Fertility & birth rates in Madagascar and South Sudan

Fertility rate in Madagascar vs South Sudan chart

According to the latest available data on birth rates, the fertility rate in Madagascar was 3.97 children per woman in 2023, compared to 3.86 in South Sudan in 2023. The replacement level is considered to be 2.1 children per woman.

Check Madagascar vs South Sudan population clock for a dynamic visualization of the changing population.

The chart below showcases historical changes in the birth rates.

Table

Year	Fertility rate
	Madagascar	South Sudan
1960	7.34	7.16
1961	7.3	7.18
1962	7.26	7.2
1963	7.21	7.2
1964	7.19	7.22
1965	7.17	7.22
1966	7.16	7.25
1967	7.14	7.26
1968	7.13	7.26
1969	7.12	7.28
1970	7.1	7.29
1971	7.07	7.3
1972	7.04	7.31
1973	7.01	7.31
1974	6.99	7.31
1975	6.97	7.33
1976	6.95	7.33
1977	6.93	7.33
1978	6.9	7.33
1979	6.87	7.32
1980	6.84	7.33
1981	6.77	7.33
1982	6.7	7.34
1983	6.63	7.34
1984	6.55	7.35
1985	6.46	7.36
1986	6.34	7.38
1987	6.24	7.39
1988	6.18	7.38
1989	6.15	7.37
1990	6.14	7.38
1991	6.12	7.38
1992	6.08	7.37
1993	6.06	7.36
1994	6.04	7.35
1995	6.04	7.34
1996	6.03	7.32
1997	6.02	7.2
1998	5.99	7.08
1999	5.84	6.94
2000	5.67	6.8
2001	5.53	6.65
2002	5.41	6.52
2003	5.33	6.35
2004	5.26	6.19
2005	5.2	6.02
2006	5.13	5.85
2007	5.08	5.7
2008	5.04	5.57
2009	5	5.45
2010	4.9	5.32
2011	4.74	5.19
2012	4.61	5.06
2013	4.53	4.94
2014	4.42	4.82
2015	4.34	4.7
2016	4.29	4.58
2017	4.26	4.48
2018	4.25	4.37
2019	4.22	4.26
2020	4.17	4.16
2021	4.1	4.05
2022	4.04	3.96
2023	3.97	3.86
2024	3.91	3.79
2025	3.84	3.71
2026	3.78	3.63
2027	3.72	3.56
2028	3.66	3.49
2029	3.61	3.43
2030	3.56	3.37
2031	3.51	3.31
2032	3.46	3.26
2033	3.41	3.2
2034	3.36	3.15
2035	3.32	3.1
2036	3.28	3.06
2037	3.24	3.01
2038	3.2	2.96
2039	3.16	2.92
2040	3.12	2.88
2041	3.09	2.84
2042	3.05	2.8
2043	3.02	2.76
2044	2.99	2.73
2045	2.95	2.69
2046	2.92	2.66
2047	2.9	2.63
2048	2.87	2.6
2049	2.84	2.58
2050	2.82	2.55

Children 0-14 years as share of population

Table

Year	Share of people 0-14 years old
	Madagascar	South Sudan
1960	45.2%	42.5%
1961	45.8%	42.6%
1962	46.3%	42.6%
1963	46.7%	42.8%
1964	46.8%	43%
1965	46.7%	43.3%
1966	46.6%	43.5%
1967	46.5%	43.8%
1968	46.5%	44%
1969	46.4%	44.3%
1970	46.4%	44.5%
1971	46.4%	44.7%
1972	46.4%	44.8%
1973	46.4%	45%
1974	46.5%	45.1%
1975	46.5%	45.2%
1976	46.6%	45.3%
1977	46.7%	45.4%
1978	46.8%	45.5%
1979	46.9%	45.7%
1980	47%	45.8%
1981	47.1%	46%
1982	47.1%	46.2%
1983	47%	46.3%
1984	46.9%	46.5%
1985	46.8%	46.6%
1986	46.7%	46.7%
1987	46.5%	46.9%
1988	46.3%	46.2%
1989	46.1%	45.4%
1990	45.9%	45.4%
1991	45.7%	45.5%
1992	45.6%	45.6%
1993	45.5%	45.7%
1994	45.4%	45.8%
1995	45.3%	45.8%
1996	45.3%	46%
1997	45.3%	46%
1998	45.4%	45.8%
1999	45.4%	45.6%
2000	45.4%	45.5%
2001	45.4%	45.5%
2002	45.4%	45.7%
2003	45.4%	45.9%
2004	45.3%	45.8%
2005	45.2%	45.3%
2006	45%	44.8%
2007	44.8%	44.3%
2008	44.6%	43.8%
2009	44.3%	43.4%
2010	44%	42.8%
2011	43.7%	42.2%
2012	43.3%	41.9%
2013	42.8%	41.9%
2014	42.4%	42.5%
2015	42%	43.1%
2016	41.6%	43.7%
2017	41.2%	45%
2018	40.9%	44.9%
2019	40.7%	43.6%
2020	40.4%	42.4%
2021	40.1%	41.6%
2022	39.9%	40.9%
2023	39.6%	39.9%
2024	39.3%	38.9%
2025	38.9%	38%
2026	38.6%	37.1%
2027	38.4%	36.2%
2028	38.1%	35.5%
2029	37.8%	35%
2030	37.6%	34.7%
2031	37.3%	34.5%
2032	37%	34.4%
2033	36.7%	34.3%
2034	36.4%	34.3%
2035	36%	34.2%
2036	35.7%	34.1%
2037	35.3%	34%
2038	35%	33.8%
2039	34.6%	33.7%
2040	34.3%	33.4%
2041	34%	33.2%
2042	33.6%	32.9%
2043	33.3%	32.5%
2044	33%	32.2%
2045	32.7%	31.8%
2046	32.4%	31.4%
2047	32.1%	31%
2048	31.8%	30.5%
2049	31.6%	30.1%
2050	31.3%	29.7%

Children aged 0-14 make up 39.3% of the population in Madagascar and 38.9% in South Sudan in 2024, compared to 45.9% and 45.4% respectively in 1990.

Demographics of Madagascar and South Sudan compared.

Natural population change in Madagascar vs South Sudan by year

For the past 10 years, the annual natural population change (excluding migration) has been +2.57% in Madagascar and +1.65% in South Sudan. The chart below illustrates the comparison of the absolute yearly changes resulting from births and deaths.

Table

Year	Population change due to births and deaths
	Madagascar	South Sudan
1960	133,684	42,945
1961	136,578	45,186
1962	139,412	47,406
1963	142,666	46,333
1964	146,894	64,786
1965	152,362	51,682
1966	159,483	38,523
1967	167,287	41,357
1968	175,869	44,213
1969	184,562	42,015
1970	194,889	44,776
1971	204,617	72,308
1972	213,138	74,803
1973	221,768	94,765
1974	230,233	97,181
1975	238,774	99,882
1976	247,026	102,346
1977	255,399	104,886
1978	263,684	107,352
1979	270,752	109,540
1980	275,287	112,307
1981	277,535	115,163
1982	284,733	118,641
1983	290,085	104,107
1984	296,892	90,970
1985	304,199	95,342
1986	307,074	99,502
1987	317,621	5,756
1988	330,510	-125,447
1989	344,279	83,735
1990	360,621	82,900
1991	375,040	87,873
1992	388,430	28,874
1993	408,801	32,779
1994	428,169	165,407
1995	450,259	110,417
1996	471,453	116,728
1997	490,905	121,454
1998	508,408	-12,157
1999	516,976	180,721
2000	520,860	196,055
2001	529,656	204,108
2002	535,518	212,014
2003	544,903	225,822
2004	556,319	231,877
2005	568,143	239,272
2006	581,489	246,706
2007	597,772	256,546
2008	615,580	268,268
2009	634,008	278,859
2010	641,543	287,409
2011	640,577	303,181
2012	644,255	312,974
2013	654,230	315,983
2014	660,837	227,611
2015	668,977	148,542
2016	682,801	110,553
2017	699,498	72,193
2018	719,267	168,497
2019	735,853	209,708
2020	736,607	212,332
2021	741,416	213,567
2022	753,931	211,166
2023	766,391	217,966

Maternal mortality chart: Madagascar vs South Sudan

The maternal mortality rate, which is the probability of dying during childbirth or within 42 days of pregnancy termination, is 445 deaths per 100,000 live births in Madagascar, compared to 692 deaths in South Sudan.

Table

Year	Maternal mortality per 100K births
	Madagascar	South Sudan
1985	751	3,845
1986	730	3,720
1987	702	8,045
1988	687	5,535
1989	684	5,103
1990	692	4,877
1991	691	4,764
1992	699	7,597
1993	688	7,537
1994	688	1,666
1995	684	4,430
1996	680	4,357
1997	676	4,172
1998	663	7,514
1999	647	2,048
2000	638	1,658
2001	611	1,580
2002	593	1,521
2003	571	1,199
2004	555	1,150
2005	540	1,074
2006	528	1,005
2007	522	933
2008	510	858
2009	507	823
2010	500	776
2011	492	770
2012	487	755
2013	481	771
2014	477	1,216
2015	474	1,436
2016	470	1,629
2017	469	1,662
2018	466	913
2019	462	745
2020	447	729
2021	467	749
2022	439	704
2023	445	692

Under-five mortality rates

The chance that a newborn baby will die before reaching age five is 6.48% in Madagascar and 9.87% in South Sudan. Below is the historical data on under-five mortality rates.

Table

Year	Mortality rate before reaching 5 years of age, per 1,000 live births
	Madagascar	South Sudan
1960	-	35.5%
1961	-	35.2%
1962	-	34.9%
1963	-	34.6%
1964	-	34.3%
1965	-	34%
1966	-	33.6%
1967	-	33.3%
1968	14.6%	32.9%
1969	14.7%	32.6%
1970	14.9%	32.3%
1971	15.1%	31.9%
1972	15.3%	31.6%
1973	15.6%	31.3%
1974	15.8%	30.9%
1975	16.1%	30.6%
1976	16.3%	30.2%
1977	16.5%	29.9%
1978	16.7%	29.5%
1979	16.9%	29.2%
1980	17.1%	28.9%
1981	17.4%	28.5%
1982	17.6%	28.2%
1983	17.8%	27.8%
1984	17.8%	27.5%
1985	17.7%	27.1%
1986	17.5%	26.7%
1987	17.1%	36%
1988	16.6%	76.7%
1989	16.1%	30.7%
1990	15.6%	30.3%
1991	15%	29.7%
1992	14.5%	33.8%
1993	14%	33.1%
1994	13.5%	23%
1995	13.1%	27%
1996	12.6%	26.1%
1997	12%	25.2%
1998	11.5%	42.6%
1999	11%	19.2%
2000	10.5%	18.3%
2001	10%	17.4%
2002	9.6%	16.5%
2003	9.2%	15.7%
2004	8.82%	14.8%
2005	8.46%	14.1%
2006	8.12%	13.4%
2007	7.81%	12.7%
2008	7.53%	12.1%
2009	7.28%	11.5%
2010	7.07%	10.9%
2011	6.9%	10.5%
2012	6.77%	10.1%
2013	6.69%	9.92%
2014	6.62%	18.2%
2015	6.58%	23.7%
2016	6.57%	26.4%
2017	6.57%	27.8%
2018	6.58%	13.2%
2019	6.61%	9.87%
2020	6.63%	9.87%
2021	6.62%	9.87%
2022	6.57%	9.87%
2023	6.48%	9.87%