Fertility & birth rates in Saint Lucia and South Africa

Fertility rate in Saint Lucia vs South Africa by year

Chart Table

Saint Lucia

South Africa

1x

Year	Fertility rate
	Saint Lucia	South Africa
2023	1.38	2.22
2022	1.39	2.23
2021	1.4	2.25
2020	1.41	2.26
2019	1.42	2.26
2018	1.44	2.27
2017	1.45	2.28
2016	1.46	2.26
2015	1.47	2.36
2014	1.49	2.42
2013	1.5	2.43
2012	1.5	2.45
2011	1.5	2.44
2010	1.67	2.44
2009	1.74	2.5
2008	1.7	2.68
2007	1.7	2.55
2006	1.77	2.55
2005	1.81	2.51
2004	1.86	2.44
2003	1.94	2.36
2002	2.03	2.32
2001	2.13	2.37
2000	2.21	2.41
1999	2.5	2.56
1998	2.4	2.63
1997	2.74	2.73
1996	2.71	2.99
1995	3.03	3.17
1994	3.03	3.26
1993	3	3.37
1992	3.11	3.48
1991	3.19	3.62
1990	3.24	3.72
1989	3.31	3.98
1988	3.44	4.18
1987	3.61	4.35
1986	3.8	4.41
1985	3.97	4.5
1984	4.02	4.57
1983	4.08	4.63
1982	4.17	4.7
1981	4.28	4.71
1980	4.41	4.78
1979	4.58	4.82
1978	4.83	4.85
1977	4.97	4.94
1976	5.16	5.07
1975	5.36	5.19
1974	5.57	5.3
1973	5.69	5.41
1972	5.81	5.49
1971	5.95	5.57
1970	6.1	5.63
1969	6.25	5.72
1968	6.39	5.78
1967	6.51	5.85
1966	6.61	5.91
1965	6.69	5.89
1964	6.76	5.96
1963	6.72	6.01
1962	6.82	6.05
1961	6.84	6.08
1960	6.77	6.11

According to the latest available data on birth rates, the fertility rate in Saint Lucia was 1.38 children per woman in 2023, compared to 2.22 in South Africa in 2023. The replacement level is considered to be 2.1 children per woman.

Check Saint Lucia vs South Africa population clock for a dynamic visualization of the changing population.

Natural population change by year

Chart Table

Saint Lucia

South Africa

1x

Year	Natural population change
	Saint Lucia	South Africa
2023	475	602,793
2022	530	603,636
2021	-15	456,411
2020	562	595,873
2019	609	652,130
2018	694	648,319
2017	724	645,975
2016	767	641,365
2015	841	668,771
2014	852	674,754
2013	892	652,427
2012	916	643,723
2011	934	601,708
2010	1,176	566,834
2009	1,349	554,115
2008	1,369	595,332
2007	1,422	503,567
2006	1,511	487,584
2005	1,553	464,464
2004	1,615	442,540
2003	1,694	415,018
2002	1,774	430,926
2001	1,860	484,801
2000	1,967	526,963
1999	2,389	594,643
1998	2,294	627,027
1997	2,709	667,969
1996	2,649	710,868
1995	3,019	743,488
1994	2,976	698,609
1993	2,899	789,220
1992	2,981	794,415
1991	3,009	827,296
1990	3,061	835,421
1989	3,146	884,629
1988	3,229	909,221
1987	3,351	922,330
1986	3,496	903,644
1985	3,591	893,889
1984	3,526	869,011
1983	3,443	837,013
1982	3,360	807,550
1981	3,306	767,833
1980	3,275	738,415
1979	3,301	716,541
1978	3,340	694,341
1977	3,240	680,929
1976	3,166	675,011
1975	3,126	667,862
1974	3,106	658,438
1973	3,033	651,596
1972	3,028	638,754
1971	3,046	624,761
1970	3,093	605,102
1969	3,143	590,794
1968	3,154	571,841
1967	3,113	553,741
1966	3,028	534,862
1965	3,042	506,632
1964	3,074	490,606
1963	3,048	473,821
1962	3,124	455,634
1961	3,173	437,851
1960	3,202	421,263

The chart above illustrates the comparison of the absolute yearly changes in population resulting from births and deaths.

Excluding migration, the natural population change due to births and deaths from 2022 to 2023 was +0.26% in Saint Lucia and +0.95% in South Africa.

For the past 10 years, the annual natural population change has been +0.34% in Saint Lucia and +1.05% in South Africa.

Birth rate in Saint Lucia vs South Africa by year

Chart Table

Saint Lucia

South Africa

Annual births per 1,000 people

1x

Year	Annual births per 1,000 people
	Saint Lucia	South Africa
2023	11.3	18.8
2022	11.4	19.1
2021	11.6	19.4
2020	11.7	19.5
2019	11.9	19.7
2018	12	19.9
2017	12.1	20
2016	12.2	20.3
2015	12.3	21
2014	12.4	21.8
2013	12.5	21.9
2012	12.4	22.1
2011	12.4	22.1
2010	13.8	22.2
2009	14.6	22.8
2008	14.6	24.3
2007	14.8	23.1
2006	15.3	23.1
2005	15.6	22.7
2004	16	22.1
2003	16.6	21.4
2002	17.3	20.9
2001	18	21.3
2000	18.8	21.6
1999	21.5	22.7
1998	20.9	23.2
1997	23.7	23.9
1996	23.5	24.9
1995	26.2	25.6
1994	26.2	24.6
1993	26	26.6
1992	27	27
1991	27.6	28.1
1990	28.3	28.7
1989	29	30.6
1988	29.8	32
1987	31.1	33.2
1986	32.4	33.6
1985	33.6	34.2
1984	33.4	34.5
1983	33.4	34.6
1982	33.5	34.8
1981	33.6	34.6
1980	34.2	34.7
1979	34.9	34.9
1978	35.6	35.1
1977	35.3	35.6
1976	35.4	36.3
1975	35.6	37
1974	36.1	37.7
1973	36.3	38.4
1972	36.7	38.9
1971	37.4	39.3
1970	38.5	39.4
1969	39.5	39.7
1968	40.2	39.8
1967	40.4	39.9
1966	40.1	40
1965	41	39.5
1964	42	39.6
1963	42.6	39.7
1962	44.3	39.7
1961	45.7	39.7
1960	47.1	39.8

The latest reported birth rate per 1,000 people in 2023 was 11.3 in Saint Lucia and 18.8 in South Africa, compared with 47.1 and 39.8, respectively, in 1960.

Children 0-14 years as share of population

Chart Table

Saint Lucia

Factual

UN forecast

South Africa

Factual

UN forecast

1x

Year	Young
	Saint Lucia	South Africa
2100	12%	17.9%
2099	12%	18%
2098	12%	18%
2097	12%	18.1%
2096	12%	18.1%
2095	11.9%	18.2%
2094	11.9%	18.2%
2093	11.9%	18.3%
2092	11.9%	18.3%
2091	11.9%	18.4%
2090	11.8%	18.4%
2089	11.8%	18.5%
2088	11.8%	18.5%
2087	11.8%	18.6%
2086	11.8%	18.6%
2085	11.8%	18.7%
2084	11.8%	18.7%
2083	11.8%	18.8%
2082	11.8%	18.9%
2081	11.8%	18.9%
2080	11.8%	19%
2079	11.8%	19%
2078	11.8%	19.1%
2077	11.9%	19.2%
2076	11.9%	19.3%
2075	11.9%	19.3%
2074	12%	19.4%
2073	12%	19.5%
2072	12.1%	19.6%
2071	12.1%	19.6%
2070	12.1%	19.7%
2069	12.2%	19.8%
2068	12.2%	19.9%
2067	12.2%	20%
2066	12.3%	20.1%
2065	12.3%	20.2%
2064	12.3%	20.3%
2063	12.4%	20.4%
2062	12.4%	20.5%
2061	12.4%	20.6%
2060	12.4%	20.7%
2059	12.5%	20.8%
2058	12.5%	20.9%
2057	12.5%	21%
2056	12.6%	21.1%
2055	12.6%	21.1%
2054	12.7%	21.2%
2053	12.8%	21.3%
2052	12.9%	21.4%
2051	13%	21.5%
2050	13.1%	21.6%
2049	13.2%	21.7%
2048	13.3%	21.8%
2047	13.5%	21.9%
2046	13.6%	22%
2045	13.8%	22.1%
2044	14%	22.3%
2043	14.1%	22.4%
2042	14.3%	22.6%
2041	14.5%	22.8%
2040	14.7%	23%
2039	14.9%	23.3%
2038	15.1%	23.5%
2037	15.3%	23.7%
2036	15.5%	24.1%
2035	15.7%	24.4%
2034	15.8%	24.7%
2033	16%	24.9%
2032	16.2%	25%
2031	16.4%	25.1%
2030	16.5%	25.2%
2029	16.7%	25.3%
2028	16.9%	25.4%
2027	17%	25.5%
2026	17.1%	25.6%
2025	17.4%	25.8%
2024	17.5%	25.9%
2023	17.9%	26.1%
2022	18.2%	26.3%
2021	18.5%	26.6%
2020	18.7%	27%
2019	19.1%	27.4%
2018	19.5%	27.9%
2017	19.9%	28.3%
2016	20.3%	28.3%
2015	20.9%	28.3%
2014	21.5%	28.5%
2013	22.1%	28.7%
2012	22.7%	28.9%
2011	23.5%	29.1%
2010	24.3%	29.4%
2009	25.1%	29.7%
2008	25.9%	29.9%
2007	26.8%	30.2%
2006	27.6%	30.6%
2005	28.4%	31.1%
2004	29.2%	31.6%
2003	30%	32.3%
2002	30.7%	33.2%
2001	31.4%	34%
2000	32.4%	34.9%
1999	33.5%	35.7%
1998	34.7%	36.5%
1997	35.7%	37.2%
1996	36.2%	37.5%
1995	36.7%	37.5%
1994	37%	37.2%
1993	37.3%	37.3%
1992	37.7%	37.6%
1991	38.1%	37.5%
1990	38.9%	37.7%
1989	40.2%	38.1%
1988	41.7%	38.4%
1987	42.6%	38.7%
1986	42.8%	38.9%
1985	43.1%	39.2%
1984	43.3%	39.5%
1983	43.5%	39.8%
1982	43.9%	40.1%
1981	44.3%	40.5%
1980	44.8%	40.9%
1979	45.5%	41.3%
1978	46.6%	41.5%
1977	47.9%	41.7%
1976	48.9%	41.8%
1975	49.5%	41.9%
1974	49.9%	42%
1973	50.2%	42.1%
1972	50.4%	42.2%
1971	50.4%	42.2%
1970	50.2%	42.3%
1969	50%	42.2%
1968	49.8%	42.2%
1967	50%	42.2%
1966	50.4%	42.1%
1965	50.5%	42.1%
1964	50.1%	42.1%
1963	49.6%	42.1%
1962	48.9%	42.1%
1961	48.1%	42.1%
1960	47.1%	42.1%

Children aged 0-14 make up 17.5% of the population in Saint Lucia and 25.9% in South Africa in 2024, compared to 38.9% and 37.7% respectively in 1990.

Demographics of Saint Lucia and South Africa compared.

Maternal mortality chart: Saint Lucia vs South Africa

Chart Table

Saint Lucia

South Africa

1x

Year	Maternal mortality per 100K births
	Saint Lucia	South Africa
2023	44	118
2022	48	129
2021	94	191
2020	43	118
2019	43	119
2018	41	128
2017	43	134
2016	46	141
2015	46	150
2014	49	162
2013	53	180
2012	55	194
2011	56	202
2010	56	226
2009	51	241
2008	55	272
2007	55	272
2006	53	283
2005	55	279
2004	54	259
2003	56	245
2002	62	225
2001	70	192
2000	83	175
1999	88	151
1998	89	152
1997	89	152
1996	72	150
1995	60	125
1994	60	133
1993	58	145
1992	58	152
1991	71	162
1990	72	170
1989	66	177
1988	71	184
1987	69	192
1986	57	200
1985	56	208

The maternal mortality rate, which is the probability of dying during childbirth or within 42 days of pregnancy termination, is 44 deaths per 100,000 live births in Saint Lucia, compared to 118 deaths in South Africa.

Under-five mortality rates

Chart Table

Saint Lucia

South Africa

Probability that a newborn baby will die before reaching age five

1x

Year	Under 5 mortality rate
	Saint Lucia	South Africa
2023	1.55%	3.47%
2022	1.58%	3.44%
2021	1.6%	3.41%
2020	1.63%	3.41%
2019	1.65%	3.45%
2018	1.67%	3.49%
2017	1.7%	3.58%
2016	1.72%	3.68%
2015	1.74%	3.82%
2014	1.75%	3.96%
2013	1.77%	4.1%
2012	1.78%	4.25%
2011	1.79%	4.5%
2010	1.8%	5%
2009	1.81%	5.7%
2008	1.82%	6.42%
2007	1.82%	7.19%
2006	1.82%	7.75%
2005	1.83%	8.03%
2004	1.83%	8.1%
2003	1.83%	7.93%
2002	1.83%	7.69%
2001	1.84%	7.43%
2000	1.85%	7.11%
1999	1.86%	6.85%
1998	1.87%	6.56%
1997	1.88%	6.29%
1996	1.9%	6.11%
1995	1.92%	5.95%
1994	1.95%	5.82%
1993	1.98%	5.7%
1992	2.01%	5.66%
1991	2.05%	5.7%
1990	2.09%	5.82%
1989	2.14%	6.01%
1988	2.2%	6.26%
1987	2.27%	6.56%
1986	2.35%	6.89%
1985	2.44%	7.24%
1984	2.55%	7.6%
1983	2.68%	7.98%
1982	2.83%	8.39%
1981	3%	8.84%
1980	3.2%	9.35%
1979	3.42%	9.88%
1978	3.68%	10.5%
1977	3.97%	11.1%
1976	4.3%	11.8%
1975	4.67%	12.5%
1974	5.08%	13.2%
1973	5.53%	-
1972	6.02%	-
1971	6.54%	-
1970	7.1%	-
1969	7.7%	-
1968	8.32%	-
1967	8.96%	-
1966	9.62%	-
1965	10.3%	-
1964	11%	-
1963	11.6%	-
1962	12.3%	-
1961	12.9%	-
1960	13.4%	-

The chance that a newborn baby will die before reaching age five is 1.55% in Saint Lucia and 3.47% in South Africa. Above is a chart with historical data on under-five mortality rates.