Skip to content

Fertility & birth rates in Guatemala and Nigeria

Updated on by Georank team

Guatemala has an annual birth rate of 20.8 births per 1,000 people, compared to 33 for Nigeria. The average number of children a woman is expected to have during her lifetime — the fertility rate, is 2.31 in Guatemala and 4.48 in Nigeria — 93.9% difference.

1960 vs 2023, the fertility rate has decreased by -67% in Guatemala and by -29.6% in Nigeria — in 1960, it was 7 and 6.36, respectively.

Birth rates facts compared:

  • Guatemala is ranked 69/196 by birth rate compared to 20/196 for Nigeria.
  • The mean age for first-time mothers is 20.6 years in Guatemala, compared to 20.4 years in Nigeria.
  • The mean age at childbearing (for all the births, not just the first) is 27.2 in Guatemala — it's 29.2 in Nigeria.
  • Annual births per 1,000 women ages 15-19 (adolescent birth rate or teenage mother rate) is 68.3 in Guatemala vs 86.4 in Nigeria.
  • In Guatemala, 27.5% of the population is composed of women of reproductive age (15-49), compared to 24% in Nigeria.
  • Excluding migration, the natural population change due to births and deaths from 2022 to 2023 was +1.6% in Guatemala and +2.12% in Nigeria.

Birth rate data compared

Guatemala Nigeria
Fertility rate 2.31 4.48
Birth rate 20.8 33
Birth rate rank 69/196 20/196
Age at first childbirth 20.6 years 20.4 years
Average age at childbearing 27.2 years 29.2 years
Annual births per 1,000 women ages 15-19 67.2 81.8
Annual births per 1,000 women ages 20-29 115 199.7
Annual births per 1,000 women ages 30+ 28.2 68.4
Female of reproductive age (15-49), share of population 27.5% 24%
Any modern method of contraceptive prevalence among married women ages 15-49 48.9% 18.2%
Share of births attended by skilled health staff 69.6% 50.7%
Maternal mortality per live birth 0.09% 0.99%
Neonatal mortality rate (before reaching 28 days of age) 1% 3.37%
Infant mortality rate (before reaching 1 year of age) 1.79% 6.01%
Mortality rate before reaching 5 years of age, per 1,000 live births 2.14% 10.5%
Population change due to births and deaths +289,635 +4,834,309
Natural population change rank 52/196 3/196
Natural population change rate +1.6% +2.12%
Population growth +1.55% +2.1%
Population growth rank 71/197 50/197
Life expectancy 72.9 years 54.8 years

Fertility rate in Guatemala vs Nigeria chart

According to the latest available data on birth rates, the fertility rate in Guatemala was 2.31 children per woman in 2023, compared to 4.48 in Nigeria in 2023. The replacement level is considered to be 2.1 children per woman.

Check Guatemala vs Nigeria population clock for a dynamic visualization of the changing population.

The chart below showcases historical changes in the birth rates.

Guatemala
Factual

UN forecast
Nigeria
Factual

UN forecast

Births per woman

Year Fertility rate
Guatemala Nigeria
1960 7 6.36
1961 6.98 6.35
1962 6.93 6.36
1963 6.9 6.35
1964 6.87 6.36
1965 6.84 6.37
1966 6.8 6.39
1967 6.76 6.4
1968 6.7 6.42
1969 6.65 6.44
1970 6.6 6.47
1971 6.55 6.53
1972 6.51 6.58
1973 6.49 6.63
1974 6.46 6.7
1975 6.41 6.77
1976 6.37 6.81
1977 6.32 6.86
1978 6.26 6.92
1979 6.22 6.89
1980 6.17 6.85
1981 6.12 6.82
1982 6.06 6.8
1983 5.98 6.78
1984 5.86 6.7
1985 5.73 6.62
1986 5.66 6.56
1987 5.64 6.5
1988 5.62 6.5
1989 5.56 6.49
1990 5.48 6.46
1991 5.38 6.43
1992 5.31 6.39
1993 5.25 6.35
1994 5.19 6.32
1995 5.11 6.27
1996 5.01 6.22
1997 4.91 6.14
1998 4.8 6.07
1999 4.69 6.08
2000 4.58 6.12
2001 4.5 6.13
2002 4.37 6.12
2003 4.25 6.1
2004 4.13 6.09
2005 3.97 6.06
2006 3.85 6.05
2007 3.72 6.03
2008 3.57 6.02
2009 3.47 5.99
2010 3.38 5.95
2011 3.29 5.89
2012 3.22 5.8
2013 3.15 5.69
2014 3.09 5.62
2015 3.03 5.5
2016 2.97 5.34
2017 2.86 5.18
2018 2.74 5.02
2019 2.59 4.86
2020 2.47 4.7
2021 2.39 4.64
2022 2.34 4.55
2023 2.31 4.48
2024 2.29 4.38
2025 2.26 4.3
2026 2.23 4.2
2027 2.2 4.1
2028 2.17 4.01
2029 2.15 3.92
2030 2.13 3.82
2031 2.11 3.73
2032 2.09 3.65
2033 2.08 3.56
2034 2.06 3.48
2035 2.05 3.41
2036 2.03 3.34
2037 2.02 3.27
2038 2 3.21
2039 1.99 3.16
2040 1.97 3.1
2041 1.96 3.04
2042 1.95 2.99
2043 1.93 2.94
2044 1.92 2.89
2045 1.92 2.85
2046 1.91 2.8
2047 1.9 2.76
2048 1.89 2.73
2049 1.89 2.69
2050 1.88 2.66

Children 0-14 years as share of population

Guatemala
Factual

UN forecast
Nigeria
Factual

UN forecast
Year Share of people 0-14 years old
Guatemala Nigeria
1960 46.7% 41.1%
1961 46.7% 41.1%
1962 46.8% 41.1%
1963 46.7% 41.2%
1964 46.6% 41.4%
1965 46.6% 41.5%
1966 46.5% 41.7%
1967 46.4% 41.8%
1968 46.2% 42%
1969 46.2% 42.2%
1970 46.1% 42.4%
1971 46% 42.5%
1972 46% 42.8%
1973 46% 43%
1974 45.9% 43.2%
1975 45.8% 43.4%
1976 45.7% 43.7%
1977 45.6% 43.9%
1978 45.6% 44.2%
1979 45.5% 44.4%
1980 45.5% 44.6%
1981 45.6% 44.8%
1982 45.6% 45%
1983 45.7% 45.2%
1984 45.7% 45.4%
1985 45.7% 45.5%
1986 45.7% 45.6%
1987 45.6% 45.6%
1988 45.6% 45.5%
1989 45.5% 45.5%
1990 45.4% 45.3%
1991 45.3% 45.2%
1992 45.2% 45%
1993 45.1% 44.8%
1994 44.9% 44.6%
1995 44.8% 44.4%
1996 44.7% 44.2%
1997 44.5% 44.1%
1998 44.3% 43.9%
1999 44.1% 43.8%
2000 43.8% 43.7%
2001 43.6% 43.7%
2002 43.3% 43.8%
2003 43% 43.8%
2004 42.5% 43.9%
2005 42.1% 44%
2006 41.6% 44.1%
2007 41% 44.2%
2008 40.5% 44.3%
2009 39.9% 44.4%
2010 39.3% 44.4%
2011 38.7% 44.5%
2012 38.1% 44.5%
2013 37.5% 44.5%
2014 36.9% 44.4%
2015 36.4% 44.3%
2016 35.9% 44.1%
2017 35.4% 43.9%
2018 34.9% 43.6%
2019 34.4% 43.2%
2020 33.8% 42.8%
2021 33.3% 42.4%
2022 32.7% 42%
2023 32.1% 41.5%
2024 31.6% 41%
2025 31% 40.5%
2026 30.5% 40%
2027 29.9% 39.5%
2028 29.4% 39%
2029 28.8% 38.5%
2030 28.3% 38%
2031 27.8% 37.6%
2032 27.3% 37.2%
2033 26.8% 36.8%
2034 26.4% 36.5%
2035 26% 36.2%
2036 25.7% 35.9%
2037 25.5% 35.5%
2038 25.2% 35.2%
2039 24.9% 34.9%
2040 24.6% 34.5%
2041 24.3% 34.2%
2042 24% 33.8%
2043 23.7% 33.5%
2044 23.4% 33.1%
2045 23.1% 32.8%
2046 22.8% 32.4%
2047 22.5% 32%
2048 22.2% 31.6%
2049 21.9% 31.3%
2050 21.6% 30.9%

Children aged 0-14 make up 31.6% of the population in Guatemala and 41% in Nigeria in 2024, compared to 45.4% and 45.3% respectively in 1990.

Demographics of Guatemala and Nigeria compared.

Natural population change in Guatemala vs Nigeria by year

For the past 10 years, the annual natural population change (excluding migration) has been +1.83% in Guatemala and +2.29% in Nigeria. The chart below illustrates the comparison of the absolute yearly changes resulting from births and deaths.

Guatemala
Nigeria

Natural population change

Year Population change due to births and deaths
Guatemala Nigeria
1960 120,728 901,301
1961 123,753 932,111
1962 126,429 966,452
1963 129,065 995,116
1964 132,832 1,028,272
1965 135,997 1,061,840
1966 140,494 1,095,582
1967 143,859 1,082,884
1968 146,946 1,168,254
1969 149,516 1,213,484
1970 155,946 1,295,507
1971 165,104 1,373,896
1972 173,162 1,448,928
1973 179,871 1,525,485
1974 184,992 1,624,813
1975 188,501 1,718,623
1976 171,903 1,827,289
1977 203,299 1,923,917
1978 211,301 2,019,621
1979 216,810 2,074,807
1980 218,460 2,121,618
1981 221,044 2,179,884
1982 199,809 2,233,401
1983 238,059 2,292,089
1984 241,892 2,278,060
1985 246,119 2,289,784
1986 252,754 2,295,003
1987 261,746 2,322,397
1988 271,466 2,376,419
1989 276,736 2,452,324
1990 280,318 2,491,928
1991 283,917 2,527,807
1992 288,411 2,596,173
1993 295,515 2,673,675
1994 302,708 2,735,198
1995 309,236 2,830,771
1996 315,252 2,882,205
1997 320,087 2,936,500
1998 325,174 3,003,946
1999 328,890 3,155,425
2000 332,891 3,343,196
2001 335,503 3,478,370
2002 334,255 3,606,814
2003 333,539 3,751,120
2004 331,699 3,877,376
2005 325,816 4,013,788
2006 325,604 4,135,703
2007 326,298 4,265,428
2008 323,226 4,412,976
2009 323,320 4,528,149
2010 324,802 4,629,173
2011 328,548 4,728,363
2012 332,365 4,774,508
2013 331,321 4,811,751
2014 333,551 4,862,319
2015 335,072 4,823,045
2016 338,114 4,761,594
2017 332,838 4,706,183
2018 323,100 4,659,898
2019 307,389 4,609,941
2020 281,328 4,525,164
2021 255,145 4,641,562
2022 281,675 4,739,502
2023 289,635 4,834,309

Fertility rates around the globe

Fertility rate

Maternal mortality chart: Guatemala vs Nigeria

The maternal mortality rate, which is the probability of dying during childbirth or within 42 days of pregnancy termination, is 94 deaths per 100,000 live births in Guatemala, compared to 993 deaths in Nigeria.

Guatemala
Nigeria
Year Maternal mortality per 100K births
Guatemala Nigeria
1985 301 1,344
1986 286 1,363
1987 277 1,351
1988 273 1,332
1989 271 1,304
1990 270 1,285
1991 268 1,282
1992 269 1,246
1993 262 1,200
1994 244 1,193
1995 229 1,186
1996 213 1,185
1997 198 1,184
1998 185 1,189
1999 174 1,165
2000 166 1,136
2001 162 1,130
2002 153 1,117
2003 150 1,090
2004 148 1,075
2005 153 1,060
2006 142 1,067
2007 135 1,063
2008 133 1,081
2009 130 1,088
2010 127 1,094
2011 120 1,108
2012 115 1,124
2013 111 1,146
2014 111 1,155
2015 112 1,168
2016 110 1,155
2017 107 1,142
2018 107 1,118
2019 106 1,091
2020 102 1,065
2021 125 1,046
2022 97 1,016
2023 94 993

Under-five mortality rates

The chance that a newborn baby will die before reaching age five is 2.14% in Guatemala and 10.5% in Nigeria. Below is the historical data on under-five mortality rates.

Guatemala
Nigeria

Probability that a newborn baby will die before reaching age five

Year Mortality rate before reaching 5 years of age, per 1,000 live births
Guatemala Nigeria
1960 22.2% -
1961 21.6% -
1962 21.1% -
1963 20.6% -
1964 20.1% 32.7%
1965 19.6% 32%
1966 19.1% 31.3%
1967 18.6% 30.7%
1968 18.1% 30%
1969 17.6% 29.3%
1970 17.1% 28.5%
1971 16.6% 27.7%
1972 16.1% 26.9%
1973 15.6% 26.1%
1974 15.1% 25.2%
1975 14.6% 24.4%
1976 16.5% 23.6%
1977 13.6% 22.9%
1978 13.2% 22.3%
1979 12.7% 21.8%
1980 12.2% 21.3%
1981 11.8% 21%
1982 13.6% 20.8%
1983 10.9% 20.7%
1984 10.5% 20.7%
1985 10% 20.8%
1986 9.6% 20.9%
1987 9.19% 20.9%
1988 8.79% 21%
1989 8.41% 21%
1990 8.04% 21%
1991 7.68% 20.9%
1992 7.34% 20.8%
1993 7.02% 20.7%
1994 6.71% 20.6%
1995 6.42% 20.4%
1996 6.15% 20.1%
1997 5.89% 19.7%
1998 5.65% 19.3%
1999 5.42% 18.8%
2000 5.21% 18.2%
2001 5% 17.7%
2002 4.8% 17.1%
2003 4.61% 16.5%
2004 4.43% 16%
2005 4.26% 15.5%
2006 4.1% 15%
2007 3.93% 14.5%
2008 3.78% 14.1%
2009 3.62% 13.8%
2010 3.48% 13.5%
2011 3.33% 13.3%
2012 3.2% 13.1%
2013 3.07% 12.9%
2014 2.94% 12.8%
2015 2.83% 12.6%
2016 2.72% 12.5%
2017 2.63% 12.3%
2018 2.54% 12%
2019 2.45% 11.8%
2020 2.37% 11.4%
2021 2.28% 11.1%
2022 2.21% 10.8%
2023 2.14% 10.5%

Compare countries by 7 more topics

Birth rate comparisons

Birth rate vs Guatemala vs Nigeria
Afghanistan Compare Compare
Albania Compare Compare
Algeria Compare Compare
Andorra Compare Compare
Angola Compare Compare
Antigua Compare Compare
Argentina Compare Compare
Armenia Compare Compare
Australia Compare Compare
Austria Compare Compare
Azerbaijan Compare Compare
Bahamas Compare Compare
Bahrain Compare Compare
Bangladesh Compare Compare
Barbados Compare Compare
Belarus Compare Compare
Belgium Compare Compare
Belize Compare Compare
Benin Compare Compare
Bhutan Compare Compare
Bolivia Compare Compare
Bosnia Compare Compare
Botswana Compare Compare
Brazil Compare Compare
Brunei Compare Compare
Bulgaria Compare Compare
Burkina Faso Compare Compare
Burundi Compare Compare
Cambodia Compare Compare
Cameroon Compare Compare
Canada Compare Compare
Cape Verde Compare Compare
Cayman Islands Compare Compare
CAR Compare Compare
Chad Compare Compare
Chile Compare Compare
China Compare Compare
Colombia Compare Compare
Comoros Compare Compare
Congo Compare Compare
Costa Rica Compare Compare
Croatia Compare Compare
Cuba Compare Compare
Curacao Compare Compare
Cyprus Compare Compare
Czech Republic Compare Compare
DR Congo Compare Compare
Denmark Compare Compare
Djibouti Compare Compare
Dominica Compare Compare
Dominican Republic Compare Compare
East Timor Compare Compare
Ecuador Compare Compare
Egypt Compare Compare
El Salvador Compare Compare
Equatorial Guinea Compare Compare
Eritrea Compare Compare
Estonia Compare Compare
Eswatini Compare Compare
Ethiopia Compare Compare
Fiji Compare Compare
Finland Compare Compare
France Compare Compare
Gabon Compare Compare
Gambia Compare Compare
Georgia Compare Compare
Germany Compare Compare
Ghana Compare Compare
Greece Compare Compare
Grenada Compare Compare
Guinea Compare Compare
Guinea-Bissau Compare Compare
Guyana Compare Compare
Haiti Compare Compare
Honduras Compare Compare
Hungary Compare Compare
Iceland Compare Compare
India Compare Compare
Indonesia Compare Compare
Iran Compare Compare
Iraq Compare Compare
Ireland Compare Compare
Israel Compare Compare
Italy Compare Compare
Ivory Coast Compare Compare
Jamaica Compare Compare
Japan Compare Compare
Jordan Compare Compare
Kazakhstan Compare Compare
Kenya Compare Compare
Kiribati Compare Compare
Kuwait Compare Compare
Kyrgyzstan Compare Compare
Laos Compare Compare
Latvia Compare Compare
Lebanon Compare Compare
Lesotho Compare Compare
Liberia Compare Compare
Libya Compare Compare
Liechtenstein Compare Compare
Lithuania Compare Compare
Luxembourg Compare Compare
Madagascar Compare Compare
Malawi Compare Compare
Malaysia Compare Compare
Maldives Compare Compare
Mali Compare Compare
Malta Compare Compare
Marshall Islands Compare Compare
Mauritania Compare Compare
Mauritius Compare Compare
Mexico Compare Compare
Moldova Compare Compare
Monaco Compare Compare
Mongolia Compare Compare
Montenegro Compare Compare
Morocco Compare Compare
Mozambique Compare Compare
Myanmar Compare Compare
Namibia Compare Compare
Nauru Compare Compare
Nepal Compare Compare
Netherlands Compare Compare
New Zealand Compare Compare
Nicaragua Compare Compare
Niger Compare Compare
North Korea Compare Compare
North Macedonia Compare Compare
Norway Compare Compare
Oman Compare Compare
Pakistan Compare Compare
Palau Compare Compare
Palestine Compare Compare
Panama Compare Compare
Papua New Guinea Compare Compare
Paraguay Compare Compare
Peru Compare Compare
Philippines Compare Compare
Poland Compare Compare
Portugal Compare Compare
Qatar Compare Compare
Romania Compare Compare
Russia Compare Compare
Rwanda Compare Compare
Saint Kitts Compare Compare
Saint Lucia Compare Compare
Saint Vincent Compare Compare
Samoa Compare Compare
San Marino Compare Compare
Sao Tome Compare Compare
Saudi Arabia Compare Compare
Senegal Compare Compare
Serbia Compare Compare
Seychelles Compare Compare
Sierra Leone Compare Compare
Singapore Compare Compare
Slovakia Compare Compare
Slovenia Compare Compare
Solomon Islands Compare Compare
Somalia Compare Compare
South Africa Compare Compare
South Korea Compare Compare
South Sudan Compare Compare
Spain Compare Compare
Sri Lanka Compare Compare
Sudan Compare Compare
Suriname Compare Compare
Sweden Compare Compare
Switzerland Compare Compare
Syria Compare Compare
Taiwan Compare Compare
Tajikistan Compare Compare
Tanzania Compare Compare
Thailand Compare Compare
Togo Compare Compare
Tonga Compare Compare
Trinidad Compare Compare
Tunisia Compare Compare
Turkey Compare Compare
Turkmenistan Compare Compare
Tuvalu Compare Compare
Uganda Compare Compare
Ukraine Compare Compare
UAE Compare Compare
United Kingdom Compare Compare
United States Compare Compare
Uruguay Compare Compare
Uzbekistan Compare Compare
Vanuatu Compare Compare
Venezuela Compare Compare
Vietnam Compare Compare
Yemen Compare Compare
Zambia Compare Compare
Zimbabwe Compare Compare