Fertility & birth rates in Bulgaria and Eritrea

Fertility rate in Bulgaria vs Eritrea by year

Chart Table

Bulgaria

Eritrea

1x

Year	Fertility rate
	Bulgaria	Eritrea
2023	1.81	3.71
2022	1.78	3.79
2021	1.8	3.87
2020	1.77	3.93
2019	1.79	4
2018	1.73	4.06
2017	1.71	4.11
2016	1.67	4.16
2015	1.64	4.22
2014	1.62	4.27
2013	1.54	4.34
2012	1.5	4.41
2011	1.51	4.49
2010	1.57	4.57
2009	1.66	4.66
2008	1.56	4.74
2007	1.49	4.81
2006	1.44	4.88
2005	1.37	4.93
2004	1.33	5.04
2003	1.26	5.14
2002	1.23	5.23
2001	1.21	5.31
2000	1.26	5.4
1999	1.23	5.52
1998	1.11	5.63
1997	1.09	5.74
1996	1.23	5.84
1995	1.23	5.94
1994	1.37	6.01
1993	1.46	6.07
1992	1.55	6.16
1991	1.66	6.24
1990	1.82	6.34
1989	1.9	6.41
1988	1.97	6.47
1987	1.96	6.52
1986	2.02	6.56
1985	1.97	6.59
1984	2.01	6.62
1983	2.01	6.65
1982	2.01	6.63
1981	2	6.62
1980	2.05	6.61
1979	2.16	6.62
1978	2.15	6.61
1977	2.21	6.61
1976	2.24	6.6
1975	2.23	6.59
1974	2.29	6.57
1973	2.15	6.55
1972	2.03	6.54
1971	2.1	6.54
1970	2.17	6.54
1969	2.27	6.5
1968	2.27	6.5
1967	2.02	6.5
1966	2.03	6.5
1965	2.09	6.49
1964	2.19	6.49
1963	2.21	6.48
1962	2.24	6.5
1961	2.29	6.47
1960	2.31	6.48

According to the latest available data on birth rates, the fertility rate in Bulgaria was 1.81 children per woman in 2023, compared to 3.71 in Eritrea in 2023. The replacement level is considered to be 2.1 children per woman.

Check Bulgaria vs Eritrea population clock for a dynamic visualization of the changing population.

Natural population change by year

Chart Table

Bulgaria

Eritrea

1x

Year	Natural population change
	Bulgaria	Eritrea
2023	-43,837	78,073
2022	-62,065	76,221
2021	-90,452	74,394
2020	-65,507	73,362
2019	-46,317	73,572
2018	-46,304	72,511
2017	-45,583	72,291
2016	-42,744	73,002
2015	-44,699	73,682
2014	-41,027	75,729
2013	-37,948	75,562
2012	-40,183	76,416
2011	-37,477	76,806
2010	-34,759	76,098
2009	-26,800	76,206
2008	-32,967	73,391
2007	-37,727	73,101
2006	-39,526	74,470
2005	-42,124	72,930
2004	-40,128	72,147
2003	-44,319	66,291
2002	-46,240	65,436
2001	-44,050	61,180
2000	-41,668	60,274
1999	-39,411	45,120
1998	-52,844	55,332
1997	-58,185	63,953
1996	-45,159	66,557
1995	-42,030	56,157
1994	-32,086	56,288
1993	-24,569	51,679
1992	-18,789	51,443
1991	-14,675	57,741
1990	-3,487	56,903
1989	5,326	54,299
1988	9,879	54,163
1987	8,971	52,229
1986	16,125	39,470
1985	11,649	37,362
1984	20,610	35,101
1983	21,455	33,420
1982	24,077	44,146
1981	29,341	42,924
1980	30,129	41,392
1979	40,599	39,577
1978	44,070	38,353
1977	47,543	37,295
1976	56,055	36,250
1975	54,941	30,971
1974	64,223	30,111
1973	57,760	31,969
1972	47,169	30,951
1971	52,925	31,490
1970	61,125	30,686
1969	63,256	29,535
1968	69,468	28,777
1967	49,861	27,992
1966	54,504	24,713
1965	58,249	26,285
1964	66,783	25,327
1963	66,241	24,393
1962	64,104	23,478
1961	75,460	22,351
1960	76,314	21,424

The chart above illustrates the comparison of the absolute yearly changes in population resulting from births and deaths.

Excluding migration, the natural population change due to births and deaths from 2022 to 2023 was -0.68% in Bulgaria and +2.25% in Eritrea.

For the past 10 years, the annual natural population change has been -0.79% in Bulgaria and +2.29% in Eritrea.

Birth rate in Bulgaria vs Eritrea by year

Chart Table

Bulgaria

Eritrea

Annual births per 1,000 people

1x

Year	Annual births per 1,000 people
	Bulgaria	Eritrea
2023	8.9	28.5
2022	8.8	28.7
2021	9	28.8
2020	9	28.9
2019	9.3	29.1
2018	9.3	29.2
2017	9.4	29.6
2016	9.4	30.1
2015	9.4	30.6
2014	9.6	31.5
2013	9.3	31.7
2012	9.5	32.4
2011	9.6	33
2010	10.2	33.5
2009	10.9	34.2
2008	10.4	34.1
2007	10	35
2006	9.7	36.2
2005	9.3	36.4
2004	9.1	37
2003	8.7	35.9
2002	8.5	37.1
2001	8.5	36.4
2000	9	38
1999	8.8	38.4
1998	7.9	39.9
1997	7.7	41.2
1996	8.6	43.3
1995	8.6	39.5
1994	9.4	42.1
1993	10	40.9
1992	10.4	42.3
1991	11.1	46.1
1990	12.1	43.3
1989	12.6	43.9
1988	13.1	44.3
1987	13	44.5
1986	13.4	44.7
1985	13.3	44.8
1984	13.6	44.9
1983	13.8	45
1982	13.9	44.8
1981	14	44.8
1980	14.5	44.8
1979	15.3	44.9
1978	15.5	45.1
1977	16.1	45.4
1976	16.5	45.7
1975	16.6	45.8
1974	17.2	45.9
1973	16.2	46
1972	15.3	46.2
1971	15.9	46.6
1970	16.3	47
1969	17	47
1968	16.9	47.3
1967	15	47.6
1966	14.9	47.7
1965	15.3	47.8
1964	16.1	47.9
1963	16.4	47.9
1962	16.7	48
1961	17.4	47.8
1960	17.8	47.7

The latest reported birth rate per 1,000 people in 2023 was 8.9 in Bulgaria and 28.5 in Eritrea, compared with 17.8 and 47.7, respectively, in 1960.

Children 0-14 years as share of population

Chart Table

Bulgaria

Factual

UN forecast

Eritrea

Factual

UN forecast

1x

Year	Young
	Bulgaria	Eritrea
2100	13%	19%
2099	13.1%	19.1%
2098	13.1%	19.2%
2097	13.1%	19.4%
2096	13.2%	19.5%
2095	13.2%	19.6%
2094	13.3%	19.8%
2093	13.4%	19.9%
2092	13.4%	20%
2091	13.4%	20.2%
2090	13.5%	20.3%
2089	13.5%	20.5%
2088	13.6%	20.6%
2087	13.6%	20.8%
2086	13.6%	21%
2085	13.6%	21.1%
2084	13.6%	21.3%
2083	13.6%	21.5%
2082	13.6%	21.7%
2081	13.6%	22%
2080	13.6%	22.2%
2079	13.6%	22.4%
2078	13.6%	22.6%
2077	13.6%	22.9%
2076	13.6%	23.1%
2075	13.5%	23.3%
2074	13.5%	23.6%
2073	13.5%	23.8%
2072	13.5%	24%
2071	13.5%	24.3%
2070	13.5%	24.5%
2069	13.6%	24.7%
2068	13.6%	25%
2067	13.6%	25.2%
2066	13.6%	25.4%
2065	13.6%	25.6%
2064	13.7%	25.9%
2063	13.7%	26.1%
2062	13.7%	26.3%
2061	13.8%	26.6%
2060	13.8%	26.8%
2059	13.8%	27.1%
2058	13.9%	27.4%
2057	13.9%	27.6%
2056	13.9%	27.9%
2055	13.9%	28.3%
2054	13.9%	28.6%
2053	13.9%	29%
2052	13.9%	29.3%
2051	13.8%	29.7%
2050	13.8%	30.1%
2049	13.8%	30.5%
2048	13.7%	30.9%
2047	13.7%	31.3%
2046	13.6%	31.7%
2045	13.6%	32.1%
2044	13.6%	32.5%
2043	13.6%	32.9%
2042	13.6%	33.2%
2041	13.6%	33.6%
2040	13.6%	33.8%
2039	13.6%	34.1%
2038	13.7%	34.3%
2037	13.7%	34.6%
2036	13.7%	34.8%
2035	13.7%	34.9%
2034	13.8%	35.1%
2033	13.8%	35.2%
2032	13.9%	35.4%
2031	14%	35.6%
2030	14.1%	35.8%
2029	14.2%	36.1%
2028	14.2%	36.4%
2027	14.3%	36.9%
2026	14.4%	37.3%
2025	14.4%	37.9%
2024	14.5%	38.1%
2023	14.5%	38.7%
2022	14.5%	39.2%
2021	14.5%	39.8%
2020	14.4%	40.4%
2019	14.4%	41%
2018	14.3%	41.5%
2017	14.2%	41.9%
2016	14%	42.1%
2015	13.9%	42.1%
2014	13.8%	42%
2013	13.7%	42%
2012	13.6%	42.1%
2011	13.5%	42.3%
2010	13.5%	42.6%
2009	13.4%	42.7%
2008	13.3%	43%
2007	13.4%	43.3%
2006	13.5%	43.1%
2005	13.7%	42.9%
2004	14%	43%
2003	14.4%	43.7%
2002	14.8%	44.4%
2001	15.2%	45%
2000	15.7%	45.2%
1999	16.1%	44.9%
1998	16.5%	44.4%
1997	17%	43.7%
1996	17.4%	42.9%
1995	17.9%	43.5%
1994	18.3%	44.4%
1993	18.8%	44.5%
1992	19.3%	44.7%
1991	19.8%	44.6%
1990	20.3%	44.5%
1989	20.8%	44.3%
1988	21.1%	44.2%
1987	21.3%	44%
1986	21.4%	44%
1985	21.6%	44.1%
1984	21.8%	44.2%
1983	22%	44.4%
1982	22.1%	44.4%
1981	22.1%	44.4%
1980	22.1%	44.4%
1979	22.1%	44.4%
1978	22.2%	44.3%
1977	22.2%	44.3%
1976	22.3%	44.2%
1975	22.3%	44.1%
1974	22.2%	44.1%
1973	22.3%	44%
1972	22.4%	43.8%
1971	22.6%	43.6%
1970	22.8%	43.3%
1969	23%	43%
1968	23.2%	42.8%
1967	23.4%	42.4%
1966	23.8%	42.1%
1965	24.2%	41.8%
1964	24.7%	41.6%
1963	25.1%	41.5%
1962	25.4%	41.4%
1961	25.8%	41.4%
1960	26.1%	41.5%

Children aged 0-14 make up 14.5% of the population in Bulgaria and 38.1% in Eritrea in 2024, compared to 20.3% and 44.5% respectively in 1990.

Demographics of Bulgaria and Eritrea compared.

Maternal mortality chart: Bulgaria vs Eritrea

Chart Table

Bulgaria

Eritrea

1x

Year	Maternal mortality per 100K births
	Bulgaria	Eritrea
2023	6	291
2022	10	301
2021	9	338
2020	9	334
2019	6	351
2018	7	363
2017	7	379
2016	7	395
2015	7	413
2014	7	430
2013	7	443
2012	7	458
2011	8	478
2010	9	498
2009	9	515
2008	10	530
2007	11	541
2006	12	555
2005	13	567
2004	14	588
2003	14	588
2002	15	636
2001	17	651
2000	19	741
1999	20	734
1998	20	865
1997	23	817
1996	22	878
1995	23	854
1994	25	998
1993	23	1,040
1992	25	1,149
1991	25	1,384
1990	27	1,352
1989	25	1,473
1988	26	1,499
1987	25	1,555
1986	25	1,625
1985	26	1,678

The maternal mortality rate, which is the probability of dying during childbirth or within 42 days of pregnancy termination, is 6 deaths per 100,000 live births in Bulgaria, compared to 291 deaths in Eritrea.

Under-five mortality rates

Chart Table

Bulgaria

Eritrea

Probability that a newborn baby will die before reaching age five

1x

Year	Under 5 mortality rate
	Bulgaria	Eritrea
2023	0.61%	3.54%
2022	0.62%	3.66%
2021	0.63%	3.79%
2020	0.65%	3.91%
2019	0.67%	4.03%
2018	0.7%	4.17%
2017	0.73%	4.32%
2016	0.77%	4.46%
2015	0.82%	4.61%
2014	0.87%	4.78%
2013	0.93%	4.94%
2012	0.99%	5.12%
2011	1.04%	5.31%
2010	1.08%	5.5%
2009	1.12%	5.71%
2008	1.14%	5.94%
2007	1.18%	6.19%
2006	1.24%	6.46%
2005	1.33%	6.75%
2004	1.42%	7.05%
2003	1.51%	7.38%
2002	1.6%	7.73%
2001	1.68%	8.11%
2000	1.75%	8.53%
1999	1.82%	10.9%
1998	1.89%	9.51%
1997	1.93%	10.1%
1996	1.94%	10.8%
1995	1.92%	11.5%
1994	1.91%	12.3%
1993	1.92%	13.1%
1992	1.92%	13.9%
1991	1.89%	14.7%
1990	1.83%	15.4%
1989	1.79%	16%
1988	1.78%	16.6%
1987	1.8%	17.1%
1986	1.87%	25.6%
1985	1.97%	26.2%
1984	2.07%	27.2%
1983	2.15%	27.8%
1982	2.22%	18.8%
1981	2.3%	19.1%
1980	2.38%	19.4%
1979	2.49%	19.7%
1978	2.6%	20%
1977	2.72%	20.4%
1976	2.8%	20.8%
1975	2.86%	25%
1974	2.91%	25.6%
1973	2.95%	-
1972	3.01%	-
1971	3.11%	-
1970	3.25%	-
1969	3.4%	-
1968	3.54%	-
1967	3.64%	-
1966	3.7%	-
1965	3.75%	-
1964	3.86%	-
1963	4.08%	-
1962	4.43%	-
1961	4.89%	-
1960	5.47%	-

The chance that a newborn baby will die before reaching age five is 0.61% in Bulgaria and 3.54% in Eritrea. Above is a chart with historical data on under-five mortality rates.