Fertility & birth rates in Eritrea and Guatemala

Fertility rate in Eritrea vs Guatemala chart

According to the latest available data on birth rates, the fertility rate in Eritrea was 3.71 children per woman in 2023, compared to 2.31 in Guatemala in 2023. The replacement level is considered to be 2.1 children per woman.

Check Eritrea vs Guatemala population clock for a dynamic visualization of the changing population.

The chart below showcases historical changes in the birth rates.

Table

Year	Fertility rate
	Eritrea	Guatemala
1960	6.48	7
1961	6.47	6.98
1962	6.5	6.93
1963	6.48	6.9
1964	6.49	6.87
1965	6.49	6.84
1966	6.5	6.8
1967	6.5	6.76
1968	6.5	6.7
1969	6.5	6.65
1970	6.54	6.6
1971	6.54	6.55
1972	6.54	6.51
1973	6.55	6.49
1974	6.57	6.46
1975	6.59	6.41
1976	6.6	6.37
1977	6.61	6.32
1978	6.61	6.26
1979	6.62	6.22
1980	6.61	6.17
1981	6.62	6.12
1982	6.63	6.06
1983	6.65	5.98
1984	6.62	5.86
1985	6.59	5.73
1986	6.56	5.66
1987	6.52	5.64
1988	6.47	5.62
1989	6.41	5.56
1990	6.34	5.48
1991	6.24	5.38
1992	6.16	5.31
1993	6.07	5.25
1994	6.01	5.19
1995	5.94	5.11
1996	5.84	5.01
1997	5.74	4.91
1998	5.63	4.8
1999	5.52	4.69
2000	5.4	4.58
2001	5.31	4.5
2002	5.23	4.37
2003	5.14	4.25
2004	5.04	4.13
2005	4.93	3.97
2006	4.88	3.85
2007	4.81	3.72
2008	4.74	3.57
2009	4.66	3.47
2010	4.57	3.38
2011	4.49	3.29
2012	4.41	3.22
2013	4.34	3.15
2014	4.27	3.09
2015	4.22	3.03
2016	4.16	2.97
2017	4.11	2.86
2018	4.06	2.74
2019	4	2.59
2020	3.93	2.47
2021	3.87	2.39
2022	3.79	2.34
2023	3.71	2.31
2024	3.68	2.29
2025	3.61	2.26
2026	3.55	2.23
2027	3.49	2.2
2028	3.43	2.17
2029	3.38	2.15
2030	3.32	2.13
2031	3.27	2.11
2032	3.22	2.09
2033	3.18	2.08
2034	3.13	2.06
2035	3.09	2.05
2036	3.04	2.03
2037	3.01	2.02
2038	2.97	2
2039	2.93	1.99
2040	2.9	1.97
2041	2.86	1.96
2042	2.83	1.95
2043	2.8	1.93
2044	2.77	1.92
2045	2.74	1.92
2046	2.71	1.91
2047	2.68	1.9
2048	2.65	1.89
2049	2.63	1.89
2050	2.6	1.88

Children 0-14 years as share of population

Table

Year	Share of people 0-14 years old
	Eritrea	Guatemala
1960	41.5%	46.7%
1961	41.4%	46.7%
1962	41.4%	46.8%
1963	41.5%	46.7%
1964	41.6%	46.6%
1965	41.8%	46.6%
1966	42.1%	46.5%
1967	42.4%	46.4%
1968	42.8%	46.2%
1969	43%	46.2%
1970	43.3%	46.1%
1971	43.6%	46%
1972	43.8%	46%
1973	44%	46%
1974	44.1%	45.9%
1975	44.1%	45.8%
1976	44.2%	45.7%
1977	44.3%	45.6%
1978	44.3%	45.6%
1979	44.4%	45.5%
1980	44.4%	45.5%
1981	44.4%	45.6%
1982	44.4%	45.6%
1983	44.4%	45.7%
1984	44.2%	45.7%
1985	44.1%	45.7%
1986	44%	45.7%
1987	44%	45.6%
1988	44.2%	45.6%
1989	44.3%	45.5%
1990	44.5%	45.4%
1991	44.6%	45.3%
1992	44.7%	45.2%
1993	44.5%	45.1%
1994	44.4%	44.9%
1995	43.5%	44.8%
1996	42.9%	44.7%
1997	43.7%	44.5%
1998	44.4%	44.3%
1999	44.9%	44.1%
2000	45.2%	43.8%
2001	45%	43.6%
2002	44.4%	43.3%
2003	43.7%	43%
2004	43%	42.5%
2005	42.9%	42.1%
2006	43.1%	41.6%
2007	43.3%	41%
2008	43%	40.5%
2009	42.7%	39.9%
2010	42.6%	39.3%
2011	42.3%	38.7%
2012	42.1%	38.1%
2013	42%	37.5%
2014	42%	36.9%
2015	42.1%	36.4%
2016	42.1%	35.9%
2017	41.9%	35.4%
2018	41.5%	34.9%
2019	41%	34.4%
2020	40.4%	33.8%
2021	39.8%	33.3%
2022	39.2%	32.7%
2023	38.7%	32.1%
2024	38.1%	31.6%
2025	37.6%	31%
2026	37.1%	30.5%
2027	36.6%	29.9%
2028	36.3%	29.4%
2029	35.9%	28.8%
2030	35.7%	28.3%
2031	35.5%	27.8%
2032	35.3%	27.3%
2033	35.2%	26.8%
2034	35%	26.4%
2035	34.8%	26%
2036	34.7%	25.7%
2037	34.4%	25.5%
2038	34.2%	25.2%
2039	34%	24.9%
2040	33.7%	24.6%
2041	33.4%	24.3%
2042	33.1%	24%
2043	32.7%	23.7%
2044	32.3%	23.4%
2045	31.9%	23.1%
2046	31.5%	22.8%
2047	31.1%	22.5%
2048	30.7%	22.2%
2049	30.3%	21.9%
2050	29.9%	21.6%

Children aged 0-14 make up 38.1% of the population in Eritrea and 31.6% in Guatemala in 2024, compared to 44.5% and 45.4% respectively in 1990.

Demographics of Eritrea and Guatemala compared.

Natural population change in Eritrea vs Guatemala by year

For the past 10 years, the annual natural population change (excluding migration) has been +2.29% in Eritrea and +1.83% in Guatemala. The chart below illustrates the comparison of the absolute yearly changes resulting from births and deaths.

Table

Year	Population change due to births and deaths
	Eritrea	Guatemala
1960	21,424	120,728
1961	22,351	123,753
1962	23,478	126,429
1963	24,393	129,065
1964	25,327	132,832
1965	26,285	135,997
1966	24,713	140,494
1967	27,992	143,859
1968	28,777	146,946
1969	29,535	149,516
1970	30,686	155,946
1971	31,490	165,104
1972	30,951	173,162
1973	31,969	179,871
1974	30,111	184,992
1975	30,971	188,501
1976	36,250	171,903
1977	37,295	203,299
1978	38,353	211,301
1979	39,577	216,810
1980	41,392	218,460
1981	42,924	221,044
1982	44,146	199,809
1983	33,420	238,059
1984	35,101	241,892
1985	37,362	246,119
1986	39,470	252,754
1987	52,229	261,746
1988	54,163	271,466
1989	54,299	276,736
1990	56,903	280,318
1991	57,741	283,917
1992	51,443	288,411
1993	51,679	295,515
1994	56,288	302,708
1995	56,157	309,236
1996	66,557	315,252
1997	63,953	320,087
1998	55,332	325,174
1999	45,120	328,890
2000	60,274	332,891
2001	61,180	335,503
2002	65,436	334,255
2003	66,291	333,539
2004	72,147	331,699
2005	72,930	325,816
2006	74,470	325,604
2007	73,101	326,298
2008	73,391	323,226
2009	76,206	323,320
2010	76,098	324,802
2011	76,806	328,548
2012	76,416	332,365
2013	75,562	331,321
2014	75,729	333,551
2015	73,682	335,072
2016	73,002	338,114
2017	72,291	332,838
2018	72,511	323,100
2019	73,572	307,389
2020	73,362	281,328
2021	74,394	255,145
2022	76,221	281,675
2023	78,073	289,635

Maternal mortality chart: Eritrea vs Guatemala

The maternal mortality rate, which is the probability of dying during childbirth or within 42 days of pregnancy termination, is 291 deaths per 100,000 live births in Eritrea, compared to 94 deaths in Guatemala.

Table

Year	Maternal mortality per 100K births
	Eritrea	Guatemala
1985	1,678	301
1986	1,625	286
1987	1,555	277
1988	1,499	273
1989	1,473	271
1990	1,352	270
1991	1,384	268
1992	1,149	269
1993	1,040	262
1994	998	244
1995	854	229
1996	878	213
1997	817	198
1998	865	185
1999	734	174
2000	741	166
2001	651	162
2002	636	153
2003	588	150
2004	588	148
2005	567	153
2006	555	142
2007	541	135
2008	530	133
2009	515	130
2010	498	127
2011	478	120
2012	458	115
2013	443	111
2014	430	111
2015	413	112
2016	395	110
2017	379	107
2018	363	107
2019	351	106
2020	334	102
2021	338	125
2022	301	97
2023	291	94

Under-five mortality rates

The chance that a newborn baby will die before reaching age five is 3.54% in Eritrea and 2.14% in Guatemala. Below is the historical data on under-five mortality rates.

Table

Year	Mortality rate before reaching 5 years of age, per 1,000 live births
	Eritrea	Guatemala
1960	-	22.2%
1961	-	21.6%
1962	-	21.1%
1963	-	20.6%
1964	-	20.1%
1965	-	19.6%
1966	-	19.1%
1967	-	18.6%
1968	-	18.1%
1969	-	17.6%
1970	-	17.1%
1971	-	16.6%
1972	-	16.1%
1973	-	15.6%
1974	25.6%	15.1%
1975	25%	14.6%
1976	20.8%	16.5%
1977	20.4%	13.6%
1978	20%	13.2%
1979	19.7%	12.7%
1980	19.4%	12.2%
1981	19.1%	11.8%
1982	18.8%	13.6%
1983	27.8%	10.9%
1984	27.2%	10.5%
1985	26.2%	10%
1986	25.6%	9.6%
1987	17.1%	9.19%
1988	16.6%	8.79%
1989	16%	8.41%
1990	15.4%	8.04%
1991	14.7%	7.68%
1992	13.9%	7.34%
1993	13.1%	7.02%
1994	12.3%	6.71%
1995	11.5%	6.42%
1996	10.8%	6.15%
1997	10.1%	5.89%
1998	9.51%	5.65%
1999	10.9%	5.42%
2000	8.53%	5.21%
2001	8.11%	5%
2002	7.73%	4.8%
2003	7.38%	4.61%
2004	7.05%	4.43%
2005	6.75%	4.26%
2006	6.46%	4.1%
2007	6.19%	3.93%
2008	5.94%	3.78%
2009	5.71%	3.62%
2010	5.5%	3.48%
2011	5.31%	3.33%
2012	5.12%	3.2%
2013	4.94%	3.07%
2014	4.78%	2.94%
2015	4.61%	2.83%
2016	4.46%	2.72%
2017	4.32%	2.63%
2018	4.17%	2.54%
2019	4.03%	2.45%
2020	3.91%	2.37%
2021	3.79%	2.28%
2022	3.66%	2.21%
2023	3.54%	2.14%