Fertility & birth rates in Guatemala and South Africa

Fertility rate in Guatemala vs South Africa by year

Chart Table

Guatemala

South Africa

1x

Year	Fertility rate
	Guatemala	South Africa
2023	2.31	2.22
2022	2.34	2.23
2021	2.39	2.25
2020	2.47	2.26
2019	2.59	2.26
2018	2.74	2.27
2017	2.86	2.28
2016	2.97	2.26
2015	3.03	2.36
2014	3.09	2.42
2013	3.15	2.43
2012	3.22	2.45
2011	3.29	2.44
2010	3.38	2.44
2009	3.47	2.5
2008	3.57	2.68
2007	3.72	2.55
2006	3.85	2.55
2005	3.97	2.51
2004	4.13	2.44
2003	4.25	2.36
2002	4.37	2.32
2001	4.5	2.37
2000	4.58	2.41
1999	4.69	2.56
1998	4.8	2.63
1997	4.91	2.73
1996	5.01	2.99
1995	5.11	3.17
1994	5.19	3.26
1993	5.25	3.37
1992	5.31	3.48
1991	5.38	3.62
1990	5.48	3.72
1989	5.56	3.98
1988	5.62	4.18
1987	5.64	4.35
1986	5.66	4.41
1985	5.73	4.5
1984	5.86	4.57
1983	5.98	4.63
1982	6.06	4.7
1981	6.12	4.71
1980	6.17	4.78
1979	6.22	4.82
1978	6.26	4.85
1977	6.32	4.94
1976	6.37	5.07
1975	6.41	5.19
1974	6.46	5.3
1973	6.49	5.41
1972	6.51	5.49
1971	6.55	5.57
1970	6.6	5.63
1969	6.65	5.72
1968	6.7	5.78
1967	6.76	5.85
1966	6.8	5.91
1965	6.84	5.89
1964	6.87	5.96
1963	6.9	6.01
1962	6.93	6.05
1961	6.98	6.08
1960	7	6.11

According to the latest available data on birth rates, the fertility rate in Guatemala was 2.31 children per woman in 2023, compared to 2.22 in South Africa in 2023. The replacement level is considered to be 2.1 children per woman.

Check Guatemala vs South Africa population clock for a dynamic visualization of the changing population.

Natural population change by year

Chart Table

Guatemala

South Africa

1x

Year	Natural population change
	Guatemala	South Africa
2023	289,635	602,793
2022	281,675	603,636
2021	255,145	456,411
2020	281,328	595,873
2019	307,389	652,130
2018	323,100	648,319
2017	332,838	645,975
2016	338,114	641,365
2015	335,072	668,771
2014	333,551	674,754
2013	331,321	652,427
2012	332,365	643,723
2011	328,548	601,708
2010	324,802	566,834
2009	323,320	554,115
2008	323,226	595,332
2007	326,298	503,567
2006	325,604	487,584
2005	325,816	464,464
2004	331,699	442,540
2003	333,539	415,018
2002	334,255	430,926
2001	335,503	484,801
2000	332,891	526,963
1999	328,890	594,643
1998	325,174	627,027
1997	320,087	667,969
1996	315,252	710,868
1995	309,236	743,488
1994	302,708	698,609
1993	295,515	789,220
1992	288,411	794,415
1991	283,917	827,296
1990	280,318	835,421
1989	276,736	884,629
1988	271,466	909,221
1987	261,746	922,330
1986	252,754	903,644
1985	246,119	893,889
1984	241,892	869,011
1983	238,059	837,013
1982	199,809	807,550
1981	221,044	767,833
1980	218,460	738,415
1979	216,810	716,541
1978	211,301	694,341
1977	203,299	680,929
1976	171,903	675,011
1975	188,501	667,862
1974	184,992	658,438
1973	179,871	651,596
1972	173,162	638,754
1971	165,104	624,761
1970	155,946	605,102
1969	149,516	590,794
1968	146,946	571,841
1967	143,859	553,741
1966	140,494	534,862
1965	135,997	506,632
1964	132,832	490,606
1963	129,065	473,821
1962	126,429	455,634
1961	123,753	437,851
1960	120,728	421,263

The chart above illustrates the comparison of the absolute yearly changes in population resulting from births and deaths.

Excluding migration, the natural population change due to births and deaths from 2022 to 2023 was +1.6% in Guatemala and +0.95% in South Africa.

For the past 10 years, the annual natural population change has been +1.83% in Guatemala and +1.05% in South Africa.

Birth rate in Guatemala vs South Africa by year

Chart Table

Guatemala

South Africa

Annual births per 1,000 people

1x

Year	Annual births per 1,000 people
	Guatemala	South Africa
2023	20.8	18.8
2022	21.1	19.1
2021	21.4	19.4
2020	22	19.5
2019	23.1	19.7
2018	24.3	19.9
2017	25.2	20
2016	26	20.3
2015	26.2	21
2014	26.5	21.8
2013	26.7	21.9
2012	27.2	22.1
2011	27.5	22.1
2010	27.8	22.2
2009	28.2	22.8
2008	28.7	24.3
2007	29.4	23.1
2006	30	23.1
2005	30.8	22.7
2004	31.7	22.1
2003	32.5	21.4
2002	33.3	20.9
2001	34.2	21.3
2000	34.7	21.6
1999	35.2	22.7
1998	35.9	23.2
1997	36.5	23.9
1996	37.1	24.9
1995	37.8	25.6
1994	38.2	24.6
1993	38.6	26.6
1992	38.9	27
1991	39.3	28.1
1990	39.8	28.7
1989	40.3	30.6
1988	40.7	32
1987	40.7	33.2
1986	40.8	33.6
1985	41.1	34.2
1984	41.9	34.5
1983	42.8	34.6
1982	43.2	34.8
1981	43.4	34.6
1980	43.6	34.7
1979	43.6	34.9
1978	43.7	35.1
1977	43.9	35.6
1976	44	36.3
1975	44.1	37
1974	44.1	37.7
1973	44.2	38.4
1972	44.4	38.9
1971	44.7	39.3
1970	44.9	39.4
1969	45.1	39.7
1968	45.3	39.8
1967	45.6	39.9
1966	46	40
1965	46.2	39.5
1964	46.5	39.6
1963	46.9	39.7
1962	47.4	39.7
1961	48	39.7
1960	48.5	39.8

The latest reported birth rate per 1,000 people in 2023 was 20.8 in Guatemala and 18.8 in South Africa, compared with 48.5 and 39.8, respectively, in 1960.

Children 0-14 years as share of population

Chart Table

Guatemala

Factual

UN forecast

South Africa

Factual

UN forecast

1x

Year	Young
	Guatemala	South Africa
2100	14.9%	17.9%
2099	14.9%	18%
2098	15%	18%
2097	15%	18.1%
2096	15.1%	18.1%
2095	15.1%	18.2%
2094	15.2%	18.2%
2093	15.3%	18.3%
2092	15.3%	18.3%
2091	15.4%	18.4%
2090	15.5%	18.4%
2089	15.5%	18.5%
2088	15.6%	18.5%
2087	15.7%	18.6%
2086	15.8%	18.6%
2085	15.9%	18.7%
2084	15.9%	18.7%
2083	16%	18.8%
2082	16.1%	18.9%
2081	16.2%	18.9%
2080	16.3%	19%
2079	16.5%	19%
2078	16.6%	19.1%
2077	16.7%	19.2%
2076	16.8%	19.3%
2075	16.9%	19.3%
2074	17%	19.4%
2073	17.2%	19.5%
2072	17.3%	19.6%
2071	17.4%	19.6%
2070	17.6%	19.7%
2069	17.7%	19.8%
2068	17.9%	19.9%
2067	18%	20%
2066	18.2%	20.1%
2065	18.3%	20.2%
2064	18.5%	20.3%
2063	18.7%	20.4%
2062	18.9%	20.5%
2061	19%	20.6%
2060	19.2%	20.7%
2059	19.4%	20.8%
2058	19.7%	20.9%
2057	19.9%	21%
2056	20.1%	21.1%
2055	20.4%	21.1%
2054	20.6%	21.2%
2053	20.9%	21.3%
2052	21.2%	21.4%
2051	21.5%	21.5%
2050	21.8%	21.6%
2049	22.1%	21.7%
2048	22.4%	21.8%
2047	22.7%	21.9%
2046	23%	22%
2045	23.3%	22.1%
2044	23.6%	22.3%
2043	23.9%	22.4%
2042	24.2%	22.6%
2041	24.5%	22.8%
2040	24.8%	23%
2039	25%	23.3%
2038	25.3%	23.5%
2037	25.6%	23.7%
2036	25.9%	24.1%
2035	26.2%	24.4%
2034	26.6%	24.7%
2033	27%	24.9%
2032	27.5%	25%
2031	28%	25.1%
2030	28.6%	25.2%
2029	29.1%	25.3%
2028	29.7%	25.4%
2027	30.2%	25.5%
2026	30.8%	25.6%
2025	31.3%	25.8%
2024	31.6%	25.9%
2023	32.1%	26.1%
2022	32.7%	26.3%
2021	33.3%	26.6%
2020	33.8%	27%
2019	34.4%	27.4%
2018	34.9%	27.9%
2017	35.4%	28.3%
2016	35.9%	28.3%
2015	36.4%	28.3%
2014	36.9%	28.5%
2013	37.5%	28.7%
2012	38.1%	28.9%
2011	38.7%	29.1%
2010	39.3%	29.4%
2009	39.9%	29.7%
2008	40.5%	29.9%
2007	41%	30.2%
2006	41.6%	30.6%
2005	42.1%	31.1%
2004	42.5%	31.6%
2003	43%	32.3%
2002	43.3%	33.2%
2001	43.6%	34%
2000	43.8%	34.9%
1999	44.1%	35.7%
1998	44.3%	36.5%
1997	44.5%	37.2%
1996	44.7%	37.5%
1995	44.8%	37.5%
1994	44.9%	37.2%
1993	45.1%	37.3%
1992	45.2%	37.6%
1991	45.3%	37.5%
1990	45.4%	37.7%
1989	45.5%	38.1%
1988	45.6%	38.4%
1987	45.6%	38.7%
1986	45.7%	38.9%
1985	45.7%	39.2%
1984	45.7%	39.5%
1983	45.7%	39.8%
1982	45.6%	40.1%
1981	45.6%	40.5%
1980	45.5%	40.9%
1979	45.5%	41.3%
1978	45.6%	41.5%
1977	45.6%	41.7%
1976	45.7%	41.8%
1975	45.8%	41.9%
1974	45.9%	42%
1973	46%	42.1%
1972	46%	42.2%
1971	46%	42.2%
1970	46.1%	42.3%
1969	46.2%	42.2%
1968	46.2%	42.2%
1967	46.4%	42.2%
1966	46.5%	42.1%
1965	46.6%	42.1%
1964	46.6%	42.1%
1963	46.7%	42.1%
1962	46.8%	42.1%
1961	46.7%	42.1%
1960	46.7%	42.1%

Children aged 0-14 make up 31.6% of the population in Guatemala and 25.9% in South Africa in 2024, compared to 45.4% and 37.7% respectively in 1990.

Demographics of Guatemala and South Africa compared.

Maternal mortality chart: Guatemala vs South Africa

Chart Table

Guatemala

South Africa

1x

Year	Maternal mortality per 100K births
	Guatemala	South Africa
2023	94	118
2022	97	129
2021	125	191
2020	102	118
2019	106	119
2018	107	128
2017	107	134
2016	110	141
2015	112	150
2014	111	162
2013	111	180
2012	115	194
2011	120	202
2010	127	226
2009	130	241
2008	133	272
2007	135	272
2006	142	283
2005	153	279
2004	148	259
2003	150	245
2002	153	225
2001	162	192
2000	166	175
1999	174	151
1998	185	152
1997	198	152
1996	213	150
1995	229	125
1994	244	133
1993	262	145
1992	269	152
1991	268	162
1990	270	170
1989	271	177
1988	273	184
1987	277	192
1986	286	200
1985	301	208

The maternal mortality rate, which is the probability of dying during childbirth or within 42 days of pregnancy termination, is 94 deaths per 100,000 live births in Guatemala, compared to 118 deaths in South Africa.

Under-five mortality rates

Chart Table

Guatemala

South Africa

Probability that a newborn baby will die before reaching age five

1x

Year	Under 5 mortality rate
	Guatemala	South Africa
2023	2.14%	3.47%
2022	2.21%	3.44%
2021	2.28%	3.41%
2020	2.37%	3.41%
2019	2.45%	3.45%
2018	2.54%	3.49%
2017	2.63%	3.58%
2016	2.72%	3.68%
2015	2.83%	3.82%
2014	2.94%	3.96%
2013	3.07%	4.1%
2012	3.2%	4.25%
2011	3.33%	4.5%
2010	3.48%	5%
2009	3.62%	5.7%
2008	3.78%	6.42%
2007	3.93%	7.19%
2006	4.1%	7.75%
2005	4.26%	8.03%
2004	4.43%	8.1%
2003	4.61%	7.93%
2002	4.8%	7.69%
2001	5%	7.43%
2000	5.21%	7.11%
1999	5.42%	6.85%
1998	5.65%	6.56%
1997	5.89%	6.29%
1996	6.15%	6.11%
1995	6.42%	5.95%
1994	6.71%	5.82%
1993	7.02%	5.7%
1992	7.34%	5.66%
1991	7.68%	5.7%
1990	8.04%	5.82%
1989	8.41%	6.01%
1988	8.79%	6.26%
1987	9.19%	6.56%
1986	9.6%	6.89%
1985	10%	7.24%
1984	10.5%	7.6%
1983	10.9%	7.98%
1982	13.6%	8.39%
1981	11.8%	8.84%
1980	12.2%	9.35%
1979	12.7%	9.88%
1978	13.2%	10.5%
1977	13.6%	11.1%
1976	16.5%	11.8%
1975	14.6%	12.5%
1974	15.1%	13.2%
1973	15.6%	-
1972	16.1%	-
1971	16.6%	-
1970	17.1%	-
1969	17.6%	-
1968	18.1%	-
1967	18.6%	-
1966	19.1%	-
1965	19.6%	-
1964	20.1%	-
1963	20.6%	-
1962	21.1%	-
1961	21.6%	-
1960	22.2%	-

The chance that a newborn baby will die before reaching age five is 2.14% in Guatemala and 3.47% in South Africa. Above is a chart with historical data on under-five mortality rates.