Fertility & birth rates in Kiribati and South Africa

Fertility rate in Kiribati vs South Africa chart

According to the latest available data on birth rates, the fertility rate in Kiribati was 3.15 children per woman in 2023, compared to 2.22 in South Africa in 2023. The replacement level is considered to be 2.1 children per woman.

Check Kiribati vs South Africa population clock for a dynamic visualization of the changing population.

The chart below showcases historical changes in the birth rates.

Table

Year	Fertility rate
	Kiribati	South Africa
1960	6.44	6.11
1961	6.48	6.08
1962	6.42	6.05
1963	6.35	6.01
1964	6.29	5.96
1965	6.26	5.89
1966	6.23	5.91
1967	6.11	5.85
1968	5.98	5.78
1969	5.85	5.72
1970	5.71	5.63
1971	5.55	5.57
1972	5.37	5.49
1973	5.2	5.41
1974	5.09	5.3
1975	5.02	5.19
1976	4.96	5.07
1977	4.96	4.94
1978	4.97	4.85
1979	4.97	4.82
1980	4.96	4.78
1981	4.96	4.71
1982	4.95	4.7
1983	4.91	4.63
1984	4.91	4.57
1985	4.91	4.5
1986	4.87	4.41
1987	4.81	4.35
1988	4.73	4.18
1989	4.69	3.98
1990	4.67	3.72
1991	4.64	3.62
1992	4.57	3.48
1993	4.49	3.37
1994	4.44	3.26
1995	4.42	3.17
1996	4.43	2.99
1997	4.37	2.73
1998	4.29	2.63
1999	4.18	2.56
2000	4.07	2.41
2001	3.96	2.37
2002	3.81	2.32
2003	3.7	2.36
2004	3.73	2.44
2005	3.76	2.51
2006	3.82	2.55
2007	3.87	2.55
2008	3.9	2.68
2009	3.91	2.5
2010	3.9	2.44
2011	3.88	2.44
2012	3.77	2.45
2013	3.64	2.43
2014	3.52	2.42
2015	3.44	2.36
2016	3.38	2.26
2017	3.34	2.28
2018	3.32	2.27
2019	3.29	2.26
2020	3.25	2.26
2021	3.22	2.25
2022	3.18	2.23
2023	3.15	2.22
2024	3.12	2.21
2025	3.09	2.19
2026	3.06	2.17
2027	3.03	2.15
2028	3	2.13
2029	2.97	2.12
2030	2.94	2.1
2031	2.92	2.09
2032	2.89	2.07
2033	2.86	2.06
2034	2.84	2.05
2035	2.81	2.04
2036	2.79	2.03
2037	2.77	2.02
2038	2.74	2
2039	2.72	1.99
2040	2.69	1.98
2041	2.67	1.98
2042	2.64	1.97
2043	2.62	1.96
2044	2.6	1.95
2045	2.58	1.94
2046	2.56	1.93
2047	2.54	1.92
2048	2.52	1.91
2049	2.5	1.9
2050	2.48	1.89

Children 0-14 years as share of population

Table

Year	Share of people 0-14 years old
	Kiribati	South Africa
1960	43.2%	42.1%
1961	43.5%	42.1%
1962	43.8%	42.1%
1963	44%	42.1%
1964	44%	42.1%
1965	43.9%	42.1%
1966	44.1%	42.1%
1967	44.5%	42.2%
1968	44.9%	42.2%
1969	45%	42.2%
1970	44.9%	42.3%
1971	44.8%	42.2%
1972	44.8%	42.2%
1973	44.6%	42.1%
1974	44.2%	42%
1975	43.7%	41.9%
1976	43.2%	41.8%
1977	42.8%	41.7%
1978	42.3%	41.5%
1979	41.8%	41.3%
1980	41.1%	40.9%
1981	40.5%	40.5%
1982	39.9%	40.1%
1983	39.5%	39.8%
1984	39.2%	39.5%
1985	39.2%	39.2%
1986	39.2%	38.9%
1987	39.4%	38.7%
1988	39.7%	38.4%
1989	39.9%	38.1%
1990	40.2%	37.7%
1991	40.5%	37.5%
1992	40.8%	37.6%
1993	41%	37.3%
1994	41.2%	37.2%
1995	41.2%	37.5%
1996	41.1%	37.5%
1997	41%	37.2%
1998	40.8%	36.5%
1999	40.5%	35.7%
2000	40.1%	34.9%
2001	39.8%	34%
2002	39.3%	33.2%
2003	38.9%	32.3%
2004	38.4%	31.6%
2005	38%	31.1%
2006	37.6%	30.6%
2007	37.3%	30.2%
2008	37%	29.9%
2009	36.8%	29.7%
2010	36.6%	29.4%
2011	36.4%	29.1%
2012	36.1%	28.9%
2013	35.7%	28.7%
2014	35.4%	28.5%
2015	35.2%	28.3%
2016	35%	28.3%
2017	35%	28.3%
2018	35.1%	27.9%
2019	35.1%	27.4%
2020	35.2%	27%
2021	35.2%	26.6%
2022	35.1%	26.3%
2023	34.9%	26.1%
2024	34.7%	25.9%
2025	34.4%	25.7%
2026	34%	25.6%
2027	33.5%	25.4%
2028	33.1%	25.3%
2029	32.7%	25.2%
2030	32.4%	25.2%
2031	32%	25.1%
2032	31.7%	25%
2033	31.3%	24.8%
2034	31%	24.5%
2035	30.6%	24.3%
2036	30.3%	23.9%
2037	30%	23.6%
2038	29.7%	23.4%
2039	29.4%	23.1%
2040	29.2%	22.9%
2041	29%	22.7%
2042	28.8%	22.5%
2043	28.6%	22.4%
2044	28.4%	22.2%
2045	28.3%	22.1%
2046	28.1%	21.9%
2047	27.9%	21.8%
2048	27.8%	21.7%
2049	27.6%	21.6%
2050	27.4%	21.5%

Children aged 0-14 make up 34.7% of the population in Kiribati and 25.9% in South Africa in 2024, compared to 40.2% and 37.7% respectively in 1990.

Demographics of Kiribati and South Africa compared.

Natural population change in Kiribati vs South Africa by year

For the past 10 years, the annual natural population change (excluding migration) has been +2.05% in Kiribati and +1.05% in South Africa. The chart below illustrates the comparison of the absolute yearly changes resulting from births and deaths.

Table

Year	Population change due to births and deaths
	Kiribati	South Africa
1960	1,141	421,263
1961	1,199	437,851
1962	1,233	455,634
1963	1,273	473,821
1964	1,318	490,606
1965	1,376	506,632
1966	1,437	534,862
1967	1,417	553,741
1968	1,393	571,841
1969	1,367	590,794
1970	1,388	605,102
1971	1,406	624,761
1972	1,406	638,754
1973	1,409	651,596
1974	1,430	658,438
1975	1,423	667,862
1976	1,425	675,011
1977	1,426	680,929
1978	1,480	694,341
1979	1,509	716,541
1980	1,571	738,415
1981	1,635	767,833
1982	1,697	807,550
1983	1,748	837,013
1984	1,813	869,011
1985	1,881	893,889
1986	1,933	903,644
1987	1,982	922,330
1988	2,022	909,221
1989	2,073	884,629
1990	2,127	835,421
1991	2,176	827,296
1992	2,173	794,415
1993	2,161	789,220
1994	2,168	698,609
1995	2,183	743,488
1996	2,217	710,868
1997	2,220	667,969
1998	2,210	627,027
1999	2,186	594,643
2000	2,153	526,963
2001	2,121	484,801
2002	2,074	430,926
2003	2,045	415,018
2004	2,118	442,540
2005	2,188	464,464
2006	2,285	487,584
2007	2,393	503,567
2008	2,493	595,332
2009	2,573	554,115
2010	2,644	566,834
2011	2,709	601,708
2012	2,678	643,723
2013	2,629	652,427
2014	2,577	674,754
2015	2,555	668,771
2016	2,546	641,365
2017	2,549	645,975
2018	2,561	648,319
2019	2,560	652,130
2020	2,497	595,873
2021	2,408	456,411
2022	2,522	603,636
2023	2,487	602,793

Maternal mortality chart: Kiribati vs South Africa

The maternal mortality rate, which is the probability of dying during childbirth or within 42 days of pregnancy termination, is 80 deaths per 100,000 live births in Kiribati, compared to 118 deaths in South Africa.

Table

Year	Maternal mortality per 100K births
	Kiribati	South Africa
1985	246	208
1986	232	200
1987	231	192
1988	220	184
1989	212	177
1990	199	170
1991	188	162
1992	175	152
1993	162	145
1994	150	133
1995	148	125
1996	141	150
1997	132	152
1998	126	152
1999	121	151
2000	119	175
2001	113	192
2002	109	225
2003	105	245
2004	106	259
2005	104	279
2006	102	283
2007	101	272
2008	100	272
2009	99	241
2010	102	226
2011	98	202
2012	98	194
2013	93	180
2014	91	162
2015	90	150
2016	88	141
2017	90	134
2018	87	128
2019	89	119
2020	89	118
2021	122	191
2022	86	129
2023	80	118

Under-five mortality rates

The chance that a newborn baby will die before reaching age five is 5.51% in Kiribati and 3.47% in South Africa. Below is the historical data on under-five mortality rates.

Table

Year	Mortality rate before reaching 5 years of age, per 1,000 live births
	Kiribati	South Africa
1960	19.9%	-
1961	19.5%	-
1962	18.9%	-
1963	18.3%	-
1964	17.7%	-
1965	17.1%	-
1966	16.4%	-
1967	15.8%	-
1968	15.2%	-
1969	14.6%	-
1970	14.1%	-
1971	13.7%	-
1972	13.3%	-
1973	13%	-
1974	12.7%	13.2%
1975	12.5%	12.5%
1976	12.4%	11.8%
1977	12.3%	11.1%
1978	12.2%	10.5%
1979	12%	9.88%
1980	11.9%	9.35%
1981	11.7%	8.84%
1982	11.6%	8.39%
1983	11.4%	7.98%
1984	11.1%	7.6%
1985	10.9%	7.24%
1986	10.6%	6.89%
1987	10.2%	6.56%
1988	9.87%	6.26%
1989	9.5%	6.01%
1990	9.13%	5.82%
1991	8.77%	5.7%
1992	8.44%	5.66%
1993	8.13%	5.7%
1994	7.87%	5.82%
1995	7.64%	5.95%
1996	7.42%	6.11%
1997	7.22%	6.29%
1998	7.02%	6.56%
1999	6.83%	6.85%
2000	6.64%	7.11%
2001	6.46%	7.43%
2002	6.31%	7.69%
2003	6.2%	7.93%
2004	6.13%	8.1%
2005	6.07%	8.03%
2006	6.03%	7.75%
2007	5.99%	7.19%
2008	5.93%	6.42%
2009	5.87%	5.7%
2010	5.82%	5%
2011	5.79%	4.5%
2012	5.78%	4.25%
2013	5.8%	4.1%
2014	5.84%	3.96%
2015	5.89%	3.82%
2016	5.95%	3.68%
2017	5.99%	3.58%
2018	5.98%	3.49%
2019	5.93%	3.45%
2020	5.86%	3.41%
2021	5.76%	3.41%
2022	5.65%	3.44%
2023	5.51%	3.47%