Fertility & birth rates in Guinea and South Africa

Fertility rate in Guinea vs South Africa by year

Chart Table

Guinea

South Africa

1x

Year	Fertility rate
	Guinea	South Africa
2023	4.22	2.22
2022	4.3	2.23
2021	4.4	2.25
2020	4.49	2.26
2019	4.58	2.26
2018	4.67	2.27
2017	4.79	2.28
2016	4.92	2.26
2015	5	2.36
2014	5.07	2.42
2013	5.15	2.43
2012	5.23	2.45
2011	5.34	2.44
2010	5.44	2.44
2009	5.53	2.5
2008	5.6	2.68
2007	5.66	2.55
2006	5.7	2.55
2005	5.73	2.51
2004	5.73	2.44
2003	5.74	2.36
2002	5.78	2.32
2001	5.83	2.37
2000	5.92	2.41
1999	5.99	2.56
1998	6.05	2.63
1997	6.12	2.73
1996	6.21	2.99
1995	6.29	3.17
1994	6.36	3.26
1993	6.41	3.37
1992	6.45	3.48
1991	6.48	3.62
1990	6.52	3.72
1989	6.55	3.98
1988	6.56	4.18
1987	6.57	4.35
1986	6.55	4.41
1985	6.53	4.5
1984	6.51	4.57
1983	6.49	4.63
1982	6.49	4.7
1981	6.46	4.71
1980	6.46	4.78
1979	6.45	4.82
1978	6.44	4.85
1977	6.43	4.94
1976	6.4	5.07
1975	6.37	5.19
1974	6.34	5.3
1973	6.31	5.41
1972	6.28	5.49
1971	6.26	5.57
1970	6.24	5.63
1969	6.23	5.72
1968	6.21	5.78
1967	6.2	5.85
1966	6.19	5.91
1965	6.18	5.89
1964	6.17	5.96
1963	6.15	6.01
1962	6.14	6.05
1961	6.13	6.08
1960	6.11	6.11

According to the latest available data on birth rates, the fertility rate in Guinea was 4.22 children per woman in 2023, compared to 2.22 in South Africa in 2023. The replacement level is considered to be 2.1 children per woman.

Check Guinea vs South Africa population clock for a dynamic visualization of the changing population.

Natural population change by year

Chart Table

Guinea

South Africa

1x

Year	Natural population change
	Guinea	South Africa
2023	356,147	602,793
2022	352,517	603,636
2021	345,121	456,411
2020	342,289	595,873
2019	338,984	652,130
2018	332,585	648,319
2017	328,542	645,975
2016	324,608	641,365
2015	316,604	668,771
2014	309,539	674,754
2013	304,430	652,427
2012	298,094	643,723
2011	293,318	601,708
2010	288,512	566,834
2009	281,920	554,115
2008	274,327	595,332
2007	266,070	503,567
2006	258,518	487,584
2005	251,209	464,464
2004	242,075	442,540
2003	234,774	415,018
2002	229,022	430,926
2001	227,642	484,801
2000	227,081	526,963
1999	223,968	594,643
1998	219,385	627,027
1997	220,373	667,969
1996	214,896	710,868
1995	205,644	743,488
1994	201,439	698,609
1993	195,612	789,220
1992	189,682	794,415
1991	181,299	827,296
1990	169,926	835,421
1989	164,707	884,629
1988	159,566	909,221
1987	154,178	922,330
1986	148,137	903,644
1985	142,313	893,889
1984	136,640	869,011
1983	130,629	837,013
1982	126,831	807,550
1981	121,223	767,833
1980	117,186	738,415
1979	113,141	716,541
1978	109,415	694,341
1977	105,990	680,929
1976	102,449	675,011
1975	99,267	667,862
1974	96,315	658,438
1973	93,764	651,596
1972	91,147	638,754
1971	88,358	624,761
1970	85,418	605,102
1969	82,799	590,794
1968	79,892	571,841
1967	77,251	553,741
1966	74,748	534,862
1965	72,134	506,632
1964	69,848	490,606
1963	67,690	473,821
1962	65,672	455,634
1961	63,766	437,851
1960	61,848	421,263

The chart above illustrates the comparison of the absolute yearly changes in population resulting from births and deaths.

Excluding migration, the natural population change due to births and deaths from 2022 to 2023 was +2.47% in Guinea and +0.95% in South Africa.

For the past 10 years, the annual natural population change has been +2.6% in Guinea and +1.05% in South Africa.

Birth rate in Guinea vs South Africa by year

Chart Table

Guinea

South Africa

Annual births per 1,000 people

1x

Year	Annual births per 1,000 people
	Guinea	South Africa
2023	33.8	18.8
2022	34.4	19.1
2021	35	19.4
2020	35.5	19.5
2019	36	19.7
2018	36.3	19.9
2017	36.9	20
2016	37.4	20.3
2015	37.8	21
2014	38	21.8
2013	38.4	21.9
2012	38.7	22.1
2011	39.2	22.1
2010	39.6	22.2
2009	39.9	22.8
2008	40.1	24.3
2007	40.2	23.1
2006	40.3	23.1
2005	40.4	22.7
2004	40.2	22.1
2003	40.3	21.4
2002	40.6	20.9
2001	41.3	21.3
2000	41.8	21.6
1999	42.4	22.7
1998	42.8	23.2
1997	43.9	23.9
1996	44.2	24.9
1995	44.3	25.6
1994	45.1	24.6
1993	45.4	26.6
1992	45.9	27
1991	45.8	28.1
1990	45.5	28.7
1989	46	30.6
1988	46.2	32
1987	46.3	33.2
1986	46.2	33.6
1985	46.1	34.2
1984	46	34.5
1983	45.9	34.6
1982	45.9	34.8
1981	45.7	34.6
1980	45.8	34.7
1979	45.7	34.9
1978	45.7	35.1
1977	45.7	35.6
1976	45.6	36.3
1975	45.6	37
1974	45.6	37.7
1973	45.6	38.4
1972	45.6	38.9
1971	45.6	39.3
1970	45.5	39.4
1969	45.5	39.7
1968	45.5	39.8
1967	45.5	39.9
1966	45.5	40
1965	45.5	39.5
1964	45.5	39.6
1963	45.6	39.7
1962	45.6	39.7
1961	45.6	39.7
1960	45.6	39.8

The latest reported birth rate per 1,000 people in 2023 was 33.8 in Guinea and 18.8 in South Africa, compared with 45.6 and 39.8, respectively, in 1960.

Children 0-14 years as share of population

Chart Table

Guinea

Factual

UN forecast

South Africa

Factual

UN forecast

1x

Year	Young
	Guinea	South Africa
2100	20.5%	17.9%
2099	20.6%	18%
2098	20.8%	18%
2097	20.9%	18.1%
2096	21%	18.1%
2095	21.2%	18.2%
2094	21.3%	18.2%
2093	21.4%	18.3%
2092	21.6%	18.3%
2091	21.7%	18.4%
2090	21.9%	18.4%
2089	22%	18.5%
2088	22.2%	18.5%
2087	22.3%	18.6%
2086	22.5%	18.6%
2085	22.6%	18.7%
2084	22.8%	18.7%
2083	22.9%	18.8%
2082	23.1%	18.9%
2081	23.3%	18.9%
2080	23.4%	19%
2079	23.6%	19%
2078	23.8%	19.1%
2077	24%	19.2%
2076	24.1%	19.3%
2075	24.3%	19.3%
2074	24.5%	19.4%
2073	24.7%	19.5%
2072	25%	19.6%
2071	25.2%	19.6%
2070	25.4%	19.7%
2069	25.6%	19.8%
2068	25.9%	19.9%
2067	26.1%	20%
2066	26.4%	20.1%
2065	26.6%	20.2%
2064	26.9%	20.3%
2063	27.2%	20.4%
2062	27.5%	20.5%
2061	27.7%	20.6%
2060	28%	20.7%
2059	28.3%	20.8%
2058	28.6%	20.9%
2057	28.9%	21%
2056	29.2%	21.1%
2055	29.5%	21.1%
2054	29.8%	21.2%
2053	30.1%	21.3%
2052	30.4%	21.4%
2051	30.7%	21.5%
2050	31%	21.6%
2049	31.3%	21.7%
2048	31.7%	21.8%
2047	32%	21.9%
2046	32.4%	22%
2045	32.7%	22.1%
2044	33.1%	22.3%
2043	33.5%	22.4%
2042	33.9%	22.6%
2041	34.3%	22.8%
2040	34.7%	23%
2039	35.1%	23.3%
2038	35.5%	23.5%
2037	35.9%	23.7%
2036	36.4%	24.1%
2035	36.8%	24.4%
2034	37.3%	24.7%
2033	37.7%	24.9%
2032	38.1%	25%
2031	38.5%	25.1%
2030	38.9%	25.2%
2029	39.3%	25.3%
2028	39.7%	25.4%
2027	40%	25.5%
2026	40.4%	25.6%
2025	40.7%	25.8%
2024	40.9%	25.9%
2023	41.2%	26.1%
2022	41.6%	26.3%
2021	41.9%	26.6%
2020	42.1%	27%
2019	42.4%	27.4%
2018	42.6%	27.9%
2017	42.9%	28.3%
2016	43.1%	28.3%
2015	43.3%	28.3%
2014	43.5%	28.5%
2013	43.8%	28.7%
2012	44%	28.9%
2011	44.2%	29.1%
2010	44.5%	29.4%
2009	44.7%	29.7%
2008	44.9%	29.9%
2007	45.1%	30.2%
2006	45.3%	30.6%
2005	45.3%	31.1%
2004	45.3%	31.6%
2003	45.4%	32.3%
2002	45.5%	33.2%
2001	45.3%	34%
2000	44.9%	34.9%
1999	44.7%	35.7%
1998	44.5%	36.5%
1997	44.2%	37.2%
1996	43.9%	37.5%
1995	43.8%	37.5%
1994	43.7%	37.2%
1993	43.6%	37.3%
1992	43.5%	37.6%
1991	43.4%	37.5%
1990	43.3%	37.7%
1989	43.2%	38.1%
1988	43.1%	38.4%
1987	43.1%	38.7%
1986	43%	38.9%
1985	43%	39.2%
1984	42.9%	39.5%
1983	42.8%	39.8%
1982	42.7%	40.1%
1981	42.6%	40.5%
1980	42.4%	40.9%
1979	42.2%	41.3%
1978	42%	41.5%
1977	41.8%	41.7%
1976	41.5%	41.8%
1975	41.3%	41.9%
1974	41.1%	42%
1973	40.9%	42.1%
1972	40.7%	42.2%
1971	40.5%	42.2%
1970	40.4%	42.3%
1969	40.3%	42.2%
1968	40.3%	42.2%
1967	40.2%	42.2%
1966	40.2%	42.1%
1965	40.1%	42.1%
1964	40%	42.1%
1963	39.9%	42.1%
1962	39.9%	42.1%
1961	39.7%	42.1%
1960	39.6%	42.1%

Children aged 0-14 make up 40.9% of the population in Guinea and 25.9% in South Africa in 2024, compared to 43.3% and 37.7% respectively in 1990.

Demographics of Guinea and South Africa compared.

Maternal mortality chart: Guinea vs South Africa

Chart Table

Guinea

South Africa

1x

Year	Maternal mortality per 100K births
	Guinea	South Africa
2023	494	118
2022	500	129
2021	533	191
2020	528	118
2019	548	119
2018	560	128
2017	582	134
2016	606	141
2015	642	150
2014	664	162
2013	682	180
2012	703	194
2011	728	202
2010	750	226
2009	766	241
2008	772	272
2007	802	272
2006	825	283
2005	843	279
2004	869	259
2003	892	245
2002	916	225
2001	946	192
2000	951	175
1999	960	151
1998	971	152
1997	994	152
1996	1,010	150
1995	1,042	125
1994	1,081	133
1993	1,094	145
1992	1,124	152
1991	1,143	162
1990	1,162	170
1989	1,188	177
1988	1,202	184
1987	1,218	192
1986	1,234	200
1985	1,248	208

The maternal mortality rate, which is the probability of dying during childbirth or within 42 days of pregnancy termination, is 494 deaths per 100,000 live births in Guinea, compared to 118 deaths in South Africa.

Under-five mortality rates

Chart Table

Guinea

South Africa

Probability that a newborn baby will die before reaching age five

1x

Year	Under 5 mortality rate
	Guinea	South Africa
2023	9.5%	3.47%
2022	9.78%	3.44%
2021	10.1%	3.41%
2020	10.3%	3.41%
2019	10.6%	3.45%
2018	10.8%	3.49%
2017	11%	3.58%
2016	11.2%	3.68%
2015	11.4%	3.82%
2014	11.6%	3.96%
2013	11.7%	4.1%
2012	11.8%	4.25%
2011	12%	4.5%
2010	12.2%	5%
2009	12.4%	5.7%
2008	12.7%	6.42%
2007	12.9%	7.19%
2006	13.3%	7.75%
2005	13.7%	8.03%
2004	14.1%	8.1%
2003	14.6%	7.93%
2002	15.2%	7.69%
2001	15.9%	7.43%
2000	16.5%	7.11%
1999	17.2%	6.85%
1998	17.9%	6.56%
1997	18.6%	6.29%
1996	19.3%	6.11%
1995	20%	5.95%
1994	20.7%	5.82%
1993	21.4%	5.7%
1992	22.1%	5.66%
1991	22.7%	5.7%
1990	23.3%	5.82%
1989	23.9%	6.01%
1988	24.4%	6.26%
1987	24.8%	6.56%
1986	25.3%	6.89%
1985	25.8%	7.24%
1984	26.2%	7.6%
1983	26.7%	7.98%
1982	27.2%	8.39%
1981	27.7%	8.84%
1980	28.2%	9.35%
1979	28.7%	9.88%
1978	29.2%	10.5%
1977	29.7%	11.1%
1976	30.1%	11.8%
1975	30.6%	12.5%
1974	30.9%	13.2%
1973	31.3%	-
1972	31.6%	-
1971	31.9%	-
1970	32.2%	-
1969	32.5%	-
1968	32.8%	-
1967	33.1%	-
1966	33.4%	-
1965	33.6%	-
1964	33.9%	-
1963	34.2%	-
1962	34.4%	-
1961	34.7%	-
1960	35%	-

The chance that a newborn baby will die before reaching age five is 9.5% in Guinea and 3.47% in South Africa. Above is a chart with historical data on under-five mortality rates.