Fertility & birth rates in Eritrea and Kiribati

Fertility rate in Eritrea vs Kiribati chart

According to the latest available data on birth rates, the fertility rate in Eritrea was 3.71 children per woman in 2023, compared to 3.15 in Kiribati in 2023. The replacement level is considered to be 2.1 children per woman.

Check Eritrea vs Kiribati population clock for a dynamic visualization of the changing population.

The chart below showcases historical changes in the birth rates.

Table

Year	Fertility rate
	Eritrea	Kiribati
1960	6.48	6.44
1961	6.47	6.48
1962	6.5	6.42
1963	6.48	6.35
1964	6.49	6.29
1965	6.49	6.26
1966	6.5	6.23
1967	6.5	6.11
1968	6.5	5.98
1969	6.5	5.85
1970	6.54	5.71
1971	6.54	5.55
1972	6.54	5.37
1973	6.55	5.2
1974	6.57	5.09
1975	6.59	5.02
1976	6.6	4.96
1977	6.61	4.96
1978	6.61	4.97
1979	6.62	4.97
1980	6.61	4.96
1981	6.62	4.96
1982	6.63	4.95
1983	6.65	4.91
1984	6.62	4.91
1985	6.59	4.91
1986	6.56	4.87
1987	6.52	4.81
1988	6.47	4.73
1989	6.41	4.69
1990	6.34	4.67
1991	6.24	4.64
1992	6.16	4.57
1993	6.07	4.49
1994	6.01	4.44
1995	5.94	4.42
1996	5.84	4.43
1997	5.74	4.37
1998	5.63	4.29
1999	5.52	4.18
2000	5.4	4.07
2001	5.31	3.96
2002	5.23	3.81
2003	5.14	3.7
2004	5.04	3.73
2005	4.93	3.76
2006	4.88	3.82
2007	4.81	3.87
2008	4.74	3.9
2009	4.66	3.91
2010	4.57	3.9
2011	4.49	3.88
2012	4.41	3.77
2013	4.34	3.64
2014	4.27	3.52
2015	4.22	3.44
2016	4.16	3.38
2017	4.11	3.34
2018	4.06	3.32
2019	4	3.29
2020	3.93	3.25
2021	3.87	3.22
2022	3.79	3.18
2023	3.71	3.15
2024	3.68	3.12
2025	3.61	3.09
2026	3.55	3.06
2027	3.49	3.03
2028	3.43	3
2029	3.38	2.97
2030	3.32	2.94
2031	3.27	2.92
2032	3.22	2.89
2033	3.18	2.86
2034	3.13	2.84
2035	3.09	2.81
2036	3.04	2.79
2037	3.01	2.77
2038	2.97	2.74
2039	2.93	2.72
2040	2.9	2.69
2041	2.86	2.67
2042	2.83	2.64
2043	2.8	2.62
2044	2.77	2.6
2045	2.74	2.58
2046	2.71	2.56
2047	2.68	2.54
2048	2.65	2.52
2049	2.63	2.5
2050	2.6	2.48

Children 0-14 years as share of population

Table

Year	Share of people 0-14 years old
	Eritrea	Kiribati
1960	41.5%	43.2%
1961	41.4%	43.5%
1962	41.4%	43.8%
1963	41.5%	44%
1964	41.6%	44%
1965	41.8%	43.9%
1966	42.1%	44.1%
1967	42.4%	44.5%
1968	42.8%	44.9%
1969	43%	45%
1970	43.3%	44.9%
1971	43.6%	44.8%
1972	43.8%	44.8%
1973	44%	44.6%
1974	44.1%	44.2%
1975	44.1%	43.7%
1976	44.2%	43.2%
1977	44.3%	42.8%
1978	44.3%	42.3%
1979	44.4%	41.8%
1980	44.4%	41.1%
1981	44.4%	40.5%
1982	44.4%	39.9%
1983	44.4%	39.5%
1984	44.2%	39.2%
1985	44.1%	39.2%
1986	44%	39.2%
1987	44%	39.4%
1988	44.2%	39.7%
1989	44.3%	39.9%
1990	44.5%	40.2%
1991	44.6%	40.5%
1992	44.7%	40.8%
1993	44.5%	41%
1994	44.4%	41.2%
1995	43.5%	41.2%
1996	42.9%	41.1%
1997	43.7%	41%
1998	44.4%	40.8%
1999	44.9%	40.5%
2000	45.2%	40.1%
2001	45%	39.8%
2002	44.4%	39.3%
2003	43.7%	38.9%
2004	43%	38.4%
2005	42.9%	38%
2006	43.1%	37.6%
2007	43.3%	37.3%
2008	43%	37%
2009	42.7%	36.8%
2010	42.6%	36.6%
2011	42.3%	36.4%
2012	42.1%	36.1%
2013	42%	35.7%
2014	42%	35.4%
2015	42.1%	35.2%
2016	42.1%	35%
2017	41.9%	35%
2018	41.5%	35.1%
2019	41%	35.1%
2020	40.4%	35.2%
2021	39.8%	35.2%
2022	39.2%	35.1%
2023	38.7%	34.9%
2024	38.1%	34.7%
2025	37.6%	34.4%
2026	37.1%	34%
2027	36.6%	33.5%
2028	36.3%	33.1%
2029	35.9%	32.7%
2030	35.7%	32.4%
2031	35.5%	32%
2032	35.3%	31.7%
2033	35.2%	31.3%
2034	35%	31%
2035	34.8%	30.6%
2036	34.7%	30.3%
2037	34.4%	30%
2038	34.2%	29.7%
2039	34%	29.4%
2040	33.7%	29.2%
2041	33.4%	29%
2042	33.1%	28.8%
2043	32.7%	28.6%
2044	32.3%	28.4%
2045	31.9%	28.3%
2046	31.5%	28.1%
2047	31.1%	27.9%
2048	30.7%	27.8%
2049	30.3%	27.6%
2050	29.9%	27.4%

Children aged 0-14 make up 38.1% of the population in Eritrea and 34.7% in Kiribati in 2024, compared to 44.5% and 40.2% respectively in 1990.

Demographics of Eritrea and Kiribati compared.

Natural population change in Eritrea vs Kiribati by year

For the past 10 years, the annual natural population change (excluding migration) has been +2.29% in Eritrea and +2.05% in Kiribati. The chart below illustrates the comparison of the absolute yearly changes resulting from births and deaths.

Table

Year	Population change due to births and deaths
	Eritrea	Kiribati
1960	21,424	1,141
1961	22,351	1,199
1962	23,478	1,233
1963	24,393	1,273
1964	25,327	1,318
1965	26,285	1,376
1966	24,713	1,437
1967	27,992	1,417
1968	28,777	1,393
1969	29,535	1,367
1970	30,686	1,388
1971	31,490	1,406
1972	30,951	1,406
1973	31,969	1,409
1974	30,111	1,430
1975	30,971	1,423
1976	36,250	1,425
1977	37,295	1,426
1978	38,353	1,480
1979	39,577	1,509
1980	41,392	1,571
1981	42,924	1,635
1982	44,146	1,697
1983	33,420	1,748
1984	35,101	1,813
1985	37,362	1,881
1986	39,470	1,933
1987	52,229	1,982
1988	54,163	2,022
1989	54,299	2,073
1990	56,903	2,127
1991	57,741	2,176
1992	51,443	2,173
1993	51,679	2,161
1994	56,288	2,168
1995	56,157	2,183
1996	66,557	2,217
1997	63,953	2,220
1998	55,332	2,210
1999	45,120	2,186
2000	60,274	2,153
2001	61,180	2,121
2002	65,436	2,074
2003	66,291	2,045
2004	72,147	2,118
2005	72,930	2,188
2006	74,470	2,285
2007	73,101	2,393
2008	73,391	2,493
2009	76,206	2,573
2010	76,098	2,644
2011	76,806	2,709
2012	76,416	2,678
2013	75,562	2,629
2014	75,729	2,577
2015	73,682	2,555
2016	73,002	2,546
2017	72,291	2,549
2018	72,511	2,561
2019	73,572	2,560
2020	73,362	2,497
2021	74,394	2,408
2022	76,221	2,522
2023	78,073	2,487

Maternal mortality chart: Eritrea vs Kiribati

The maternal mortality rate, which is the probability of dying during childbirth or within 42 days of pregnancy termination, is 291 deaths per 100,000 live births in Eritrea, compared to 80 deaths in Kiribati.

Table

Year	Maternal mortality per 100K births
	Eritrea	Kiribati
1985	1,678	246
1986	1,625	232
1987	1,555	231
1988	1,499	220
1989	1,473	212
1990	1,352	199
1991	1,384	188
1992	1,149	175
1993	1,040	162
1994	998	150
1995	854	148
1996	878	141
1997	817	132
1998	865	126
1999	734	121
2000	741	119
2001	651	113
2002	636	109
2003	588	105
2004	588	106
2005	567	104
2006	555	102
2007	541	101
2008	530	100
2009	515	99
2010	498	102
2011	478	98
2012	458	98
2013	443	93
2014	430	91
2015	413	90
2016	395	88
2017	379	90
2018	363	87
2019	351	89
2020	334	89
2021	338	122
2022	301	86
2023	291	80

Under-five mortality rates

The chance that a newborn baby will die before reaching age five is 3.54% in Eritrea and 5.51% in Kiribati. Below is the historical data on under-five mortality rates.

Table

Year	Mortality rate before reaching 5 years of age, per 1,000 live births
	Eritrea	Kiribati
1960	-	19.9%
1961	-	19.5%
1962	-	18.9%
1963	-	18.3%
1964	-	17.7%
1965	-	17.1%
1966	-	16.4%
1967	-	15.8%
1968	-	15.2%
1969	-	14.6%
1970	-	14.1%
1971	-	13.7%
1972	-	13.3%
1973	-	13%
1974	25.6%	12.7%
1975	25%	12.5%
1976	20.8%	12.4%
1977	20.4%	12.3%
1978	20%	12.2%
1979	19.7%	12%
1980	19.4%	11.9%
1981	19.1%	11.7%
1982	18.8%	11.6%
1983	27.8%	11.4%
1984	27.2%	11.1%
1985	26.2%	10.9%
1986	25.6%	10.6%
1987	17.1%	10.2%
1988	16.6%	9.87%
1989	16%	9.5%
1990	15.4%	9.13%
1991	14.7%	8.77%
1992	13.9%	8.44%
1993	13.1%	8.13%
1994	12.3%	7.87%
1995	11.5%	7.64%
1996	10.8%	7.42%
1997	10.1%	7.22%
1998	9.51%	7.02%
1999	10.9%	6.83%
2000	8.53%	6.64%
2001	8.11%	6.46%
2002	7.73%	6.31%
2003	7.38%	6.2%
2004	7.05%	6.13%
2005	6.75%	6.07%
2006	6.46%	6.03%
2007	6.19%	5.99%
2008	5.94%	5.93%
2009	5.71%	5.87%
2010	5.5%	5.82%
2011	5.31%	5.79%
2012	5.12%	5.78%
2013	4.94%	5.8%
2014	4.78%	5.84%
2015	4.61%	5.89%
2016	4.46%	5.95%
2017	4.32%	5.99%
2018	4.17%	5.98%
2019	4.03%	5.93%
2020	3.91%	5.86%
2021	3.79%	5.76%
2022	3.66%	5.65%
2023	3.54%	5.51%