Fertility & birth rates in Guatemala and Nicaragua

Fertility rate in Guatemala vs Nicaragua chart

According to the latest available data on birth rates, the fertility rate in Guatemala was 2.31 children per woman in 2023, compared to 2.22 in Nicaragua in 2023. The replacement level is considered to be 2.1 children per woman.

Check Guatemala vs Nicaragua population clock for a dynamic visualization of the changing population.

The chart below showcases historical changes in the birth rates.

Table

Year	Fertility rate
	Guatemala	Nicaragua
1960	7	7.16
1961	6.98	7.11
1962	6.93	7.1
1963	6.9	7.08
1964	6.87	7.06
1965	6.84	7.03
1966	6.8	6.99
1967	6.76	6.94
1968	6.7	6.89
1969	6.65	6.83
1970	6.6	6.77
1971	6.55	6.71
1972	6.51	6.65
1973	6.49	6.59
1974	6.46	6.52
1975	6.41	6.45
1976	6.37	6.37
1977	6.32	6.28
1978	6.26	6.16
1979	6.22	6.07
1980	6.17	5.96
1981	6.12	5.84
1982	6.06	5.74
1983	5.98	5.61
1984	5.86	5.49
1985	5.73	5.36
1986	5.66	5.22
1987	5.64	5.07
1988	5.62	4.93
1989	5.56	4.76
1990	5.48	4.6
1991	5.38	4.43
1992	5.31	4.27
1993	5.25	4.1
1994	5.19	3.94
1995	5.11	3.78
1996	5.01	3.62
1997	4.91	3.47
1998	4.8	3.34
1999	4.69	3.22
2000	4.58	3.12
2001	4.5	3
2002	4.37	2.89
2003	4.25	2.83
2004	4.13	2.78
2005	3.97	2.77
2006	3.85	2.73
2007	3.72	2.7
2008	3.57	2.66
2009	3.47	2.63
2010	3.38	2.6
2011	3.29	2.56
2012	3.22	2.53
2013	3.15	2.49
2014	3.09	2.46
2015	3.03	2.43
2016	2.97	2.41
2017	2.86	2.38
2018	2.74	2.35
2019	2.59	2.32
2020	2.47	2.3
2021	2.39	2.27
2022	2.34	2.24
2023	2.31	2.22
2024	2.29	2.21
2025	2.26	2.18
2026	2.23	2.16
2027	2.2	2.14
2028	2.17	2.11
2029	2.15	2.09
2030	2.13	2.07
2031	2.11	2.05
2032	2.09	2.04
2033	2.08	2.02
2034	2.06	2.01
2035	2.05	2
2036	2.03	1.98
2037	2.02	1.97
2038	2	1.96
2039	1.99	1.95
2040	1.97	1.94
2041	1.96	1.93
2042	1.95	1.92
2043	1.93	1.91
2044	1.92	1.9
2045	1.92	1.89
2046	1.91	1.89
2047	1.9	1.88
2048	1.89	1.87
2049	1.89	1.87
2050	1.88	1.86

Children 0-14 years as share of population

Table

Year	Share of people 0-14 years old
	Guatemala	Nicaragua
1960	46.7%	47.6%
1961	46.7%	47.8%
1962	46.8%	48%
1963	46.7%	48.2%
1964	46.6%	48.2%
1965	46.6%	48.1%
1966	46.5%	47.9%
1967	46.4%	47.8%
1968	46.2%	47.7%
1969	46.2%	47.6%
1970	46.1%	47.5%
1971	46%	47.5%
1972	46%	47.4%
1973	46%	47.4%
1974	45.9%	47.3%
1975	45.8%	47.3%
1976	45.7%	47.3%
1977	45.6%	47.2%
1978	45.6%	47.3%
1979	45.5%	47.3%
1980	45.5%	47.3%
1981	45.6%	47.3%
1982	45.6%	47.3%
1983	45.7%	47.2%
1984	45.7%	47.2%
1985	45.7%	47.1%
1986	45.7%	47%
1987	45.6%	46.9%
1988	45.6%	46.7%
1989	45.5%	46.4%
1990	45.4%	46.1%
1991	45.3%	45.7%
1992	45.2%	45.2%
1993	45.1%	44.8%
1994	44.9%	44.3%
1995	44.8%	43.7%
1996	44.7%	43.1%
1997	44.5%	42.4%
1998	44.3%	41.7%
1999	44.1%	41%
2000	43.8%	40.3%
2001	43.6%	39.6%
2002	43.3%	38.9%
2003	43%	38.2%
2004	42.5%	37.5%
2005	42.1%	36.8%
2006	41.6%	36.2%
2007	41%	35.7%
2008	40.5%	35.2%
2009	39.9%	34.7%
2010	39.3%	34.2%
2011	38.7%	33.8%
2012	38.1%	33.3%
2013	37.5%	32.9%
2014	36.9%	32.6%
2015	36.4%	32.2%
2016	35.9%	31.8%
2017	35.4%	31.5%
2018	34.9%	31.1%
2019	34.4%	30.8%
2020	33.8%	30.4%
2021	33.3%	30.1%
2022	32.7%	29.6%
2023	32.1%	29.2%
2024	31.6%	28.8%
2025	31%	28.3%
2026	30.5%	27.9%
2027	29.9%	27.4%
2028	29.4%	27%
2029	28.8%	26.6%
2030	28.3%	26.2%
2031	27.8%	25.8%
2032	27.3%	25.4%
2033	26.8%	25%
2034	26.4%	24.7%
2035	26%	24.4%
2036	25.7%	24%
2037	25.5%	23.7%
2038	25.2%	23.4%
2039	24.9%	23.1%
2040	24.6%	22.8%
2041	24.3%	22.5%
2042	24%	22.2%
2043	23.7%	22%
2044	23.4%	21.7%
2045	23.1%	21.4%
2046	22.8%	21.2%
2047	22.5%	20.9%
2048	22.2%	20.7%
2049	21.9%	20.5%
2050	21.6%	20.2%

Children aged 0-14 make up 31.6% of the population in Guatemala and 28.8% in Nicaragua in 2024, compared to 45.4% and 46.1% respectively in 1990.

Demographics of Guatemala and Nicaragua compared.

Natural population change in Guatemala vs Nicaragua by year

For the past 10 years, the annual natural population change (excluding migration) has been +1.83% in Guatemala and +1.58% in Nicaragua. The chart below illustrates the comparison of the absolute yearly changes resulting from births and deaths.

Table

Year	Population change due to births and deaths
	Guatemala	Nicaragua
1960	120,728	55,664
1961	123,753	57,499
1962	126,429	59,547
1963	129,065	61,738
1964	132,832	64,227
1965	135,997	67,056
1966	140,494	69,883
1967	143,859	72,722
1968	146,946	75,458
1969	149,516	78,237
1970	155,946	81,127
1971	165,104	84,139
1972	173,162	76,906
1973	179,871	89,662
1974	184,992	92,505
1975	188,501	95,230
1976	171,903	98,100
1977	203,299	100,498
1978	211,301	98,419
1979	216,810	96,429
1980	218,460	108,604
1981	221,044	110,421
1982	199,809	112,468
1983	238,059	110,618
1984	241,892	110,133
1985	246,119	110,949
1986	252,754	113,054
1987	261,746	112,885
1988	271,466	117,299
1989	276,736	120,128
1990	280,318	120,677
1991	283,917	121,787
1992	288,411	121,204
1993	295,515	120,469
1994	302,708	119,565
1995	309,236	118,325
1996	315,252	116,849
1997	320,087	114,415
1998	325,174	108,862
1999	328,890	110,217
2000	332,891	109,192
2001	335,503	107,109
2002	334,255	105,805
2003	333,539	106,142
2004	331,699	106,904
2005	325,816	108,984
2006	325,604	110,073
2007	326,298	110,341
2008	323,226	110,395
2009	323,320	110,213
2010	324,802	110,475
2011	328,548	110,026
2012	332,365	110,065
2013	331,321	109,032
2014	333,551	108,420
2015	335,072	107,344
2016	338,114	106,585
2017	332,838	105,468
2018	323,100	104,814
2019	307,389	102,817
2020	281,328	90,515
2021	255,145	89,213
2022	281,675	100,987
2023	289,635	100,921

Maternal mortality chart: Guatemala vs Nicaragua

The maternal mortality rate, which is the probability of dying during childbirth or within 42 days of pregnancy termination, is 94 deaths per 100,000 live births in Guatemala, compared to 60 deaths in Nicaragua.

Table

Year	Maternal mortality per 100K births
	Guatemala	Nicaragua
1985	301	319
1986	286	313
1987	277	316
1988	273	301
1989	271	286
1990	270	281
1991	268	273
1992	269	272
1993	262	265
1994	244	256
1995	229	251
1996	213	244
1997	198	236
1998	185	239
1999	174	228
2000	166	213
2001	162	194
2002	153	170
2003	150	154
2004	148	140
2005	153	124
2006	142	113
2007	135	106
2008	133	101
2009	130	99
2010	127	96
2011	120	93
2012	115	88
2013	111	86
2014	111	83
2015	112	81
2016	110	77
2017	107	72
2018	107	67
2019	106	69
2020	102	87
2021	125	124
2022	97	61
2023	94	60

Under-five mortality rates

The chance that a newborn baby will die before reaching age five is 2.14% in Guatemala and 1.34% in Nicaragua. Below is the historical data on under-five mortality rates.

Table

Year	Mortality rate before reaching 5 years of age, per 1,000 live births
	Guatemala	Nicaragua
1960	22.2%	19.8%
1961	21.6%	19.6%
1962	21.1%	19.4%
1963	20.6%	19.2%
1964	20.1%	19%
1965	19.6%	18.7%
1966	19.1%	18.4%
1967	18.6%	18.1%
1968	18.1%	17.8%
1969	17.6%	17.4%
1970	17.1%	17.1%
1971	16.6%	16.6%
1972	16.1%	18.7%
1973	15.6%	15.6%
1974	15.1%	15%
1975	14.6%	14.4%
1976	16.5%	13.7%
1977	13.6%	12.9%
1978	13.2%	12.2%
1979	12.7%	11.5%
1980	12.2%	10.8%
1981	11.8%	10.2%
1982	13.6%	9.58%
1983	10.9%	9.07%
1984	10.5%	8.62%
1985	10%	8.21%
1986	9.6%	7.85%
1987	9.19%	7.53%
1988	8.79%	7.22%
1989	8.41%	6.92%
1990	8.04%	6.62%
1991	7.68%	6.31%
1992	7.34%	6%
1993	7.02%	5.69%
1994	6.71%	5.39%
1995	6.42%	5.09%
1996	6.15%	4.81%
1997	5.89%	4.54%
1998	5.65%	5.01%
1999	5.42%	4.04%
2000	5.21%	3.82%
2001	5%	3.62%
2002	4.8%	3.43%
2003	4.61%	3.26%
2004	4.43%	3.1%
2005	4.26%	2.95%
2006	4.1%	2.81%
2007	3.93%	2.68%
2008	3.78%	2.55%
2009	3.62%	2.44%
2010	3.48%	2.33%
2011	3.33%	2.22%
2012	3.2%	2.13%
2013	3.07%	2.03%
2014	2.94%	1.94%
2015	2.83%	1.86%
2016	2.72%	1.78%
2017	2.63%	1.71%
2018	2.54%	1.64%
2019	2.45%	1.57%
2020	2.37%	1.51%
2021	2.28%	1.45%
2022	2.21%	1.39%
2023	2.14%	1.34%