Fertility & birth rates in Ethiopia and Guatemala

Fertility rate in Ethiopia vs Guatemala chart

According to the latest available data on birth rates, the fertility rate in Ethiopia was 3.99 children per woman in 2023, compared to 2.31 in Guatemala in 2023. The replacement level is considered to be 2.1 children per woman.

Check Ethiopia vs Guatemala population clock for a dynamic visualization of the changing population.

The chart below showcases historical changes in the birth rates.

Table

Year	Fertility rate
	Ethiopia	Guatemala
1960	6.51	7
1961	6.53	6.98
1962	6.56	6.93
1963	6.59	6.9
1964	6.61	6.87
1965	6.63	6.84
1966	6.66	6.8
1967	6.68	6.76
1968	6.7	6.7
1969	6.72	6.65
1970	6.78	6.6
1971	6.84	6.55
1972	6.9	6.51
1973	6.96	6.49
1974	7.02	6.46
1975	7.08	6.41
1976	7.13	6.37
1977	7.19	6.32
1978	7.23	6.26
1979	7.25	6.22
1980	7.29	6.17
1981	7.31	6.12
1982	7.34	6.06
1983	7.35	5.98
1984	7.36	5.86
1985	7.34	5.73
1986	7.32	5.66
1987	7.29	5.64
1988	7.26	5.62
1989	7.23	5.56
1990	7.2	5.48
1991	7.16	5.38
1992	7.13	5.31
1993	7.09	5.25
1994	7.05	5.19
1995	7	5.11
1996	6.93	5.01
1997	6.87	4.91
1998	6.79	4.8
1999	6.72	4.69
2000	6.65	4.58
2001	6.58	4.5
2002	6.5	4.37
2003	6.4	4.25
2004	6.3	4.13
2005	6.19	3.97
2006	6.05	3.85
2007	5.89	3.72
2008	5.7	3.57
2009	5.49	3.47
2010	5.28	3.38
2011	5.08	3.29
2012	4.89	3.22
2013	4.71	3.15
2014	4.61	3.09
2015	4.53	3.03
2016	4.47	2.97
2017	4.4	2.86
2018	4.37	2.74
2019	4.35	2.59
2020	4.27	2.47
2021	4.18	2.39
2022	4.08	2.34
2023	3.99	2.31
2024	3.91	2.29
2025	3.81	2.26
2026	3.72	2.23
2027	3.64	2.2
2028	3.57	2.17
2029	3.5	2.15
2030	3.43	2.13
2031	3.36	2.11
2032	3.3	2.09
2033	3.24	2.08
2034	3.19	2.06
2035	3.14	2.05
2036	3.08	2.03
2037	3.03	2.02
2038	2.99	2
2039	2.94	1.99
2040	2.9	1.97
2041	2.86	1.96
2042	2.83	1.95
2043	2.79	1.93
2044	2.75	1.92
2045	2.72	1.92
2046	2.68	1.91
2047	2.65	1.9
2048	2.62	1.89
2049	2.59	1.89
2050	2.55	1.88

Children 0-14 years as share of population

Table

Year	Share of people 0-14 years old
	Ethiopia	Guatemala
1960	42.2%	46.7%
1961	42.2%	46.7%
1962	42.1%	46.8%
1963	42.2%	46.7%
1964	42.3%	46.6%
1965	42.5%	46.6%
1966	42.9%	46.5%
1967	43.2%	46.4%
1968	43.5%	46.2%
1969	43.8%	46.2%
1970	44.2%	46.1%
1971	44.5%	46%
1972	44.9%	46%
1973	45.2%	46%
1974	45.4%	45.9%
1975	45.6%	45.8%
1976	45.7%	45.7%
1977	45.9%	45.6%
1978	46.1%	45.6%
1979	46.2%	45.5%
1980	46.3%	45.5%
1981	46.4%	45.6%
1982	46.5%	45.6%
1983	46.4%	45.7%
1984	46.2%	45.7%
1985	46.1%	45.7%
1986	46%	45.7%
1987	46%	45.6%
1988	46%	45.6%
1989	46.1%	45.5%
1990	46.2%	45.4%
1991	46.2%	45.3%
1992	46.2%	45.2%
1993	46.4%	45.1%
1994	46.5%	44.9%
1995	46.7%	44.8%
1996	46.9%	44.7%
1997	47.1%	44.5%
1998	47.4%	44.3%
1999	47.6%	44.1%
2000	47.7%	43.8%
2001	47.8%	43.6%
2002	47.8%	43.3%
2003	47.7%	43%
2004	47.6%	42.5%
2005	47.4%	42.1%
2006	47.2%	41.6%
2007	46.9%	41%
2008	46.6%	40.5%
2009	46.2%	39.9%
2010	45.7%	39.3%
2011	45.2%	38.7%
2012	44.6%	38.1%
2013	44%	37.5%
2014	43.4%	36.9%
2015	42.9%	36.4%
2016	42.3%	35.9%
2017	41.8%	35.4%
2018	41.3%	34.9%
2019	40.9%	34.4%
2020	40.5%	33.8%
2021	40.1%	33.3%
2022	39.7%	32.7%
2023	39.4%	32.1%
2024	39.1%	31.6%
2025	38.8%	31%
2026	38.5%	30.5%
2027	38.3%	29.9%
2028	38.1%	29.4%
2029	37.8%	28.8%
2030	37.6%	28.3%
2031	37.3%	27.8%
2032	37%	27.3%
2033	36.6%	26.8%
2034	36.2%	26.4%
2035	35.8%	26%
2036	35.4%	25.7%
2037	34.9%	25.5%
2038	34.5%	25.2%
2039	34%	24.9%
2040	33.6%	24.6%
2041	33.2%	24.3%
2042	32.8%	24%
2043	32.4%	23.7%
2044	32%	23.4%
2045	31.7%	23.1%
2046	31.3%	22.8%
2047	31%	22.5%
2048	30.7%	22.2%
2049	30.3%	21.9%
2050	30%	21.6%

Children aged 0-14 make up 39.1% of the population in Ethiopia and 31.6% in Guatemala in 2024, compared to 46.2% and 45.4% respectively in 1990.

Demographics of Ethiopia and Guatemala compared.

Natural population change in Ethiopia vs Guatemala by year

For the past 10 years, the annual natural population change (excluding migration) has been +2.64% in Ethiopia and +1.83% in Guatemala. The chart below illustrates the comparison of the absolute yearly changes resulting from births and deaths.

Table

Year	Population change due to births and deaths
	Ethiopia	Guatemala
1960	511,694	120,728
1961	538,518	123,753
1962	563,650	126,429
1963	590,998	129,065
1964	618,667	132,832
1965	642,359	135,997
1966	616,281	140,494
1967	695,283	143,859
1968	715,602	146,946
1969	736,428	149,516
1970	760,821	155,946
1971	787,047	165,104
1972	779,808	173,162
1973	807,535	179,871
1974	777,306	184,992
1975	801,425	188,501
1976	899,577	171,903
1977	929,381	203,299
1978	943,388	211,301
1979	987,203	216,810
1980	1,007,516	218,460
1981	1,018,838	221,044
1982	1,080,853	199,809
1983	863,472	238,059
1984	920,670	241,892
1985	997,050	246,119
1986	1,050,277	252,754
1987	1,356,853	261,746
1988	1,393,356	271,466
1989	1,441,769	276,736
1990	1,479,663	280,318
1991	1,579,416	283,917
1992	1,673,839	288,411
1993	1,734,851	295,515
1994	1,788,133	302,708
1995	1,831,068	309,236
1996	1,896,364	315,252
1997	1,945,112	320,087
1998	1,984,989	325,174
1999	2,010,987	328,890
2000	2,083,622	332,891
2001	2,137,791	335,503
2002	2,189,683	334,255
2003	2,231,223	333,539
2004	2,296,999	331,699
2005	2,353,375	325,816
2006	2,393,585	325,604
2007	2,436,753	326,298
2008	2,465,283	323,226
2009	2,467,118	323,320
2010	2,498,048	324,802
2011	2,527,811	328,548
2012	2,533,398	332,365
2013	2,546,020	331,321
2014	2,623,647	333,551
2015	2,713,529	335,072
2016	2,809,889	338,114
2017	2,899,143	332,838
2018	3,015,231	323,100
2019	3,132,780	307,389
2020	3,199,718	281,328
2021	3,204,673	255,145
2022	3,300,114	281,675
2023	3,338,649	289,635

Maternal mortality chart: Ethiopia vs Guatemala

The maternal mortality rate, which is the probability of dying during childbirth or within 42 days of pregnancy termination, is 195 deaths per 100,000 live births in Ethiopia, compared to 94 deaths in Guatemala.

Table

Year	Maternal mortality per 100K births
	Ethiopia	Guatemala
1985	1,329	301
1986	1,317	286
1987	1,289	277
1988	1,306	273
1989	1,296	271
1990	1,320	270
1991	1,239	268
1992	1,218	269
1993	1,168	262
1994	1,113	244
1995	1,060	229
1996	1,008	213
1997	957	198
1998	911	185
1999	901	174
2000	870	166
2001	856	162
2002	826	153
2003	797	150
2004	764	148
2005	754	153
2006	729	142
2007	704	135
2008	678	133
2009	649	130
2010	619	127
2011	588	120
2012	545	115
2013	494	111
2014	444	111
2015	401	112
2016	364	110
2017	327	107
2018	297	107
2019	269	106
2020	244	102
2021	250	125
2022	207	97
2023	195	94

Under-five mortality rates

The chance that a newborn baby will die before reaching age five is 4.65% in Ethiopia and 2.14% in Guatemala. Below is the historical data on under-five mortality rates.

Table

Year	Mortality rate before reaching 5 years of age, per 1,000 live births
	Ethiopia	Guatemala
1960	-	22.2%
1961	-	21.6%
1962	-	21.1%
1963	-	20.6%
1964	-	20.1%
1965	-	19.6%
1966	27.8%	19.1%
1967	24.9%	18.6%
1968	24.8%	18.1%
1969	24.8%	17.6%
1970	24.7%	17.1%
1971	24.7%	16.6%
1972	24.7%	16.1%
1973	24.6%	15.6%
1974	28.3%	15.1%
1975	28.2%	14.6%
1976	24.5%	16.5%
1977	24.5%	13.6%
1978	24.4%	13.2%
1979	24.2%	12.7%
1980	24%	12.2%
1981	23.8%	11.8%
1982	23.5%	13.6%
1983	32%	10.9%
1984	31.4%	10.5%
1985	30.3%	10%
1986	29.7%	9.6%
1987	21.5%	9.19%
1988	21%	8.79%
1989	20.6%	8.41%
1990	20.2%	8.04%
1991	19.7%	7.68%
1992	19.1%	7.34%
1993	18.5%	7.02%
1994	17.9%	6.71%
1995	17.2%	6.42%
1996	16.6%	6.15%
1997	15.9%	5.89%
1998	15.3%	5.65%
1999	14.7%	5.42%
2000	14%	5.21%
2001	13.4%	5%
2002	12.8%	4.8%
2003	12.1%	4.61%
2004	11.5%	4.43%
2005	10.9%	4.26%
2006	10.3%	4.1%
2007	9.74%	3.93%
2008	9.23%	3.78%
2009	8.76%	3.62%
2010	8.32%	3.48%
2011	7.91%	3.33%
2012	7.53%	3.2%
2013	7.16%	3.07%
2014	6.82%	2.94%
2015	6.49%	2.83%
2016	6.17%	2.72%
2017	5.89%	2.63%
2018	5.64%	2.54%
2019	5.41%	2.45%
2020	5.2%	2.37%
2021	5%	2.28%
2022	4.82%	2.21%
2023	4.65%	2.14%