Fertility & birth rates in Guatemala and Panama

Fertility rate in Guatemala vs Panama chart

According to the latest available data on birth rates, the fertility rate in Guatemala was 2.31 children per woman in 2023, compared to 2.12 in Panama in 2023. The replacement level is considered to be 2.1 children per woman.

Check Guatemala vs Panama population clock for a dynamic visualization of the changing population.

The chart below showcases historical changes in the birth rates.

Table

Year	Fertility rate
	Guatemala	Panama
1960	7	5.83
1961	6.98	5.87
1962	6.93	5.87
1963	6.9	5.87
1964	6.87	5.81
1965	6.84	5.73
1966	6.8	5.65
1967	6.76	5.53
1968	6.7	5.41
1969	6.65	5.29
1970	6.6	5.18
1971	6.55	5.05
1972	6.51	4.91
1973	6.49	4.74
1974	6.46	4.58
1975	6.41	4.41
1976	6.37	4.26
1977	6.32	4.12
1978	6.26	3.98
1979	6.22	3.88
1980	6.17	3.8
1981	6.12	3.72
1982	6.06	3.66
1983	5.98	3.6
1984	5.86	3.52
1985	5.73	3.43
1986	5.66	3.34
1987	5.64	3.25
1988	5.62	3.17
1989	5.56	3.12
1990	5.48	3.07
1991	5.38	3
1992	5.31	2.95
1993	5.25	2.91
1994	5.19	2.88
1995	5.11	2.85
1996	5.01	2.83
1997	4.91	2.81
1998	4.8	2.79
1999	4.69	2.77
2000	4.58	2.74
2001	4.5	2.72
2002	4.37	2.7
2003	4.25	2.68
2004	4.13	2.68
2005	3.97	2.64
2006	3.85	2.62
2007	3.72	2.61
2008	3.57	2.61
2009	3.47	2.59
2010	3.38	2.59
2011	3.29	2.6
2012	3.22	2.59
2013	3.15	2.57
2014	3.09	2.55
2015	3.03	2.53
2016	2.97	2.5
2017	2.86	2.46
2018	2.74	2.4
2019	2.59	2.29
2020	2.47	2.18
2021	2.39	2.15
2022	2.34	2.14
2023	2.31	2.12
2024	2.29	2.11
2025	2.26	2.09
2026	2.23	2.07
2027	2.2	2.06
2028	2.17	2.04
2029	2.15	2.02
2030	2.13	2.01
2031	2.11	2
2032	2.09	1.99
2033	2.08	1.97
2034	2.06	1.96
2035	2.05	1.95
2036	2.03	1.95
2037	2.02	1.94
2038	2	1.93
2039	1.99	1.92
2040	1.97	1.91
2041	1.96	1.91
2042	1.95	1.9
2043	1.93	1.89
2044	1.92	1.89
2045	1.92	1.88
2046	1.91	1.88
2047	1.9	1.87
2048	1.89	1.87
2049	1.89	1.86
2050	1.88	1.86

Children 0-14 years as share of population

Table

Year	Share of people 0-14 years old
	Guatemala	Panama
1960	46.7%	44.2%
1961	46.7%	44.3%
1962	46.8%	44.5%
1963	46.7%	44.6%
1964	46.6%	44.7%
1965	46.6%	44.8%
1966	46.5%	44.8%
1967	46.4%	44.8%
1968	46.2%	44.7%
1969	46.2%	44.6%
1970	46.1%	44.5%
1971	46%	44.3%
1972	46%	44.1%
1973	46%	43.9%
1974	45.9%	43.6%
1975	45.8%	43.3%
1976	45.7%	42.9%
1977	45.6%	42.4%
1978	45.6%	41.9%
1979	45.5%	41.4%
1980	45.5%	40.8%
1981	45.6%	40.3%
1982	45.6%	39.8%
1983	45.7%	39.3%
1984	45.7%	38.8%
1985	45.7%	38.3%
1986	45.7%	37.8%
1987	45.6%	37.4%
1988	45.6%	36.9%
1989	45.5%	36.5%
1990	45.4%	36.1%
1991	45.3%	35.7%
1992	45.2%	35.3%
1993	45.1%	34.9%
1994	44.9%	34.6%
1995	44.8%	34.2%
1996	44.7%	33.9%
1997	44.5%	33.5%
1998	44.3%	33.1%
1999	44.1%	32.8%
2000	43.8%	32.4%
2001	43.6%	32%
2002	43.3%	31.6%
2003	43%	31.3%
2004	42.5%	31%
2005	42.1%	30.6%
2006	41.6%	30.3%
2007	41%	30%
2008	40.5%	29.7%
2009	39.9%	29.5%
2010	39.3%	29.2%
2011	38.7%	28.9%
2012	38.1%	28.7%
2013	37.5%	28.4%
2014	36.9%	28.2%
2015	36.4%	27.9%
2016	35.9%	27.6%
2017	35.4%	27.4%
2018	34.9%	27.1%
2019	34.4%	26.7%
2020	33.8%	26.4%
2021	33.3%	26%
2022	32.7%	25.7%
2023	32.1%	25.3%
2024	31.6%	24.9%
2025	31%	24.5%
2026	30.5%	24.1%
2027	29.9%	23.8%
2028	29.4%	23.4%
2029	28.8%	23%
2030	28.3%	22.6%
2031	27.8%	22.2%
2032	27.3%	21.9%
2033	26.8%	21.6%
2034	26.4%	21.3%
2035	26%	21%
2036	25.7%	20.9%
2037	25.5%	20.7%
2038	25.2%	20.5%
2039	24.9%	20.3%
2040	24.6%	20.1%
2041	24.3%	20%
2042	24%	19.8%
2043	23.7%	19.6%
2044	23.4%	19.4%
2045	23.1%	19.3%
2046	22.8%	19.1%
2047	22.5%	18.9%
2048	22.2%	18.8%
2049	21.9%	18.6%
2050	21.6%	18.4%

Children aged 0-14 make up 31.6% of the population in Guatemala and 24.9% in Panama in 2024, compared to 45.4% and 36.1% respectively in 1990.

Demographics of Guatemala and Panama compared.

Natural population change in Guatemala vs Panama by year

For the past 10 years, the annual natural population change (excluding migration) has been +1.83% in Guatemala and +1.31% in Panama. The chart below illustrates the comparison of the absolute yearly changes resulting from births and deaths.

Table

Year	Population change due to births and deaths
	Guatemala	Panama
1960	120,728	35,431
1961	123,753	37,100
1962	126,429	38,537
1963	129,065	39,872
1964	132,832	40,806
1965	135,997	41,604
1966	140,494	42,457
1967	143,859	43,054
1968	146,946	43,641
1969	149,516	44,278
1970	155,946	45,075
1971	165,104	45,867
1972	173,162	46,311
1973	179,871	46,540
1974	184,992	46,932
1975	188,501	47,149
1976	171,903	47,307
1977	203,299	47,438
1978	211,301	47,694
1979	216,810	48,362
1980	218,460	49,077
1981	221,044	50,018
1982	199,809	50,858
1983	238,059	51,880
1984	241,892	52,436
1985	246,119	52,573
1986	252,754	52,681
1987	261,746	52,690
1988	271,466	52,767
1989	276,736	52,295
1990	280,318	53,451
1991	283,917	53,079
1992	288,411	53,186
1993	295,515	53,591
1994	302,708	53,845
1995	309,236	54,069
1996	315,252	54,512
1997	320,087	55,060
1998	325,174	55,482
1999	328,890	55,911
2000	332,891	56,236
2001	335,503	56,654
2002	334,255	57,011
2003	333,539	57,458
2004	331,699	58,281
2005	325,816	58,014
2006	325,604	58,067
2007	326,298	58,454
2008	323,226	58,961
2009	323,320	59,168
2010	324,802	59,418
2011	328,548	60,411
2012	332,365	60,471
2013	331,321	60,295
2014	333,551	60,227
2015	335,072	59,896
2016	338,114	59,454
2017	332,838	58,607
2018	323,100	57,508
2019	307,389	54,420
2020	281,328	46,599
2021	255,145	46,747
2022	281,675	50,556
2023	289,635	50,197

Maternal mortality chart: Guatemala vs Panama

The maternal mortality rate, which is the probability of dying during childbirth or within 42 days of pregnancy termination, is 94 deaths per 100,000 live births in Guatemala, compared to 37 deaths in Panama.

Table

Year	Maternal mortality per 100K births
	Guatemala	Panama
1985	301	95
1986	286	94
1987	277	93
1988	273	93
1989	271	96
1990	270	89
1991	268	87
1992	269	85
1993	262	81
1994	244	78
1995	229	77
1996	213	73
1997	198	70
1998	185	68
1999	174	65
2000	166	64
2001	162	62
2002	153	59
2003	150	58
2004	148	57
2005	153	57
2006	142	56
2007	135	55
2008	133	55
2009	130	55
2010	127	56
2011	120	55
2012	115	53
2013	111	52
2014	111	49
2015	112	48
2016	110	47
2017	107	47
2018	107	43
2019	106	41
2020	102	74
2021	125	59
2022	97	40
2023	94	37

Under-five mortality rates

The chance that a newborn baby will die before reaching age five is 2.14% in Guatemala and 1.33% in Panama. Below is the historical data on under-five mortality rates.

Table

Year	Mortality rate before reaching 5 years of age, per 1,000 live births
	Guatemala	Panama
1960	22.2%	9.31%
1961	21.6%	9.04%
1962	21.1%	8.78%
1963	20.6%	8.52%
1964	20.1%	8.28%
1965	19.6%	8.05%
1966	19.1%	7.83%
1967	18.6%	7.62%
1968	18.1%	7.38%
1969	17.6%	7.1%
1970	17.1%	6.78%
1971	16.6%	6.43%
1972	16.1%	6.07%
1973	15.6%	5.72%
1974	15.1%	5.41%
1975	14.6%	5.15%
1976	16.5%	4.93%
1977	13.6%	4.76%
1978	13.2%	4.61%
1979	12.7%	4.47%
1980	12.2%	4.34%
1981	11.8%	4.19%
1982	13.6%	4.05%
1983	10.9%	3.9%
1984	10.5%	3.75%
1985	10%	3.61%
1986	9.6%	3.47%
1987	9.19%	3.35%
1988	8.79%	3.24%
1989	8.41%	3.14%
1990	8.04%	3.05%
1991	7.68%	2.97%
1992	7.34%	2.91%
1993	7.02%	2.87%
1994	6.71%	2.83%
1995	6.42%	2.8%
1996	6.15%	2.77%
1997	5.89%	2.73%
1998	5.65%	2.68%
1999	5.42%	2.63%
2000	5.21%	2.56%
2001	5%	2.49%
2002	4.8%	2.41%
2003	4.61%	2.33%
2004	4.43%	2.25%
2005	4.26%	2.17%
2006	4.1%	2.1%
2007	3.93%	2.03%
2008	3.78%	1.97%
2009	3.62%	1.91%
2010	3.48%	1.86%
2011	3.33%	1.81%
2012	3.2%	1.77%
2013	3.07%	1.75%
2014	2.94%	1.73%
2015	2.83%	1.72%
2016	2.72%	1.7%
2017	2.63%	1.68%
2018	2.54%	1.65%
2019	2.45%	1.59%
2020	2.37%	1.52%
2021	2.28%	1.45%
2022	2.21%	1.39%
2023	2.14%	1.33%