Fertility & birth rates in Bulgaria and Moldova

Fertility rate in Bulgaria vs Moldova by year

Chart Table

Bulgaria

Moldova

1x

Year	Fertility rate
	Bulgaria	Moldova
2023	1.81	1.73
2022	1.78	1.69
2021	1.8	1.75
2020	1.77	1.77
2019	1.79	1.78
2018	1.73	1.81
2017	1.71	1.81
2016	1.67	1.89
2015	1.64	1.87
2014	1.62	1.82
2013	1.54	1.62
2012	1.5	1.66
2011	1.51	1.65
2010	1.57	1.7
2009	1.66	1.72
2008	1.56	1.64
2007	1.49	1.58
2006	1.44	1.54
2005	1.37	1.53
2004	1.33	1.54
2003	1.26	1.48
2002	1.23	1.45
2001	1.21	1.47
2000	1.26	1.5
1999	1.23	1.56
1998	1.11	1.65
1997	1.09	1.79
1996	1.23	1.71
1995	1.23	1.83
1994	1.37	1.99
1993	1.46	2.11
1992	1.55	2.22
1991	1.66	2.28
1990	1.82	2.39
1989	1.9	2.46
1988	1.97	2.63
1987	1.96	2.78
1986	2.02	2.74
1985	1.97	2.67
1984	2.01	2.67
1983	2.01	2.58
1982	2.01	2.45
1981	2	2.4
1980	2.05	2.38
1979	2.16	2.38
1978	2.15	2.39
1977	2.21	2.42
1976	2.24	2.47
1975	2.23	2.52
1974	2.29	2.56
1973	2.15	2.57
1972	2.03	2.56
1971	2.1	2.56
1970	2.17	2.57
1969	2.27	2.57
1968	2.27	2.59
1967	2.02	2.62
1966	2.03	2.65
1965	2.09	2.69
1964	2.19	2.71
1963	2.21	2.89
1962	2.24	3.04
1961	2.29	3.23
1960	2.31	3.32

According to the latest available data on birth rates, the fertility rate in Bulgaria was 1.81 children per woman in 2023, compared to 1.73 in Moldova in 2023. The replacement level is considered to be 2.1 children per woman.

Check Bulgaria vs Moldova population clock for a dynamic visualization of the changing population.

Natural population change by year

Chart Table

Bulgaria

Moldova

1x

Year	Natural population change
	Bulgaria	Moldova
2023	-43,837	-7,007
2022	-62,065	-6,385
2021	-90,452	-13,444
2020	-65,507	-7,067
2019	-46,317	-3,416
2018	-46,304	-961
2017	-45,583	1,402
2016	-42,744	4,580
2015	-44,699	6,049
2014	-41,027	7,248
2013	-37,948	3,537
2012	-40,183	5,581
2011	-37,477	5,948
2010	-34,759	7,456
2009	-26,800	7,492
2008	-32,967	5,210
2007	-37,727	3,490
2006	-39,526	2,406
2005	-42,124	2,005
2004	-40,128	1,714
2003	-44,319	-322
2002	-46,240	-1,249
2001	-44,050	-718
2000	-41,668	-324
1999	-39,411	642
1998	-52,844	2,140
1997	-58,185	4,669
1996	-45,159	2,655
1995	-42,030	5,534
1994	-32,086	9,921
1993	-24,569	13,886
1992	-18,789	17,373
1991	-14,675	21,127
1990	-3,487	25,824
1989	5,326	29,638
1988	9,879	35,608
1987	8,971	40,122
1986	16,125	39,463
1985	11,649	38,060
1984	20,610	38,108
1983	21,455	36,076
1982	24,077	32,814
1981	29,341	31,360
1980	30,129	30,053
1979	40,599	28,322
1978	44,070	27,622
1977	47,543	27,707
1976	56,055	27,801
1975	54,941	27,677
1974	64,223	27,219
1973	57,760	25,967
1972	47,169	24,626
1971	52,925	23,359
1970	61,125	22,314
1969	63,256	21,768
1968	69,468	22,005
1967	49,861	22,654
1966	54,504	23,720
1965	58,249	24,916
1964	66,783	25,860
1963	66,241	29,382
1962	64,104	32,082
1961	75,460	35,180
1960	76,314	36,352

The chart above illustrates the comparison of the absolute yearly changes in population resulting from births and deaths.

Excluding migration, the natural population change due to births and deaths from 2022 to 2023 was -0.68% in Bulgaria and -0.29% in Moldova.

For the past 10 years, the annual natural population change has been -0.79% in Bulgaria and -0.08% in Moldova.

Birth rate in Bulgaria vs Moldova by year

Chart Table

Bulgaria

Moldova

Annual births per 1,000 people

1x

Year	Annual births per 1,000 people
	Bulgaria	Moldova
2023	8.9	10.8
2022	8.8	10.5
2021	9	11.5
2020	9	12.1
2019	9.3	12.6
2018	9.3	13.3
2017	9.4	13.8
2016	9.4	14.9
2015	9.4	15.2
2014	9.6	15.3
2013	9.3	13.8
2012	9.5	14.3
2011	9.6	14.3
2010	10.2	14.8
2009	10.9	15
2008	10.4	14.3
2007	10	13.7
2006	9.7	13.3
2005	9.3	13.1
2004	9.1	13
2003	8.7	12.2
2002	8.5	11.7
2001	8.5	11.7
2000	9	11.7
1999	8.8	12
1998	7.9	12.6
1997	7.7	13.6
1996	8.6	12.9
1995	8.6	13.8
1994	9.4	15.1
1993	10	16
1992	10.4	16.8
1991	11.1	17.4
1990	12.1	18.6
1989	12.6	19.6
1988	13.1	21.6
1987	13	23.4
1986	13.4	23.5
1985	13.3	23.4
1984	13.6	23.7
1983	13.8	23.1
1982	13.9	22.1
1981	14	21.7
1980	14.5	21.4
1979	15.3	21.3
1978	15.5	21.2
1977	16.1	21.3
1976	16.5	21.4
1975	16.6	21.4
1974	17.2	21.4
1973	16.2	21
1972	15.3	20.5
1971	15.9	20.2
1970	16.3	19.9
1969	17	19.7
1968	16.9	19.9
1967	15	20.2
1966	14.9	20.8
1965	15.3	21.5
1964	16.1	22.1
1963	16.4	24.1
1962	16.7	25.8
1961	17.4	27.7
1960	17.8	28.9

The latest reported birth rate per 1,000 people in 2023 was 8.9 in Bulgaria and 10.8 in Moldova, compared with 17.8 and 28.9, respectively, in 1960.

Children 0-14 years as share of population

Chart Table

Bulgaria

Factual

UN forecast

Moldova

Factual

UN forecast

1x

Year	Young
	Bulgaria	Moldova
2100	13%	13.1%
2099	13.1%	13.2%
2098	13.1%	13.3%
2097	13.1%	13.4%
2096	13.2%	13.5%
2095	13.2%	13.7%
2094	13.3%	13.9%
2093	13.4%	14%
2092	13.4%	14.2%
2091	13.4%	14.4%
2090	13.5%	14.5%
2089	13.5%	14.7%
2088	13.6%	14.8%
2087	13.6%	14.9%
2086	13.6%	14.9%
2085	13.6%	15%
2084	13.6%	15%
2083	13.6%	15%
2082	13.6%	14.9%
2081	13.6%	14.8%
2080	13.6%	14.7%
2079	13.6%	14.6%
2078	13.6%	14.5%
2077	13.6%	14.4%
2076	13.6%	14.3%
2075	13.5%	14.1%
2074	13.5%	14%
2073	13.5%	14%
2072	13.5%	13.9%
2071	13.5%	13.9%
2070	13.5%	13.9%
2069	13.6%	13.9%
2068	13.6%	14%
2067	13.6%	14.2%
2066	13.6%	14.3%
2065	13.6%	14.5%
2064	13.7%	14.8%
2063	13.7%	15%
2062	13.7%	15.3%
2061	13.8%	15.6%
2060	13.8%	15.9%
2059	13.8%	16.1%
2058	13.9%	16.3%
2057	13.9%	16.5%
2056	13.9%	16.7%
2055	13.9%	16.8%
2054	13.9%	16.9%
2053	13.9%	16.9%
2052	13.9%	16.8%
2051	13.8%	16.8%
2050	13.8%	16.7%
2049	13.8%	16.5%
2048	13.7%	16.4%
2047	13.7%	16.2%
2046	13.6%	16%
2045	13.6%	15.8%
2044	13.6%	15.6%
2043	13.6%	15.5%
2042	13.6%	15.3%
2041	13.6%	15.2%
2040	13.6%	15.1%
2039	13.6%	15.1%
2038	13.7%	15.1%
2037	13.7%	15.1%
2036	13.7%	15.3%
2035	13.7%	15.5%
2034	13.8%	15.7%
2033	13.8%	16.1%
2032	13.9%	16.5%
2031	14%	17%
2030	14.1%	17.6%
2029	14.2%	18.2%
2028	14.2%	18.7%
2027	14.3%	19.1%
2026	14.4%	19.4%
2025	14.4%	19.7%
2024	14.5%	19.8%
2023	14.5%	20%
2022	14.5%	20.1%
2021	14.5%	20.1%
2020	14.4%	20%
2019	14.4%	19.8%
2018	14.3%	19.5%
2017	14.2%	19.1%
2016	14%	18.7%
2015	13.9%	18.2%
2014	13.8%	17.8%
2013	13.7%	17.4%
2012	13.6%	17.3%
2011	13.5%	17.4%
2010	13.5%	17.5%
2009	13.4%	17.7%
2008	13.3%	18%
2007	13.4%	18.4%
2006	13.5%	18.8%
2005	13.7%	19.3%
2004	14%	19.9%
2003	14.4%	20.7%
2002	14.8%	21.6%
2001	15.2%	22.5%
2000	15.7%	23.5%
1999	16.1%	24.4%
1998	16.5%	25.1%
1997	17%	25.8%
1996	17.4%	26.3%
1995	17.9%	26.7%
1994	18.3%	27%
1993	18.8%	27.2%
1992	19.3%	27.4%
1991	19.8%	27.6%
1990	20.3%	27.7%
1989	20.8%	27.8%
1988	21.1%	27.9%
1987	21.3%	27.8%
1986	21.4%	27.7%
1985	21.6%	27.5%
1984	21.8%	27.3%
1983	22%	27.1%
1982	22.1%	27%
1981	22.1%	26.9%
1980	22.1%	26.9%
1979	22.1%	26.7%
1978	22.2%	26.5%
1977	22.2%	26.8%
1976	22.3%	27.2%
1975	22.3%	27.7%
1974	22.2%	28.3%
1973	22.3%	28.9%
1972	22.4%	29.5%
1971	22.6%	30.1%
1970	22.8%	30.7%
1969	23%	31.3%
1968	23.2%	32.1%
1967	23.4%	32.8%
1966	23.8%	33.5%
1965	24.2%	34.2%
1964	24.7%	34.7%
1963	25.1%	35.1%
1962	25.4%	35.1%
1961	25.8%	34.9%
1960	26.1%	34.5%

Children aged 0-14 make up 14.5% of the population in Bulgaria and 19.8% in Moldova in 2024, compared to 20.3% and 27.7% respectively in 1990.

Demographics of Bulgaria and Moldova compared.

Maternal mortality chart: Bulgaria vs Moldova

Chart Table

Bulgaria

Moldova

1x

Year	Maternal mortality per 100K births
	Bulgaria	Moldova
2023	6	19
2022	10	19
2021	9	24
2020	9	29
2019	6	21
2018	7	20
2017	7	20
2016	7	21
2015	7	20
2014	7	20
2013	7	19
2012	7	19
2011	8	19
2010	9	20
2009	9	22
2008	10	23
2007	11	24
2006	12	25
2005	13	26
2004	14	28
2003	14	29
2002	15	31
2001	17	35
2000	19	38
1999	20	43
1998	20	48
1997	23	52
1996	22	53
1995	23	54
1994	25	56
1993	23	55
1992	25	55
1991	25	53
1990	27	53
1989	25	52
1988	26	53
1987	25	56
1986	25	60
1985	26	62

The maternal mortality rate, which is the probability of dying during childbirth or within 42 days of pregnancy termination, is 6 deaths per 100,000 live births in Bulgaria, compared to 19 deaths in Moldova.

Under-five mortality rates

Chart Table

Bulgaria

Moldova

Probability that a newborn baby will die before reaching age five

1x

Year	Under 5 mortality rate
	Bulgaria	Moldova
2023	0.61%	1.47%
2022	0.62%	1.48%
2021	0.63%	1.48%
2020	0.65%	1.49%
2019	0.67%	1.5%
2018	0.7%	1.51%
2017	0.73%	1.52%
2016	0.77%	1.53%
2015	0.82%	1.55%
2014	0.87%	1.58%
2013	0.93%	1.6%
2012	0.99%	1.63%
2011	1.04%	1.66%
2010	1.08%	1.69%
2009	1.12%	1.73%
2008	1.14%	1.77%
2007	1.18%	1.83%
2006	1.24%	1.91%
2005	1.33%	2.01%
2004	1.42%	2.16%
2003	1.51%	2.34%
2002	1.6%	2.58%
2001	1.68%	2.85%
2000	1.75%	3.13%
1999	1.82%	3.4%
1998	1.89%	3.62%
1997	1.93%	3.78%
1996	1.94%	3.85%
1995	1.92%	3.84%
1994	1.91%	3.75%
1993	1.92%	3.62%
1992	1.92%	3.48%
1991	1.89%	3.39%
1990	1.83%	3.35%
1989	1.79%	3.38%
1988	1.78%	3.48%
1987	1.8%	3.62%
1986	1.87%	3.8%
1985	1.97%	4%
1984	2.07%	4.2%
1983	2.15%	4.41%
1982	2.22%	4.61%
1981	2.3%	4.78%
1980	2.38%	4.93%
1979	2.49%	5.08%
1978	2.6%	5.23%
1977	2.72%	5.38%
1976	2.8%	5.53%
1975	2.86%	5.68%
1974	2.91%	5.86%
1973	2.95%	6.03%
1972	3.01%	6.2%
1971	3.11%	6.39%
1970	3.25%	-
1969	3.4%	-
1968	3.54%	-
1967	3.64%	-
1966	3.7%	-
1965	3.75%	-
1964	3.86%	-
1963	4.08%	-
1962	4.43%	-
1961	4.89%	-
1960	5.47%	-

The chance that a newborn baby will die before reaching age five is 0.61% in Bulgaria and 1.47% in Moldova. Above is a chart with historical data on under-five mortality rates.