Fertility & birth rates in Eritrea and Pakistan

Fertility rate in Eritrea vs Pakistan by year

Chart Table

Eritrea

Pakistan

1x

Year	Fertility rate
	Eritrea	Pakistan
2023	3.71	3.61
2022	3.79	3.66
2021	3.87	3.72
2020	3.93	3.77
2019	4	3.81
2018	4.06	3.86
2017	4.11	3.9
2016	4.16	3.9
2015	4.22	3.99
2014	4.27	4.06
2013	4.34	4.13
2012	4.41	4.2
2011	4.49	4.31
2010	4.57	4.4
2009	4.66	4.47
2008	4.74	4.51
2007	4.81	4.55
2006	4.88	4.59
2005	4.93	4.6
2004	5.04	4.68
2003	5.14	4.89
2002	5.23	5.01
2001	5.31	5.18
2000	5.4	5.35
1999	5.52	5.46
1998	5.63	5.51
1997	5.74	5.64
1996	5.84	5.77
1995	5.94	5.89
1994	6.01	6.01
1993	6.07	6.11
1992	6.16	6.21
1991	6.24	6.29
1990	6.34	6.36
1989	6.41	6.43
1988	6.47	6.48
1987	6.52	6.52
1986	6.56	6.55
1985	6.59	6.59
1984	6.62	6.62
1983	6.65	6.64
1982	6.63	6.67
1981	6.62	6.7
1980	6.61	6.73
1979	6.62	6.76
1978	6.61	6.78
1977	6.61	6.8
1976	6.6	6.81
1975	6.59	6.81
1974	6.57	6.81
1973	6.55	6.81
1972	6.54	6.81
1971	6.54	6.8
1970	6.54	6.8
1969	6.5	6.8
1968	6.5	6.8
1967	6.5	6.8
1966	6.5	6.8
1965	6.49	6.8
1964	6.49	6.8
1963	6.48	6.8
1962	6.5	6.8
1961	6.47	6.8
1960	6.48	6.8

According to the latest available data on birth rates, the fertility rate in Eritrea was 3.71 children per woman in 2023, compared to 3.61 in Pakistan in 2023. The replacement level is considered to be 2.1 children per woman.

Check Eritrea vs Pakistan population clock for a dynamic visualization of the changing population.

Natural population change by year

Chart Table

Eritrea

Pakistan

1x

Year	Natural population change
	Eritrea	Pakistan
2023	78,073	5,281,745
2022	76,221	5,268,077
2021	74,394	5,065,913
2020	73,362	5,011,177
2019	73,572	5,127,011
2018	72,511	5,103,858
2017	72,291	5,090,200
2016	73,002	5,044,922
2015	73,682	5,113,507
2014	75,729	5,148,994
2013	75,562	5,176,590
2012	76,416	5,191,263
2011	76,806	5,189,412
2010	76,098	5,147,142
2009	76,206	5,028,132
2008	73,391	4,885,855
2007	73,101	4,690,187
2006	74,470	4,538,426
2005	72,930	4,294,393
2004	72,147	4,294,654
2003	66,291	4,340,688
2002	65,436	4,307,607
2001	61,180	4,304,297
2000	60,274	4,281,169
1999	45,120	4,228,026
1998	55,332	4,104,824
1997	63,953	4,043,912
1996	66,557	4,021,758
1995	56,157	3,977,175
1994	56,288	3,956,699
1993	51,679	3,915,776
1992	51,443	3,888,637
1991	57,741	3,822,363
1990	56,903	3,731,730
1989	54,299	3,648,132
1988	54,163	3,554,755
1987	52,229	3,448,813
1986	39,470	3,341,643
1985	37,362	3,233,315
1984	35,101	3,145,772
1983	33,420	3,052,738
1982	44,146	2,934,689
1981	42,924	2,790,454
1980	41,392	2,598,421
1979	39,577	2,461,311
1978	38,353	2,356,601
1977	37,295	2,257,849
1976	36,250	2,171,812
1975	30,971	2,099,811
1974	30,111	2,028,061
1973	31,969	1,971,909
1972	30,951	1,912,774
1971	31,490	1,695,374
1970	30,686	1,793,570
1969	29,535	1,733,601
1968	28,777	1,683,296
1967	27,992	1,626,737
1966	24,713	1,566,343
1965	26,285	1,496,050
1964	25,327	1,447,394
1963	24,393	1,384,934
1962	23,478	1,328,675
1961	22,351	1,273,772
1960	21,424	1,217,147

The chart above illustrates the comparison of the absolute yearly changes in population resulting from births and deaths.

Excluding migration, the natural population change due to births and deaths from 2022 to 2023 was +2.25% in Eritrea and +2.13% in Pakistan.

For the past 10 years, the annual natural population change has been +2.29% in Eritrea and +2.23% in Pakistan.

Birth rate in Eritrea vs Pakistan by year

Chart Table

Eritrea

Pakistan

Annual births per 1,000 people

1x

Year	Annual births per 1,000 people
	Eritrea	Pakistan
2023	28.5	27.8
2022	28.7	28.1
2021	28.8	28.4
2020	28.9	28.6
2019	29.1	29
2018	29.2	29.3
2017	29.6	29.7
2016	30.1	30
2015	30.6	30.7
2014	31.5	31.3
2013	31.7	31.9
2012	32.4	32.5
2011	33	33
2010	33.5	33.5
2009	34.2	33.6
2008	34.1	33.6
2007	35	33.3
2006	36.2	33.2
2005	36.4	32.9
2004	37	33.2
2003	35.9	34.3
2002	37.1	34.9
2001	36.4	35.7
2000	38	36.5
1999	38.4	37.2
1998	39.9	37.4
1997	41.2	38
1996	43.3	38.9
1995	39.5	39.6
1994	42.1	40.4
1993	40.9	41.2
1992	42.3	42
1991	46.1	42.5
1990	43.3	42.9
1989	43.9	43.4
1988	44.3	43.8
1987	44.5	44
1986	44.7	44.1
1985	44.8	44.3
1984	44.9	44.5
1983	45	44.7
1982	44.8	44.6
1981	44.8	44.4
1980	44.8	43.6
1979	44.9	43.5
1978	45.1	43.5
1977	45.4	43.4
1976	45.7	43.4
1975	45.8	43.5
1974	45.9	43.6
1973	46	43.7
1972	46.2	43.8
1971	46.6	43.9
1970	47	44.1
1969	47	44.3
1968	47.3	44.7
1967	47.6	45.1
1966	47.7	45.4
1965	47.8	45.7
1964	47.9	46
1963	47.9	46.2
1962	48	46.4
1961	47.8	46.6
1960	47.7	46.7

The latest reported birth rate per 1,000 people in 2023 was 28.5 in Eritrea and 27.8 in Pakistan, compared with 47.7 and 46.7, respectively, in 1960.

Children 0-14 years as share of population

Chart Table

Eritrea

Factual

UN forecast

Pakistan

Factual

UN forecast

1x

Year	Young
	Eritrea	Pakistan
2100	19%	19.3%
2099	19.1%	19.4%
2098	19.2%	19.5%
2097	19.4%	19.7%
2096	19.5%	19.8%
2095	19.6%	19.9%
2094	19.8%	20%
2093	19.9%	20.2%
2092	20%	20.3%
2091	20.2%	20.4%
2090	20.3%	20.6%
2089	20.5%	20.7%
2088	20.6%	20.9%
2087	20.8%	21%
2086	21%	21.2%
2085	21.1%	21.4%
2084	21.3%	21.5%
2083	21.5%	21.7%
2082	21.7%	21.9%
2081	22%	22%
2080	22.2%	22.2%
2079	22.4%	22.4%
2078	22.6%	22.6%
2077	22.9%	22.8%
2076	23.1%	23%
2075	23.3%	23.1%
2074	23.6%	23.3%
2073	23.8%	23.5%
2072	24%	23.7%
2071	24.3%	23.9%
2070	24.5%	24.1%
2069	24.7%	24.3%
2068	25%	24.5%
2067	25.2%	24.7%
2066	25.4%	24.9%
2065	25.6%	25.1%
2064	25.9%	25.3%
2063	26.1%	25.5%
2062	26.3%	25.7%
2061	26.6%	26%
2060	26.8%	26.2%
2059	27.1%	26.5%
2058	27.4%	26.7%
2057	27.6%	27%
2056	27.9%	27.3%
2055	28.3%	27.5%
2054	28.6%	27.8%
2053	29%	28.1%
2052	29.3%	28.4%
2051	29.7%	28.7%
2050	30.1%	29%
2049	30.5%	29.3%
2048	30.9%	29.6%
2047	31.3%	29.9%
2046	31.7%	30.2%
2045	32.1%	30.4%
2044	32.5%	30.7%
2043	32.9%	30.9%
2042	33.2%	31.1%
2041	33.6%	31.4%
2040	33.8%	31.6%
2039	34.1%	31.8%
2038	34.3%	32.1%
2037	34.6%	32.3%
2036	34.8%	32.6%
2035	34.9%	32.9%
2034	35.1%	33.1%
2033	35.2%	33.4%
2032	35.4%	33.7%
2031	35.6%	34%
2030	35.8%	34.3%
2029	36.1%	34.7%
2028	36.4%	35.1%
2027	36.9%	35.6%
2026	37.3%	36%
2025	37.9%	36.5%
2024	38.1%	36.7%
2023	38.7%	37%
2022	39.2%	37.3%
2021	39.8%	37.6%
2020	40.4%	37.9%
2019	41%	38.1%
2018	41.5%	38.3%
2017	41.9%	38.5%
2016	42.1%	38.6%
2015	42.1%	38.8%
2014	42%	38.9%
2013	42%	38.9%
2012	42.1%	39%
2011	42.3%	39.1%
2010	42.6%	39.3%
2009	42.7%	39.6%
2008	43%	40%
2007	43.3%	40.4%
2006	43.1%	40.9%
2005	42.9%	41.3%
2004	43%	41.8%
2003	43.7%	42.3%
2002	44.4%	42.6%
2001	45%	42.9%
2000	45.2%	43.3%
1999	44.9%	43.6%
1998	44.4%	43.9%
1997	43.7%	44.1%
1996	42.9%	44.3%
1995	43.5%	44.5%
1994	44.4%	44.5%
1993	44.5%	44.5%
1992	44.7%	44.3%
1991	44.6%	44.1%
1990	44.5%	44.1%
1989	44.3%	44%
1988	44.2%	43.8%
1987	44%	43.7%
1986	44%	43.6%
1985	44.1%	43.5%
1984	44.2%	43.3%
1983	44.4%	43.1%
1982	44.4%	43%
1981	44.4%	43.1%
1980	44.4%	43.3%
1979	44.4%	43.7%
1978	44.3%	43.8%
1977	44.3%	43.9%
1976	44.2%	44%
1975	44.1%	44.1%
1974	44.1%	44.1%
1973	44%	44.1%
1972	43.8%	44.1%
1971	43.6%	44%
1970	43.3%	43.9%
1969	43%	43.7%
1968	42.8%	43.5%
1967	42.4%	43.3%
1966	42.1%	43%
1965	41.8%	42.7%
1964	41.6%	42.2%
1963	41.5%	41.8%
1962	41.4%	41.6%
1961	41.4%	41.4%
1960	41.5%	41.3%

Children aged 0-14 make up 38.1% of the population in Eritrea and 36.7% in Pakistan in 2024, compared to 44.5% and 44.1% respectively in 1990.

Demographics of Eritrea and Pakistan compared.

Maternal mortality chart: Eritrea vs Pakistan

Chart Table

Eritrea

Pakistan

1x

Year	Maternal mortality per 100K births
	Eritrea	Pakistan
2023	291	155
2022	301	160
2021	338	193
2020	334	178
2019	351	173
2018	363	178
2017	379	184
2016	395	193
2015	413	202
2014	430	211
2013	443	220
2012	458	227
2011	478	234
2010	498	240
2009	515	246
2008	530	254
2007	541	265
2006	555	284
2005	567	316
2004	588	333
2003	588	358
2002	636	380
2001	651	400
2000	741	419
1999	734	438
1998	865	456
1997	817	476
1996	878	482
1995	854	485
1994	998	479
1993	1,040	473
1992	1,149	459
1991	1,384	443
1990	1,352	434
1989	1,473	439
1988	1,499	441
1987	1,555	442
1986	1,625	436
1985	1,678	432

The maternal mortality rate, which is the probability of dying during childbirth or within 42 days of pregnancy termination, is 291 deaths per 100,000 live births in Eritrea, compared to 155 deaths in Pakistan.

Under-five mortality rates

Chart Table

Eritrea

Pakistan

Probability that a newborn baby will die before reaching age five

1x

Year	Under 5 mortality rate
	Eritrea	Pakistan
2023	3.54%	5.85%
2022	3.66%	6.05%
2021	3.79%	6.25%
2020	3.91%	6.46%
2019	4.03%	6.67%
2018	4.17%	6.88%
2017	4.32%	7.1%
2016	4.46%	7.33%
2015	4.61%	7.56%
2014	4.78%	7.8%
2013	4.94%	8.04%
2012	5.12%	8.27%
2011	5.31%	8.49%
2010	5.5%	8.71%
2009	5.71%	8.91%
2008	5.94%	9.1%
2007	6.19%	9.29%
2006	6.46%	9.47%
2005	6.75%	9.65%
2004	7.05%	9.85%
2003	7.38%	10.1%
2002	7.73%	10.3%
2001	8.11%	10.5%
2000	8.53%	10.8%
1999	10.9%	11.1%
1998	9.51%	11.5%
1997	10.1%	11.8%
1996	10.8%	12.1%
1995	11.5%	12.5%
1994	12.3%	12.8%
1993	13.1%	13.1%
1992	13.9%	13.4%
1991	14.7%	13.7%
1990	15.4%	14%
1989	16%	14.2%
1988	16.6%	14.5%
1987	17.1%	14.8%
1986	25.6%	15%
1985	26.2%	15.3%
1984	27.2%	15.6%
1983	27.8%	15.8%
1982	18.8%	16.1%
1981	19.1%	16.3%
1980	19.4%	16.5%
1979	19.7%	16.7%
1978	20%	16.9%
1977	20.4%	17.1%
1976	20.8%	17.4%
1975	25%	17.6%
1974	25.6%	17.8%
1973	-	18.1%
1972	-	18.4%
1971	-	18.7%
1970	-	19%
1969	-	19.4%
1968	-	19.7%
1967	-	20.2%
1966	-	20.6%
1965	-	21.2%
1964	-	21.8%
1963	-	22.5%
1962	-	23.3%
1961	-	24.1%
1960	-	25%

The chance that a newborn baby will die before reaching age five is 3.54% in Eritrea and 5.85% in Pakistan. Above is a chart with historical data on under-five mortality rates.