Fertility & birth rates in Ethiopia and Sri Lanka

Fertility rate in Ethiopia vs Sri Lanka chart

According to the latest available data on birth rates, the fertility rate in Ethiopia was 3.99 children per woman in 2023, compared to 1.97 in Sri Lanka in 2023. The replacement level is considered to be 2.1 children per woman.

Check Ethiopia vs Sri Lanka population clock for a dynamic visualization of the changing population.

The chart below showcases historical changes in the birth rates.

Table

Year	Fertility rate
	Ethiopia	Sri Lanka
1960	6.51	5.35
1961	6.53	5.24
1962	6.56	5.18
1963	6.59	5.12
1964	6.61	5.06
1965	6.63	4.93
1966	6.66	4.83
1967	6.68	4.79
1968	6.7	4.66
1969	6.72	4.5
1970	6.78	4.39
1971	6.84	4.27
1972	6.9	4.16
1973	6.96	4
1974	7.02	3.86
1975	7.08	3.82
1976	7.13	3.78
1977	7.19	3.74
1978	7.23	3.81
1979	7.25	3.82
1980	7.29	3.73
1981	7.31	3.65
1982	7.34	3.32
1983	7.35	3.11
1984	7.36	3.01
1985	7.34	2.9
1986	7.32	2.74
1987	7.29	2.64
1988	7.26	2.57
1989	7.23	2.58
1990	7.2	2.54
1991	7.16	2.51
1992	7.13	2.49
1993	7.09	2.44
1994	7.05	2.4
1995	7	2.35
1996	6.93	2.29
1997	6.87	2.22
1998	6.79	2.14
1999	6.72	2.14
2000	6.65	2.21
2001	6.58	2.28
2002	6.5	2.31
2003	6.4	2.3
2004	6.3	2.27
2005	6.19	2.26
2006	6.05	2.29
2007	5.89	2.3
2008	5.7	2.23
2009	5.49	2.18
2010	5.28	2.13
2011	5.08	2.14
2012	4.89	2.17
2013	4.71	2.18
2014	4.61	2.13
2015	4.53	2.09
2016	4.47	2.06
2017	4.4	2.04
2018	4.37	2.03
2019	4.35	2.02
2020	4.27	2.01
2021	4.18	2
2022	4.08	1.98
2023	3.99	1.97
2024	3.91	1.95
2025	3.81	1.94
2026	3.72	1.93
2027	3.64	1.91
2028	3.57	1.9
2029	3.5	1.89
2030	3.43	1.88
2031	3.36	1.87
2032	3.3	1.86
2033	3.24	1.85
2034	3.19	1.85
2035	3.14	1.84
2036	3.08	1.83
2037	3.03	1.83
2038	2.99	1.82
2039	2.94	1.81
2040	2.9	1.81
2041	2.86	1.8
2042	2.83	1.8
2043	2.79	1.8
2044	2.75	1.79
2045	2.72	1.79
2046	2.68	1.79
2047	2.65	1.78
2048	2.62	1.78
2049	2.59	1.77
2050	2.55	1.77

Children 0-14 years as share of population

Table

Year	Share of people 0-14 years old
	Ethiopia	Sri Lanka
1960	42.2%	41%
1961	42.2%	40.9%
1962	42.1%	40.8%
1963	42.2%	40.7%
1964	42.3%	40.6%
1965	42.5%	40.5%
1966	42.9%	40.4%
1967	43.2%	40.3%
1968	43.5%	40.1%
1969	43.8%	39.9%
1970	44.2%	39.7%
1971	44.5%	39.5%
1972	44.9%	39.2%
1973	45.2%	38.8%
1974	45.4%	38.4%
1975	45.6%	38%
1976	45.7%	37.6%
1977	45.9%	37.2%
1978	46.1%	36.9%
1979	46.2%	36.7%
1980	46.3%	36.4%
1981	46.4%	36.2%
1982	46.5%	36%
1983	46.4%	35.8%
1984	46.2%	35.5%
1985	46.1%	35.2%
1986	46%	34.6%
1987	46%	34%
1988	46%	33.5%
1989	46.1%	33%
1990	46.2%	32.5%
1991	46.2%	32.1%
1992	46.2%	31.4%
1993	46.4%	30.6%
1994	46.5%	29.9%
1995	46.7%	29.2%
1996	46.9%	28.6%
1997	47.1%	28.2%
1998	47.4%	27.8%
1999	47.6%	27.4%
2000	47.7%	27%
2001	47.8%	26.6%
2002	47.8%	26.3%
2003	47.7%	26.1%
2004	47.6%	26%
2005	47.4%	25.8%
2006	47.2%	25.7%
2007	46.9%	25.7%
2008	46.6%	25.6%
2009	46.2%	25.5%
2010	45.7%	25.4%
2011	45.2%	25.3%
2012	44.6%	25.2%
2013	44%	25%
2014	43.4%	24.9%
2015	42.9%	24.7%
2016	42.3%	24.5%
2017	41.8%	24.2%
2018	41.3%	24%
2019	40.9%	23.7%
2020	40.5%	23.3%
2021	40.1%	23%
2022	39.7%	22.7%
2023	39.4%	22.4%
2024	39.1%	22%
2025	38.8%	21.7%
2026	38.5%	21.4%
2027	38.3%	21.1%
2028	38.1%	20.8%
2029	37.8%	20.5%
2030	37.6%	20.2%
2031	37.3%	20%
2032	37%	19.8%
2033	36.6%	19.6%
2034	36.2%	19.4%
2035	35.8%	19.2%
2036	35.4%	19.1%
2037	34.9%	18.9%
2038	34.5%	18.8%
2039	34%	18.7%
2040	33.6%	18.6%
2041	33.2%	18.4%
2042	32.8%	18.3%
2043	32.4%	18.2%
2044	32%	18.1%
2045	31.7%	18%
2046	31.3%	17.9%
2047	31%	17.7%
2048	30.7%	17.6%
2049	30.3%	17.5%
2050	30%	17.3%

Children aged 0-14 make up 39.1% of the population in Ethiopia and 22% in Sri Lanka in 2024, compared to 46.2% and 32.5% respectively in 1990.

Demographics of Ethiopia and Sri Lanka compared.

Natural population change in Ethiopia vs Sri Lanka by year

For the past 10 years, the annual natural population change (excluding migration) has been +2.64% in Ethiopia and +0.75% in Sri Lanka. The chart below illustrates the comparison of the absolute yearly changes resulting from births and deaths.

Table

Year	Population change due to births and deaths
	Ethiopia	Sri Lanka
1960	511,694	247,631
1961	538,518	251,087
1962	563,650	256,719
1963	590,998	262,880
1964	618,667	269,584
1965	642,359	272,422
1966	616,281	275,549
1967	695,283	284,738
1968	715,602	286,642
1969	736,428	286,218
1970	760,821	286,719
1971	787,047	281,200
1972	779,808	282,494
1973	807,535	278,577
1974	777,306	275,521
1975	801,425	282,496
1976	899,577	291,816
1977	929,381	300,038
1978	943,388	317,055
1979	987,203	329,791
1980	1,007,516	328,155
1981	1,018,838	328,096
1982	1,080,853	300,030
1983	863,472	277,768
1984	920,670	263,175
1985	997,050	247,836
1986	1,050,277	233,782
1987	1,356,853	226,414
1988	1,393,356	219,184
1989	1,441,769	212,401
1990	1,479,663	224,454
1991	1,579,416	218,117
1992	1,673,839	222,230
1993	1,734,851	226,257
1994	1,788,133	228,904
1995	1,831,068	221,957
1996	1,896,364	215,290
1997	1,945,112	208,193
1998	1,984,989	201,059
1999	2,010,987	206,876
2000	2,083,622	227,060
2001	2,137,791	244,377
2002	2,189,683	252,840
2003	2,231,223	252,008
2004	2,296,999	212,527
2005	2,353,375	248,683
2006	2,393,585	248,706
2007	2,436,753	248,287
2008	2,465,283	232,225
2009	2,467,118	200,175
2010	2,498,048	224,325
2011	2,527,811	224,461
2012	2,533,398	229,138
2013	2,546,020	221,021
2014	2,623,647	211,541
2015	2,713,529	201,815
2016	2,809,889	194,232
2017	2,899,143	187,993
2018	3,015,231	183,610
2019	3,132,780	172,243
2020	3,199,718	170,968
2021	3,204,673	121,858
2022	3,300,114	95,378
2023	3,338,649	66,111

Maternal mortality chart: Ethiopia vs Sri Lanka

The maternal mortality rate, which is the probability of dying during childbirth or within 42 days of pregnancy termination, is 195 deaths per 100,000 live births in Ethiopia, compared to 18 deaths in Sri Lanka.

Table

Year	Maternal mortality per 100K births
	Ethiopia	Sri Lanka
1985	1,329	68
1986	1,317	66
1987	1,289	64
1988	1,306	62
1989	1,296	61
1990	1,320	59
1991	1,239	57
1992	1,218	54
1993	1,168	51
1994	1,113	49
1995	1,060	48
1996	1,008	47
1997	957	45
1998	911	43
1999	901	41
2000	870	39
2001	856	37
2002	826	36
2003	797	35
2004	764	37
2005	754	32
2006	729	32
2007	704	31
2008	678	30
2009	649	28
2010	619	26
2011	588	25
2012	545	24
2013	494	23
2014	444	23
2015	401	22
2016	364	22
2017	327	21
2018	297	21
2019	269	20
2020	244	23
2021	250	34
2022	207	22
2023	195	18

Under-five mortality rates

The chance that a newborn baby will die before reaching age five is 4.65% in Ethiopia and 0.61% in Sri Lanka. Below is the historical data on under-five mortality rates.

Table

Year	Mortality rate before reaching 5 years of age, per 1,000 live births
	Ethiopia	Sri Lanka
1960	-	9.41%
1961	-	8.95%
1962	-	8.66%
1963	-	8.48%
1964	-	8.3%
1965	-	8.07%
1966	27.8%	7.81%
1967	24.9%	7.55%
1968	24.8%	7.32%
1969	24.8%	7.14%
1970	24.7%	7.02%
1971	24.7%	6.94%
1972	24.7%	6.86%
1973	24.6%	6.77%
1974	28.3%	6.62%
1975	28.2%	6.41%
1976	24.5%	6.12%
1977	24.5%	5.77%
1978	24.4%	5.38%
1979	24.2%	4.99%
1980	24%	4.63%
1981	23.8%	4.29%
1982	23.5%	3.98%
1983	32%	3.67%
1984	31.4%	3.35%
1985	30.3%	3.02%
1986	29.7%	2.74%
1987	21.5%	2.54%
1988	21%	2.41%
1989	20.6%	2.74%
1990	20.2%	2.33%
1991	19.7%	2.32%
1992	19.1%	2.29%
1993	18.5%	2.22%
1994	17.9%	2.14%
1995	17.2%	2.05%
1996	16.6%	1.95%
1997	15.9%	1.86%
1998	15.3%	1.76%
1999	14.7%	1.69%
2000	14%	1.63%
2001	13.4%	1.58%
2002	12.8%	1.55%
2003	12.1%	1.52%
2004	11.5%	2.88%
2005	10.9%	1.4%
2006	10.3%	1.33%
2007	9.74%	1.26%
2008	9.23%	1.2%
2009	8.76%	2.08%
2010	8.32%	1.12%
2011	7.91%	1.08%
2012	7.53%	1.03%
2013	7.16%	0.98%
2014	6.82%	0.92%
2015	6.49%	0.87%
2016	6.17%	0.83%
2017	5.89%	0.79%
2018	5.64%	0.76%
2019	5.41%	0.72%
2020	5.2%	0.69%
2021	5%	0.66%
2022	4.82%	0.64%
2023	4.65%	0.61%