Fertility & birth rates in Madagascar and Samoa

Fertility rate in Madagascar vs Samoa chart

According to the latest available data on birth rates, the fertility rate in Madagascar was 3.97 children per woman in 2023, compared to 3.83 in Samoa in 2023. The replacement level is considered to be 2.1 children per woman.

Check Madagascar vs Samoa population clock for a dynamic visualization of the changing population.

The chart below showcases historical changes in the birth rates.

Table

Year	Fertility rate
	Madagascar	Samoa
1960	7.34	7.78
1961	7.3	7.77
1962	7.26	7.76
1963	7.21	7.73
1964	7.19	7.7
1965	7.17	7.65
1966	7.16	7.6
1967	7.14	7.55
1968	7.13	7.5
1969	7.12	7.43
1970	7.1	7.34
1971	7.07	7.22
1972	7.04	7.07
1973	7.01	6.91
1974	6.99	6.75
1975	6.97	6.61
1976	6.95	6.47
1977	6.93	6.31
1978	6.9	6.15
1979	6.87	5.99
1980	6.84	5.86
1981	6.77	5.75
1982	6.7	5.68
1983	6.63	5.62
1984	6.55	5.55
1985	6.46	5.49
1986	6.34	5.42
1987	6.24	5.32
1988	6.18	5.21
1989	6.15	5.11
1990	6.14	5.01
1991	6.12	4.91
1992	6.08	4.87
1993	6.06	4.83
1994	6.04	4.79
1995	6.04	4.77
1996	6.03	4.74
1997	6.02	4.7
1998	5.99	4.64
1999	5.84	4.57
2000	5.67	4.52
2001	5.53	4.48
2002	5.41	4.44
2003	5.33	4.39
2004	5.26	4.34
2005	5.2	4.32
2006	5.13	4.32
2007	5.08	4.36
2008	5.04	4.42
2009	5	4.47
2010	4.9	4.52
2011	4.74	4.56
2012	4.61	4.55
2013	4.53	4.49
2014	4.42	4.42
2015	4.34	4.34
2016	4.29	4.26
2017	4.26	4.2
2018	4.25	4.14
2019	4.22	4.06
2020	4.17	4
2021	4.1	3.94
2022	4.04	3.88
2023	3.97	3.83
2024	3.91	3.8
2025	3.84	3.75
2026	3.78	3.7
2027	3.72	3.66
2028	3.66	3.62
2029	3.61	3.58
2030	3.56	3.54
2031	3.51	3.5
2032	3.46	3.46
2033	3.41	3.42
2034	3.36	3.39
2035	3.32	3.35
2036	3.28	3.31
2037	3.24	3.27
2038	3.2	3.24
2039	3.16	3.21
2040	3.12	3.17
2041	3.09	3.13
2042	3.05	3.1
2043	3.02	3.06
2044	2.99	3.04
2045	2.95	3.01
2046	2.92	2.98
2047	2.9	2.95
2048	2.87	2.92
2049	2.84	2.89
2050	2.82	2.86

Children 0-14 years as share of population

Table

Year	Share of people 0-14 years old
	Madagascar	Samoa
1960	45.2%	50.1%
1961	45.8%	50.2%
1962	46.3%	50.6%
1963	46.7%	50.9%
1964	46.8%	51.2%
1965	46.7%	51.3%
1966	46.6%	51.3%
1967	46.5%	51.4%
1968	46.5%	51.4%
1969	46.4%	51.4%
1970	46.4%	51.2%
1971	46.4%	51%
1972	46.4%	50.8%
1973	46.4%	50.4%
1974	46.5%	49.9%
1975	46.5%	49.3%
1976	46.6%	48.6%
1977	46.7%	48%
1978	46.8%	47.4%
1979	46.9%	46.9%
1980	47%	46.4%
1981	47.1%	45.9%
1982	47.1%	45.2%
1983	47%	44.4%
1984	46.9%	43.7%
1985	46.8%	43.1%
1986	46.7%	42.6%
1987	46.5%	42.2%
1988	46.3%	42%
1989	46.1%	41.8%
1990	45.9%	41.5%
1991	45.7%	41.2%
1992	45.6%	40.8%
1993	45.5%	40.3%
1994	45.4%	40%
1995	45.3%	39.9%
1996	45.3%	39.9%
1997	45.3%	40.1%
1998	45.4%	40.2%
1999	45.4%	40.3%
2000	45.4%	40.5%
2001	45.4%	40.7%
2002	45.4%	40.5%
2003	45.4%	40.2%
2004	45.3%	39.9%
2005	45.2%	39.6%
2006	45%	39.4%
2007	44.8%	39%
2008	44.6%	38.7%
2009	44.3%	38.5%
2010	44%	38.4%
2011	43.7%	38.4%
2012	43.3%	38.3%
2013	42.8%	38.1%
2014	42.4%	38.1%
2015	42%	38.1%
2016	41.6%	38.1%
2017	41.2%	38.2%
2018	40.9%	38.3%
2019	40.7%	38.5%
2020	40.4%	38.6%
2021	40.1%	38.7%
2022	39.9%	38.8%
2023	39.6%	38.7%
2024	39.3%	38.5%
2025	38.9%	38.1%
2026	38.6%	37.5%
2027	38.4%	36.9%
2028	38.1%	36.3%
2029	37.8%	35.8%
2030	37.6%	35.2%
2031	37.3%	34.7%
2032	37%	34.2%
2033	36.7%	33.7%
2034	36.4%	33.3%
2035	36%	33%
2036	35.7%	32.7%
2037	35.3%	32.6%
2038	35%	32.6%
2039	34.6%	32.7%
2040	34.3%	32.7%
2041	34%	32.8%
2042	33.6%	32.9%
2043	33.3%	33%
2044	33%	33.1%
2045	32.7%	33.1%
2046	32.4%	33.1%
2047	32.1%	33%
2048	31.8%	32.9%
2049	31.6%	32.7%
2050	31.3%	32.5%

Children aged 0-14 make up 39.3% of the population in Madagascar and 38.5% in Samoa in 2024, compared to 45.9% and 41.5% respectively in 1990.

Demographics of Madagascar and Samoa compared.

Natural population change in Madagascar vs Samoa by year

For the past 10 years, the annual natural population change (excluding migration) has been +2.57% in Madagascar and +2.18% in Samoa. The chart below illustrates the comparison of the absolute yearly changes resulting from births and deaths.

Table

Year	Population change due to births and deaths
	Madagascar	Samoa
1960	133,684	4,298
1961	136,578	4,399
1962	139,412	4,498
1963	142,666	4,544
1964	146,894	4,326
1965	152,362	4,605
1966	159,483	4,593
1967	167,287	4,621
1968	175,869	4,605
1969	184,562	4,592
1970	194,889	4,567
1971	204,617	4,534
1972	213,138	4,487
1973	221,768	4,446
1974	230,233	4,411
1975	238,774	4,465
1976	247,026	4,519
1977	255,399	4,555
1978	263,684	4,587
1979	270,752	4,624
1980	275,287	4,672
1981	277,535	4,720
1982	284,733	4,808
1983	290,085	4,914
1984	296,892	4,979
1985	304,199	4,998
1986	307,074	4,983
1987	317,621	4,909
1988	330,510	4,889
1989	344,279	4,845
1990	360,621	4,759
1991	375,040	4,655
1992	388,430	4,652
1993	408,801	4,769
1994	428,169	4,880
1995	450,259	4,976
1996	471,453	5,038
1997	490,905	5,053
1998	508,408	5,022
1999	516,976	4,937
2000	520,860	4,855
2001	529,656	4,759
2002	535,518	4,672
2003	544,903	4,622
2004	556,319	4,554
2005	568,143	4,503
2006	581,489	4,473
2007	597,772	4,480
2008	615,580	4,581
2009	634,008	4,525
2010	641,543	4,779
2011	640,577	4,860
2012	644,255	4,863
2013	654,230	4,875
2014	660,837	4,849
2015	668,977	4,795
2016	682,801	4,720
2017	699,498	4,661
2018	719,267	4,637
2019	735,853	4,495
2020	736,607	4,442
2021	741,416	4,379
2022	753,931	4,288
2023	766,391	4,170

Maternal mortality chart: Madagascar vs Samoa

The maternal mortality rate, which is the probability of dying during childbirth or within 42 days of pregnancy termination, is 445 deaths per 100,000 live births in Madagascar, compared to 101 deaths in Samoa.

Table

Year	Maternal mortality per 100K births
	Madagascar	Samoa
1985	751	160
1986	730	153
1987	702	147
1988	687	143
1989	684	136
1990	692	135
1991	691	131
1992	699	124
1993	688	117
1994	688	112
1995	684	105
1996	680	103
1997	676	98
1998	663	96
1999	647	94
2000	638	93
2001	611	93
2002	593	89
2003	571	87
2004	555	86
2005	540	87
2006	528	86
2007	522	85
2008	510	87
2009	507	94
2010	500	92
2011	492	93
2012	487	101
2013	481	100
2014	477	106
2015	474	108
2016	470	108
2017	469	111
2018	466	110
2019	462	111
2020	447	114
2021	467	115
2022	439	110
2023	445	101

Under-five mortality rates

The chance that a newborn baby will die before reaching age five is 6.48% in Madagascar and 1.57% in Samoa. Below is the historical data on under-five mortality rates.

Table

Year	Mortality rate before reaching 5 years of age, per 1,000 live births
	Madagascar	Samoa
1960	-	10.7%
1961	-	10.3%
1962	-	9.93%
1963	-	9.56%
1964	-	11.1%
1965	-	8.9%
1966	-	8.57%
1967	-	8.23%
1968	14.6%	7.89%
1969	14.7%	7.53%
1970	14.9%	7.19%
1971	15.1%	6.85%
1972	15.3%	6.52%
1973	15.6%	6.2%
1974	15.8%	5.9%
1975	16.1%	5.62%
1976	16.3%	5.34%
1977	16.5%	5.07%
1978	16.7%	4.82%
1979	16.9%	4.59%
1980	17.1%	4.38%
1981	17.4%	4.19%
1982	17.6%	4.01%
1983	17.8%	3.85%
1984	17.8%	3.7%
1985	17.7%	3.56%
1986	17.5%	3.42%
1987	17.1%	3.3%
1988	16.6%	3.18%
1989	16.1%	3.08%
1990	15.6%	2.98%
1991	15%	2.89%
1992	14.5%	2.8%
1993	14%	2.7%
1994	13.5%	2.61%
1995	13.1%	2.52%
1996	12.6%	2.44%
1997	12%	2.35%
1998	11.5%	2.27%
1999	11%	2.19%
2000	10.5%	2.12%
2001	10%	2.06%
2002	9.6%	2%
2003	9.2%	1.97%
2004	8.82%	1.94%
2005	8.46%	1.93%
2006	8.12%	1.93%
2007	7.81%	1.93%
2008	7.53%	1.93%
2009	7.28%	2.54%
2010	7.07%	1.93%
2011	6.9%	1.92%
2012	6.77%	1.91%
2013	6.69%	1.89%
2014	6.62%	1.87%
2015	6.58%	1.85%
2016	6.57%	1.83%
2017	6.57%	1.81%
2018	6.58%	1.78%
2019	6.61%	2.02%
2020	6.63%	1.7%
2021	6.62%	1.66%
2022	6.57%	1.62%
2023	6.48%	1.57%