Fertility & birth rates in Madagascar and Sri Lanka

Fertility rate in Madagascar vs Sri Lanka chart

According to the latest available data on birth rates, the fertility rate in Madagascar was 3.97 children per woman in 2023, compared to 1.97 in Sri Lanka in 2023. The replacement level is considered to be 2.1 children per woman.

Check Madagascar vs Sri Lanka population clock for a dynamic visualization of the changing population.

The chart below showcases historical changes in the birth rates.

Table

Year	Fertility rate
	Madagascar	Sri Lanka
1960	7.34	5.35
1961	7.3	5.24
1962	7.26	5.18
1963	7.21	5.12
1964	7.19	5.06
1965	7.17	4.93
1966	7.16	4.83
1967	7.14	4.79
1968	7.13	4.66
1969	7.12	4.5
1970	7.1	4.39
1971	7.07	4.27
1972	7.04	4.16
1973	7.01	4
1974	6.99	3.86
1975	6.97	3.82
1976	6.95	3.78
1977	6.93	3.74
1978	6.9	3.81
1979	6.87	3.82
1980	6.84	3.73
1981	6.77	3.65
1982	6.7	3.32
1983	6.63	3.11
1984	6.55	3.01
1985	6.46	2.9
1986	6.34	2.74
1987	6.24	2.64
1988	6.18	2.57
1989	6.15	2.58
1990	6.14	2.54
1991	6.12	2.51
1992	6.08	2.49
1993	6.06	2.44
1994	6.04	2.4
1995	6.04	2.35
1996	6.03	2.29
1997	6.02	2.22
1998	5.99	2.14
1999	5.84	2.14
2000	5.67	2.21
2001	5.53	2.28
2002	5.41	2.31
2003	5.33	2.3
2004	5.26	2.27
2005	5.2	2.26
2006	5.13	2.29
2007	5.08	2.3
2008	5.04	2.23
2009	5	2.18
2010	4.9	2.13
2011	4.74	2.14
2012	4.61	2.17
2013	4.53	2.18
2014	4.42	2.13
2015	4.34	2.09
2016	4.29	2.06
2017	4.26	2.04
2018	4.25	2.03
2019	4.22	2.02
2020	4.17	2.01
2021	4.1	2
2022	4.04	1.98
2023	3.97	1.97
2024	3.91	1.95
2025	3.84	1.94
2026	3.78	1.93
2027	3.72	1.91
2028	3.66	1.9
2029	3.61	1.89
2030	3.56	1.88
2031	3.51	1.87
2032	3.46	1.86
2033	3.41	1.85
2034	3.36	1.85
2035	3.32	1.84
2036	3.28	1.83
2037	3.24	1.83
2038	3.2	1.82
2039	3.16	1.81
2040	3.12	1.81
2041	3.09	1.8
2042	3.05	1.8
2043	3.02	1.8
2044	2.99	1.79
2045	2.95	1.79
2046	2.92	1.79
2047	2.9	1.78
2048	2.87	1.78
2049	2.84	1.77
2050	2.82	1.77

Children 0-14 years as share of population

Table

Year	Share of people 0-14 years old
	Madagascar	Sri Lanka
1960	45.2%	41%
1961	45.8%	40.9%
1962	46.3%	40.8%
1963	46.7%	40.7%
1964	46.8%	40.6%
1965	46.7%	40.5%
1966	46.6%	40.4%
1967	46.5%	40.3%
1968	46.5%	40.1%
1969	46.4%	39.9%
1970	46.4%	39.7%
1971	46.4%	39.5%
1972	46.4%	39.2%
1973	46.4%	38.8%
1974	46.5%	38.4%
1975	46.5%	38%
1976	46.6%	37.6%
1977	46.7%	37.2%
1978	46.8%	36.9%
1979	46.9%	36.7%
1980	47%	36.4%
1981	47.1%	36.2%
1982	47.1%	36%
1983	47%	35.8%
1984	46.9%	35.5%
1985	46.8%	35.2%
1986	46.7%	34.6%
1987	46.5%	34%
1988	46.3%	33.5%
1989	46.1%	33%
1990	45.9%	32.5%
1991	45.7%	32.1%
1992	45.6%	31.4%
1993	45.5%	30.6%
1994	45.4%	29.9%
1995	45.3%	29.2%
1996	45.3%	28.6%
1997	45.3%	28.2%
1998	45.4%	27.8%
1999	45.4%	27.4%
2000	45.4%	27%
2001	45.4%	26.6%
2002	45.4%	26.3%
2003	45.4%	26.1%
2004	45.3%	26%
2005	45.2%	25.8%
2006	45%	25.7%
2007	44.8%	25.7%
2008	44.6%	25.6%
2009	44.3%	25.5%
2010	44%	25.4%
2011	43.7%	25.3%
2012	43.3%	25.2%
2013	42.8%	25%
2014	42.4%	24.9%
2015	42%	24.7%
2016	41.6%	24.5%
2017	41.2%	24.2%
2018	40.9%	24%
2019	40.7%	23.7%
2020	40.4%	23.3%
2021	40.1%	23%
2022	39.9%	22.7%
2023	39.6%	22.4%
2024	39.3%	22%
2025	38.9%	21.7%
2026	38.6%	21.4%
2027	38.4%	21.1%
2028	38.1%	20.8%
2029	37.8%	20.5%
2030	37.6%	20.2%
2031	37.3%	20%
2032	37%	19.8%
2033	36.7%	19.6%
2034	36.4%	19.4%
2035	36%	19.2%
2036	35.7%	19.1%
2037	35.3%	18.9%
2038	35%	18.8%
2039	34.6%	18.7%
2040	34.3%	18.6%
2041	34%	18.4%
2042	33.6%	18.3%
2043	33.3%	18.2%
2044	33%	18.1%
2045	32.7%	18%
2046	32.4%	17.9%
2047	32.1%	17.7%
2048	31.8%	17.6%
2049	31.6%	17.5%
2050	31.3%	17.3%

Children aged 0-14 make up 39.3% of the population in Madagascar and 22% in Sri Lanka in 2024, compared to 45.9% and 32.5% respectively in 1990.

Demographics of Madagascar and Sri Lanka compared.

Natural population change in Madagascar vs Sri Lanka by year

For the past 10 years, the annual natural population change (excluding migration) has been +2.57% in Madagascar and +0.75% in Sri Lanka. The chart below illustrates the comparison of the absolute yearly changes resulting from births and deaths.

Table

Year	Population change due to births and deaths
	Madagascar	Sri Lanka
1960	133,684	247,631
1961	136,578	251,087
1962	139,412	256,719
1963	142,666	262,880
1964	146,894	269,584
1965	152,362	272,422
1966	159,483	275,549
1967	167,287	284,738
1968	175,869	286,642
1969	184,562	286,218
1970	194,889	286,719
1971	204,617	281,200
1972	213,138	282,494
1973	221,768	278,577
1974	230,233	275,521
1975	238,774	282,496
1976	247,026	291,816
1977	255,399	300,038
1978	263,684	317,055
1979	270,752	329,791
1980	275,287	328,155
1981	277,535	328,096
1982	284,733	300,030
1983	290,085	277,768
1984	296,892	263,175
1985	304,199	247,836
1986	307,074	233,782
1987	317,621	226,414
1988	330,510	219,184
1989	344,279	212,401
1990	360,621	224,454
1991	375,040	218,117
1992	388,430	222,230
1993	408,801	226,257
1994	428,169	228,904
1995	450,259	221,957
1996	471,453	215,290
1997	490,905	208,193
1998	508,408	201,059
1999	516,976	206,876
2000	520,860	227,060
2001	529,656	244,377
2002	535,518	252,840
2003	544,903	252,008
2004	556,319	212,527
2005	568,143	248,683
2006	581,489	248,706
2007	597,772	248,287
2008	615,580	232,225
2009	634,008	200,175
2010	641,543	224,325
2011	640,577	224,461
2012	644,255	229,138
2013	654,230	221,021
2014	660,837	211,541
2015	668,977	201,815
2016	682,801	194,232
2017	699,498	187,993
2018	719,267	183,610
2019	735,853	172,243
2020	736,607	170,968
2021	741,416	121,858
2022	753,931	95,378
2023	766,391	66,111

Maternal mortality chart: Madagascar vs Sri Lanka

The maternal mortality rate, which is the probability of dying during childbirth or within 42 days of pregnancy termination, is 445 deaths per 100,000 live births in Madagascar, compared to 18 deaths in Sri Lanka.

Table

Year	Maternal mortality per 100K births
	Madagascar	Sri Lanka
1985	751	68
1986	730	66
1987	702	64
1988	687	62
1989	684	61
1990	692	59
1991	691	57
1992	699	54
1993	688	51
1994	688	49
1995	684	48
1996	680	47
1997	676	45
1998	663	43
1999	647	41
2000	638	39
2001	611	37
2002	593	36
2003	571	35
2004	555	37
2005	540	32
2006	528	32
2007	522	31
2008	510	30
2009	507	28
2010	500	26
2011	492	25
2012	487	24
2013	481	23
2014	477	23
2015	474	22
2016	470	22
2017	469	21
2018	466	21
2019	462	20
2020	447	23
2021	467	34
2022	439	22
2023	445	18

Under-five mortality rates

The chance that a newborn baby will die before reaching age five is 6.48% in Madagascar and 0.61% in Sri Lanka. Below is the historical data on under-five mortality rates.

Table

Year	Mortality rate before reaching 5 years of age, per 1,000 live births
	Madagascar	Sri Lanka
1960	-	9.41%
1961	-	8.95%
1962	-	8.66%
1963	-	8.48%
1964	-	8.3%
1965	-	8.07%
1966	-	7.81%
1967	-	7.55%
1968	14.6%	7.32%
1969	14.7%	7.14%
1970	14.9%	7.02%
1971	15.1%	6.94%
1972	15.3%	6.86%
1973	15.6%	6.77%
1974	15.8%	6.62%
1975	16.1%	6.41%
1976	16.3%	6.12%
1977	16.5%	5.77%
1978	16.7%	5.38%
1979	16.9%	4.99%
1980	17.1%	4.63%
1981	17.4%	4.29%
1982	17.6%	3.98%
1983	17.8%	3.67%
1984	17.8%	3.35%
1985	17.7%	3.02%
1986	17.5%	2.74%
1987	17.1%	2.54%
1988	16.6%	2.41%
1989	16.1%	2.74%
1990	15.6%	2.33%
1991	15%	2.32%
1992	14.5%	2.29%
1993	14%	2.22%
1994	13.5%	2.14%
1995	13.1%	2.05%
1996	12.6%	1.95%
1997	12%	1.86%
1998	11.5%	1.76%
1999	11%	1.69%
2000	10.5%	1.63%
2001	10%	1.58%
2002	9.6%	1.55%
2003	9.2%	1.52%
2004	8.82%	2.88%
2005	8.46%	1.4%
2006	8.12%	1.33%
2007	7.81%	1.26%
2008	7.53%	1.2%
2009	7.28%	2.08%
2010	7.07%	1.12%
2011	6.9%	1.08%
2012	6.77%	1.03%
2013	6.69%	0.98%
2014	6.62%	0.92%
2015	6.58%	0.87%
2016	6.57%	0.83%
2017	6.57%	0.79%
2018	6.58%	0.76%
2019	6.61%	0.72%
2020	6.63%	0.69%
2021	6.62%	0.66%
2022	6.57%	0.64%
2023	6.48%	0.61%