Fertility & birth rates in Madagascar and Tuvalu

Fertility rate in Madagascar vs Tuvalu chart

According to the latest available data on birth rates, the fertility rate in Madagascar was 3.97 children per woman in 2023, compared to 3.21 in Tuvalu in 2023. The replacement level is considered to be 2.1 children per woman.

Check Madagascar vs Tuvalu population clock for a dynamic visualization of the changing population.

The chart below showcases historical changes in the birth rates.

Table

Year	Fertility rate
	Madagascar	Tuvalu
1960	7.34	5.15
1961	7.3	5.09
1962	7.26	5
1963	7.21	4.91
1964	7.19	4.83
1965	7.17	4.73
1966	7.16	4.64
1967	7.14	4.49
1968	7.13	4.36
1969	7.12	4.23
1970	7.1	4.08
1971	7.07	3.94
1972	7.04	3.81
1973	7.01	3.71
1974	6.99	3.63
1975	6.97	3.58
1976	6.95	3.55
1977	6.93	3.56
1978	6.9	3.59
1979	6.87	3.65
1980	6.84	3.73
1981	6.77	3.8
1982	6.7	3.88
1983	6.63	3.91
1984	6.55	3.95
1985	6.46	3.97
1986	6.34	3.97
1987	6.24	3.94
1988	6.18	3.88
1989	6.15	3.8
1990	6.14	3.75
1991	6.12	3.79
1992	6.08	3.86
1993	6.06	3.92
1994	6.04	3.92
1995	6.04	3.96
1996	6.03	3.95
1997	6.02	3.95
1998	5.99	3.95
1999	5.84	3.92
2000	5.67	3.84
2001	5.53	3.75
2002	5.41	3.64
2003	5.33	3.58
2004	5.26	3.55
2005	5.2	3.55
2006	5.13	3.53
2007	5.08	3.45
2008	5.04	3.42
2009	5	3.43
2010	4.9	3.44
2011	4.74	3.46
2012	4.61	3.47
2013	4.53	3.39
2014	4.42	3.33
2015	4.34	3.31
2016	4.29	3.3
2017	4.26	3.3
2018	4.25	3.33
2019	4.22	3.33
2020	4.17	3.31
2021	4.1	3.28
2022	4.04	3.24
2023	3.97	3.21
2024	3.91	3.17
2025	3.84	3.14
2026	3.78	3.1
2027	3.72	3.06
2028	3.66	3.03
2029	3.61	3
2030	3.56	2.97
2031	3.51	2.94
2032	3.46	2.91
2033	3.41	2.88
2034	3.36	2.84
2035	3.32	2.82
2036	3.28	2.79
2037	3.24	2.77
2038	3.2	2.74
2039	3.16	2.72
2040	3.12	2.69
2041	3.09	2.67
2042	3.05	2.65
2043	3.02	2.63
2044	2.99	2.61
2045	2.95	2.58
2046	2.92	2.57
2047	2.9	2.54
2048	2.87	2.52
2049	2.84	2.5
2050	2.82	2.48

Children 0-14 years as share of population

Table

Year	Share of people 0-14 years old
	Madagascar	Tuvalu
1960	45.2%	41%
1961	45.8%	42.1%
1962	46.3%	43.1%
1963	46.7%	43.9%
1964	46.8%	44.1%
1965	46.7%	43.9%
1966	46.6%	43.9%
1967	46.5%	44.1%
1968	46.5%	44.3%
1969	46.4%	43.9%
1970	46.4%	43.2%
1971	46.4%	42.3%
1972	46.4%	41.3%
1973	46.4%	40.2%
1974	46.5%	39.4%
1975	46.5%	38.9%
1976	46.6%	38.1%
1977	46.7%	37%
1978	46.8%	35.5%
1979	46.9%	34.5%
1980	47%	34%
1981	47.1%	33.4%
1982	47.1%	32.8%
1983	47%	32.1%
1984	46.9%	31.6%
1985	46.8%	31.7%
1986	46.7%	32.3%
1987	46.5%	32.9%
1988	46.3%	33.5%
1989	46.1%	34.1%
1990	45.9%	34.5%
1991	45.7%	35%
1992	45.6%	35.4%
1993	45.5%	35.9%
1994	45.4%	36.1%
1995	45.3%	36.2%
1996	45.3%	36.3%
1997	45.3%	36.3%
1998	45.4%	36.3%
1999	45.4%	36.2%
2000	45.4%	36.3%
2001	45.4%	36.3%
2002	45.4%	36.3%
2003	45.4%	36%
2004	45.3%	35.5%
2005	45.2%	35%
2006	45%	34.5%
2007	44.8%	34%
2008	44.6%	33.5%
2009	44.3%	33.1%
2010	44%	32.8%
2011	43.7%	32.6%
2012	43.3%	32.5%
2013	42.8%	32.4%
2014	42.4%	32.1%
2015	42%	31.9%
2016	41.6%	31.8%
2017	41.2%	31.6%
2018	40.9%	31.6%
2019	40.7%	31.7%
2020	40.4%	31.7%
2021	40.1%	31.6%
2022	39.9%	32%
2023	39.6%	32.6%
2024	39.3%	32.9%
2025	38.9%	33%
2026	38.6%	32.9%
2027	38.4%	32.7%
2028	38.1%	32.3%
2029	37.8%	31.8%
2030	37.6%	31.2%
2031	37.3%	30.6%
2032	37%	29.9%
2033	36.7%	29.3%
2034	36.4%	28.7%
2035	36%	28.2%
2036	35.7%	27.8%
2037	35.3%	27.5%
2038	35%	27.1%
2039	34.6%	26.9%
2040	34.3%	26.9%
2041	34%	26.9%
2042	33.6%	26.9%
2043	33.3%	27%
2044	33%	27.1%
2045	32.7%	27.3%
2046	32.4%	27.4%
2047	32.1%	27.6%
2048	31.8%	27.7%
2049	31.6%	27.8%
2050	31.3%	27.8%

Children aged 0-14 make up 39.3% of the population in Madagascar and 32.9% in Tuvalu in 2024, compared to 45.9% and 34.5% respectively in 1990.

Demographics of Madagascar and Tuvalu compared.

Natural population change in Madagascar vs Tuvalu by year

For the past 10 years, the annual natural population change (excluding migration) has been +2.57% in Madagascar and +1.48% in Tuvalu. The chart below illustrates the comparison of the absolute yearly changes resulting from births and deaths.

Table

Year	Population change due to births and deaths
	Madagascar	Tuvalu
1960	133,684	126
1961	136,578	120
1962	139,412	113
1963	142,666	106
1964	146,894	98
1965	152,362	93
1966	159,483	91
1967	167,287	92
1968	175,869	97
1969	184,562	102
1970	194,889	102
1971	204,617	101
1972	213,138	94
1973	221,768	101
1974	230,233	102
1975	238,774	108
1976	247,026	117
1977	255,399	128
1978	263,684	141
1979	270,752	158
1980	275,287	173
1981	277,535	186
1982	284,733	198
1983	290,085	206
1984	296,892	212
1985	304,199	215
1986	307,074	219
1987	317,621	219
1988	330,510	215
1989	344,279	208
1990	360,621	204
1991	375,040	203
1992	388,430	196
1993	408,801	202
1994	428,169	195
1995	450,259	191
1996	471,453	182
1997	490,905	177
1998	508,408	172
1999	516,976	166
2000	520,860	159
2001	529,656	151
2002	535,518	141
2003	544,903	136
2004	556,319	132
2005	568,143	131
2006	581,489	129
2007	597,772	125
2008	615,580	125
2009	634,008	130
2010	641,543	136
2011	640,577	142
2012	644,255	148
2013	654,230	148
2014	660,837	149
2015	668,977	153
2016	682,801	157
2017	699,498	163
2018	719,267	169
2019	735,853	166
2020	736,607	161
2021	741,416	151
2022	753,931	150
2023	766,391	137

Maternal mortality chart: Madagascar vs Tuvalu

The maternal mortality rate, which is the probability of dying during childbirth or within 42 days of pregnancy termination, is 445 deaths per 100,000 live births in Madagascar, compared to 170 deaths in Tuvalu.

Table

Year	Maternal mortality per 100K births
	Madagascar	Tuvalu
1985	751	230
1986	730	226
1987	702	252
1988	687	300
1989	684	296
1990	692	291
1991	691	289
1992	699	312
1993	688	286
1994	688	284
1995	684	281
1996	680	277
1997	676	249
1998	663	245
1999	647	242
2000	638	237
2001	611	235
2002	593	234
2003	571	210
2004	555	209
2005	540	230
2006	528	226
2007	522	222
2008	510	219
2009	507	215
2010	500	213
2011	492	169
2012	487	168
2013	481	168
2014	477	168
2015	474	169
2016	470	170
2017	469	171
2018	466	153
2019	462	155
2020	447	206
2021	467	157
2022	439	220
2023	445	170

Under-five mortality rates

The chance that a newborn baby will die before reaching age five is 6.48% in Madagascar and 1.99% in Tuvalu. Below is the historical data on under-five mortality rates.

Table

Year	Mortality rate before reaching 5 years of age, per 1,000 live births
	Madagascar	Tuvalu
1960	-	17.7%
1961	-	17%
1962	-	16.3%
1963	-	15.6%
1964	-	14.9%
1965	-	14.2%
1966	-	13.6%
1967	-	12.9%
1968	14.6%	12.3%
1969	14.7%	11.7%
1970	14.9%	11.1%
1971	15.1%	10.5%
1972	15.3%	9.93%
1973	15.6%	9.37%
1974	15.8%	8.81%
1975	16.1%	8.31%
1976	16.3%	7.84%
1977	16.5%	7.43%
1978	16.7%	7.08%
1979	16.9%	6.76%
1980	17.1%	6.49%
1981	17.4%	6.26%
1982	17.6%	6.06%
1983	17.8%	5.9%
1984	17.8%	5.76%
1985	17.7%	5.66%
1986	17.5%	5.59%
1987	17.1%	5.53%
1988	16.6%	5.47%
1989	16.1%	5.42%
1990	15.6%	5.37%
1991	15%	5.31%
1992	14.5%	5.24%
1993	14%	5.15%
1994	13.5%	5.05%
1995	13.1%	4.94%
1996	12.6%	4.81%
1997	12%	4.67%
1998	11.5%	4.52%
1999	11%	4.39%
2000	10.5%	4.26%
2001	10%	4.16%
2002	9.6%	4.07%
2003	9.2%	3.98%
2004	8.82%	3.89%
2005	8.46%	3.8%
2006	8.12%	3.68%
2007	7.81%	3.56%
2008	7.53%	3.42%
2009	7.28%	3.28%
2010	7.07%	3.14%
2011	6.9%	3.02%
2012	6.77%	2.91%
2013	6.69%	2.8%
2014	6.62%	2.71%
2015	6.58%	2.61%
2016	6.57%	2.52%
2017	6.57%	2.43%
2018	6.58%	2.35%
2019	6.61%	2.27%
2020	6.63%	2.19%
2021	6.62%	2.12%
2022	6.57%	2.05%
2023	6.48%	1.99%