Eritrea has an annual birth rate of 28.5 births per 1,000 people, compared to 30.4 for the Gambia. The average number of children a woman is expected to have during her lifetime — the fertility rate, is 3.71 in Eritrea and 4.01 in the Gambia — 7.89% difference.
1960 vs 2023, the fertility rate has decreased by -42.7% in Eritrea and by -35.9% in the Gambia — in 1960, it was 6.48 and 6.25, respectively.
Birth rates facts compared:
- Eritrea is ranked 37/196 by birth rate compared to 30/196 for the Gambia.
- The mean age for first-time mothers is 21.3 years in Eritrea, compared to 20.7 years in the Gambia.
- The mean age at childbearing (for all the births, not just the first) is 29.1 in Eritrea — it's 29.8 in the Gambia.
- Annual births per 1,000 women ages 15-19 (adolescent birth rate or teenage mother rate) is 65.2 in Eritrea vs 58.1 in the Gambia.
- In Eritrea, 24.8% of the population is composed of women of reproductive age (15-49), compared to 24.5% in the Gambia.
- Excluding migration, the natural population change due to births and deaths from 2022 to 2023 was +2.25% in Eritrea and +2.41% in the Gambia.
Birth rate data compared
Eritrea
|
Gambia
|
|
|---|---|---|
| Fertility rate | 3.71 | 4.01 |
| Birth rate | 28.5 | 30.4 |
| Birth rate rank | 37/196 | 30/196 |
| Age at first childbirth | 21.3 years | 20.7 years |
| Average age at childbearing | 29.1 years | 29.8 years |
| Annual births per 1,000 women ages 15-19 | 64.2 | 54.1 |
| Annual births per 1,000 women ages 20-29 | 170.8 | 173 |
| Annual births per 1,000 women ages 30+ | 51.8 | 68.1 |
| Female of reproductive age (15-49), share of population | 24.8% | 24.5% |
| Any modern method of contraceptive prevalence among married women ages 15-49 | 7.1% | 17.1% |
| Share of births attended by skilled health staff | 34.1% | 83.8% |
| Maternal mortality per live birth | 0.29% | 0.35% |
| Neonatal mortality rate (before reaching 28 days of age) | 1.64% | 2.37% |
| Infant mortality rate (before reaching 1 year of age) | 2.55% | 3.38% |
| Mortality rate before reaching 5 years of age, per 1,000 live births | 3.54% | 4.41% |
| Population change due to births and deaths | +78,073 | +65,118 |
| Natural population change rank | 84/196 | 88/196 |
| Natural population change rate | +2.25% | +2.41% |
| Population growth | +1.88% | +2.3% |
| Population growth rank | 60/197 | 39/197 |
| Life expectancy | 69.2 years | 66.3 years |
Fertility rate in Eritrea vs Gambia chart
According to the latest available data on birth rates, the fertility rate in Eritrea was 3.71 children per woman in 2023, compared to 4.01 in the Gambia in 2023. The replacement level is considered to be 2.1 children per woman.
Check Eritrea vs the Gambia population clock for a dynamic visualization of the changing population.
The chart below showcases historical changes in the birth rates.
Eritrea
Factual
UN forecast
Gambia
Factual
UN forecast
Births per woman
| Year | Fertility rate | |
|---|---|---|
|
Eritrea
|
Gambia
|
|
| 1960 | 6.48 | 6.25 |
| 1961 | 6.47 | 6.23 |
| 1962 | 6.5 | 6.21 |
| 1963 | 6.48 | 6.2 |
| 1964 | 6.49 | 6.2 |
| 1965 | 6.49 | 6.19 |
| 1966 | 6.5 | 6.18 |
| 1967 | 6.5 | 6.21 |
| 1968 | 6.5 | 6.22 |
| 1969 | 6.5 | 6.25 |
| 1970 | 6.54 | 6.26 |
| 1971 | 6.54 | 6.33 |
| 1972 | 6.54 | 6.37 |
| 1973 | 6.55 | 6.41 |
| 1974 | 6.57 | 6.42 |
| 1975 | 6.59 | 6.43 |
| 1976 | 6.6 | 6.43 |
| 1977 | 6.61 | 6.43 |
| 1978 | 6.61 | 6.42 |
| 1979 | 6.62 | 6.41 |
| 1980 | 6.61 | 6.41 |
| 1981 | 6.62 | 6.4 |
| 1982 | 6.63 | 6.4 |
| 1983 | 6.65 | 6.39 |
| 1984 | 6.62 | 6.39 |
| 1985 | 6.59 | 6.36 |
| 1986 | 6.56 | 6.34 |
| 1987 | 6.52 | 6.3 |
| 1988 | 6.47 | 6.26 |
| 1989 | 6.41 | 6.25 |
| 1990 | 6.34 | 6.25 |
| 1991 | 6.24 | 6.19 |
| 1992 | 6.16 | 6.11 |
| 1993 | 6.07 | 6.03 |
| 1994 | 6.01 | 6.04 |
| 1995 | 5.94 | 5.99 |
| 1996 | 5.84 | 5.93 |
| 1997 | 5.74 | 5.85 |
| 1998 | 5.63 | 5.82 |
| 1999 | 5.52 | 5.77 |
| 2000 | 5.4 | 5.72 |
| 2001 | 5.31 | 5.67 |
| 2002 | 5.23 | 5.66 |
| 2003 | 5.14 | 5.66 |
| 2004 | 5.04 | 5.68 |
| 2005 | 4.93 | 5.71 |
| 2006 | 4.88 | 5.74 |
| 2007 | 4.81 | 5.69 |
| 2008 | 4.74 | 5.63 |
| 2009 | 4.66 | 5.57 |
| 2010 | 4.57 | 5.56 |
| 2011 | 4.49 | 5.54 |
| 2012 | 4.41 | 5.52 |
| 2013 | 4.34 | 5.39 |
| 2014 | 4.27 | 5.2 |
| 2015 | 4.22 | 5 |
| 2016 | 4.16 | 4.81 |
| 2017 | 4.11 | 4.61 |
| 2018 | 4.06 | 4.42 |
| 2019 | 4 | 4.33 |
| 2020 | 3.93 | 4.25 |
| 2021 | 3.87 | 4.17 |
| 2022 | 3.79 | 4.08 |
| 2023 | 3.71 | 4.01 |
| 2024 | 3.68 | 3.91 |
| 2025 | 3.61 | 3.8 |
| 2026 | 3.55 | 3.7 |
| 2027 | 3.49 | 3.6 |
| 2028 | 3.43 | 3.51 |
| 2029 | 3.38 | 3.41 |
| 2030 | 3.32 | 3.33 |
| 2031 | 3.27 | 3.24 |
| 2032 | 3.22 | 3.17 |
| 2033 | 3.18 | 3.1 |
| 2034 | 3.13 | 3.03 |
| 2035 | 3.09 | 2.97 |
| 2036 | 3.04 | 2.91 |
| 2037 | 3.01 | 2.86 |
| 2038 | 2.97 | 2.81 |
| 2039 | 2.93 | 2.76 |
| 2040 | 2.9 | 2.71 |
| 2041 | 2.86 | 2.67 |
| 2042 | 2.83 | 2.63 |
| 2043 | 2.8 | 2.59 |
| 2044 | 2.77 | 2.56 |
| 2045 | 2.74 | 2.52 |
| 2046 | 2.71 | 2.49 |
| 2047 | 2.68 | 2.46 |
| 2048 | 2.65 | 2.43 |
| 2049 | 2.63 | 2.4 |
| 2050 | 2.6 | 2.38 |
Children 0-14 years as share of population
Eritrea
Factual
UN forecast
Gambia
Factual
UN forecast
| Year | Share of people 0-14 years old | |
|---|---|---|
|
Eritrea
|
Gambia
|
|
| 1960 | 41.5% | 41% |
| 1961 | 41.4% | 40.8% |
| 1962 | 41.4% | 40.7% |
| 1963 | 41.5% | 40.8% |
| 1964 | 41.6% | 41% |
| 1965 | 41.8% | 41.3% |
| 1966 | 42.1% | 41.5% |
| 1967 | 42.4% | 41.6% |
| 1968 | 42.8% | 41.8% |
| 1969 | 43% | 41.9% |
| 1970 | 43.3% | 42% |
| 1971 | 43.6% | 42.1% |
| 1972 | 43.8% | 42.2% |
| 1973 | 44% | 42.3% |
| 1974 | 44.1% | 42.4% |
| 1975 | 44.1% | 42.6% |
| 1976 | 44.2% | 42.8% |
| 1977 | 44.3% | 43% |
| 1978 | 44.3% | 43.3% |
| 1979 | 44.4% | 43.5% |
| 1980 | 44.4% | 43.7% |
| 1981 | 44.4% | 44% |
| 1982 | 44.4% | 44.3% |
| 1983 | 44.4% | 44.6% |
| 1984 | 44.2% | 44.9% |
| 1985 | 44.1% | 45% |
| 1986 | 44% | 45.2% |
| 1987 | 44% | 45.4% |
| 1988 | 44.2% | 45.5% |
| 1989 | 44.3% | 45.6% |
| 1990 | 44.5% | 45.7% |
| 1991 | 44.6% | 45.8% |
| 1992 | 44.7% | 45.9% |
| 1993 | 44.5% | 46% |
| 1994 | 44.4% | 46.3% |
| 1995 | 43.5% | 46.5% |
| 1996 | 42.9% | 46.7% |
| 1997 | 43.7% | 46.9% |
| 1998 | 44.4% | 46.9% |
| 1999 | 44.9% | 46.9% |
| 2000 | 45.2% | 46.8% |
| 2001 | 45% | 46.7% |
| 2002 | 44.4% | 46.6% |
| 2003 | 43.7% | 46.4% |
| 2004 | 43% | 46.1% |
| 2005 | 42.9% | 45.9% |
| 2006 | 43.1% | 45.6% |
| 2007 | 43.3% | 45.3% |
| 2008 | 43% | 45.1% |
| 2009 | 42.7% | 44.8% |
| 2010 | 42.6% | 44.5% |
| 2011 | 42.3% | 44.3% |
| 2012 | 42.1% | 44.1% |
| 2013 | 42% | 43.9% |
| 2014 | 42% | 43.7% |
| 2015 | 42.1% | 43.6% |
| 2016 | 42.1% | 43.3% |
| 2017 | 41.9% | 43.1% |
| 2018 | 41.5% | 42.8% |
| 2019 | 41% | 42.4% |
| 2020 | 40.4% | 42% |
| 2021 | 39.8% | 41.6% |
| 2022 | 39.2% | 41.2% |
| 2023 | 38.7% | 40.7% |
| 2024 | 38.1% | 40.2% |
| 2025 | 37.6% | 39.7% |
| 2026 | 37.1% | 39.2% |
| 2027 | 36.6% | 38.5% |
| 2028 | 36.3% | 37.9% |
| 2029 | 35.9% | 37.3% |
| 2030 | 35.7% | 36.7% |
| 2031 | 35.5% | 36.2% |
| 2032 | 35.3% | 35.7% |
| 2033 | 35.2% | 35.2% |
| 2034 | 35% | 34.8% |
| 2035 | 34.8% | 34.3% |
| 2036 | 34.7% | 33.9% |
| 2037 | 34.4% | 33.4% |
| 2038 | 34.2% | 33% |
| 2039 | 34% | 32.5% |
| 2040 | 33.7% | 32.1% |
| 2041 | 33.4% | 31.7% |
| 2042 | 33.1% | 31.3% |
| 2043 | 32.7% | 30.9% |
| 2044 | 32.3% | 30.5% |
| 2045 | 31.9% | 30.2% |
| 2046 | 31.5% | 29.8% |
| 2047 | 31.1% | 29.5% |
| 2048 | 30.7% | 29.1% |
| 2049 | 30.3% | 28.8% |
| 2050 | 29.9% | 28.4% |
Children aged 0-14 make up 38.1% of the population in Eritrea and 40.2% in the Gambia in 2024, compared to 44.5% and 45.7% respectively in 1990.
Natural population change in Eritrea vs Gambia by year
For the past 10 years, the annual natural population change (excluding migration) has been +2.29% in Eritrea and +2.59% in the Gambia. The chart below illustrates the comparison of the absolute yearly changes resulting from births and deaths.
Eritrea
Gambia
Natural population change
| Year | Population change due to births and deaths | |
|---|---|---|
|
Eritrea
|
Gambia
|
|
| 1960 | 21,424 | 8,420 |
| 1961 | 22,351 | 8,778 |
| 1962 | 23,478 | 9,150 |
| 1963 | 24,393 | 9,493 |
| 1964 | 25,327 | 9,825 |
| 1965 | 26,285 | 10,162 |
| 1966 | 24,713 | 10,422 |
| 1967 | 27,992 | 10,823 |
| 1968 | 28,777 | 11,215 |
| 1969 | 29,535 | 11,670 |
| 1970 | 30,686 | 12,128 |
| 1971 | 31,490 | 12,842 |
| 1972 | 30,951 | 13,432 |
| 1973 | 31,969 | 14,046 |
| 1974 | 30,111 | 14,628 |
| 1975 | 30,971 | 15,256 |
| 1976 | 36,250 | 16,032 |
| 1977 | 37,295 | 16,773 |
| 1978 | 38,353 | 17,424 |
| 1979 | 39,577 | 18,543 |
| 1980 | 41,392 | 19,566 |
| 1981 | 42,924 | 20,156 |
| 1982 | 44,146 | 21,894 |
| 1983 | 33,420 | 23,175 |
| 1984 | 35,101 | 24,586 |
| 1985 | 37,362 | 25,795 |
| 1986 | 39,470 | 27,195 |
| 1987 | 52,229 | 28,452 |
| 1988 | 54,163 | 29,938 |
| 1989 | 54,299 | 31,504 |
| 1990 | 56,903 | 33,163 |
| 1991 | 57,741 | 34,584 |
| 1992 | 51,443 | 35,951 |
| 1993 | 51,679 | 37,302 |
| 1994 | 56,288 | 38,880 |
| 1995 | 56,157 | 39,681 |
| 1996 | 66,557 | 40,253 |
| 1997 | 63,953 | 40,742 |
| 1998 | 55,332 | 41,842 |
| 1999 | 45,120 | 42,533 |
| 2000 | 60,274 | 43,249 |
| 2001 | 61,180 | 44,154 |
| 2002 | 65,436 | 45,156 |
| 2003 | 66,291 | 46,473 |
| 2004 | 72,147 | 48,276 |
| 2005 | 72,930 | 50,010 |
| 2006 | 74,470 | 52,335 |
| 2007 | 73,101 | 53,653 |
| 2008 | 73,391 | 55,032 |
| 2009 | 76,206 | 56,575 |
| 2010 | 76,098 | 58,554 |
| 2011 | 76,806 | 60,571 |
| 2012 | 76,416 | 62,745 |
| 2013 | 75,562 | 63,510 |
| 2014 | 75,729 | 63,185 |
| 2015 | 73,682 | 62,832 |
| 2016 | 73,002 | 62,358 |
| 2017 | 72,291 | 61,665 |
| 2018 | 72,511 | 60,854 |
| 2019 | 73,572 | 61,701 |
| 2020 | 73,362 | 62,209 |
| 2021 | 74,394 | 62,239 |
| 2022 | 76,221 | 63,634 |
| 2023 | 78,073 | 65,118 |
Fertility rates around the globe
Fertility rate
Maternal mortality chart: Eritrea vs Gambia
The maternal mortality rate, which is the probability of dying during childbirth or within 42 days of pregnancy termination, is 291 deaths per 100,000 live births in Eritrea, compared to 354 deaths in the Gambia.
Eritrea
Gambia
| Year | Maternal mortality per 100K births | |
|---|---|---|
|
Eritrea
|
Gambia
|
|
| 1985 | 1,678 | 1,454 |
| 1986 | 1,625 | 1,401 |
| 1987 | 1,555 | 1,360 |
| 1988 | 1,499 | 1,302 |
| 1989 | 1,473 | 1,258 |
| 1990 | 1,352 | 1,207 |
| 1991 | 1,384 | 1,167 |
| 1992 | 1,149 | 1,115 |
| 1993 | 1,040 | 1,072 |
| 1994 | 998 | 1,039 |
| 1995 | 854 | 999 |
| 1996 | 878 | 956 |
| 1997 | 817 | 928 |
| 1998 | 865 | 867 |
| 1999 | 734 | 830 |
| 2000 | 741 | 810 |
| 2001 | 651 | 794 |
| 2002 | 636 | 772 |
| 2003 | 588 | 749 |
| 2004 | 588 | 719 |
| 2005 | 567 | 707 |
| 2006 | 555 | 682 |
| 2007 | 541 | 675 |
| 2008 | 530 | 653 |
| 2009 | 515 | 634 |
| 2010 | 498 | 632 |
| 2011 | 478 | 634 |
| 2012 | 458 | 628 |
| 2013 | 443 | 606 |
| 2014 | 430 | 561 |
| 2015 | 413 | 527 |
| 2016 | 395 | 490 |
| 2017 | 379 | 469 |
| 2018 | 363 | 450 |
| 2019 | 351 | 422 |
| 2020 | 334 | 400 |
| 2021 | 338 | 420 |
| 2022 | 301 | 365 |
| 2023 | 291 | 354 |
Under-five mortality rates
The chance that a newborn baby will die before reaching age five is 3.54% in Eritrea and 4.41% in the Gambia. Below is the historical data on under-five mortality rates.
Eritrea
Gambia
Probability that a newborn baby will die before reaching age five
| Year | Mortality rate before reaching 5 years of age, per 1,000 live births | |
|---|---|---|
|
Eritrea
|
Gambia
|
|
| 1960 | - | 36.2% |
| 1961 | - | 35.5% |
| 1962 | - | 34.8% |
| 1963 | - | 34.1% |
| 1964 | - | 33.5% |
| 1965 | - | 32.8% |
| 1966 | - | 32.1% |
| 1967 | - | 31.5% |
| 1968 | - | 30.9% |
| 1969 | - | 30.2% |
| 1970 | - | 29.5% |
| 1971 | - | 28.9% |
| 1972 | - | 28.2% |
| 1973 | - | 27.5% |
| 1974 | 25.6% | 26.9% |
| 1975 | 25% | 26.2% |
| 1976 | 20.8% | 25.5% |
| 1977 | 20.4% | 24.9% |
| 1978 | 20% | 24.2% |
| 1979 | 19.7% | 23.6% |
| 1980 | 19.4% | 23% |
| 1981 | 19.1% | 22.3% |
| 1982 | 18.8% | 21.7% |
| 1983 | 27.8% | 21% |
| 1984 | 27.2% | 20.4% |
| 1985 | 26.2% | 19.7% |
| 1986 | 25.6% | 19.1% |
| 1987 | 17.1% | 18.4% |
| 1988 | 16.6% | 17.8% |
| 1989 | 16% | 17.2% |
| 1990 | 15.4% | 16.6% |
| 1991 | 14.7% | 16% |
| 1992 | 13.9% | 15.5% |
| 1993 | 13.1% | 14.9% |
| 1994 | 12.3% | 14.4% |
| 1995 | 11.5% | 13.9% |
| 1996 | 10.8% | 13.3% |
| 1997 | 10.1% | 12.8% |
| 1998 | 9.51% | 12.3% |
| 1999 | 10.9% | 11.8% |
| 2000 | 8.53% | 11.3% |
| 2001 | 8.11% | 10.9% |
| 2002 | 7.73% | 10.4% |
| 2003 | 7.38% | 9.95% |
| 2004 | 7.05% | 9.52% |
| 2005 | 6.75% | 9.11% |
| 2006 | 6.46% | 8.71% |
| 2007 | 6.19% | 8.33% |
| 2008 | 5.94% | 7.98% |
| 2009 | 5.71% | 7.64% |
| 2010 | 5.5% | 7.31% |
| 2011 | 5.31% | 7.01% |
| 2012 | 5.12% | 6.73% |
| 2013 | 4.94% | 6.45% |
| 2014 | 4.78% | 6.18% |
| 2015 | 4.61% | 5.93% |
| 2016 | 4.46% | 5.7% |
| 2017 | 4.32% | 5.47% |
| 2018 | 4.17% | 5.27% |
| 2019 | 4.03% | 5.07% |
| 2020 | 3.91% | 4.89% |
| 2021 | 3.79% | 4.72% |
| 2022 | 3.66% | 4.56% |
| 2023 | 3.54% | 4.41% |
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