Fertility & birth rates in Kiribati and Sri Lanka

Fertility rate in Kiribati vs Sri Lanka chart

According to the latest available data on birth rates, the fertility rate in Kiribati was 3.15 children per woman in 2023, compared to 1.97 in Sri Lanka in 2023. The replacement level is considered to be 2.1 children per woman.

Check Kiribati vs Sri Lanka population clock for a dynamic visualization of the changing population.

The chart below showcases historical changes in the birth rates.

Table

Year	Fertility rate
	Kiribati	Sri Lanka
1960	6.44	5.35
1961	6.48	5.24
1962	6.42	5.18
1963	6.35	5.12
1964	6.29	5.06
1965	6.26	4.93
1966	6.23	4.83
1967	6.11	4.79
1968	5.98	4.66
1969	5.85	4.5
1970	5.71	4.39
1971	5.55	4.27
1972	5.37	4.16
1973	5.2	4
1974	5.09	3.86
1975	5.02	3.82
1976	4.96	3.78
1977	4.96	3.74
1978	4.97	3.81
1979	4.97	3.82
1980	4.96	3.73
1981	4.96	3.65
1982	4.95	3.32
1983	4.91	3.11
1984	4.91	3.01
1985	4.91	2.9
1986	4.87	2.74
1987	4.81	2.64
1988	4.73	2.57
1989	4.69	2.58
1990	4.67	2.54
1991	4.64	2.51
1992	4.57	2.49
1993	4.49	2.44
1994	4.44	2.4
1995	4.42	2.35
1996	4.43	2.29
1997	4.37	2.22
1998	4.29	2.14
1999	4.18	2.14
2000	4.07	2.21
2001	3.96	2.28
2002	3.81	2.31
2003	3.7	2.3
2004	3.73	2.27
2005	3.76	2.26
2006	3.82	2.29
2007	3.87	2.3
2008	3.9	2.23
2009	3.91	2.18
2010	3.9	2.13
2011	3.88	2.14
2012	3.77	2.17
2013	3.64	2.18
2014	3.52	2.13
2015	3.44	2.09
2016	3.38	2.06
2017	3.34	2.04
2018	3.32	2.03
2019	3.29	2.02
2020	3.25	2.01
2021	3.22	2
2022	3.18	1.98
2023	3.15	1.97
2024	3.12	1.95
2025	3.09	1.94
2026	3.06	1.93
2027	3.03	1.91
2028	3	1.9
2029	2.97	1.89
2030	2.94	1.88
2031	2.92	1.87
2032	2.89	1.86
2033	2.86	1.85
2034	2.84	1.85
2035	2.81	1.84
2036	2.79	1.83
2037	2.77	1.83
2038	2.74	1.82
2039	2.72	1.81
2040	2.69	1.81
2041	2.67	1.8
2042	2.64	1.8
2043	2.62	1.8
2044	2.6	1.79
2045	2.58	1.79
2046	2.56	1.79
2047	2.54	1.78
2048	2.52	1.78
2049	2.5	1.77
2050	2.48	1.77

Children 0-14 years as share of population

Table

Year	Share of people 0-14 years old
	Kiribati	Sri Lanka
1960	43.2%	41%
1961	43.5%	40.9%
1962	43.8%	40.8%
1963	44%	40.7%
1964	44%	40.6%
1965	43.9%	40.5%
1966	44.1%	40.4%
1967	44.5%	40.3%
1968	44.9%	40.1%
1969	45%	39.9%
1970	44.9%	39.7%
1971	44.8%	39.5%
1972	44.8%	39.2%
1973	44.6%	38.8%
1974	44.2%	38.4%
1975	43.7%	38%
1976	43.2%	37.6%
1977	42.8%	37.2%
1978	42.3%	36.9%
1979	41.8%	36.7%
1980	41.1%	36.4%
1981	40.5%	36.2%
1982	39.9%	36%
1983	39.5%	35.8%
1984	39.2%	35.5%
1985	39.2%	35.2%
1986	39.2%	34.6%
1987	39.4%	34%
1988	39.7%	33.5%
1989	39.9%	33%
1990	40.2%	32.5%
1991	40.5%	32.1%
1992	40.8%	31.4%
1993	41%	30.6%
1994	41.2%	29.9%
1995	41.2%	29.2%
1996	41.1%	28.6%
1997	41%	28.2%
1998	40.8%	27.8%
1999	40.5%	27.4%
2000	40.1%	27%
2001	39.8%	26.6%
2002	39.3%	26.3%
2003	38.9%	26.1%
2004	38.4%	26%
2005	38%	25.8%
2006	37.6%	25.7%
2007	37.3%	25.7%
2008	37%	25.6%
2009	36.8%	25.5%
2010	36.6%	25.4%
2011	36.4%	25.3%
2012	36.1%	25.2%
2013	35.7%	25%
2014	35.4%	24.9%
2015	35.2%	24.7%
2016	35%	24.5%
2017	35%	24.2%
2018	35.1%	24%
2019	35.1%	23.7%
2020	35.2%	23.3%
2021	35.2%	23%
2022	35.1%	22.7%
2023	34.9%	22.4%
2024	34.7%	22%
2025	34.4%	21.7%
2026	34%	21.4%
2027	33.5%	21.1%
2028	33.1%	20.8%
2029	32.7%	20.5%
2030	32.4%	20.2%
2031	32%	20%
2032	31.7%	19.8%
2033	31.3%	19.6%
2034	31%	19.4%
2035	30.6%	19.2%
2036	30.3%	19.1%
2037	30%	18.9%
2038	29.7%	18.8%
2039	29.4%	18.7%
2040	29.2%	18.6%
2041	29%	18.4%
2042	28.8%	18.3%
2043	28.6%	18.2%
2044	28.4%	18.1%
2045	28.3%	18%
2046	28.1%	17.9%
2047	27.9%	17.7%
2048	27.8%	17.6%
2049	27.6%	17.5%
2050	27.4%	17.3%

Children aged 0-14 make up 34.7% of the population in Kiribati and 22% in Sri Lanka in 2024, compared to 40.2% and 32.5% respectively in 1990.

Demographics of Kiribati and Sri Lanka compared.

Natural population change in Kiribati vs Sri Lanka by year

For the past 10 years, the annual natural population change (excluding migration) has been +2.05% in Kiribati and +0.75% in Sri Lanka. The chart below illustrates the comparison of the absolute yearly changes resulting from births and deaths.

Table

Year	Population change due to births and deaths
	Kiribati	Sri Lanka
1960	1,141	247,631
1961	1,199	251,087
1962	1,233	256,719
1963	1,273	262,880
1964	1,318	269,584
1965	1,376	272,422
1966	1,437	275,549
1967	1,417	284,738
1968	1,393	286,642
1969	1,367	286,218
1970	1,388	286,719
1971	1,406	281,200
1972	1,406	282,494
1973	1,409	278,577
1974	1,430	275,521
1975	1,423	282,496
1976	1,425	291,816
1977	1,426	300,038
1978	1,480	317,055
1979	1,509	329,791
1980	1,571	328,155
1981	1,635	328,096
1982	1,697	300,030
1983	1,748	277,768
1984	1,813	263,175
1985	1,881	247,836
1986	1,933	233,782
1987	1,982	226,414
1988	2,022	219,184
1989	2,073	212,401
1990	2,127	224,454
1991	2,176	218,117
1992	2,173	222,230
1993	2,161	226,257
1994	2,168	228,904
1995	2,183	221,957
1996	2,217	215,290
1997	2,220	208,193
1998	2,210	201,059
1999	2,186	206,876
2000	2,153	227,060
2001	2,121	244,377
2002	2,074	252,840
2003	2,045	252,008
2004	2,118	212,527
2005	2,188	248,683
2006	2,285	248,706
2007	2,393	248,287
2008	2,493	232,225
2009	2,573	200,175
2010	2,644	224,325
2011	2,709	224,461
2012	2,678	229,138
2013	2,629	221,021
2014	2,577	211,541
2015	2,555	201,815
2016	2,546	194,232
2017	2,549	187,993
2018	2,561	183,610
2019	2,560	172,243
2020	2,497	170,968
2021	2,408	121,858
2022	2,522	95,378
2023	2,487	66,111

Maternal mortality chart: Kiribati vs Sri Lanka

The maternal mortality rate, which is the probability of dying during childbirth or within 42 days of pregnancy termination, is 80 deaths per 100,000 live births in Kiribati, compared to 18 deaths in Sri Lanka.

Table

Year	Maternal mortality per 100K births
	Kiribati	Sri Lanka
1985	246	68
1986	232	66
1987	231	64
1988	220	62
1989	212	61
1990	199	59
1991	188	57
1992	175	54
1993	162	51
1994	150	49
1995	148	48
1996	141	47
1997	132	45
1998	126	43
1999	121	41
2000	119	39
2001	113	37
2002	109	36
2003	105	35
2004	106	37
2005	104	32
2006	102	32
2007	101	31
2008	100	30
2009	99	28
2010	102	26
2011	98	25
2012	98	24
2013	93	23
2014	91	23
2015	90	22
2016	88	22
2017	90	21
2018	87	21
2019	89	20
2020	89	23
2021	122	34
2022	86	22
2023	80	18

Under-five mortality rates

The chance that a newborn baby will die before reaching age five is 5.51% in Kiribati and 0.61% in Sri Lanka. Below is the historical data on under-five mortality rates.

Table

Year	Mortality rate before reaching 5 years of age, per 1,000 live births
	Kiribati	Sri Lanka
1960	19.9%	9.41%
1961	19.5%	8.95%
1962	18.9%	8.66%
1963	18.3%	8.48%
1964	17.7%	8.3%
1965	17.1%	8.07%
1966	16.4%	7.81%
1967	15.8%	7.55%
1968	15.2%	7.32%
1969	14.6%	7.14%
1970	14.1%	7.02%
1971	13.7%	6.94%
1972	13.3%	6.86%
1973	13%	6.77%
1974	12.7%	6.62%
1975	12.5%	6.41%
1976	12.4%	6.12%
1977	12.3%	5.77%
1978	12.2%	5.38%
1979	12%	4.99%
1980	11.9%	4.63%
1981	11.7%	4.29%
1982	11.6%	3.98%
1983	11.4%	3.67%
1984	11.1%	3.35%
1985	10.9%	3.02%
1986	10.6%	2.74%
1987	10.2%	2.54%
1988	9.87%	2.41%
1989	9.5%	2.74%
1990	9.13%	2.33%
1991	8.77%	2.32%
1992	8.44%	2.29%
1993	8.13%	2.22%
1994	7.87%	2.14%
1995	7.64%	2.05%
1996	7.42%	1.95%
1997	7.22%	1.86%
1998	7.02%	1.76%
1999	6.83%	1.69%
2000	6.64%	1.63%
2001	6.46%	1.58%
2002	6.31%	1.55%
2003	6.2%	1.52%
2004	6.13%	2.88%
2005	6.07%	1.4%
2006	6.03%	1.33%
2007	5.99%	1.26%
2008	5.93%	1.2%
2009	5.87%	2.08%
2010	5.82%	1.12%
2011	5.79%	1.08%
2012	5.78%	1.03%
2013	5.8%	0.98%
2014	5.84%	0.92%
2015	5.89%	0.87%
2016	5.95%	0.83%
2017	5.99%	0.79%
2018	5.98%	0.76%
2019	5.93%	0.72%
2020	5.86%	0.69%
2021	5.76%	0.66%
2022	5.65%	0.64%
2023	5.51%	0.61%