Eritrea has an annual birth rate of 28.5 births per 1,000 people, compared to 33.6 for Sudan. The average number of children a woman is expected to have during her lifetime — the fertility rate, is 3.71 in Eritrea and 4.32 in Sudan — 16.4% difference.
1960 vs 2023, the fertility rate has decreased by -42.7% in Eritrea and by -35.1% in Sudan — in 1960, it was 6.48 and 6.66, respectively.
Birth rates facts compared:
- Eritrea is ranked 37/196 by birth rate compared to 18/196 for Sudan.
- The mean age at childbearing (for all the births, not just the first) is 29.1 in Eritrea — it's 29.8 in Sudan.
- Annual births per 1,000 women ages 15-19 (adolescent birth rate or teenage mother rate) is 65.2 in Eritrea vs 66.1 in Sudan.
- In Eritrea, 24.8% of the population is composed of women of reproductive age (15-49), compared to 24.8% in Sudan.
- Excluding migration, the natural population change due to births and deaths from 2022 to 2023 was +2.25% in Eritrea and +2.72% in Sudan.
Birth rate data compared
Eritrea
|
Sudan
|
|
|---|---|---|
| Fertility rate | 3.71 | 4.32 |
| Birth rate | 28.5 | 33.6 |
| Birth rate rank | 37/196 | 18/196 |
| Age at first childbirth | 21.3 years | n/a |
| Average age at childbearing | 29.1 years | 29.8 years |
| Annual births per 1,000 women ages 15-19 | 64.2 | 62.7 |
| Annual births per 1,000 women ages 20-29 | 170.8 | 188.7 |
| Annual births per 1,000 women ages 30+ | 51.8 | 72.7 |
| Female of reproductive age (15-49), share of population | 24.8% | 24.8% |
| Any modern method of contraceptive prevalence among married women ages 15-49 | 7.1% | 12% |
| Share of births attended by skilled health staff | 34.1% | 77.7% |
| Maternal mortality per live birth | 0.29% | 0.26% |
| Neonatal mortality rate (before reaching 28 days of age) | 1.64% | 2.48% |
| Infant mortality rate (before reaching 1 year of age) | 2.55% | 3.92% |
| Mortality rate before reaching 5 years of age, per 1,000 live births | 3.54% | 5.01% |
| Population change due to births and deaths | +78,073 | +1,361,564 |
| Natural population change rank | 84/196 | 11/196 |
| Natural population change rate | +2.25% | +2.72% |
| Population growth | +1.88% | +0.81% |
| Population growth rank | 60/197 | 118/197 |
| Life expectancy | 69.2 years | 66.7 years |
Fertility rate in Eritrea vs Sudan chart
According to the latest available data on birth rates, the fertility rate in Eritrea was 3.71 children per woman in 2023, compared to 4.32 in Sudan in 2023. The replacement level is considered to be 2.1 children per woman.
Check Eritrea vs Sudan population clock for a dynamic visualization of the changing population.
The chart below showcases historical changes in the birth rates.
Eritrea
Factual
UN forecast
Sudan
Factual
UN forecast
Births per woman
| Year | Fertility rate | |
|---|---|---|
|
Eritrea
|
Sudan
|
|
| 1960 | 6.48 | 6.66 |
| 1961 | 6.47 | 6.66 |
| 1962 | 6.5 | 6.7 |
| 1963 | 6.48 | 6.76 |
| 1964 | 6.49 | 6.8 |
| 1965 | 6.49 | 6.84 |
| 1966 | 6.5 | 6.88 |
| 1967 | 6.5 | 6.91 |
| 1968 | 6.5 | 6.95 |
| 1969 | 6.5 | 6.97 |
| 1970 | 6.54 | 6.99 |
| 1971 | 6.54 | 7.02 |
| 1972 | 6.54 | 6.98 |
| 1973 | 6.55 | 6.94 |
| 1974 | 6.57 | 6.91 |
| 1975 | 6.59 | 6.87 |
| 1976 | 6.6 | 6.82 |
| 1977 | 6.61 | 6.78 |
| 1978 | 6.61 | 6.72 |
| 1979 | 6.62 | 6.65 |
| 1980 | 6.61 | 6.59 |
| 1981 | 6.62 | 6.53 |
| 1982 | 6.63 | 6.47 |
| 1983 | 6.65 | 6.41 |
| 1984 | 6.62 | 6.34 |
| 1985 | 6.59 | 6.28 |
| 1986 | 6.56 | 6.23 |
| 1987 | 6.52 | 6.18 |
| 1988 | 6.47 | 6.13 |
| 1989 | 6.41 | 6.11 |
| 1990 | 6.34 | 6.07 |
| 1991 | 6.24 | 6.05 |
| 1992 | 6.16 | 6.02 |
| 1993 | 6.07 | 5.97 |
| 1994 | 6.01 | 5.91 |
| 1995 | 5.94 | 5.86 |
| 1996 | 5.84 | 5.79 |
| 1997 | 5.74 | 5.72 |
| 1998 | 5.63 | 5.65 |
| 1999 | 5.52 | 5.62 |
| 2000 | 5.4 | 5.6 |
| 2001 | 5.31 | 5.56 |
| 2002 | 5.23 | 5.53 |
| 2003 | 5.14 | 5.49 |
| 2004 | 5.04 | 5.46 |
| 2005 | 4.93 | 5.4 |
| 2006 | 4.88 | 5.33 |
| 2007 | 4.81 | 5.27 |
| 2008 | 4.74 | 5.21 |
| 2009 | 4.66 | 5.17 |
| 2010 | 4.57 | 5.14 |
| 2011 | 4.49 | 5.09 |
| 2012 | 4.41 | 5.03 |
| 2013 | 4.34 | 4.97 |
| 2014 | 4.27 | 4.91 |
| 2015 | 4.22 | 4.9 |
| 2016 | 4.16 | 4.83 |
| 2017 | 4.11 | 4.76 |
| 2018 | 4.06 | 4.68 |
| 2019 | 4 | 4.62 |
| 2020 | 3.93 | 4.54 |
| 2021 | 3.87 | 4.46 |
| 2022 | 3.79 | 4.38 |
| 2023 | 3.71 | 4.32 |
| 2024 | 3.68 | 4.26 |
| 2025 | 3.61 | 4.19 |
| 2026 | 3.55 | 4.13 |
| 2027 | 3.49 | 4.06 |
| 2028 | 3.43 | 4 |
| 2029 | 3.38 | 3.95 |
| 2030 | 3.32 | 3.88 |
| 2031 | 3.27 | 3.82 |
| 2032 | 3.22 | 3.77 |
| 2033 | 3.18 | 3.7 |
| 2034 | 3.13 | 3.66 |
| 2035 | 3.09 | 3.6 |
| 2036 | 3.04 | 3.54 |
| 2037 | 3.01 | 3.49 |
| 2038 | 2.97 | 3.45 |
| 2039 | 2.93 | 3.4 |
| 2040 | 2.9 | 3.36 |
| 2041 | 2.86 | 3.32 |
| 2042 | 2.83 | 3.28 |
| 2043 | 2.8 | 3.24 |
| 2044 | 2.77 | 3.2 |
| 2045 | 2.74 | 3.17 |
| 2046 | 2.71 | 3.13 |
| 2047 | 2.68 | 3.1 |
| 2048 | 2.65 | 3.07 |
| 2049 | 2.63 | 3.03 |
| 2050 | 2.6 | 3 |
Children 0-14 years as share of population
Eritrea
Factual
UN forecast
Sudan
Factual
UN forecast
| Year | Share of people 0-14 years old | |
|---|---|---|
|
Eritrea
|
Sudan
|
|
| 1960 | 41.5% | 46.5% |
| 1961 | 41.4% | 46.6% |
| 1962 | 41.4% | 46.6% |
| 1963 | 41.5% | 46.7% |
| 1964 | 41.6% | 46.9% |
| 1965 | 41.8% | 47% |
| 1966 | 42.1% | 47.1% |
| 1967 | 42.4% | 47.2% |
| 1968 | 42.8% | 47.3% |
| 1969 | 43% | 47.4% |
| 1970 | 43.3% | 47.5% |
| 1971 | 43.6% | 47.6% |
| 1972 | 43.8% | 47.7% |
| 1973 | 44% | 47.9% |
| 1974 | 44.1% | 48.1% |
| 1975 | 44.1% | 48% |
| 1976 | 44.2% | 47.8% |
| 1977 | 44.3% | 47.7% |
| 1978 | 44.3% | 47.4% |
| 1979 | 44.4% | 47.1% |
| 1980 | 44.4% | 46.8% |
| 1981 | 44.4% | 46.6% |
| 1982 | 44.4% | 46.4% |
| 1983 | 44.4% | 46.3% |
| 1984 | 44.2% | 46.2% |
| 1985 | 44.1% | 46.1% |
| 1986 | 44% | 46.1% |
| 1987 | 44% | 46% |
| 1988 | 44.2% | 46% |
| 1989 | 44.3% | 46.1% |
| 1990 | 44.5% | 46.1% |
| 1991 | 44.6% | 46.2% |
| 1992 | 44.7% | 46.3% |
| 1993 | 44.5% | 46.3% |
| 1994 | 44.4% | 46.3% |
| 1995 | 43.5% | 46.3% |
| 1996 | 42.9% | 46.2% |
| 1997 | 43.7% | 46.2% |
| 1998 | 44.4% | 46.1% |
| 1999 | 44.9% | 45.9% |
| 2000 | 45.2% | 45.8% |
| 2001 | 45% | 45.7% |
| 2002 | 44.4% | 45.6% |
| 2003 | 43.7% | 45.6% |
| 2004 | 43% | 45.5% |
| 2005 | 42.9% | 45.4% |
| 2006 | 43.1% | 45.3% |
| 2007 | 43.3% | 45.1% |
| 2008 | 43% | 44.9% |
| 2009 | 42.7% | 44.7% |
| 2010 | 42.6% | 44.6% |
| 2011 | 42.3% | 44.6% |
| 2012 | 42.1% | 44.5% |
| 2013 | 42% | 44.4% |
| 2014 | 42% | 44% |
| 2015 | 42.1% | 43.6% |
| 2016 | 42.1% | 43.1% |
| 2017 | 41.9% | 42.6% |
| 2018 | 41.5% | 42% |
| 2019 | 41% | 41.7% |
| 2020 | 40.4% | 41.4% |
| 2021 | 39.8% | 41.2% |
| 2022 | 39.2% | 40.9% |
| 2023 | 38.7% | 40.6% |
| 2024 | 38.1% | 40.5% |
| 2025 | 37.6% | 40.2% |
| 2026 | 37.1% | 39.8% |
| 2027 | 36.6% | 39.5% |
| 2028 | 36.3% | 39.3% |
| 2029 | 35.9% | 39.1% |
| 2030 | 35.7% | 38.9% |
| 2031 | 35.5% | 38.6% |
| 2032 | 35.3% | 38.3% |
| 2033 | 35.2% | 37.9% |
| 2034 | 35% | 37.5% |
| 2035 | 34.8% | 37.1% |
| 2036 | 34.7% | 36.7% |
| 2037 | 34.4% | 36.3% |
| 2038 | 34.2% | 35.9% |
| 2039 | 34% | 35.5% |
| 2040 | 33.7% | 35.1% |
| 2041 | 33.4% | 34.7% |
| 2042 | 33.1% | 34.3% |
| 2043 | 32.7% | 33.9% |
| 2044 | 32.3% | 33.6% |
| 2045 | 31.9% | 33.2% |
| 2046 | 31.5% | 32.8% |
| 2047 | 31.1% | 32.5% |
| 2048 | 30.7% | 32.2% |
| 2049 | 30.3% | 31.9% |
| 2050 | 29.9% | 31.6% |
Children aged 0-14 make up 38.1% of the population in Eritrea and 40.5% in Sudan in 2024, compared to 44.5% and 46.1% respectively in 1990.
Natural population change in Eritrea vs Sudan by year
For the past 10 years, the annual natural population change (excluding migration) has been +2.29% in Eritrea and +2.79% in Sudan. The chart below illustrates the comparison of the absolute yearly changes resulting from births and deaths.
Eritrea
Sudan
Natural population change
| Year | Population change due to births and deaths | |
|---|---|---|
|
Eritrea
|
Sudan
|
|
| 1960 | 21,424 | 262,235 |
| 1961 | 22,351 | 272,562 |
| 1962 | 23,478 | 287,317 |
| 1963 | 24,393 | 302,132 |
| 1964 | 25,327 | 315,166 |
| 1965 | 26,285 | 327,799 |
| 1966 | 24,713 | 342,118 |
| 1967 | 27,992 | 356,599 |
| 1968 | 28,777 | 370,917 |
| 1969 | 29,535 | 385,712 |
| 1970 | 30,686 | 401,013 |
| 1971 | 31,490 | 417,641 |
| 1972 | 30,951 | 428,340 |
| 1973 | 31,969 | 439,201 |
| 1974 | 30,111 | 444,456 |
| 1975 | 30,971 | 454,813 |
| 1976 | 36,250 | 470,019 |
| 1977 | 37,295 | 483,089 |
| 1978 | 38,353 | 497,987 |
| 1979 | 39,577 | 524,942 |
| 1980 | 41,392 | 552,930 |
| 1981 | 42,924 | 585,087 |
| 1982 | 44,146 | 606,362 |
| 1983 | 33,420 | 570,198 |
| 1984 | 35,101 | 577,405 |
| 1985 | 37,362 | 583,382 |
| 1986 | 39,470 | 649,649 |
| 1987 | 52,229 | 658,416 |
| 1988 | 54,163 | 672,604 |
| 1989 | 54,299 | 683,743 |
| 1990 | 56,903 | 699,953 |
| 1991 | 57,741 | 714,612 |
| 1992 | 51,443 | 731,177 |
| 1993 | 51,679 | 743,249 |
| 1994 | 56,288 | 764,645 |
| 1995 | 56,157 | 780,700 |
| 1996 | 66,557 | 792,926 |
| 1997 | 63,953 | 802,245 |
| 1998 | 55,332 | 814,752 |
| 1999 | 45,120 | 835,840 |
| 2000 | 60,274 | 858,536 |
| 2001 | 61,180 | 880,284 |
| 2002 | 65,436 | 897,965 |
| 2003 | 66,291 | 898,226 |
| 2004 | 72,147 | 889,382 |
| 2005 | 72,930 | 907,017 |
| 2006 | 74,470 | 963,740 |
| 2007 | 73,101 | 992,819 |
| 2008 | 73,391 | 1,001,826 |
| 2009 | 76,206 | 1,041,810 |
| 2010 | 76,098 | 1,068,381 |
| 2011 | 76,806 | 1,070,888 |
| 2012 | 76,416 | 1,073,062 |
| 2013 | 75,562 | 1,078,446 |
| 2014 | 75,729 | 1,097,962 |
| 2015 | 73,682 | 1,145,259 |
| 2016 | 73,002 | 1,174,422 |
| 2017 | 72,291 | 1,208,046 |
| 2018 | 72,511 | 1,257,387 |
| 2019 | 73,572 | 1,291,747 |
| 2020 | 73,362 | 1,295,781 |
| 2021 | 74,394 | 1,293,817 |
| 2022 | 76,221 | 1,333,992 |
| 2023 | 78,073 | 1,361,564 |
Fertility rates around the globe
Fertility rate
Maternal mortality chart: Eritrea vs Sudan
The maternal mortality rate, which is the probability of dying during childbirth or within 42 days of pregnancy termination, is 291 deaths per 100,000 live births in Eritrea, compared to 256 deaths in Sudan.
Eritrea
Sudan
| Year | Maternal mortality per 100K births | |
|---|---|---|
|
Eritrea
|
Sudan
|
|
| 1985 | 1,678 | 980 |
| 1986 | 1,625 | 938 |
| 1987 | 1,555 | 914 |
| 1988 | 1,499 | 877 |
| 1989 | 1,473 | 881 |
| 1990 | 1,352 | 840 |
| 1991 | 1,384 | 873 |
| 1992 | 1,149 | 863 |
| 1993 | 1,040 | 839 |
| 1994 | 998 | 775 |
| 1995 | 854 | 730 |
| 1996 | 878 | 712 |
| 1997 | 817 | 681 |
| 1998 | 865 | 669 |
| 1999 | 734 | 662 |
| 2000 | 741 | 645 |
| 2001 | 651 | 616 |
| 2002 | 636 | 588 |
| 2003 | 588 | 593 |
| 2004 | 588 | 536 |
| 2005 | 567 | 506 |
| 2006 | 555 | 485 |
| 2007 | 541 | 445 |
| 2008 | 530 | 426 |
| 2009 | 515 | 382 |
| 2010 | 498 | 370 |
| 2011 | 478 | 357 |
| 2012 | 458 | 340 |
| 2013 | 443 | 327 |
| 2014 | 430 | 309 |
| 2015 | 413 | 298 |
| 2016 | 395 | 288 |
| 2017 | 379 | 277 |
| 2018 | 363 | 268 |
| 2019 | 351 | 262 |
| 2020 | 334 | 273 |
| 2021 | 338 | 305 |
| 2022 | 301 | 263 |
| 2023 | 291 | 256 |
Under-five mortality rates
The chance that a newborn baby will die before reaching age five is 3.54% in Eritrea and 5.01% in Sudan. Below is the historical data on under-five mortality rates.
Eritrea
Sudan
Probability that a newborn baby will die before reaching age five
| Year | Mortality rate before reaching 5 years of age, per 1,000 live births | |
|---|---|---|
|
Eritrea
|
Sudan
|
|
| 1960 | - | 17.8% |
| 1961 | - | 17.5% |
| 1962 | - | 17.2% |
| 1963 | - | 17% |
| 1964 | - | 16.7% |
| 1965 | - | 16.5% |
| 1966 | - | 16.3% |
| 1967 | - | 16.2% |
| 1968 | - | 16% |
| 1969 | - | 15.9% |
| 1970 | - | 15.8% |
| 1971 | - | 15.7% |
| 1972 | - | 15.6% |
| 1973 | - | 15.5% |
| 1974 | 25.6% | 15.4% |
| 1975 | 25% | 15.3% |
| 1976 | 20.8% | 15.2% |
| 1977 | 20.4% | 15.1% |
| 1978 | 20% | 15% |
| 1979 | 19.7% | 14.9% |
| 1980 | 19.4% | 14.8% |
| 1981 | 19.1% | 14.6% |
| 1982 | 18.8% | 14.5% |
| 1983 | 27.8% | 18.2% |
| 1984 | 27.2% | 18% |
| 1985 | 26.2% | 17.8% |
| 1986 | 25.6% | 14% |
| 1987 | 17.1% | 13.8% |
| 1988 | 16.6% | 13.6% |
| 1989 | 16% | 13.4% |
| 1990 | 15.4% | 13.2% |
| 1991 | 14.7% | 13% |
| 1992 | 13.9% | 12.7% |
| 1993 | 13.1% | 12.5% |
| 1994 | 12.3% | 12.2% |
| 1995 | 11.5% | 11.9% |
| 1996 | 10.8% | 11.6% |
| 1997 | 10.1% | 11.3% |
| 1998 | 9.51% | 11% |
| 1999 | 10.9% | 10.7% |
| 2000 | 8.53% | 10.3% |
| 2001 | 8.11% | 9.99% |
| 2002 | 7.73% | 9.65% |
| 2003 | 7.38% | 9.31% |
| 2004 | 7.05% | 10.3% |
| 2005 | 6.75% | 10% |
| 2006 | 6.46% | 8.4% |
| 2007 | 6.19% | 8.13% |
| 2008 | 5.94% | 7.88% |
| 2009 | 5.71% | 7.64% |
| 2010 | 5.5% | 7.42% |
| 2011 | 5.31% | 7.22% |
| 2012 | 5.12% | 7.02% |
| 2013 | 4.94% | 6.83% |
| 2014 | 4.78% | 6.64% |
| 2015 | 4.61% | 6.45% |
| 2016 | 4.46% | 6.26% |
| 2017 | 4.32% | 6.07% |
| 2018 | 4.17% | 5.89% |
| 2019 | 4.03% | 5.71% |
| 2020 | 3.91% | 5.53% |
| 2021 | 3.79% | 5.36% |
| 2022 | 3.66% | 5.18% |
| 2023 | 3.54% | 5.01% |
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