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Fertility & birth rates in South Africa and Tonga

Updated on by Georank team

South Africa has an annual birth rate of 18.8 births per 1,000 people, compared to 23.1 for Tonga. The average number of children a woman is expected to have during her lifetime — the fertility rate, is 2.22 in South Africa and 3.13 in Tonga — 41.2% difference.

1960 vs 2023, the fertility rate has decreased by 63.7% in South Africa and by 53% in Tonga — in 1960, it was 6.11 and 6.65, respectively.

  • South Africa is ranked 82/196 by birth rate compared to 58/196 for Tonga.
  • The mean age at childbearing (for all the births, not just the first) is 28.3 in South Africa — it's 29.9 in Tonga.
  • Annual births per 1,000 women ages 15-19 (adolescent birth rate or teenage mother rate) is 51.6 in South Africa vs 24.8 in Tonga.
  • In South Africa, 27.8% of the population is composed of women of reproductive age (15-49), compared to 25.6% in Tonga.

Fertility rate in South Africa vs Tonga by year

South Africa
Tonga
1x
Year Fertility rate
South Africa Tonga
2023 2.22 3.13
2022 2.23 3.17
2021 2.25 3.2
2020 2.26 3.23
2019 2.26 3.27
2018 2.27 3.33
2017 2.28 3.39
2016 2.26 3.46
2015 2.36 3.54
2014 2.42 3.62
2013 2.43 3.7
2012 2.45 3.77
2011 2.44 3.83
2010 2.44 3.88
2009 2.5 3.95
2008 2.68 4.01
2007 2.55 4.09
2006 2.55 4.14
2005 2.51 4.2
2004 2.44 4.19
2003 2.36 4.18
2002 2.32 4.14
2001 2.37 4.13
2000 2.41 4.16
1999 2.56 4.23
1998 2.63 4.31
1997 2.73 4.38
1996 2.99 4.46
1995 3.17 4.56
1994 3.26 4.66
1993 3.37 4.73
1992 3.48 4.79
1991 3.62 4.85
1990 3.72 4.93
1989 3.98 5.01
1988 4.18 5.1
1987 4.35 5.19
1986 4.41 5.27
1985 4.5 5.34
1984 4.57 5.41
1983 4.63 5.45
1982 4.7 5.5
1981 4.71 5.55
1980 4.78 5.6
1979 4.82 5.65
1978 4.85 5.68
1977 4.94 5.7
1976 5.07 5.73
1975 5.19 5.75
1974 5.3 5.77
1973 5.41 5.8
1972 5.49 5.86
1971 5.57 5.96
1970 5.63 6.07
1969 5.72 6.17
1968 5.78 6.23
1967 5.85 6.29
1966 5.91 6.35
1965 5.89 6.41
1964 5.96 6.46
1963 6.01 6.52
1962 6.05 6.57
1961 6.08 6.61
1960 6.11 6.65

Data sources: World Bank | Health (1960–2023, retrieved 2026-04-06).

GeoRank.org/birth-rate/south-africa/tonga | CC BY

According to the latest available data on birth rates, the fertility rate in South Africa was 2.22 children per woman in 2023, compared to 3.13 in Tonga in 2023. The replacement level is considered to be 2.1 children per woman.

Check South Africa vs Tonga population clock for a dynamic visualization of the changing population.

Natural population change by year

South Africa
Tonga
1x
Year Natural population change
South Africa Tonga
2023 602,793 1,744
2022 603,636 1,772
2021 456,411 1,773
2020 595,873 1,816
2019 652,130 1,841
2018 648,319 1,873
2017 645,975 1,912
2016 641,365 1,989
2015 668,771 2,064
2014 674,754 2,135
2013 652,427 2,199
2012 643,723 2,255
2011 601,708 2,298
2010 566,834 2,332
2009 554,115 2,358
2008 595,332 2,397
2007 503,567 2,423
2006 487,584 2,459
2005 464,464 2,495
2004 442,540 2,478
2003 415,018 2,448
2002 430,926 2,396
2001 484,801 2,358
2000 526,963 2,346
1999 594,643 2,352
1998 627,027 2,344
1997 667,969 2,332
1996 710,868 2,393
1995 743,488 2,476
1994 698,609 2,547
1993 789,220 2,594
1992 794,415 2,622
1991 827,296 2,637
1990 835,421 2,641
1989 884,629 2,644
1988 909,221 2,649
1987 922,330 2,646
1986 903,644 2,704
1985 893,889 2,762
1984 869,011 2,814
1983 837,013 2,840
1982 807,550 2,853
1981 767,833 2,882
1980 738,415 2,885
1979 716,541 2,884
1978 694,341 2,862
1977 680,929 2,822
1976 675,011 2,769
1975 667,862 2,709
1974 658,438 2,650
1973 651,596 2,617
1972 638,754 2,605
1971 624,761 2,611
1970 605,102 2,628
1969 590,794 2,632
1968 571,841 2,614
1967 553,741 2,603
1966 534,862 2,550
1965 506,632 2,498
1964 490,606 2,445
1963 473,821 2,394
1962 455,634 2,343
1961 437,851 2,284
1960 421,263 2,230

Data sources: World Bank | Health (1960–2023, retrieved 2026-04-06).

GeoRank.org/birth-rate/south-africa/tonga | CC BY

The chart above illustrates the comparison of the absolute yearly changes in population resulting from births and deaths.

Excluding migration, the natural population change due to births and deaths from 2022 to 2023 was +0.95% in South Africa and +1.67% in Tonga.

For the past 10 years, the annual natural population change has been +1.05% in South Africa and +1.79% in Tonga.

Birth rate in South Africa vs Tonga by year

South Africa
Tonga

Annual births per 1,000 people

1x
Year Annual births per 1,000 people
South Africa Tonga
2023 18.8 23.1
2022 19.1 23.4
2021 19.4 23.5
2020 19.5 23.6
2019 19.7 23.8
2018 19.9 24.1
2017 20 24.5
2016 20.3 25.2
2015 21 25.8
2014 21.8 26.4
2013 21.9 26.9
2012 22.1 27.3
2011 22.1 27.7
2010 22.2 28
2009 22.8 28.4
2008 24.3 28.7
2007 23.1 29
2006 23.1 29.5
2005 22.7 30
2004 22.1 30
2003 21.4 29.9
2002 20.9 29.5
2001 21.3 29.4
2000 21.6 29.4
1999 22.7 29.6
1998 23.2 29.7
1997 23.9 29.8
1996 24.9 30.6
1995 25.6 31.4
1994 24.6 32.2
1993 26.6 32.7
1992 27 33
1991 28.1 33.2
1990 28.7 33.3
1989 30.6 33.4
1988 32 33.5
1987 33.2 33.7
1986 33.6 34.4
1985 34.2 34.9
1984 34.5 35.4
1983 34.6 35.6
1982 34.8 35.8
1981 34.6 36
1980 34.7 36.1
1979 34.9 36.1
1978 35.1 36
1977 35.6 35.7
1976 36.3 35.6
1975 37 35.8
1974 37.7 36
1973 38.4 36.5
1972 38.9 37
1971 39.3 37.8
1970 39.4 38.8
1969 39.7 39.6
1968 39.8 40.3
1967 39.9 41
1966 40 41.4
1965 39.5 41.9
1964 39.6 42.4
1963 39.7 42.9
1962 39.7 43.4
1961 39.7 43.9
1960 39.8 44.3

Data sources: World Bank | Health (1960–2023, retrieved 2026-04-06).

GeoRank.org/birth-rate/south-africa/tonga | CC BY

The latest reported birth rate per 1,000 people in 2023 was 18.8 in South Africa and 23.1 in Tonga, compared with 39.8 and 44.3, respectively, in 1960.

Birth rate data compared

South Africa Tonga
Fertility rate 2.22 3.13
Fertility rate rank 89/196 54/196
Birth rate 18.8 23.1
Birth rate rank 82/196 58/196
Population change due to births and deaths +602,793 +1,744
Natural population change rank 33/196 137/196
Natural population change rate +0.95% +1.67%
Population growth +1.26% -0.4%
Population growth rank 85/197 183/197
Age at first childbirth n/a 24.9 years
Average age at childbearing 28.3 years 29.9 years
Annual births per 1,000 women ages 15-19 51.8 25
Annual births per 1,000 women ages 20-29 106.1 144.7
Annual births per 1,000 women ages 30+ 27.1 40.5
Female of reproductive age (15-49), share of population 27.8% 25.6%
Any modern method of contraceptive prevalence among married women ages 15-49 54% 25.2%
Share of births attended by skilled health staff 96.7% 98.3%
Maternal mortality per live birth 0.12% 0.07%
Neonatal mortality rate (before reaching 28 days of age) 1.17% 0.43%
Infant mortality rate (before reaching 1 year of age) 2.44% 0.8%
Mortality rate before reaching 5 years of age 3.47% 0.99%
Life expectancy 66.7 years 73.4 years

Children 0-14 years as share of population

South Africa
Factual

UN forecast
Tonga
Factual

UN forecast
1x
Year Young
South Africa Tonga
2100 17.9% 17.5%
2099 18% 17.6%
2098 18% 17.7%
2097 18.1% 17.7%
2096 18.1% 17.9%
2095 18.2% 18%
2094 18.2% 18.1%
2093 18.3% 18.3%
2092 18.3% 18.4%
2091 18.4% 18.6%
2090 18.4% 18.8%
2089 18.5% 19%
2088 18.5% 19.3%
2087 18.6% 19.5%
2086 18.6% 19.7%
2085 18.7% 20%
2084 18.7% 20.2%
2083 18.8% 20.4%
2082 18.9% 20.7%
2081 18.9% 20.9%
2080 19% 21.1%
2079 19% 21.3%
2078 19.1% 21.5%
2077 19.2% 21.7%
2076 19.3% 21.9%
2075 19.3% 22%
2074 19.4% 22.2%
2073 19.5% 22.3%
2072 19.6% 22.4%
2071 19.6% 22.6%
2070 19.7% 22.7%
2069 19.8% 22.8%
2068 19.9% 23%
2067 20% 23.2%
2066 20.1% 23.4%
2065 20.2% 23.6%
2064 20.3% 23.8%
2063 20.4% 24.1%
2062 20.5% 24.4%
2061 20.6% 24.7%
2060 20.7% 25%
2059 20.8% 25.4%
2058 20.9% 25.8%
2057 21% 26.2%
2056 21.1% 26.6%
2055 21.1% 27%
2054 21.2% 27.4%
2053 21.3% 27.8%
2052 21.4% 28.2%
2051 21.5% 28.5%
2050 21.6% 28.9%
2049 21.7% 29.1%
2048 21.8% 29.4%
2047 21.9% 29.6%
2046 22% 29.7%
2045 22.1% 29.8%
2044 22.3% 29.9%
2043 22.4% 30%
2042 22.6% 30.1%
2041 22.8% 30.1%
2040 23% 30.2%
2039 23.3% 30.2%
2038 23.5% 30.3%
2037 23.7% 30.4%
2036 24.1% 30.6%
2035 24.4% 30.7%
2034 24.7% 30.9%
2033 24.9% 31.1%
2032 25% 31.4%
2031 25.1% 31.8%
2030 25.2% 32.3%
2029 25.3% 33%
2028 25.4% 33.6%
2027 25.5% 34.1%
2026 25.6% 34.6%
2025 25.8% 35.2%
2024 25.9% 35.4%
2023 26.1% 35.6%
2022 26.3% 35.6%
2021 26.6% 35.7%
2020 27% 35.8%
2019 27.4% 36%
2018 27.9% 36.2%
2017 28.3% 36.4%
2016 28.3% 36.5%
2015 28.3% 36.7%
2014 28.5% 36.9%
2013 28.7% 37.1%
2012 28.9% 37.2%
2011 29.1% 37.4%
2010 29.4% 37.6%
2009 29.7% 37.8%
2008 29.9% 38%
2007 30.2% 38.3%
2006 30.6% 38.3%
2005 31.1% 38.3%
2004 31.6% 38.2%
2003 32.3% 38.1%
2002 33.2% 38.1%
2001 34% 38.2%
2000 34.9% 38.3%
1999 35.7% 38.6%
1998 36.5% 38.9%
1997 37.2% 39.3%
1996 37.5% 39.7%
1995 37.5% 39.9%
1994 37.2% 40.1%
1993 37.3% 40.3%
1992 37.6% 40.5%
1991 37.5% 40.6%
1990 37.7% 40.8%
1989 38.1% 40.9%
1988 38.4% 41.2%
1987 38.7% 41.5%
1986 38.9% 41.7%
1985 39.2% 42%
1984 39.5% 42.4%
1983 39.8% 42.9%
1982 40.1% 43.4%
1981 40.5% 43.9%
1980 40.9% 44.3%
1979 41.3% 44.8%
1978 41.5% 45.3%
1977 41.7% 45.8%
1976 41.8% 46.1%
1975 41.9% 46.2%
1974 42% 46.2%
1973 42.1% 46.2%
1972 42.2% 46.3%
1971 42.2% 46.4%
1970 42.3% 46.4%
1969 42.2% 46.3%
1968 42.2% 46.2%
1967 42.2% 46%
1966 42.1% 45.9%
1965 42.1% 45.9%
1964 42.1% 45.9%
1963 42.1% 45.9%
1962 42.1% 45.8%
1961 42.1% 45.7%
1960 42.1% 45.7%

Data sources: World Bank | Health (1960–2024, retrieved 2026-04-06); United Nations | World Population Prospects (2025–2100, retrieved 2026-03-10).

GeoRank.org/birth-rate/south-africa/tonga | CC BY

Children aged 0-14 make up 25.9% of the population in South Africa and 35.4% in Tonga in 2024, compared to 37.7% and 40.8% respectively in 1990.

Demographics of South Africa and Tonga compared.

Fertility rates around the globe

1x

Data sources: World Bank | Health (1960–2023, retrieved 2026-04-06).

GeoRank.org/birth-rate/south-africa/tonga | CC BY

Maternal mortality chart: South Africa vs Tonga

South Africa
Tonga
1x
Year Maternal mortality per 100K births
South Africa Tonga
2023 118 67
2022 129 72
2021 191 76
2020 118 74
2019 119 73
2018 128 74
2017 134 77
2016 141 78
2015 150 79
2014 162 80
2013 180 80
2012 194 83
2011 202 84
2010 226 85
2009 241 91
2008 272 88
2007 272 88
2006 283 89
2005 279 92
2004 259 92
2003 245 95
2002 225 98
2001 192 98
2000 175 100
1999 151 99
1998 152 104
1997 152 111
1996 150 113
1995 125 117
1994 133 123
1993 145 127
1992 152 129
1991 162 134
1990 170 138
1989 177 139
1988 184 145
1987 192 147
1986 200 149
1985 208 148

Data sources: World Bank | Gender (1985–2023, retrieved 2026-04-06).

GeoRank.org/birth-rate/south-africa/tonga | CC BY

The maternal mortality rate, which is the probability of dying during childbirth or within 42 days of pregnancy termination, is 118 deaths per 100,000 live births in South Africa, compared to 67 deaths in Tonga.

Under-five mortality rates

South Africa
Tonga

Probability that a newborn baby will die before reaching age five

1x
Year Under 5 mortality rate
South Africa Tonga
2023 3.47% 0.99%
2022 3.44% 1.02%
2021 3.41% 1.05%
2020 3.41% 1.08%
2019 3.45% 1.1%
2018 3.49% 1.12%
2017 3.58% 1.15%
2016 3.68% 1.17%
2015 3.82% 1.19%
2014 3.96% 1.22%
2013 4.1% 1.24%
2012 4.25% 1.26%
2011 4.5% 1.29%
2010 5% 1.31%
2009 5.7% 1.34%
2008 6.42% 1.37%
2007 7.19% 1.41%
2006 7.75% 1.44%
2005 8.03% 1.48%
2004 8.1% 1.52%
2003 7.93% 1.56%
2002 7.69% 1.61%
2001 7.43% 1.65%
2000 7.11% 1.7%
1999 6.85% 1.74%
1998 6.56% 1.78%
1997 6.29% 1.81%
1996 6.11% 1.85%
1995 5.95% 1.89%
1994 5.82% 1.94%
1993 5.7% 2%
1992 5.66% 2.06%
1991 5.7% 2.14%
1990 5.82% 2.21%
1989 6.01% 2.29%
1988 6.26% 2.37%
1987 6.56% 2.44%
1986 6.89% 2.51%
1985 7.24% 2.57%
1984 7.6% 2.63%
1983 7.98% 2.7%
1982 8.39% 2.78%
1981 8.84% 2.87%
1980 9.35% 2.97%
1979 9.88% 3.09%
1978 10.5% 3.22%
1977 11.1% 3.37%
1976 11.8% 3.53%
1975 12.5% 3.71%
1974 13.2% 3.9%
1973 - 4.11%
1972 - 4.35%
1971 - 4.61%
1970 - 4.91%
1969 - 5.25%
1968 - 5.63%
1967 - 6.03%
1966 - 6.45%
1965 - 6.89%
1964 - 7.35%
1963 - 7.83%

Data sources: World Bank | Health (1963–2023, retrieved 2026-04-06).

GeoRank.org/birth-rate/south-africa/tonga | CC BY

The chance that a newborn baby will die before reaching age five is 3.47% in South Africa and 0.99% in Tonga. Above is a chart with historical data on under-five mortality rates.

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Data sources:

  1. World Bank | Health (1960–2024, retrieved 2026-04-06)
  2. United Nations | World Population Prospects (2025–2100, retrieved 2026-03-10)
  3. Central Intelligence Agency (CIA) (2025, retrieved 2026-02-20)

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