Fertility & birth rates in Bulgaria and Eritrea

Fertility rate in Bulgaria vs Eritrea chart

According to the latest available data on birth rates, the fertility rate in Bulgaria was 1.81 children per woman in 2023, compared to 3.71 in Eritrea in 2023. The replacement level is considered to be 2.1 children per woman.

Check Bulgaria vs Eritrea population clock for a dynamic visualization of the changing population.

The chart below showcases historical changes in the birth rates.

Table

Year	Fertility rate
	Bulgaria	Eritrea
1960	2.31	6.48
1961	2.29	6.47
1962	2.24	6.5
1963	2.21	6.48
1964	2.19	6.49
1965	2.09	6.49
1966	2.03	6.5
1967	2.02	6.5
1968	2.27	6.5
1969	2.27	6.5
1970	2.17	6.54
1971	2.1	6.54
1972	2.03	6.54
1973	2.15	6.55
1974	2.29	6.57
1975	2.23	6.59
1976	2.24	6.6
1977	2.21	6.61
1978	2.15	6.61
1979	2.16	6.62
1980	2.05	6.61
1981	2	6.62
1982	2.01	6.63
1983	2.01	6.65
1984	2.01	6.62
1985	1.97	6.59
1986	2.02	6.56
1987	1.96	6.52
1988	1.97	6.47
1989	1.9	6.41
1990	1.82	6.34
1991	1.66	6.24
1992	1.55	6.16
1993	1.46	6.07
1994	1.37	6.01
1995	1.23	5.94
1996	1.23	5.84
1997	1.09	5.74
1998	1.11	5.63
1999	1.23	5.52
2000	1.26	5.4
2001	1.21	5.31
2002	1.23	5.23
2003	1.26	5.14
2004	1.33	5.04
2005	1.37	4.93
2006	1.44	4.88
2007	1.49	4.81
2008	1.56	4.74
2009	1.66	4.66
2010	1.57	4.57
2011	1.51	4.49
2012	1.5	4.41
2013	1.54	4.34
2014	1.62	4.27
2015	1.64	4.22
2016	1.67	4.16
2017	1.71	4.11
2018	1.73	4.06
2019	1.79	4
2020	1.77	3.93
2021	1.8	3.87
2022	1.78	3.79
2023	1.81	3.71
2024	1.81	3.68
2025	1.8	3.61
2026	1.8	3.55
2027	1.8	3.49
2028	1.8	3.43
2029	1.79	3.38
2030	1.79	3.32
2031	1.79	3.27
2032	1.79	3.22
2033	1.79	3.18
2034	1.79	3.13
2035	1.78	3.09
2036	1.78	3.04
2037	1.78	3.01
2038	1.77	2.97
2039	1.77	2.93
2040	1.77	2.9
2041	1.77	2.86
2042	1.77	2.83
2043	1.76	2.8
2044	1.76	2.77
2045	1.76	2.74
2046	1.76	2.71
2047	1.76	2.68
2048	1.76	2.65
2049	1.76	2.63
2050	1.76	2.6

Children 0-14 years as share of population

Table

Year	Share of people 0-14 years old
	Bulgaria	Eritrea
1960	26.1%	41.5%
1961	25.8%	41.4%
1962	25.4%	41.4%
1963	25.1%	41.5%
1964	24.7%	41.6%
1965	24.2%	41.8%
1966	23.8%	42.1%
1967	23.4%	42.4%
1968	23.2%	42.8%
1969	23%	43%
1970	22.8%	43.3%
1971	22.6%	43.6%
1972	22.4%	43.8%
1973	22.3%	44%
1974	22.2%	44.1%
1975	22.3%	44.1%
1976	22.3%	44.2%
1977	22.2%	44.3%
1978	22.2%	44.3%
1979	22.1%	44.4%
1980	22.1%	44.4%
1981	22.1%	44.4%
1982	22.1%	44.4%
1983	22%	44.4%
1984	21.8%	44.2%
1985	21.6%	44.1%
1986	21.4%	44%
1987	21.3%	44%
1988	21.1%	44.2%
1989	20.8%	44.3%
1990	20.3%	44.5%
1991	19.8%	44.6%
1992	19.3%	44.7%
1993	18.8%	44.5%
1994	18.3%	44.4%
1995	17.9%	43.5%
1996	17.4%	42.9%
1997	17%	43.7%
1998	16.5%	44.4%
1999	16.1%	44.9%
2000	15.7%	45.2%
2001	15.2%	45%
2002	14.8%	44.4%
2003	14.4%	43.7%
2004	14%	43%
2005	13.7%	42.9%
2006	13.5%	43.1%
2007	13.4%	43.3%
2008	13.3%	43%
2009	13.4%	42.7%
2010	13.5%	42.6%
2011	13.5%	42.3%
2012	13.6%	42.1%
2013	13.7%	42%
2014	13.8%	42%
2015	13.9%	42.1%
2016	14%	42.1%
2017	14.2%	41.9%
2018	14.3%	41.5%
2019	14.4%	41%
2020	14.4%	40.4%
2021	14.5%	39.8%
2022	14.5%	39.2%
2023	14.5%	38.7%
2024	14.5%	38.1%
2025	14.4%	37.6%
2026	14.3%	37.1%
2027	14.3%	36.6%
2028	14.2%	36.3%
2029	14.1%	35.9%
2030	14%	35.7%
2031	14%	35.5%
2032	13.9%	35.3%
2033	13.8%	35.2%
2034	13.8%	35%
2035	13.7%	34.8%
2036	13.7%	34.7%
2037	13.7%	34.4%
2038	13.6%	34.2%
2039	13.6%	34%
2040	13.6%	33.7%
2041	13.6%	33.4%
2042	13.6%	33.1%
2043	13.6%	32.7%
2044	13.6%	32.3%
2045	13.6%	31.9%
2046	13.7%	31.5%
2047	13.7%	31.1%
2048	13.7%	30.7%
2049	13.8%	30.3%
2050	13.8%	29.9%

Children aged 0-14 make up 14.5% of the population in Bulgaria and 38.1% in Eritrea in 2024, compared to 20.3% and 44.5% respectively in 1990.

Demographics of Bulgaria and Eritrea compared.

Natural population change in Bulgaria vs Eritrea by year

For the past 10 years, the annual natural population change (excluding migration) has been -0.79% in Bulgaria and +2.29% in Eritrea. The chart below illustrates the comparison of the absolute yearly changes resulting from births and deaths.

Table

Year	Population change due to births and deaths
	Bulgaria	Eritrea
1960	76,314	21,424
1961	75,460	22,351
1962	64,104	23,478
1963	66,241	24,393
1964	66,783	25,327
1965	58,249	26,285
1966	54,504	24,713
1967	49,861	27,992
1968	69,468	28,777
1969	63,256	29,535
1970	61,125	30,686
1971	52,925	31,490
1972	47,169	30,951
1973	57,760	31,969
1974	64,223	30,111
1975	54,941	30,971
1976	56,055	36,250
1977	47,543	37,295
1978	44,070	38,353
1979	40,599	39,577
1980	30,129	41,392
1981	29,341	42,924
1982	24,077	44,146
1983	21,455	33,420
1984	20,610	35,101
1985	11,649	37,362
1986	16,125	39,470
1987	8,971	52,229
1988	9,879	54,163
1989	5,326	54,299
1990	-3,487	56,903
1991	-14,675	57,741
1992	-18,789	51,443
1993	-24,569	51,679
1994	-32,086	56,288
1995	-42,030	56,157
1996	-45,159	66,557
1997	-58,185	63,953
1998	-52,844	55,332
1999	-39,411	45,120
2000	-41,668	60,274
2001	-44,050	61,180
2002	-46,240	65,436
2003	-44,319	66,291
2004	-40,128	72,147
2005	-42,124	72,930
2006	-39,526	74,470
2007	-37,727	73,101
2008	-32,967	73,391
2009	-26,800	76,206
2010	-34,759	76,098
2011	-37,477	76,806
2012	-40,183	76,416
2013	-37,948	75,562
2014	-41,027	75,729
2015	-44,699	73,682
2016	-42,744	73,002
2017	-45,583	72,291
2018	-46,304	72,511
2019	-46,317	73,572
2020	-65,507	73,362
2021	-90,452	74,394
2022	-62,065	76,221
2023	-43,837	78,073

Maternal mortality chart: Bulgaria vs Eritrea

The maternal mortality rate, which is the probability of dying during childbirth or within 42 days of pregnancy termination, is 6 deaths per 100,000 live births in Bulgaria, compared to 291 deaths in Eritrea.

Table

Year	Maternal mortality per 100K births
	Bulgaria	Eritrea
1985	26	1,678
1986	25	1,625
1987	25	1,555
1988	26	1,499
1989	25	1,473
1990	27	1,352
1991	25	1,384
1992	25	1,149
1993	23	1,040
1994	25	998
1995	23	854
1996	22	878
1997	23	817
1998	20	865
1999	20	734
2000	19	741
2001	17	651
2002	15	636
2003	14	588
2004	14	588
2005	13	567
2006	12	555
2007	11	541
2008	10	530
2009	9	515
2010	9	498
2011	8	478
2012	7	458
2013	7	443
2014	7	430
2015	7	413
2016	7	395
2017	7	379
2018	7	363
2019	6	351
2020	9	334
2021	9	338
2022	10	301
2023	6	291

Under-five mortality rates

The chance that a newborn baby will die before reaching age five is 0.61% in Bulgaria and 3.54% in Eritrea. Below is the historical data on under-five mortality rates.

Table

Year	Mortality rate before reaching 5 years of age, per 1,000 live births
	Bulgaria	Eritrea
1960	5.47%	-
1961	4.89%	-
1962	4.43%	-
1963	4.08%	-
1964	3.86%	-
1965	3.75%	-
1966	3.7%	-
1967	3.64%	-
1968	3.54%	-
1969	3.4%	-
1970	3.25%	-
1971	3.11%	-
1972	3.01%	-
1973	2.95%	-
1974	2.91%	25.6%
1975	2.86%	25%
1976	2.8%	20.8%
1977	2.72%	20.4%
1978	2.6%	20%
1979	2.49%	19.7%
1980	2.38%	19.4%
1981	2.3%	19.1%
1982	2.22%	18.8%
1983	2.15%	27.8%
1984	2.07%	27.2%
1985	1.97%	26.2%
1986	1.87%	25.6%
1987	1.8%	17.1%
1988	1.78%	16.6%
1989	1.79%	16%
1990	1.83%	15.4%
1991	1.89%	14.7%
1992	1.92%	13.9%
1993	1.92%	13.1%
1994	1.91%	12.3%
1995	1.92%	11.5%
1996	1.94%	10.8%
1997	1.93%	10.1%
1998	1.89%	9.51%
1999	1.82%	10.9%
2000	1.75%	8.53%
2001	1.68%	8.11%
2002	1.6%	7.73%
2003	1.51%	7.38%
2004	1.42%	7.05%
2005	1.33%	6.75%
2006	1.24%	6.46%
2007	1.18%	6.19%
2008	1.14%	5.94%
2009	1.12%	5.71%
2010	1.08%	5.5%
2011	1.04%	5.31%
2012	0.99%	5.12%
2013	0.93%	4.94%
2014	0.87%	4.78%
2015	0.82%	4.61%
2016	0.77%	4.46%
2017	0.73%	4.32%
2018	0.7%	4.17%
2019	0.67%	4.03%
2020	0.65%	3.91%
2021	0.63%	3.79%
2022	0.62%	3.66%
2023	0.61%	3.54%