Fertility & birth rates in Eritrea and Uzbekistan

Fertility rate in Eritrea vs Uzbekistan chart

According to the latest available data on birth rates, the fertility rate in Eritrea was 3.71 children per woman in 2023, compared to 3.5 in Uzbekistan in 2023. The replacement level is considered to be 2.1 children per woman.

Check Eritrea vs Uzbekistan population clock for a dynamic visualization of the changing population.

The chart below showcases historical changes in the birth rates.

Table

Year	Fertility rate
	Eritrea	Uzbekistan
1960	6.48	6.61
1961	6.47	6.75
1962	6.5	6.88
1963	6.48	6.81
1964	6.49	6.82
1965	6.49	6.81
1966	6.5	6.66
1967	6.5	6.57
1968	6.5	6.39
1969	6.5	6.34
1970	6.54	6.31
1971	6.54	6.28
1972	6.54	6.25
1973	6.55	6.16
1974	6.57	6.05
1975	6.59	5.92
1976	6.6	5.75
1977	6.61	5.54
1978	6.61	5.28
1979	6.62	5.16
1980	6.61	5.04
1981	6.62	4.91
1982	6.63	4.82
1983	6.65	4.71
1984	6.62	4.73
1985	6.59	4.69
1986	6.56	4.68
1987	6.52	4.53
1988	6.47	4.26
1989	6.41	4.1
1990	6.34	4.12
1991	6.24	4.19
1992	6.16	4.06
1993	6.07	3.86
1994	6.01	3.66
1995	5.94	3.57
1996	5.84	3.39
1997	5.74	3.19
1998	5.63	2.99
1999	5.52	2.83
2000	5.4	2.7
2001	5.31	2.61
2002	5.23	2.58
2003	5.14	2.5
2004	5.04	2.5
2005	4.93	2.44
2006	4.88	2.46
2007	4.81	2.57
2008	4.74	2.64
2009	4.66	2.56
2010	4.57	2.44
2011	4.49	2.35
2012	4.41	2.34
2013	4.34	2.44
2014	4.27	2.55
2015	4.22	2.58
2016	4.16	2.56
2017	4.11	2.57
2018	4.06	2.71
2019	4	2.87
2020	3.93	3.06
2021	3.87	3.27
2022	3.79	3.4
2023	3.71	3.5
2024	3.68	3.49
2025	3.61	3.45
2026	3.55	3.4
2027	3.49	3.36
2028	3.43	3.31
2029	3.38	3.27
2030	3.32	3.22
2031	3.27	3.18
2032	3.22	3.13
2033	3.18	3.09
2034	3.13	3.05
2035	3.09	3.01
2036	3.04	2.98
2037	3.01	2.94
2038	2.97	2.91
2039	2.93	2.87
2040	2.9	2.84
2041	2.86	2.81
2042	2.83	2.78
2043	2.8	2.75
2044	2.77	2.72
2045	2.74	2.69
2046	2.71	2.66
2047	2.68	2.63
2048	2.65	2.6
2049	2.63	2.58
2050	2.6	2.55

Children 0-14 years as share of population

Table

Year	Share of people 0-14 years old
	Eritrea	Uzbekistan
1960	41.5%	39.8%
1961	41.4%	41.2%
1962	41.4%	42.4%
1963	41.5%	43.4%
1964	41.6%	44.2%
1965	41.8%	44.7%
1966	42.1%	44.8%
1967	42.4%	44.9%
1968	42.8%	44.8%
1969	43%	44.7%
1970	43.3%	44.6%
1971	43.6%	44.4%
1972	43.8%	44.3%
1973	44%	44%
1974	44.1%	43.7%
1975	44.1%	43.3%
1976	44.2%	42.8%
1977	44.3%	42.3%
1978	44.3%	41.7%
1979	44.4%	41.2%
1980	44.4%	40.8%
1981	44.4%	40.5%
1982	44.4%	40.3%
1983	44.4%	40.1%
1984	44.2%	40.1%
1985	44.1%	40.1%
1986	44%	40.1%
1987	44%	40.1%
1988	44.2%	40%
1989	44.3%	39.9%
1990	44.5%	39.9%
1991	44.6%	39.9%
1992	44.7%	39.8%
1993	44.5%	39.8%
1994	44.4%	39.7%
1995	43.5%	39.4%
1996	42.9%	39.2%
1997	43.7%	38.8%
1998	44.4%	38.2%
1999	44.9%	37.5%
2000	45.2%	36.7%
2001	45%	35.8%
2002	44.4%	34.9%
2003	43.7%	34%
2004	43%	33.1%
2005	42.9%	32.3%
2006	43.1%	31.4%
2007	43.3%	30.6%
2008	43%	29.9%
2009	42.7%	29.4%
2010	42.6%	28.9%
2011	42.3%	28.5%
2012	42.1%	28.2%
2013	42%	28.1%
2014	42%	28.1%
2015	42.1%	28.3%
2016	42.1%	28.5%
2017	41.9%	28.8%
2018	41.5%	29%
2019	41%	29.3%
2020	40.4%	29.7%
2021	39.8%	30.2%
2022	39.2%	30.6%
2023	38.7%	30.9%
2024	38.1%	31.1%
2025	37.6%	31.3%
2026	37.1%	31.5%
2027	36.6%	31.6%
2028	36.3%	31.6%
2029	35.9%	31.6%
2030	35.7%	31.4%
2031	35.5%	31.3%
2032	35.3%	31.1%
2033	35.2%	30.9%
2034	35%	30.6%
2035	34.8%	30.3%
2036	34.7%	29.8%
2037	34.4%	29.3%
2038	34.2%	28.8%
2039	34%	28.3%
2040	33.7%	28%
2041	33.4%	27.6%
2042	33.1%	27.4%
2043	32.7%	27.2%
2044	32.3%	27%
2045	31.9%	26.9%
2046	31.5%	26.8%
2047	31.1%	26.8%
2048	30.7%	26.7%
2049	30.3%	26.7%
2050	29.9%	26.7%

Children aged 0-14 make up 38.1% of the population in Eritrea and 31.1% in Uzbekistan in 2024, compared to 44.5% and 39.9% respectively in 1990.

Demographics of Eritrea and Uzbekistan compared.

Natural population change in Eritrea vs Uzbekistan by year

For the past 10 years, the annual natural population change (excluding migration) has been +2.29% in Eritrea and +1.87% in Uzbekistan. The chart below illustrates the comparison of the absolute yearly changes resulting from births and deaths.

Table

Year	Population change due to births and deaths
	Eritrea	Uzbekistan
1960	21,424	267,165
1961	22,351	279,841
1962	23,478	292,788
1963	24,393	293,432
1964	25,327	298,790
1965	26,285	302,264
1966	24,713	297,844
1967	27,992	298,350
1968	28,777	295,651
1969	29,535	302,833
1970	30,686	313,216
1971	31,490	323,171
1972	30,951	333,230
1973	31,969	341,807
1974	30,111	350,422
1975	30,971	357,382
1976	36,250	363,110
1977	37,295	369,572
1978	38,353	372,068
1979	39,577	387,754
1980	41,392	401,557
1981	42,924	413,897
1982	44,146	431,389
1983	33,420	454,464
1984	35,101	485,617
1985	37,362	508,893
1986	39,470	533,234
1987	52,229	537,292
1988	54,163	525,126
1989	54,299	522,323
1990	56,903	540,581
1991	57,741	557,886
1992	51,443	548,793
1993	51,679	527,557
1994	56,288	502,279
1995	56,157	493,966
1996	66,557	471,010
1997	63,953	441,631
1998	55,332	408,532
1999	45,120	385,448
2000	60,274	365,138
2001	61,180	356,483
2002	65,436	359,231
2003	66,291	355,098
2004	72,147	363,994
2005	72,930	363,462
2006	74,470	383,265
2007	73,101	426,880
2008	73,391	461,665
2009	76,206	471,839
2010	76,098	461,293
2011	76,806	454,858
2012	76,416	463,333
2013	75,562	501,742
2014	75,729	536,881
2015	73,682	552,781
2016	73,002	549,045
2017	72,291	548,372
2018	72,511	585,119
2019	73,572	618,154
2020	73,362	643,750
2021	74,394	689,325
2022	76,221	715,410
2023	78,073	722,280

Maternal mortality chart: Eritrea vs Uzbekistan

The maternal mortality rate, which is the probability of dying during childbirth or within 42 days of pregnancy termination, is 291 deaths per 100,000 live births in Eritrea, compared to 26 deaths in Uzbekistan.

Table

Year	Maternal mortality per 100K births
	Eritrea	Uzbekistan
1985	1,678	72
1986	1,625	69
1987	1,555	63
1988	1,499	58
1989	1,473	53
1990	1,352	50
1991	1,384	47
1992	1,149	46
1993	1,040	47
1994	998	49
1995	854	46
1996	878	44
1997	817	42
1998	865	42
1999	734	43
2000	741	42
2001	651	42
2002	636	41
2003	588	40
2004	588	39
2005	567	39
2006	555	38
2007	541	37
2008	530	35
2009	515	34
2010	498	34
2011	478	33
2012	458	33
2013	443	32
2014	430	32
2015	413	31
2016	395	31
2017	379	30
2018	363	29
2019	351	29
2020	334	29
2021	338	28
2022	301	27
2023	291	26

Under-five mortality rates

The chance that a newborn baby will die before reaching age five is 3.54% in Eritrea and 1.33% in Uzbekistan. Below is the historical data on under-five mortality rates.

Table

Year	Mortality rate before reaching 5 years of age, per 1,000 live births
	Eritrea	Uzbekistan
1974	25.6%	-
1975	25%	-
1976	20.8%	-
1977	20.4%	-
1978	20%	-
1979	19.7%	12.5%
1980	19.4%	11.7%
1981	19.1%	10.9%
1982	18.8%	10.2%
1983	27.8%	9.5%
1984	27.2%	8.91%
1985	26.2%	8.4%
1986	25.6%	7.96%
1987	17.1%	7.59%
1988	16.6%	7.31%
1989	16%	7.13%
1990	15.4%	7.04%
1991	14.7%	7.01%
1992	13.9%	7.01%
1993	13.1%	6.99%
1994	12.3%	6.95%
1995	11.5%	6.91%
1996	10.8%	6.83%
1997	10.1%	6.72%
1998	9.51%	6.57%
1999	10.9%	6.38%
2000	8.53%	6.15%
2001	8.11%	5.88%
2002	7.73%	5.57%
2003	7.38%	5.25%
2004	7.05%	4.92%
2005	6.75%	4.57%
2006	6.46%	4.24%
2007	6.19%	3.9%
2008	5.94%	3.59%
2009	5.71%	3.29%
2010	5.5%	3.01%
2011	5.31%	2.75%
2012	5.12%	2.52%
2013	4.94%	2.32%
2014	4.78%	2.14%
2015	4.61%	1.98%
2016	4.46%	1.85%
2017	4.32%	1.73%
2018	4.17%	1.64%
2019	4.03%	1.56%
2020	3.91%	1.5%
2021	3.79%	1.44%
2022	3.66%	1.38%
2023	3.54%	1.33%