Fertility & birth rates in Armenia and South Africa

Fertility rate in Armenia vs South Africa chart

According to the latest available data on birth rates, the fertility rate in Armenia was 1.9 children per woman in 2023, compared to 2.22 in South Africa in 2023. The replacement level is considered to be 2.1 children per woman.

Check Armenia vs South Africa population clock for a dynamic visualization of the changing population.

The chart below showcases historical changes in the birth rates.

Table

Year	Fertility rate
	Armenia	South Africa
1960	4.79	6.11
1961	4.67	6.08
1962	4.52	6.05
1963	4.35	6.01
1964	4.15	5.96
1965	3.99	5.89
1966	3.83	5.91
1967	3.73	5.85
1968	3.62	5.78
1969	3.49	5.72
1970	3.33	5.63
1971	3.29	5.57
1972	3.2	5.49
1973	3.08	5.41
1974	2.98	5.3
1975	2.92	5.19
1976	2.84	5.07
1977	2.74	4.94
1978	2.62	4.85
1979	2.53	4.82
1980	2.48	4.78
1981	2.48	4.71
1982	2.5	4.7
1983	2.56	4.63
1984	2.6	4.57
1985	2.64	4.5
1986	2.66	4.41
1987	2.66	4.35
1988	2.68	4.18
1989	2.71	3.98
1990	2.71	3.72
1991	2.64	3.62
1992	2.5	3.48
1993	2.29	3.37
1994	2.08	3.26
1995	2.07	3.17
1996	2.06	2.99
1997	1.9	2.73
1998	1.81	2.63
1999	1.53	2.56
2000	1.3	2.41
2001	1.2	2.37
2002	1.2	2.32
2003	1.3	2.36
2004	1.4	2.44
2005	1.3	2.51
2006	1.3	2.55
2007	1.4	2.55
2008	1.4	2.68
2009	1.5	2.5
2010	1.5	2.44
2011	1.5	2.44
2012	1.6	2.45
2013	1.6	2.43
2014	1.7	2.42
2015	1.6	2.36
2016	1.6	2.26
2017	1.6	2.28
2018	1.6	2.27
2019	1.6	2.26
2020	1.7	2.26
2021	1.7	2.25
2022	1.7	2.23
2023	1.9	2.22
2024	1.9	2.21
2025	1.9	2.19
2026	1.9	2.17
2027	1.9	2.15
2028	1.89	2.13
2029	1.89	2.12
2030	1.89	2.1
2031	1.89	2.09
2032	1.89	2.07
2033	1.89	2.06
2034	1.89	2.05
2035	1.89	2.04
2036	1.89	2.03
2037	1.88	2.02
2038	1.88	2
2039	1.88	1.99
2040	1.88	1.98
2041	1.88	1.98
2042	1.88	1.97
2043	1.88	1.96
2044	1.88	1.95
2045	1.88	1.94
2046	1.87	1.93
2047	1.87	1.92
2048	1.87	1.91
2049	1.87	1.9
2050	1.87	1.89

Children 0-14 years as share of population

Table

Year	Share of people 0-14 years old
	Armenia	South Africa
1960	37.5%	42.1%
1961	38.7%	42.1%
1962	39.6%	42.1%
1963	40%	42.1%
1964	40.2%	42.1%
1965	40.3%	42.1%
1966	40.2%	42.1%
1967	39.9%	42.2%
1968	39.6%	42.2%
1969	39.1%	42.2%
1970	38.5%	42.3%
1971	37.7%	42.2%
1972	36.8%	42.2%
1973	35.9%	42.1%
1974	34.9%	42%
1975	33.8%	41.9%
1976	32.8%	41.8%
1977	32.1%	41.7%
1978	31.5%	41.5%
1979	31%	41.3%
1980	30.5%	40.9%
1981	30.2%	40.5%
1982	30.1%	40.1%
1983	30.1%	39.8%
1984	30.2%	39.5%
1985	30.3%	39.2%
1986	30.4%	38.9%
1987	30.5%	38.7%
1988	30.6%	38.4%
1989	30.4%	38.1%
1990	30.3%	37.7%
1991	30.4%	37.5%
1992	31%	37.6%
1993	31.7%	37.3%
1994	32%	37.2%
1995	31.8%	37.5%
1996	31.3%	37.5%
1997	30.8%	37.2%
1998	29.6%	36.5%
1999	27.9%	35.7%
2000	26.3%	34.9%
2001	24.9%	34%
2002	23.8%	33.2%
2003	22.9%	32.3%
2004	22.1%	31.6%
2005	21.2%	31.1%
2006	20.4%	30.6%
2007	19.8%	30.2%
2008	19.4%	29.9%
2009	19.3%	29.7%
2010	19.3%	29.4%
2011	19.4%	29.1%
2012	19.5%	28.9%
2013	19.7%	28.7%
2014	19.9%	28.5%
2015	20.1%	28.3%
2016	20.3%	28.3%
2017	20.5%	28.3%
2018	20.5%	27.9%
2019	20.3%	27.4%
2020	20.2%	27%
2021	20%	26.6%
2022	19.9%	26.3%
2023	19.5%	26.1%
2024	19.2%	25.9%
2025	19%	25.7%
2026	18.7%	25.6%
2027	18.4%	25.4%
2028	18%	25.3%
2029	17.7%	25.2%
2030	17.3%	25.2%
2031	17%	25.1%
2032	16.7%	25%
2033	16.4%	24.8%
2034	16.1%	24.5%
2035	15.9%	24.3%
2036	15.7%	23.9%
2037	15.5%	23.6%
2038	15.3%	23.4%
2039	15.1%	23.1%
2040	15%	22.9%
2041	14.8%	22.7%
2042	14.7%	22.5%
2043	14.7%	22.4%
2044	14.6%	22.2%
2045	14.6%	22.1%
2046	14.6%	21.9%
2047	14.6%	21.8%
2048	14.6%	21.7%
2049	14.6%	21.6%
2050	14.6%	21.5%

Children aged 0-14 make up 19.2% of the population in Armenia and 25.9% in South Africa in 2024, compared to 30.3% and 37.7% respectively in 1990.

Demographics of Armenia and South Africa compared.

Natural population change in Armenia vs South Africa by year

For the past 10 years, the annual natural population change (excluding migration) has been +0.33% in Armenia and +1.05% in South Africa. The chart below illustrates the comparison of the absolute yearly changes resulting from births and deaths.

Table

Year	Population change due to births and deaths
	Armenia	South Africa
1960	51,675	421,263
1961	51,957	437,851
1962	50,461	455,634
1963	48,058	473,821
1964	44,886	490,606
1965	42,271	506,632
1966	39,842	534,862
1967	38,674	553,741
1968	38,118	571,841
1969	37,333	590,794
1970	36,045	605,102
1971	36,590	624,761
1972	36,943	638,754
1973	37,355	651,596
1974	38,392	658,438
1975	40,217	667,862
1976	41,948	675,011
1977	45,320	680,929
1978	48,326	694,341
1979	52,452	716,541
1980	54,128	738,415
1981	56,323	767,833
1982	58,617	807,550
1983	61,028	837,013
1984	62,124	869,011
1985	62,499	893,889
1986	61,771	903,644
1987	60,176	922,330
1988	33,232	909,221
1989	57,520	884,629
1990	59,893	835,421
1991	56,269	827,296
1992	50,346	794,415
1993	35,818	789,220
1994	26,271	698,609
1995	22,452	743,488
1996	21,092	710,868
1997	16,685	667,969
1998	14,357	627,027
1999	10,452	594,643
2000	9,985	526,963
2001	8,030	484,801
2002	6,719	430,926
2003	9,866	415,018
2004	11,710	442,540
2005	11,013	464,464
2006	10,320	487,584
2007	13,362	503,567
2008	13,583	595,332
2009	16,863	554,115
2010	16,746	566,834
2011	15,442	601,708
2012	14,818	643,723
2013	14,505	652,427
2014	15,371	674,754
2015	13,821	668,771
2016	12,269	641,365
2017	10,428	645,975
2018	10,688	648,319
2019	10,072	652,130
2020	296	595,873
2021	2,370	456,411
2022	9,799	603,636
2023	12,153	602,793

Maternal mortality chart: Armenia vs South Africa

The maternal mortality rate, which is the probability of dying during childbirth or within 42 days of pregnancy termination, is 19 deaths per 100,000 live births in Armenia, compared to 118 deaths in South Africa.

Table

Year	Maternal mortality per 100K births
	Armenia	South Africa
1985	55	208
1986	54	200
1987	52	192
1988	55	184
1989	46	177
1990	47	170
1991	47	162
1992	50	152
1993	50	145
1994	51	133
1995	50	125
1996	49	150
1997	48	152
1998	45	152
1999	42	151
2000	40	175
2001	38	192
2002	36	225
2003	35	245
2004	34	259
2005	32	279
2006	31	283
2007	30	272
2008	29	272
2009	29	241
2010	28	226
2011	27	202
2012	27	194
2013	26	180
2014	26	162
2015	25	150
2016	25	141
2017	24	134
2018	24	128
2019	23	119
2020	43	118
2021	57	191
2022	27	129
2023	19	118

Under-five mortality rates

The chance that a newborn baby will die before reaching age five is 1% in Armenia and 3.47% in South Africa. Below is the historical data on under-five mortality rates.

Table

Year	Mortality rate before reaching 5 years of age, per 1,000 live births
	Armenia	South Africa
1974	-	13.2%
1975	-	12.5%
1976	8.67%	11.8%
1977	8.32%	11.1%
1978	7.98%	10.5%
1979	7.67%	9.88%
1980	7.36%	9.35%
1981	7.06%	8.84%
1982	6.78%	8.39%
1983	6.52%	7.98%
1984	6.26%	7.6%
1985	6.01%	7.24%
1986	5.78%	6.89%
1987	5.55%	6.56%
1988	9.93%	6.26%
1989	5.11%	6.01%
1990	4.9%	5.82%
1991	4.69%	5.7%
1992	4.49%	5.66%
1993	4.29%	5.7%
1994	4.09%	5.82%
1995	3.9%	5.95%
1996	3.72%	6.11%
1997	3.55%	6.29%
1998	3.39%	6.56%
1999	3.23%	6.85%
2000	3.08%	7.11%
2001	2.93%	7.43%
2002	2.79%	7.69%
2003	2.65%	7.93%
2004	2.52%	8.1%
2005	2.4%	8.03%
2006	2.28%	7.75%
2007	2.17%	7.19%
2008	2.06%	6.42%
2009	1.97%	5.7%
2010	1.87%	5%
2011	1.78%	4.5%
2012	1.7%	4.25%
2013	1.62%	4.1%
2014	1.54%	3.96%
2015	1.46%	3.82%
2016	1.4%	3.68%
2017	1.33%	3.58%
2018	1.27%	3.49%
2019	1.21%	3.45%
2020	1.16%	3.41%
2021	1.1%	3.41%
2022	1.05%	3.44%
2023	1%	3.47%