Fertility & birth rates in Guinea-Bissau and South Africa

Fertility rate in Guinea-Bissau vs South Africa chart

According to the latest available data on birth rates, the fertility rate in Guinea-Bissau was 3.84 children per woman in 2023, compared to 2.22 in South Africa in 2023. The replacement level is considered to be 2.1 children per woman.

Check Guinea-Bissau vs South Africa population clock for a dynamic visualization of the changing population.

The chart below showcases historical changes in the birth rates.

Table

Year	Fertility rate
	Guinea-Bissau	South Africa
1960	5.92	6.11
1961	5.93	6.08
1962	5.94	6.05
1963	5.95	6.01
1964	5.96	5.96
1965	5.97	5.89
1966	5.98	5.91
1967	5.99	5.85
1968	6.01	5.78
1969	6.02	5.72
1970	6.04	5.63
1971	6.06	5.57
1972	6.08	5.49
1973	6.1	5.41
1974	6.12	5.3
1975	6.15	5.19
1976	6.19	5.07
1977	6.25	4.94
1978	6.32	4.85
1979	6.4	4.82
1980	6.49	4.78
1981	6.57	4.71
1982	6.64	4.7
1983	6.69	4.63
1984	6.73	4.57
1985	6.74	4.5
1986	6.73	4.41
1987	6.72	4.35
1988	6.69	4.18
1989	6.66	3.98
1990	6.5	3.72
1991	6.47	3.62
1992	6.44	3.48
1993	6.37	3.37
1994	6.3	3.26
1995	6.22	3.17
1996	6.14	2.99
1997	6.06	2.73
1998	5.97	2.63
1999	5.87	2.56
2000	5.79	2.41
2001	5.69	2.37
2002	5.63	2.32
2003	5.58	2.36
2004	5.5	2.44
2005	5.46	2.51
2006	5.41	2.55
2007	5.37	2.55
2008	5.27	2.68
2009	5.18	2.5
2010	5.11	2.44
2011	5.07	2.44
2012	5	2.45
2013	4.93	2.43
2014	4.79	2.42
2015	4.66	2.36
2016	4.52	2.26
2017	4.35	2.28
2018	4.24	2.27
2019	4.15	2.26
2020	4.08	2.26
2021	4	2.25
2022	3.91	2.23
2023	3.84	2.22
2024	3.76	2.21
2025	3.68	2.19
2026	3.62	2.17
2027	3.56	2.15
2028	3.5	2.13
2029	3.44	2.12
2030	3.37	2.1
2031	3.31	2.09
2032	3.25	2.07
2033	3.2	2.06
2034	3.15	2.05
2035	3.09	2.04
2036	3.04	2.03
2037	3	2.02
2038	2.95	2
2039	2.91	1.99
2040	2.87	1.98
2041	2.84	1.98
2042	2.8	1.97
2043	2.77	1.96
2044	2.74	1.95
2045	2.71	1.94
2046	2.67	1.93
2047	2.64	1.92
2048	2.62	1.91
2049	2.59	1.9
2050	2.56	1.89

Children 0-14 years as share of population

Table

Year	Share of people 0-14 years old
	Guinea-Bissau	South Africa
1960	36.9%	42.1%
1961	37.1%	42.1%
1962	37.7%	42.1%
1963	38.4%	42.1%
1964	39.6%	42.1%
1965	41%	42.1%
1966	41.9%	42.1%
1967	42.1%	42.2%
1968	41.8%	42.2%
1969	41.9%	42.2%
1970	41.9%	42.3%
1971	41.9%	42.2%
1972	41.9%	42.2%
1973	41.6%	42.1%
1974	41.4%	42%
1975	41.8%	41.9%
1976	42.6%	41.8%
1977	43.7%	41.7%
1978	44.8%	41.5%
1979	45.1%	41.3%
1980	45%	40.9%
1981	45.3%	40.5%
1982	45.5%	40.1%
1983	45.7%	39.8%
1984	45.9%	39.5%
1985	45.9%	39.2%
1986	46%	38.9%
1987	45.9%	38.7%
1988	45.9%	38.4%
1989	45.8%	38.1%
1990	45.7%	37.7%
1991	45.5%	37.5%
1992	45.5%	37.6%
1993	45.4%	37.3%
1994	45.4%	37.2%
1995	45.3%	37.5%
1996	45.2%	37.5%
1997	45.1%	37.2%
1998	45%	36.5%
1999	44.8%	35.7%
2000	44.7%	34.9%
2001	44.5%	34%
2002	44.3%	33.2%
2003	44.2%	32.3%
2004	44%	31.6%
2005	43.9%	31.1%
2006	43.8%	30.6%
2007	43.6%	30.2%
2008	43.5%	29.9%
2009	43.3%	29.7%
2010	43.2%	29.4%
2011	43%	29.1%
2012	42.8%	28.9%
2013	42.7%	28.7%
2014	42.5%	28.5%
2015	42.2%	28.3%
2016	42%	28.3%
2017	41.7%	28.3%
2018	41.3%	27.9%
2019	40.9%	27.4%
2020	40.5%	27%
2021	40.1%	26.6%
2022	39.7%	26.3%
2023	39.2%	26.1%
2024	38.8%	25.9%
2025	38.3%	25.7%
2026	37.8%	25.6%
2027	37.4%	25.4%
2028	36.9%	25.3%
2029	36.4%	25.2%
2030	36%	25.2%
2031	35.5%	25.1%
2032	35.1%	25%
2033	34.8%	24.8%
2034	34.4%	24.5%
2035	34.1%	24.3%
2036	33.7%	23.9%
2037	33.4%	23.6%
2038	33%	23.4%
2039	32.7%	23.1%
2040	32.4%	22.9%
2041	32%	22.7%
2042	31.7%	22.5%
2043	31.4%	22.4%
2044	31%	22.2%
2045	30.7%	22.1%
2046	30.4%	21.9%
2047	30.1%	21.8%
2048	29.7%	21.7%
2049	29.4%	21.6%
2050	29.1%	21.5%

Children aged 0-14 make up 38.8% of the population in Guinea-Bissau and 25.9% in South Africa in 2024, compared to 45.7% and 37.7% respectively in 1990.

Demographics of Guinea-Bissau and South Africa compared.

Natural population change in Guinea-Bissau vs South Africa by year

For the past 10 years, the annual natural population change (excluding migration) has been +2.44% in Guinea-Bissau and +1.05% in South Africa. The chart below illustrates the comparison of the absolute yearly changes resulting from births and deaths.

Table

Year	Population change due to births and deaths
	Guinea-Bissau	South Africa
1960	10,618	421,263
1961	10,756	437,851
1962	10,662	455,634
1963	9,190	473,821
1964	8,989	490,606
1965	7,789	506,632
1966	6,955	534,862
1967	6,742	553,741
1968	7,289	571,841
1969	7,857	590,794
1970	7,632	605,102
1971	8,183	624,761
1972	7,911	638,754
1973	8,430	651,596
1974	10,321	658,438
1975	11,998	667,862
1976	13,688	675,011
1977	15,484	680,929
1978	17,468	694,341
1979	19,736	716,541
1980	21,024	738,415
1981	21,611	767,833
1982	22,131	807,550
1983	22,542	837,013
1984	22,861	869,011
1985	23,116	893,889
1986	23,301	903,644
1987	23,549	922,330
1988	23,940	909,221
1989	24,286	884,629
1990	23,936	835,421
1991	24,527	827,296
1992	25,747	794,415
1993	26,943	789,220
1994	27,895	698,609
1995	29,142	743,488
1996	29,778	710,868
1997	29,792	667,969
1998	30,390	627,027
1999	30,916	594,643
2000	32,816	526,963
2001	33,461	484,801
2002	34,561	430,926
2003	35,649	415,018
2004	36,495	442,540
2005	37,347	464,464
2006	38,886	487,584
2007	40,288	503,567
2008	40,841	595,332
2009	41,950	554,115
2010	43,067	566,834
2011	44,405	601,708
2012	45,480	643,723
2013	46,472	652,427
2014	46,615	674,754
2015	46,846	668,771
2016	46,814	641,365
2017	46,318	645,975
2018	46,659	648,319
2019	47,196	652,130
2020	46,718	595,873
2021	47,242	456,411
2022	48,920	603,636
2023	49,498	602,793

Maternal mortality chart: Guinea-Bissau vs South Africa

The maternal mortality rate, which is the probability of dying during childbirth or within 42 days of pregnancy termination, is 505 deaths per 100,000 live births in Guinea-Bissau, compared to 118 deaths in South Africa.

Table

Year	Maternal mortality per 100K births
	Guinea-Bissau	South Africa
1985	1,851	208
1986	1,825	200
1987	1,796	192
1988	1,759	184
1989	1,698	177
1990	1,709	170
1991	1,663	162
1992	1,633	152
1993	1,613	145
1994	1,644	133
1995	1,556	125
1996	1,539	150
1997	1,642	152
1998	1,465	152
1999	1,461	151
2000	1,295	175
2001	1,222	192
2002	1,141	225
2003	1,069	245
2004	980	259
2005	956	279
2006	831	283
2007	792	272
2008	802	272
2009	753	241
2010	698	226
2011	678	202
2012	704	194
2013	707	180
2014	662	162
2015	631	150
2016	617	141
2017	597	134
2018	585	128
2019	598	119
2020	603	118
2021	617	191
2022	539	129
2023	505	118

Under-five mortality rates

The chance that a newborn baby will die before reaching age five is 6.93% in Guinea-Bissau and 3.47% in South Africa. Below is the historical data on under-five mortality rates.

Table

Year	Mortality rate before reaching 5 years of age, per 1,000 live births
	Guinea-Bissau	South Africa
1974	-	13.2%
1975	-	12.5%
1976	-	11.8%
1977	-	11.1%
1978	-	10.5%
1979	-	9.88%
1980	-	9.35%
1981	-	8.84%
1982	-	8.39%
1983	-	7.98%
1984	-	7.6%
1985	24.4%	7.24%
1986	24%	6.89%
1987	23.5%	6.56%
1988	23.1%	6.26%
1989	22.7%	6.01%
1990	22.2%	5.82%
1991	21.8%	5.7%
1992	21.3%	5.66%
1993	20.9%	5.7%
1994	20.4%	5.82%
1995	19.9%	5.95%
1996	19.4%	6.11%
1997	18.9%	6.29%
1998	18.4%	6.56%
1999	17.9%	6.85%
2000	17.4%	7.11%
2001	16.8%	7.43%
2002	16.3%	7.69%
2003	15.7%	7.93%
2004	15.1%	8.1%
2005	14.5%	8.03%
2006	13.9%	7.75%
2007	13.2%	7.19%
2008	12.6%	6.42%
2009	12%	5.7%
2010	11.4%	5%
2011	10.9%	4.5%
2012	10.4%	4.25%
2013	9.93%	4.1%
2014	9.53%	3.96%
2015	9.18%	3.82%
2016	8.84%	3.68%
2017	8.53%	3.58%
2018	8.21%	3.49%
2019	7.91%	3.45%
2020	7.66%	3.41%
2021	7.41%	3.41%
2022	7.16%	3.44%
2023	6.93%	3.47%