	3.13
2023	1.41	3.07
2024	1.42	3.04
2025	1.43	2.99
2026	1.43	2.96
2027	1.43	2.93
2028	1.44	2.89
2029	1.44	2.86
2030	1.45	2.83
2031	1.45	2.8
2032	1.45	2.76
2033	1.46	2.73
2034	1.46	2.7
2035	1.46	2.68
2036	1.47	2.65
2037	1.47	2.63
2038	1.47	2.6
2039	1.47	2.58
2040	1.48	2.55
2041	1.48	2.53
2042	1.48	2.51
2043	1.48	2.49
2044	1.49	2.46
2045	1.49	2.44
2046	1.49	2.42
2047	1.49	2.4
2048	1.5	2.38
2049	1.5	2.37
2050	1.5	2.35

Children 0-14 years as share of population

Table

Year	Share of people 0-14 years old
	Russia	Tajikistan
1960	30.5%	40.2%
1961	30.9%	41.4%
1962	30.8%	42.5%
1963	30.6%	43.4%
1964	30.2%	44.1%
1965	29.5%	44.4%
1966	28.9%	44.6%
1967	28.3%	44.7%
1968	27.6%	44.7%
1969	26.9%	44.6%
1970	26.1%	44.6%
1971	25.4%	44.5%
1972	24.8%	44.4%
1973	24.2%	44.3%
1974	23.6%	44.2%
1975	23%	44%
1976	22.5%	43.8%
1977	22.1%	43.6%
1978	21.8%	43.4%
1979	21.7%	43.2%
1980	21.7%	43.2%
1981	21.7%	43.2%
1982	21.9%	43.2%
1983	22.1%	43.3%
1984	22.4%	43.3%
1985	22.6%	43.3%
1986	22.8%	43.1%
1987	22.9%	43.1%
1988	23%	43.2%
1989	23%	43.4%
1990	22.9%	43.7%
1991	22.7%	44%
1992	22.4%	44.3%
1993	22%	44.6%
1994	21.6%	44.8%
1995	21.2%	44.9%
1996	20.7%	44.7%
1997	20.2%	44.3%
1998	19.5%	43.7%
1999	18.8%	43%
2000	18%	42.3%
2001	17.3%	41.5%
2002	16.6%	40.7%
2003	16%	39.9%
2004	15.6%	39.3%
2005	15.2%	38.6%
2006	14.9%	38%
2007	14.8%	37.6%
2008	14.9%	37.3%
2009	15%	37%
2010	15.2%	36.8%
2011	15.4%	36.7%
2012	15.7%	36.7%
2013	16.1%	36.5%
2014	16.5%	36.4%
2015	16.9%	36.3%
2016	17.2%	36.3%
2017	17.5%	36.2%
2018	17.6%	36.2%
2019	17.6%	36.3%
2020	17.7%	36.4%
2021	17.7%	36.6%
2022	17.7%	36.6%
2023	17.5%	36.5%
2024	17.3%	36.3%
2025	17%	35.9%
2026	16.7%	35.4%
2027	16.3%	35%
2028	15.9%	34.5%
2029	15.5%	33.9%
2030	15%	33.2%
2031	14.6%	32.5%
2032	14.2%	32%
2033	14%	31.6%
2034	13.8%	31.2%
2035	13.7%	30.8%
2036	13.6%	30.4%
2037	13.6%	30.1%
2038	13.6%	29.8%
2039	13.7%	29.6%
2040	13.9%	29.4%
2041	14%	29.2%
2042	14.2%	29.1%
2043	14.4%	29%
2044	14.6%	28.9%
2045	14.8%	28.7%
2046	15%	28.6%
2047	15.2%	28.4%
2048	15.4%	28.1%
2049	15.5%	27.9%
2050	15.7%	27.6%

Children aged 0-14 make up 17.3% of the population in Russia and 36.3% in Tajikistan in 2024, compared to 22.9% and 43.7% respectively in 1990.

Demographics of Russia and Tajikistan compared.

Natural population change in Russia vs Tajikistan by year

For the past 10 years, the annual natural population change (excluding migration) has been -0.24% in Russia and +2.42% in Tajikistan. The chart below illustrates the comparison of the absolute yearly changes resulting from births and deaths.

Table

Year	Population change due to births and deaths
	Russia	Tajikistan
1960	1,962,834	65,415
1961	1,810,538	68,182
1962	1,573,701	70,700
1963	1,436,077	73,065
1964	1,233,520	74,030
1965	1,059,335	75,139
1966	989,279	76,702
1967	854,554	78,733
1968	787,621	80,698
1969	753,088	82,931
1970	785,554	85,645
1971	854,999	88,618
1972	872,050	91,677
1973	846,561	94,523
1974	883,186	97,481
1975	843,850	100,604
1976	852,237	103,777
1977	832,932	106,920
1978	812,766	110,564
1979	690,135	114,496
1980	681,149	117,888
1981	713,700	121,418
1982	830,855	127,838
1983	906,676	133,280
1984	756,548	139,145
1985	762,447	145,720
1986	985,279	155,987
1987	977,583	163,611
1988	778,343	172,805
1989	576,112	179,212
1990	325,533	178,429
1991	103,876	177,585
1992	-222,808	163,652
1993	-757,140	157,975
1994	-920,129	167,590
1995	-845,742	168,934
1996	-785,248	138,287
1997	-769,159	149,825
1998	-694,053	153,508
1999	-927,453	147,622
2000	-967,540	136,549
2001	-963,445	142,276
2002	-944,492	146,492
2003	-896,822	150,391
2004	-792,370	161,201
2005	-846,761	160,189
2006	-686,638	164,046
2007	-471,257	173,200
2008	-356,856	182,337
2009	-257,014	192,851
2010	-242,844	201,389
2011	-128,716	208,429
2012	0	213,078
2013	28,761	220,693
2014	28,848	227,304
2015	43,392	230,903
2016	0	228,547
2017	-130,764	224,396
2018	-232,637	228,597
2019	-319,997	231,817
2020	-697,177	219,467
2021	-1,027,702	222,850
2022	-576,948	228,336
2023	-503,392	223,828

Maternal mortality chart: Russia vs Tajikistan

The maternal mortality rate, which is the probability of dying during childbirth or within 42 days of pregnancy termination, is 9 deaths per 100,000 live births in Russia, compared to 14 deaths in Tajikistan.

Table

Year	Maternal mortality per 100K births
	Russia	Tajikistan
1985	81	98
1986	69	91
1987	65	91
1988	63	83
1989	61	85
1990	58	80
1991	57	79
1992	62	84
1993	76	84
1994	85	85
1995	82	81
1996	69	82
1997	59	76
1998	53	72
1999	53	64
2000	51	58
2001	48	58
2002	47	48
2003	45	39
2004	41	36
2005	38	36
2006	32	35
2007	29	30
2008	27	29
2009	24	29
2010	23	26
2011	19	25
2012	18	23
2013	16	21
2014	16	21
2015	15	20
2016	14	20
2017	12	17
2018	12	16
2019	12	16
2020	19	25
2021	21	25
2022	13	14
2023	9	14

Under-five mortality rates

The chance that a newborn baby will die before reaching age five is 0.45% in Russia and 2.73% in Tajikistan. Below is the historical data on under-five mortality rates.

Table

Year	Mortality rate before reaching 5 years of age, per 1,000 live births
	Russia	Tajikistan
1960	4.55%	-
1961	4.26%	-
1962	3.99%	-
1963	3.76%	-
1964	3.55%	-
1965	3.38%	-
1966	3.23%	-
1967	3.11%	-
1968	3.02%	-
1969	2.94%	-
1970	2.88%	-
1971	2.84%	-
1972	2.81%	15.5%
1973	2.78%	15%
1974	2.77%	14.4%
1975	2.76%	14%
1976	2.76%	13.5%
1977	2.76%	13.2%
1978	2.76%	13%
1979	2.75%	12.8%
1980	2.73%	12.7%
1981	2.7%	12.6%
1982	2.66%	12.5%
1983	2.62%	12.3%
1984	2.56%	12%
1985	2.5%	11.6%
1986	2.42%	11.1%
1987	2.34%	10.5%
1988	2.26%	10.1%
1989	2.2%	9.88%
1990	2.17%	9.92%
1991	2.16%	10.2%
1992	2.17%	10.6%
1993	2.19%	10.9%
1994	2.2%	11%
1995	2.2%	10.8%
1996	2.17%	10.4%
1997	2.13%	9.86%
1998	2.08%	9.26%
1999	2.02%	8.62%
2000	1.94%	7.97%
2001	1.84%	7.34%
2002	1.73%	6.75%
2003	1.61%	6.18%
2004	1.5%	5.67%
2005	1.39%	5.22%
2006	1.29%	4.82%
2007	1.2%	4.47%
2008	1.13%	4.17%
2009	1.07%	3.92%
2010	1.04%	3.7%
2011	1.02%	3.52%
2012	0.99%	3.36%
2013	0.95%	3.23%
2014	0.89%	3.12%
2015	0.82%	3.02%
2016	0.75%	2.94%
2017	0.69%	2.88%
2018	0.63%	2.83%
2019	0.58%	2.81%
2020	0.54%	2.8%
2021	0.51%	2.79%
2022	0.47%	2.77%
2023	0.45%	2.73%