Fertility & birth rates in Kiribati and Madagascar

Fertility rate in Kiribati vs Madagascar chart

According to the latest available data on birth rates, the fertility rate in Kiribati was 3.15 children per woman in 2023, compared to 3.97 in Madagascar in 2023. The replacement level is considered to be 2.1 children per woman.

Check Kiribati vs Madagascar population clock for a dynamic visualization of the changing population.

The chart below showcases historical changes in the birth rates.

Table

Year	Fertility rate
	Kiribati	Madagascar
1960	6.44	7.34
1961	6.48	7.3
1962	6.42	7.26
1963	6.35	7.21
1964	6.29	7.19
1965	6.26	7.17
1966	6.23	7.16
1967	6.11	7.14
1968	5.98	7.13
1969	5.85	7.12
1970	5.71	7.1
1971	5.55	7.07
1972	5.37	7.04
1973	5.2	7.01
1974	5.09	6.99
1975	5.02	6.97
1976	4.96	6.95
1977	4.96	6.93
1978	4.97	6.9
1979	4.97	6.87
1980	4.96	6.84
1981	4.96	6.77
1982	4.95	6.7
1983	4.91	6.63
1984	4.91	6.55
1985	4.91	6.46
1986	4.87	6.34
1987	4.81	6.24
1988	4.73	6.18
1989	4.69	6.15
1990	4.67	6.14
1991	4.64	6.12
1992	4.57	6.08
1993	4.49	6.06
1994	4.44	6.04
1995	4.42	6.04
1996	4.43	6.03
1997	4.37	6.02
1998	4.29	5.99
1999	4.18	5.84
2000	4.07	5.67
2001	3.96	5.53
2002	3.81	5.41
2003	3.7	5.33
2004	3.73	5.26
2005	3.76	5.2
2006	3.82	5.13
2007	3.87	5.08
2008	3.9	5.04
2009	3.91	5
2010	3.9	4.9
2011	3.88	4.74
2012	3.77	4.61
2013	3.64	4.53
2014	3.52	4.42
2015	3.44	4.34
2016	3.38	4.29
2017	3.34	4.26
2018	3.32	4.25
2019	3.29	4.22
2020	3.25	4.17
2021	3.22	4.1
2022	3.18	4.04
2023	3.15	3.97
2024	3.12	3.91
2025	3.09	3.84
2026	3.06	3.78
2027	3.03	3.72
2028	3	3.66
2029	2.97	3.61
2030	2.94	3.56
2031	2.92	3.51
2032	2.89	3.46
2033	2.86	3.41
2034	2.84	3.36
2035	2.81	3.32
2036	2.79	3.28
2037	2.77	3.24
2038	2.74	3.2
2039	2.72	3.16
2040	2.69	3.12
2041	2.67	3.09
2042	2.64	3.05
2043	2.62	3.02
2044	2.6	2.99
2045	2.58	2.95
2046	2.56	2.92
2047	2.54	2.9
2048	2.52	2.87
2049	2.5	2.84
2050	2.48	2.82

Children 0-14 years as share of population

Table

Year	Share of people 0-14 years old
	Kiribati	Madagascar
1960	43.2%	45.2%
1961	43.5%	45.8%
1962	43.8%	46.3%
1963	44%	46.7%
1964	44%	46.8%
1965	43.9%	46.7%
1966	44.1%	46.6%
1967	44.5%	46.5%
1968	44.9%	46.5%
1969	45%	46.4%
1970	44.9%	46.4%
1971	44.8%	46.4%
1972	44.8%	46.4%
1973	44.6%	46.4%
1974	44.2%	46.5%
1975	43.7%	46.5%
1976	43.2%	46.6%
1977	42.8%	46.7%
1978	42.3%	46.8%
1979	41.8%	46.9%
1980	41.1%	47%
1981	40.5%	47.1%
1982	39.9%	47.1%
1983	39.5%	47%
1984	39.2%	46.9%
1985	39.2%	46.8%
1986	39.2%	46.7%
1987	39.4%	46.5%
1988	39.7%	46.3%
1989	39.9%	46.1%
1990	40.2%	45.9%
1991	40.5%	45.7%
1992	40.8%	45.6%
1993	41%	45.5%
1994	41.2%	45.4%
1995	41.2%	45.3%
1996	41.1%	45.3%
1997	41%	45.3%
1998	40.8%	45.4%
1999	40.5%	45.4%
2000	40.1%	45.4%
2001	39.8%	45.4%
2002	39.3%	45.4%
2003	38.9%	45.4%
2004	38.4%	45.3%
2005	38%	45.2%
2006	37.6%	45%
2007	37.3%	44.8%
2008	37%	44.6%
2009	36.8%	44.3%
2010	36.6%	44%
2011	36.4%	43.7%
2012	36.1%	43.3%
2013	35.7%	42.8%
2014	35.4%	42.4%
2015	35.2%	42%
2016	35%	41.6%
2017	35%	41.2%
2018	35.1%	40.9%
2019	35.1%	40.7%
2020	35.2%	40.4%
2021	35.2%	40.1%
2022	35.1%	39.9%
2023	34.9%	39.6%
2024	34.7%	39.3%
2025	34.4%	38.9%
2026	34%	38.6%
2027	33.5%	38.4%
2028	33.1%	38.1%
2029	32.7%	37.8%
2030	32.4%	37.6%
2031	32%	37.3%
2032	31.7%	37%
2033	31.3%	36.7%
2034	31%	36.4%
2035	30.6%	36%
2036	30.3%	35.7%
2037	30%	35.3%
2038	29.7%	35%
2039	29.4%	34.6%
2040	29.2%	34.3%
2041	29%	34%
2042	28.8%	33.6%
2043	28.6%	33.3%
2044	28.4%	33%
2045	28.3%	32.7%
2046	28.1%	32.4%
2047	27.9%	32.1%
2048	27.8%	31.8%
2049	27.6%	31.6%
2050	27.4%	31.3%

Children aged 0-14 make up 34.7% of the population in Kiribati and 39.3% in Madagascar in 2024, compared to 40.2% and 45.9% respectively in 1990.

Demographics of Kiribati and Madagascar compared.

Natural population change in Kiribati vs Madagascar by year

For the past 10 years, the annual natural population change (excluding migration) has been +2.05% in Kiribati and +2.57% in Madagascar. The chart below illustrates the comparison of the absolute yearly changes resulting from births and deaths.

Table

Year	Population change due to births and deaths
	Kiribati	Madagascar
1960	1,141	133,684
1961	1,199	136,578
1962	1,233	139,412
1963	1,273	142,666
1964	1,318	146,894
1965	1,376	152,362
1966	1,437	159,483
1967	1,417	167,287
1968	1,393	175,869
1969	1,367	184,562
1970	1,388	194,889
1971	1,406	204,617
1972	1,406	213,138
1973	1,409	221,768
1974	1,430	230,233
1975	1,423	238,774
1976	1,425	247,026
1977	1,426	255,399
1978	1,480	263,684
1979	1,509	270,752
1980	1,571	275,287
1981	1,635	277,535
1982	1,697	284,733
1983	1,748	290,085
1984	1,813	296,892
1985	1,881	304,199
1986	1,933	307,074
1987	1,982	317,621
1988	2,022	330,510
1989	2,073	344,279
1990	2,127	360,621
1991	2,176	375,040
1992	2,173	388,430
1993	2,161	408,801
1994	2,168	428,169
1995	2,183	450,259
1996	2,217	471,453
1997	2,220	490,905
1998	2,210	508,408
1999	2,186	516,976
2000	2,153	520,860
2001	2,121	529,656
2002	2,074	535,518
2003	2,045	544,903
2004	2,118	556,319
2005	2,188	568,143
2006	2,285	581,489
2007	2,393	597,772
2008	2,493	615,580
2009	2,573	634,008
2010	2,644	641,543
2011	2,709	640,577
2012	2,678	644,255
2013	2,629	654,230
2014	2,577	660,837
2015	2,555	668,977
2016	2,546	682,801
2017	2,549	699,498
2018	2,561	719,267
2019	2,560	735,853
2020	2,497	736,607
2021	2,408	741,416
2022	2,522	753,931
2023	2,487	766,391

Maternal mortality chart: Kiribati vs Madagascar

The maternal mortality rate, which is the probability of dying during childbirth or within 42 days of pregnancy termination, is 80 deaths per 100,000 live births in Kiribati, compared to 445 deaths in Madagascar.

Table

Year	Maternal mortality per 100K births
	Kiribati	Madagascar
1985	246	751
1986	232	730
1987	231	702
1988	220	687
1989	212	684
1990	199	692
1991	188	691
1992	175	699
1993	162	688
1994	150	688
1995	148	684
1996	141	680
1997	132	676
1998	126	663
1999	121	647
2000	119	638
2001	113	611
2002	109	593
2003	105	571
2004	106	555
2005	104	540
2006	102	528
2007	101	522
2008	100	510
2009	99	507
2010	102	500
2011	98	492
2012	98	487
2013	93	481
2014	91	477
2015	90	474
2016	88	470
2017	90	469
2018	87	466
2019	89	462
2020	89	447
2021	122	467
2022	86	439
2023	80	445

Under-five mortality rates

The chance that a newborn baby will die before reaching age five is 5.51% in Kiribati and 6.48% in Madagascar. Below is the historical data on under-five mortality rates.

Table

Year	Mortality rate before reaching 5 years of age, per 1,000 live births
	Kiribati	Madagascar
1960	19.9%	-
1961	19.5%	-
1962	18.9%	-
1963	18.3%	-
1964	17.7%	-
1965	17.1%	-
1966	16.4%	-
1967	15.8%	-
1968	15.2%	14.6%
1969	14.6%	14.7%
1970	14.1%	14.9%
1971	13.7%	15.1%
1972	13.3%	15.3%
1973	13%	15.6%
1974	12.7%	15.8%
1975	12.5%	16.1%
1976	12.4%	16.3%
1977	12.3%	16.5%
1978	12.2%	16.7%
1979	12%	16.9%
1980	11.9%	17.1%
1981	11.7%	17.4%
1982	11.6%	17.6%
1983	11.4%	17.8%
1984	11.1%	17.8%
1985	10.9%	17.7%
1986	10.6%	17.5%
1987	10.2%	17.1%
1988	9.87%	16.6%
1989	9.5%	16.1%
1990	9.13%	15.6%
1991	8.77%	15%
1992	8.44%	14.5%
1993	8.13%	14%
1994	7.87%	13.5%
1995	7.64%	13.1%
1996	7.42%	12.6%
1997	7.22%	12%
1998	7.02%	11.5%
1999	6.83%	11%
2000	6.64%	10.5%
2001	6.46%	10%
2002	6.31%	9.6%
2003	6.2%	9.2%
2004	6.13%	8.82%
2005	6.07%	8.46%
2006	6.03%	8.12%
2007	5.99%	7.81%
2008	5.93%	7.53%
2009	5.87%	7.28%
2010	5.82%	7.07%
2011	5.79%	6.9%
2012	5.78%	6.77%
2013	5.8%	6.69%
2014	5.84%	6.62%
2015	5.89%	6.58%
2016	5.95%	6.57%
2017	5.99%	6.57%
2018	5.98%	6.58%
2019	5.93%	6.61%
2020	5.86%	6.63%
2021	5.76%	6.62%
2022	5.65%	6.57%
2023	5.51%	6.48%