Fertility & birth rates in Bulgaria and Ethiopia

Fertility rate in Bulgaria vs Ethiopia chart

According to the latest available data on birth rates, the fertility rate in Bulgaria was 1.81 children per woman in 2023, compared to 3.99 in Ethiopia in 2023. The replacement level is considered to be 2.1 children per woman.

Check Bulgaria vs Ethiopia population clock for a dynamic visualization of the changing population.

The chart below showcases historical changes in the birth rates.

Table

Year	Fertility rate
	Bulgaria	Ethiopia
1960	2.31	6.51
1961	2.29	6.53
1962	2.24	6.56
1963	2.21	6.59
1964	2.19	6.61
1965	2.09	6.63
1966	2.03	6.66
1967	2.02	6.68
1968	2.27	6.7
1969	2.27	6.72
1970	2.17	6.78
1971	2.1	6.84
1972	2.03	6.9
1973	2.15	6.96
1974	2.29	7.02
1975	2.23	7.08
1976	2.24	7.13
1977	2.21	7.19
1978	2.15	7.23
1979	2.16	7.25
1980	2.05	7.29
1981	2	7.31
1982	2.01	7.34
1983	2.01	7.35
1984	2.01	7.36
1985	1.97	7.34
1986	2.02	7.32
1987	1.96	7.29
1988	1.97	7.26
1989	1.9	7.23
1990	1.82	7.2
1991	1.66	7.16
1992	1.55	7.13
1993	1.46	7.09
1994	1.37	7.05
1995	1.23	7
1996	1.23	6.93
1997	1.09	6.87
1998	1.11	6.79
1999	1.23	6.72
2000	1.26	6.65
2001	1.21	6.58
2002	1.23	6.5
2003	1.26	6.4
2004	1.33	6.3
2005	1.37	6.19
2006	1.44	6.05
2007	1.49	5.89
2008	1.56	5.7
2009	1.66	5.49
2010	1.57	5.28
2011	1.51	5.08
2012	1.5	4.89
2013	1.54	4.71
2014	1.62	4.61
2015	1.64	4.53
2016	1.67	4.47
2017	1.71	4.4
2018	1.73	4.37
2019	1.79	4.35
2020	1.77	4.27
2021	1.8	4.18
2022	1.78	4.08
2023	1.81	3.99
2024	1.81	3.91
2025	1.8	3.81
2026	1.8	3.72
2027	1.8	3.64
2028	1.8	3.57
2029	1.79	3.5
2030	1.79	3.43
2031	1.79	3.36
2032	1.79	3.3
2033	1.79	3.24
2034	1.79	3.19
2035	1.78	3.14
2036	1.78	3.08
2037	1.78	3.03
2038	1.77	2.99
2039	1.77	2.94
2040	1.77	2.9
2041	1.77	2.86
2042	1.77	2.83
2043	1.76	2.79
2044	1.76	2.75
2045	1.76	2.72
2046	1.76	2.68
2047	1.76	2.65
2048	1.76	2.62
2049	1.76	2.59
2050	1.76	2.55

Children 0-14 years as share of population

Table

Year	Share of people 0-14 years old
	Bulgaria	Ethiopia
1960	26.1%	42.2%
1961	25.8%	42.2%
1962	25.4%	42.1%
1963	25.1%	42.2%
1964	24.7%	42.3%
1965	24.2%	42.5%
1966	23.8%	42.9%
1967	23.4%	43.2%
1968	23.2%	43.5%
1969	23%	43.8%
1970	22.8%	44.2%
1971	22.6%	44.5%
1972	22.4%	44.9%
1973	22.3%	45.2%
1974	22.2%	45.4%
1975	22.3%	45.6%
1976	22.3%	45.7%
1977	22.2%	45.9%
1978	22.2%	46.1%
1979	22.1%	46.2%
1980	22.1%	46.3%
1981	22.1%	46.4%
1982	22.1%	46.5%
1983	22%	46.4%
1984	21.8%	46.2%
1985	21.6%	46.1%
1986	21.4%	46%
1987	21.3%	46%
1988	21.1%	46%
1989	20.8%	46.1%
1990	20.3%	46.2%
1991	19.8%	46.2%
1992	19.3%	46.2%
1993	18.8%	46.4%
1994	18.3%	46.5%
1995	17.9%	46.7%
1996	17.4%	46.9%
1997	17%	47.1%
1998	16.5%	47.4%
1999	16.1%	47.6%
2000	15.7%	47.7%
2001	15.2%	47.8%
2002	14.8%	47.8%
2003	14.4%	47.7%
2004	14%	47.6%
2005	13.7%	47.4%
2006	13.5%	47.2%
2007	13.4%	46.9%
2008	13.3%	46.6%
2009	13.4%	46.2%
2010	13.5%	45.7%
2011	13.5%	45.2%
2012	13.6%	44.6%
2013	13.7%	44%
2014	13.8%	43.4%
2015	13.9%	42.9%
2016	14%	42.3%
2017	14.2%	41.8%
2018	14.3%	41.3%
2019	14.4%	40.9%
2020	14.4%	40.5%
2021	14.5%	40.1%
2022	14.5%	39.7%
2023	14.5%	39.4%
2024	14.5%	39.1%
2025	14.4%	38.8%
2026	14.3%	38.5%
2027	14.3%	38.3%
2028	14.2%	38.1%
2029	14.1%	37.8%
2030	14%	37.6%
2031	14%	37.3%
2032	13.9%	37%
2033	13.8%	36.6%
2034	13.8%	36.2%
2035	13.7%	35.8%
2036	13.7%	35.4%
2037	13.7%	34.9%
2038	13.6%	34.5%
2039	13.6%	34%
2040	13.6%	33.6%
2041	13.6%	33.2%
2042	13.6%	32.8%
2043	13.6%	32.4%
2044	13.6%	32%
2045	13.6%	31.7%
2046	13.7%	31.3%
2047	13.7%	31%
2048	13.7%	30.7%
2049	13.8%	30.3%
2050	13.8%	30%

Children aged 0-14 make up 14.5% of the population in Bulgaria and 39.1% in Ethiopia in 2024, compared to 20.3% and 46.2% respectively in 1990.

Demographics of Bulgaria and Ethiopia compared.

Natural population change in Bulgaria vs Ethiopia by year

For the past 10 years, the annual natural population change (excluding migration) has been -0.79% in Bulgaria and +2.64% in Ethiopia. The chart below illustrates the comparison of the absolute yearly changes resulting from births and deaths.

Table

Year	Population change due to births and deaths
	Bulgaria	Ethiopia
1960	76,314	511,694
1961	75,460	538,518
1962	64,104	563,650
1963	66,241	590,998
1964	66,783	618,667
1965	58,249	642,359
1966	54,504	616,281
1967	49,861	695,283
1968	69,468	715,602
1969	63,256	736,428
1970	61,125	760,821
1971	52,925	787,047
1972	47,169	779,808
1973	57,760	807,535
1974	64,223	777,306
1975	54,941	801,425
1976	56,055	899,577
1977	47,543	929,381
1978	44,070	943,388
1979	40,599	987,203
1980	30,129	1,007,516
1981	29,341	1,018,838
1982	24,077	1,080,853
1983	21,455	863,472
1984	20,610	920,670
1985	11,649	997,050
1986	16,125	1,050,277
1987	8,971	1,356,853
1988	9,879	1,393,356
1989	5,326	1,441,769
1990	-3,487	1,479,663
1991	-14,675	1,579,416
1992	-18,789	1,673,839
1993	-24,569	1,734,851
1994	-32,086	1,788,133
1995	-42,030	1,831,068
1996	-45,159	1,896,364
1997	-58,185	1,945,112
1998	-52,844	1,984,989
1999	-39,411	2,010,987
2000	-41,668	2,083,622
2001	-44,050	2,137,791
2002	-46,240	2,189,683
2003	-44,319	2,231,223
2004	-40,128	2,296,999
2005	-42,124	2,353,375
2006	-39,526	2,393,585
2007	-37,727	2,436,753
2008	-32,967	2,465,283
2009	-26,800	2,467,118
2010	-34,759	2,498,048
2011	-37,477	2,527,811
2012	-40,183	2,533,398
2013	-37,948	2,546,020
2014	-41,027	2,623,647
2015	-44,699	2,713,529
2016	-42,744	2,809,889
2017	-45,583	2,899,143
2018	-46,304	3,015,231
2019	-46,317	3,132,780
2020	-65,507	3,199,718
2021	-90,452	3,204,673
2022	-62,065	3,300,114
2023	-43,837	3,338,649

Maternal mortality chart: Bulgaria vs Ethiopia

The maternal mortality rate, which is the probability of dying during childbirth or within 42 days of pregnancy termination, is 6 deaths per 100,000 live births in Bulgaria, compared to 195 deaths in Ethiopia.

Table

Year	Maternal mortality per 100K births
	Bulgaria	Ethiopia
1985	26	1,329
1986	25	1,317
1987	25	1,289
1988	26	1,306
1989	25	1,296
1990	27	1,320
1991	25	1,239
1992	25	1,218
1993	23	1,168
1994	25	1,113
1995	23	1,060
1996	22	1,008
1997	23	957
1998	20	911
1999	20	901
2000	19	870
2001	17	856
2002	15	826
2003	14	797
2004	14	764
2005	13	754
2006	12	729
2007	11	704
2008	10	678
2009	9	649
2010	9	619
2011	8	588
2012	7	545
2013	7	494
2014	7	444
2015	7	401
2016	7	364
2017	7	327
2018	7	297
2019	6	269
2020	9	244
2021	9	250
2022	10	207
2023	6	195

Under-five mortality rates

The chance that a newborn baby will die before reaching age five is 0.61% in Bulgaria and 4.65% in Ethiopia. Below is the historical data on under-five mortality rates.

Table

Year	Mortality rate before reaching 5 years of age, per 1,000 live births
	Bulgaria	Ethiopia
1960	5.47%	-
1961	4.89%	-
1962	4.43%	-
1963	4.08%	-
1964	3.86%	-
1965	3.75%	-
1966	3.7%	27.8%
1967	3.64%	24.9%
1968	3.54%	24.8%
1969	3.4%	24.8%
1970	3.25%	24.7%
1971	3.11%	24.7%
1972	3.01%	24.7%
1973	2.95%	24.6%
1974	2.91%	28.3%
1975	2.86%	28.2%
1976	2.8%	24.5%
1977	2.72%	24.5%
1978	2.6%	24.4%
1979	2.49%	24.2%
1980	2.38%	24%
1981	2.3%	23.8%
1982	2.22%	23.5%
1983	2.15%	32%
1984	2.07%	31.4%
1985	1.97%	30.3%
1986	1.87%	29.7%
1987	1.8%	21.5%
1988	1.78%	21%
1989	1.79%	20.6%
1990	1.83%	20.2%
1991	1.89%	19.7%
1992	1.92%	19.1%
1993	1.92%	18.5%
1994	1.91%	17.9%
1995	1.92%	17.2%
1996	1.94%	16.6%
1997	1.93%	15.9%
1998	1.89%	15.3%
1999	1.82%	14.7%
2000	1.75%	14%
2001	1.68%	13.4%
2002	1.6%	12.8%
2003	1.51%	12.1%
2004	1.42%	11.5%
2005	1.33%	10.9%
2006	1.24%	10.3%
2007	1.18%	9.74%
2008	1.14%	9.23%
2009	1.12%	8.76%
2010	1.08%	8.32%
2011	1.04%	7.91%
2012	0.99%	7.53%
2013	0.93%	7.16%
2014	0.87%	6.82%
2015	0.82%	6.49%
2016	0.77%	6.17%
2017	0.73%	5.89%
2018	0.7%	5.64%
2019	0.67%	5.41%
2020	0.65%	5.2%
2021	0.63%	5%
2022	0.62%	4.82%
2023	0.61%	4.65%