Fertility & birth rates in Seychelles and South Africa

Fertility rate in Seychelles vs South Africa chart

According to the latest available data on birth rates, the fertility rate in the Seychelles was 2.02 children per woman in 2023, compared to 2.22 in South Africa in 2023. The replacement level is considered to be 2.1 children per woman.

Check the Seychelles vs South Africa population clock for a dynamic visualization of the changing population.

The chart below showcases historical changes in the birth rates.

Table

Year	Fertility rate
	Seychelles	South Africa
1960	5.31	6.11
1961	5.42	6.08
1962	5.51	6.05
1963	5.61	6.01
1964	5.69	5.96
1965	5.72	5.89
1966	6.13	5.91
1967	5.9	5.85
1968	5.61	5.78
1969	5.48	5.72
1970	5.31	5.63
1971	5.69	5.57
1972	5.16	5.49
1973	4.78	5.41
1974	5.1	5.3
1975	4.75	5.19
1976	4.09	5.07
1977	3.75	4.94
1978	3.92	4.85
1979	3.66	4.82
1980	3.79	4.78
1981	3.67	4.71
1982	3.13	4.7
1983	3.22	4.63
1984	3.24	4.57
1985	3.09	4.5
1986	3.07	4.41
1987	2.92	4.35
1988	2.79	4.18
1989	2.67	3.98
1990	2.61	3.72
1991	2.69	3.62
1992	2.53	3.48
1993	2.58	3.37
1994	2.6	3.26
1995	2.36	3.17
1996	2.31	2.99
1997	2.1	2.73
1998	2.04	2.63
1999	2.04	2.56
2000	2.08	2.41
2001	1.98	2.37
2002	2.04	2.32
2003	2.06	2.36
2004	2.01	2.44
2005	2.2	2.51
2006	2.11	2.55
2007	2.24	2.55
2008	2.33	2.68
2009	2.38	2.5
2010	2.16	2.44
2011	2.33	2.44
2012	2.37	2.45
2013	2.26	2.43
2014	2.25	2.42
2015	2.31	2.36
2016	2.39	2.26
2017	2.41	2.28
2018	2.41	2.27
2019	2.36	2.26
2020	2.29	2.26
2021	2.46	2.25
2022	2.01	2.23
2023	2.02	2.22
2024	2	2.21
2025	1.97	2.19
2026	1.95	2.17
2027	1.93	2.15
2028	1.91	2.13
2029	1.89	2.12
2030	1.88	2.1
2031	1.86	2.09
2032	1.85	2.07
2033	1.84	2.06
2034	1.83	2.05
2035	1.82	2.04
2036	1.81	2.03
2037	1.8	2.02
2038	1.79	2
2039	1.79	1.99
2040	1.78	1.98
2041	1.78	1.98
2042	1.77	1.97
2043	1.77	1.96
2044	1.76	1.95
2045	1.75	1.94
2046	1.75	1.93
2047	1.75	1.92
2048	1.74	1.91
2049	1.74	1.9
2050	1.73	1.89

Children 0-14 years as share of population

Table

Year	Share of people 0-14 years old
	Seychelles	South Africa
1960	38.6%	42.1%
1961	39.1%	42.1%
1962	39.7%	42.1%
1963	40.3%	42.1%
1964	40.9%	42.1%
1965	41.5%	42.1%
1966	42.1%	42.1%
1967	42.7%	42.2%
1968	43.1%	42.2%
1969	43.4%	42.2%
1970	43.6%	42.3%
1971	43.4%	42.2%
1972	43%	42.2%
1973	42.5%	42.1%
1974	41.9%	42%
1975	41.2%	41.9%
1976	40.5%	41.8%
1977	39.7%	41.7%
1978	38.8%	41.5%
1979	37.9%	41.3%
1980	37.1%	40.9%
1981	36.4%	40.5%
1982	35.7%	40.1%
1983	35.2%	39.8%
1984	34.8%	39.5%
1985	34.4%	39.2%
1986	34.1%	38.9%
1987	33.8%	38.7%
1988	33.4%	38.4%
1989	32.9%	38.1%
1990	32.4%	37.7%
1991	31.9%	37.5%
1992	31.5%	37.6%
1993	31%	37.3%
1994	30.6%	37.2%
1995	30.3%	37.5%
1996	29.8%	37.5%
1997	29.3%	37.2%
1998	28.8%	36.5%
1999	28.2%	35.7%
2000	27.6%	34.9%
2001	27%	34%
2002	26.5%	33.2%
2003	26%	32.3%
2004	25.5%	31.6%
2005	25%	31.1%
2006	24.5%	30.6%
2007	24%	30.2%
2008	23.5%	29.9%
2009	22.9%	29.7%
2010	22.5%	29.4%
2011	22.2%	29.1%
2012	22%	28.9%
2013	21.8%	28.7%
2014	21.6%	28.5%
2015	21.4%	28.3%
2016	21.2%	28.3%
2017	21%	28.3%
2018	20.9%	27.9%
2019	20.7%	27.4%
2020	20.6%	27%
2021	20.4%	26.6%
2022	20.3%	26.3%
2023	20.1%	26.1%
2024	20%	25.9%
2025	19.8%	25.7%
2026	19.6%	25.6%
2027	19.4%	25.4%
2028	19.3%	25.3%
2029	19.2%	25.2%
2030	19.2%	25.2%
2031	19.1%	25.1%
2032	19%	25%
2033	18.8%	24.8%
2034	18.7%	24.5%
2035	18.5%	24.3%
2036	18.3%	23.9%
2037	18.1%	23.6%
2038	18%	23.4%
2039	17.8%	23.1%
2040	17.6%	22.9%
2041	17.4%	22.7%
2042	17.3%	22.5%
2043	17.1%	22.4%
2044	16.9%	22.2%
2045	16.8%	22.1%
2046	16.7%	21.9%
2047	16.6%	21.8%
2048	16.5%	21.7%
2049	16.4%	21.6%
2050	16.4%	21.5%

Children aged 0-14 make up 20% of the population in the Seychelles and 25.9% in South Africa in 2024, compared to 32.4% and 37.7% respectively in 1990.

Demographics of the Seychelles and South Africa compared.

Natural population change in Seychelles vs South Africa by year

For the past 10 years, the annual natural population change (excluding migration) has been +0.82% in the Seychelles and +1.05% in South Africa. The chart below illustrates the comparison of the absolute yearly changes resulting from births and deaths.

Table

Year	Population change due to births and deaths
	Seychelles	South Africa
1960	977	421,263
1961	1,040	437,851
1962	1,083	455,634
1963	1,123	473,821
1964	1,155	490,606
1965	1,165	506,632
1966	1,280	534,862
1967	1,217	553,741
1968	1,145	571,841
1969	1,119	590,794
1970	1,087	605,102
1971	1,373	624,761
1972	1,199	638,754
1973	1,166	651,596
1974	1,361	658,438
1975	1,376	667,862
1976	1,174	675,011
1977	1,125	680,929
1978	1,330	694,341
1979	1,292	716,541
1980	1,386	738,415
1981	1,358	767,833
1982	1,069	807,550
1983	1,209	837,013
1984	1,255	869,011
1985	1,259	893,889
1986	1,222	903,644
1987	1,172	922,330
1988	1,135	909,221
1989	1,030	884,629
1990	1,070	835,421
1991	1,162	827,296
1992	1,076	794,415
1993	1,091	789,220
1994	1,136	698,609
1995	1,054	743,488
1996	1,047	710,868
1997	873	667,969
1998	844	627,027
1999	901	594,643
2000	958	526,963
2001	885	484,801
2002	837	430,926
2003	828	415,018
2004	842	442,540
2005	861	464,464
2006	804	487,584
2007	867	503,567
2008	887	595,332
2009	900	554,115
2010	844	566,834
2011	936	601,708
2012	989	643,723
2013	846	652,427
2014	832	674,754
2015	888	668,771
2016	900	641,365
2017	901	645,975
2018	842	648,319
2019	811	652,130
2020	886	595,873
2021	744	456,411
2022	635	603,636
2023	683	602,793

Maternal mortality chart: Seychelles vs South Africa

The maternal mortality rate, which is the probability of dying during childbirth or within 42 days of pregnancy termination, is 42 deaths per 100,000 live births in the Seychelles, compared to 118 deaths in South Africa.

Table

Year	Maternal mortality per 100K births
	Seychelles	South Africa
1985	69	208
1986	65	200
1987	62	192
1988	60	184
1989	61	177
1990	53	170
1991	54	162
1992	50	152
1993	49	145
1994	45	133
1995	40	125
1996	39	150
1997	37	152
1998	41	152
1999	41	151
2000	45	175
2001	43	192
2002	45	225
2003	47	245
2004	52	259
2005	50	279
2006	51	283
2007	52	272
2008	51	272
2009	51	241
2010	50	226
2011	50	202
2012	49	194
2013	48	180
2014	46	162
2015	46	150
2016	47	141
2017	47	134
2018	49	128
2019	48	119
2020	51	118
2021	74	191
2022	89	129
2023	42	118

Under-five mortality rates

The chance that a newborn baby will die before reaching age five is 1.43% in the Seychelles and 3.47% in South Africa. Below is the historical data on under-five mortality rates.

Table

Year	Mortality rate before reaching 5 years of age, per 1,000 live births
	Seychelles	South Africa
1960	10.5%	-
1961	10.3%	-
1962	10.2%	-
1963	10%	-
1964	9.8%	-
1965	9.55%	-
1966	9.26%	-
1967	8.92%	-
1968	8.52%	-
1969	8.07%	-
1970	7.58%	-
1971	7.09%	-
1972	6.59%	-
1973	6.09%	-
1974	5.59%	13.2%
1975	5.09%	12.5%
1976	4.6%	11.8%
1977	4.14%	11.1%
1978	3.72%	10.5%
1979	3.34%	9.88%
1980	3.01%	9.35%
1981	2.74%	8.84%
1982	2.51%	8.39%
1983	2.32%	7.98%
1984	2.16%	7.6%
1985	2.04%	7.24%
1986	1.93%	6.89%
1987	1.84%	6.56%
1988	1.76%	6.26%
1989	1.69%	6.01%
1990	1.63%	5.82%
1991	1.58%	5.7%
1992	1.53%	5.66%
1993	1.49%	5.7%
1994	1.46%	5.82%
1995	1.43%	5.95%
1996	1.41%	6.11%
1997	1.4%	6.29%
1998	1.39%	6.56%
1999	1.38%	6.85%
2000	1.38%	7.11%
2001	1.37%	7.43%
2002	1.37%	7.69%
2003	1.37%	7.93%
2004	1.38%	8.1%
2005	1.38%	8.03%
2006	1.38%	7.75%
2007	1.39%	7.19%
2008	1.39%	6.42%
2009	1.4%	5.7%
2010	1.41%	5%
2011	1.42%	4.5%
2012	1.43%	4.25%
2013	1.44%	4.1%
2014	1.45%	3.96%
2015	1.45%	3.82%
2016	1.46%	3.68%
2017	1.47%	3.58%
2018	1.48%	3.49%
2019	1.48%	3.45%
2020	1.48%	3.41%
2021	1.47%	3.41%
2022	1.45%	3.44%
2023	1.43%	3.47%