Fertility & birth rates in Eritrea and Guinea

Fertility rate in Eritrea vs Guinea by year

Chart Table

Eritrea

Guinea

1x

Year	Fertility rate
	Eritrea	Guinea
2023	3.71	4.22
2022	3.79	4.3
2021	3.87	4.4
2020	3.93	4.49
2019	4	4.58
2018	4.06	4.67
2017	4.11	4.79
2016	4.16	4.92
2015	4.22	5
2014	4.27	5.07
2013	4.34	5.15
2012	4.41	5.23
2011	4.49	5.34
2010	4.57	5.44
2009	4.66	5.53
2008	4.74	5.6
2007	4.81	5.66
2006	4.88	5.7
2005	4.93	5.73
2004	5.04	5.73
2003	5.14	5.74
2002	5.23	5.78
2001	5.31	5.83
2000	5.4	5.92
1999	5.52	5.99
1998	5.63	6.05
1997	5.74	6.12
1996	5.84	6.21
1995	5.94	6.29
1994	6.01	6.36
1993	6.07	6.41
1992	6.16	6.45
1991	6.24	6.48
1990	6.34	6.52
1989	6.41	6.55
1988	6.47	6.56
1987	6.52	6.57
1986	6.56	6.55
1985	6.59	6.53
1984	6.62	6.51
1983	6.65	6.49
1982	6.63	6.49
1981	6.62	6.46
1980	6.61	6.46
1979	6.62	6.45
1978	6.61	6.44
1977	6.61	6.43
1976	6.6	6.4
1975	6.59	6.37
1974	6.57	6.34
1973	6.55	6.31
1972	6.54	6.28
1971	6.54	6.26
1970	6.54	6.24
1969	6.5	6.23
1968	6.5	6.21
1967	6.5	6.2
1966	6.5	6.19
1965	6.49	6.18
1964	6.49	6.17
1963	6.48	6.15
1962	6.5	6.14
1961	6.47	6.13
1960	6.48	6.11

According to the latest available data on birth rates, the fertility rate in Eritrea was 3.71 children per woman in 2023, compared to 4.22 in Guinea in 2023. The replacement level is considered to be 2.1 children per woman.

Check Eritrea vs Guinea population clock for a dynamic visualization of the changing population.

Natural population change by year

Chart Table

Eritrea

Guinea

1x

Year	Natural population change
	Eritrea	Guinea
2023	78,073	356,147
2022	76,221	352,517
2021	74,394	345,121
2020	73,362	342,289
2019	73,572	338,984
2018	72,511	332,585
2017	72,291	328,542
2016	73,002	324,608
2015	73,682	316,604
2014	75,729	309,539
2013	75,562	304,430
2012	76,416	298,094
2011	76,806	293,318
2010	76,098	288,512
2009	76,206	281,920
2008	73,391	274,327
2007	73,101	266,070
2006	74,470	258,518
2005	72,930	251,209
2004	72,147	242,075
2003	66,291	234,774
2002	65,436	229,022
2001	61,180	227,642
2000	60,274	227,081
1999	45,120	223,968
1998	55,332	219,385
1997	63,953	220,373
1996	66,557	214,896
1995	56,157	205,644
1994	56,288	201,439
1993	51,679	195,612
1992	51,443	189,682
1991	57,741	181,299
1990	56,903	169,926
1989	54,299	164,707
1988	54,163	159,566
1987	52,229	154,178
1986	39,470	148,137
1985	37,362	142,313
1984	35,101	136,640
1983	33,420	130,629
1982	44,146	126,831
1981	42,924	121,223
1980	41,392	117,186
1979	39,577	113,141
1978	38,353	109,415
1977	37,295	105,990
1976	36,250	102,449
1975	30,971	99,267
1974	30,111	96,315
1973	31,969	93,764
1972	30,951	91,147
1971	31,490	88,358
1970	30,686	85,418
1969	29,535	82,799
1968	28,777	79,892
1967	27,992	77,251
1966	24,713	74,748
1965	26,285	72,134
1964	25,327	69,848
1963	24,393	67,690
1962	23,478	65,672
1961	22,351	63,766
1960	21,424	61,848

The chart above illustrates the comparison of the absolute yearly changes in population resulting from births and deaths.

Excluding migration, the natural population change due to births and deaths from 2022 to 2023 was +2.25% in Eritrea and +2.47% in Guinea.

For the past 10 years, the annual natural population change has been +2.29% in Eritrea and +2.6% in Guinea.

Birth rate in Eritrea vs Guinea by year

Chart Table

Eritrea

Guinea

Annual births per 1,000 people

1x

Year	Annual births per 1,000 people
	Eritrea	Guinea
2023	28.5	33.8
2022	28.7	34.4
2021	28.8	35
2020	28.9	35.5
2019	29.1	36
2018	29.2	36.3
2017	29.6	36.9
2016	30.1	37.4
2015	30.6	37.8
2014	31.5	38
2013	31.7	38.4
2012	32.4	38.7
2011	33	39.2
2010	33.5	39.6
2009	34.2	39.9
2008	34.1	40.1
2007	35	40.2
2006	36.2	40.3
2005	36.4	40.4
2004	37	40.2
2003	35.9	40.3
2002	37.1	40.6
2001	36.4	41.3
2000	38	41.8
1999	38.4	42.4
1998	39.9	42.8
1997	41.2	43.9
1996	43.3	44.2
1995	39.5	44.3
1994	42.1	45.1
1993	40.9	45.4
1992	42.3	45.9
1991	46.1	45.8
1990	43.3	45.5
1989	43.9	46
1988	44.3	46.2
1987	44.5	46.3
1986	44.7	46.2
1985	44.8	46.1
1984	44.9	46
1983	45	45.9
1982	44.8	45.9
1981	44.8	45.7
1980	44.8	45.8
1979	44.9	45.7
1978	45.1	45.7
1977	45.4	45.7
1976	45.7	45.6
1975	45.8	45.6
1974	45.9	45.6
1973	46	45.6
1972	46.2	45.6
1971	46.6	45.6
1970	47	45.5
1969	47	45.5
1968	47.3	45.5
1967	47.6	45.5
1966	47.7	45.5
1965	47.8	45.5
1964	47.9	45.5
1963	47.9	45.6
1962	48	45.6
1961	47.8	45.6
1960	47.7	45.6

The latest reported birth rate per 1,000 people in 2023 was 28.5 in Eritrea and 33.8 in Guinea, compared with 47.7 and 45.6, respectively, in 1960.

Children 0-14 years as share of population

Chart Table

Eritrea

Factual

UN forecast

Guinea

Factual

UN forecast

1x

Year	Young
	Eritrea	Guinea
2100	19%	20.5%
2099	19.1%	20.6%
2098	19.2%	20.8%
2097	19.4%	20.9%
2096	19.5%	21%
2095	19.6%	21.2%
2094	19.8%	21.3%
2093	19.9%	21.4%
2092	20%	21.6%
2091	20.2%	21.7%
2090	20.3%	21.9%
2089	20.5%	22%
2088	20.6%	22.2%
2087	20.8%	22.3%
2086	21%	22.5%
2085	21.1%	22.6%
2084	21.3%	22.8%
2083	21.5%	22.9%
2082	21.7%	23.1%
2081	22%	23.3%
2080	22.2%	23.4%
2079	22.4%	23.6%
2078	22.6%	23.8%
2077	22.9%	24%
2076	23.1%	24.1%
2075	23.3%	24.3%
2074	23.6%	24.5%
2073	23.8%	24.7%
2072	24%	25%
2071	24.3%	25.2%
2070	24.5%	25.4%
2069	24.7%	25.6%
2068	25%	25.9%
2067	25.2%	26.1%
2066	25.4%	26.4%
2065	25.6%	26.6%
2064	25.9%	26.9%
2063	26.1%	27.2%
2062	26.3%	27.5%
2061	26.6%	27.7%
2060	26.8%	28%
2059	27.1%	28.3%
2058	27.4%	28.6%
2057	27.6%	28.9%
2056	27.9%	29.2%
2055	28.3%	29.5%
2054	28.6%	29.8%
2053	29%	30.1%
2052	29.3%	30.4%
2051	29.7%	30.7%
2050	30.1%	31%
2049	30.5%	31.3%
2048	30.9%	31.7%
2047	31.3%	32%
2046	31.7%	32.4%
2045	32.1%	32.7%
2044	32.5%	33.1%
2043	32.9%	33.5%
2042	33.2%	33.9%
2041	33.6%	34.3%
2040	33.8%	34.7%
2039	34.1%	35.1%
2038	34.3%	35.5%
2037	34.6%	35.9%
2036	34.8%	36.4%
2035	34.9%	36.8%
2034	35.1%	37.3%
2033	35.2%	37.7%
2032	35.4%	38.1%
2031	35.6%	38.5%
2030	35.8%	38.9%
2029	36.1%	39.3%
2028	36.4%	39.7%
2027	36.9%	40%
2026	37.3%	40.4%
2025	37.9%	40.7%
2024	38.1%	40.9%
2023	38.7%	41.2%
2022	39.2%	41.6%
2021	39.8%	41.9%
2020	40.4%	42.1%
2019	41%	42.4%
2018	41.5%	42.6%
2017	41.9%	42.9%
2016	42.1%	43.1%
2015	42.1%	43.3%
2014	42%	43.5%
2013	42%	43.8%
2012	42.1%	44%
2011	42.3%	44.2%
2010	42.6%	44.5%
2009	42.7%	44.7%
2008	43%	44.9%
2007	43.3%	45.1%
2006	43.1%	45.3%
2005	42.9%	45.3%
2004	43%	45.3%
2003	43.7%	45.4%
2002	44.4%	45.5%
2001	45%	45.3%
2000	45.2%	44.9%
1999	44.9%	44.7%
1998	44.4%	44.5%
1997	43.7%	44.2%
1996	42.9%	43.9%
1995	43.5%	43.8%
1994	44.4%	43.7%
1993	44.5%	43.6%
1992	44.7%	43.5%
1991	44.6%	43.4%
1990	44.5%	43.3%
1989	44.3%	43.2%
1988	44.2%	43.1%
1987	44%	43.1%
1986	44%	43%
1985	44.1%	43%
1984	44.2%	42.9%
1983	44.4%	42.8%
1982	44.4%	42.7%
1981	44.4%	42.6%
1980	44.4%	42.4%
1979	44.4%	42.2%
1978	44.3%	42%
1977	44.3%	41.8%
1976	44.2%	41.5%
1975	44.1%	41.3%
1974	44.1%	41.1%
1973	44%	40.9%
1972	43.8%	40.7%
1971	43.6%	40.5%
1970	43.3%	40.4%
1969	43%	40.3%
1968	42.8%	40.3%
1967	42.4%	40.2%
1966	42.1%	40.2%
1965	41.8%	40.1%
1964	41.6%	40%
1963	41.5%	39.9%
1962	41.4%	39.9%
1961	41.4%	39.7%
1960	41.5%	39.6%

Children aged 0-14 make up 38.1% of the population in Eritrea and 40.9% in Guinea in 2024, compared to 44.5% and 43.3% respectively in 1990.

Demographics of Eritrea and Guinea compared.

Maternal mortality chart: Eritrea vs Guinea

Chart Table

Eritrea

Guinea

1x

Year	Maternal mortality per 100K births
	Eritrea	Guinea
2023	291	494
2022	301	500
2021	338	533
2020	334	528
2019	351	548
2018	363	560
2017	379	582
2016	395	606
2015	413	642
2014	430	664
2013	443	682
2012	458	703
2011	478	728
2010	498	750
2009	515	766
2008	530	772
2007	541	802
2006	555	825
2005	567	843
2004	588	869
2003	588	892
2002	636	916
2001	651	946
2000	741	951
1999	734	960
1998	865	971
1997	817	994
1996	878	1,010
1995	854	1,042
1994	998	1,081
1993	1,040	1,094
1992	1,149	1,124
1991	1,384	1,143
1990	1,352	1,162
1989	1,473	1,188
1988	1,499	1,202
1987	1,555	1,218
1986	1,625	1,234
1985	1,678	1,248

The maternal mortality rate, which is the probability of dying during childbirth or within 42 days of pregnancy termination, is 291 deaths per 100,000 live births in Eritrea, compared to 494 deaths in Guinea.

Under-five mortality rates

Chart Table

Eritrea

Guinea

Probability that a newborn baby will die before reaching age five

1x

Year	Under 5 mortality rate
	Eritrea	Guinea
2023	3.54%	9.5%
2022	3.66%	9.78%
2021	3.79%	10.1%
2020	3.91%	10.3%
2019	4.03%	10.6%
2018	4.17%	10.8%
2017	4.32%	11%
2016	4.46%	11.2%
2015	4.61%	11.4%
2014	4.78%	11.6%
2013	4.94%	11.7%
2012	5.12%	11.8%
2011	5.31%	12%
2010	5.5%	12.2%
2009	5.71%	12.4%
2008	5.94%	12.7%
2007	6.19%	12.9%
2006	6.46%	13.3%
2005	6.75%	13.7%
2004	7.05%	14.1%
2003	7.38%	14.6%
2002	7.73%	15.2%
2001	8.11%	15.9%
2000	8.53%	16.5%
1999	10.9%	17.2%
1998	9.51%	17.9%
1997	10.1%	18.6%
1996	10.8%	19.3%
1995	11.5%	20%
1994	12.3%	20.7%
1993	13.1%	21.4%
1992	13.9%	22.1%
1991	14.7%	22.7%
1990	15.4%	23.3%
1989	16%	23.9%
1988	16.6%	24.4%
1987	17.1%	24.8%
1986	25.6%	25.3%
1985	26.2%	25.8%
1984	27.2%	26.2%
1983	27.8%	26.7%
1982	18.8%	27.2%
1981	19.1%	27.7%
1980	19.4%	28.2%
1979	19.7%	28.7%
1978	20%	29.2%
1977	20.4%	29.7%
1976	20.8%	30.1%
1975	25%	30.6%
1974	25.6%	30.9%
1973	-	31.3%
1972	-	31.6%
1971	-	31.9%
1970	-	32.2%
1969	-	32.5%
1968	-	32.8%
1967	-	33.1%
1966	-	33.4%
1965	-	33.6%
1964	-	33.9%
1963	-	34.2%
1962	-	34.4%
1961	-	34.7%
1960	-	35%

The chance that a newborn baby will die before reaching age five is 3.54% in Eritrea and 9.5% in Guinea. Above is a chart with historical data on under-five mortality rates.