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Fertility & birth rates in Ethiopia and Guinea-Bissau

Updated on by Georank team

Ethiopia has an annual birth rate of 31.9 births per 1,000 people, compared to 30 for Guinea-Bissau. The average number of children a woman is expected to have during her lifetime — the fertility rate, is 3.99 in Ethiopia and 3.84 in Guinea-Bissau — 3.84% difference.

1960 vs 2023, the fertility rate has decreased by 38.8% in Ethiopia and by 35.2% in Guinea-Bissau — in 1960, it was 6.51 and 5.92, respectively.

  • Ethiopia is ranked 23/196 by birth rate compared to 32/196 for Guinea-Bissau.
  • The mean age at childbearing (for all the births, not just the first) is 29 in Ethiopia — it's 29.4 in Guinea-Bissau.
  • Annual births per 1,000 women ages 15-19 (adolescent birth rate or teenage mother rate) is 69.9 in Ethiopia vs 82 in Guinea-Bissau.
  • In Ethiopia, 25.1% of the population is composed of women of reproductive age (15-49), compared to 25.5% in Guinea-Bissau.

Fertility rate in Ethiopia vs Guinea-Bissau by year

Ethiopia
Guinea-Bissau
1x
Year Fertility rate
Ethiopia Guinea-Bissau
2023 3.99 3.84
2022 4.08 3.91
2021 4.18 4
2020 4.27 4.08
2019 4.35 4.15
2018 4.37 4.24
2017 4.4 4.35
2016 4.47 4.52
2015 4.53 4.66
2014 4.61 4.79
2013 4.71 4.93
2012 4.89 5
2011 5.08 5.07
2010 5.28 5.11
2009 5.49 5.18
2008 5.7 5.27
2007 5.89 5.37
2006 6.05 5.41
2005 6.19 5.46
2004 6.3 5.5
2003 6.4 5.58
2002 6.5 5.63
2001 6.58 5.69
2000 6.65 5.79
1999 6.72 5.87
1998 6.79 5.97
1997 6.87 6.06
1996 6.93 6.14
1995 7 6.22
1994 7.05 6.3
1993 7.09 6.37
1992 7.13 6.44
1991 7.16 6.47
1990 7.2 6.5
1989 7.23 6.66
1988 7.26 6.69
1987 7.29 6.72
1986 7.32 6.73
1985 7.34 6.74
1984 7.36 6.73
1983 7.35 6.69
1982 7.34 6.64
1981 7.31 6.57
1980 7.29 6.49
1979 7.25 6.4
1978 7.23 6.32
1977 7.19 6.25
1976 7.13 6.19
1975 7.08 6.15
1974 7.02 6.12
1973 6.96 6.1
1972 6.9 6.08
1971 6.84 6.06
1970 6.78 6.04
1969 6.72 6.02
1968 6.7 6.01
1967 6.68 5.99
1966 6.66 5.98
1965 6.63 5.97
1964 6.61 5.96
1963 6.59 5.95
1962 6.56 5.94
1961 6.53 5.93
1960 6.51 5.92

Data sources: World Bank | Health (1960–2023, retrieved 2026-04-06).

GeoRank.org/birth-rate/ethiopia/guinea-bissau | CC BY

According to the latest available data on birth rates, the fertility rate in Ethiopia was 3.99 children per woman in 2023, compared to 3.84 in Guinea-Bissau in 2023. The replacement level is considered to be 2.1 children per woman.

Check Ethiopia vs Guinea-Bissau population clock for a dynamic visualization of the changing population.

Natural population change by year

Ethiopia
Guinea-Bissau
1x
Year Natural population change
Ethiopia Guinea-Bissau
2023 3,338,649 49,498
2022 3,300,114 48,920
2021 3,204,673 47,242
2020 3,199,718 46,718
2019 3,132,780 47,196
2018 3,015,231 46,659
2017 2,899,143 46,318
2016 2,809,889 46,814
2015 2,713,529 46,846
2014 2,623,647 46,615
2013 2,546,020 46,472
2012 2,533,398 45,480
2011 2,527,811 44,405
2010 2,498,048 43,067
2009 2,467,118 41,950
2008 2,465,283 40,841
2007 2,436,753 40,288
2006 2,393,585 38,886
2005 2,353,375 37,347
2004 2,296,999 36,495
2003 2,231,223 35,649
2002 2,189,683 34,561
2001 2,137,791 33,461
2000 2,083,622 32,816
1999 2,010,987 30,916
1998 1,984,989 30,390
1997 1,945,112 29,792
1996 1,896,364 29,778
1995 1,831,068 29,142
1994 1,788,133 27,895
1993 1,734,851 26,943
1992 1,673,839 25,747
1991 1,579,416 24,527
1990 1,479,663 23,936
1989 1,441,769 24,286
1988 1,393,356 23,940
1987 1,356,853 23,549
1986 1,050,277 23,301
1985 997,050 23,116
1984 920,670 22,861
1983 863,472 22,542
1982 1,080,853 22,131
1981 1,018,838 21,611
1980 1,007,516 21,024
1979 987,203 19,736
1978 943,388 17,468
1977 929,381 15,484
1976 899,577 13,688
1975 801,425 11,998
1974 777,306 10,321
1973 807,535 8,430
1972 779,808 7,911
1971 787,047 8,183
1970 760,821 7,632
1969 736,428 7,857
1968 715,602 7,289
1967 695,283 6,742
1966 616,281 6,955
1965 642,359 7,789
1964 618,667 8,989
1963 590,998 9,190
1962 563,650 10,662
1961 538,518 10,756
1960 511,694 10,618

Data sources: World Bank | Health (1960–2023, retrieved 2026-04-06).

GeoRank.org/birth-rate/ethiopia/guinea-bissau | CC BY

The chart above illustrates the comparison of the absolute yearly changes in population resulting from births and deaths.

Excluding migration, the natural population change due to births and deaths from 2022 to 2023 was +2.59% in Ethiopia and +2.3% in Guinea-Bissau.

For the past 10 years, the annual natural population change has been +2.64% in Ethiopia and +2.44% in Guinea-Bissau.

Birth rate in Ethiopia vs Guinea-Bissau by year

Ethiopia
Guinea-Bissau

Annual births per 1,000 people

1x
Year Annual births per 1,000 people
Ethiopia Guinea-Bissau
2023 31.9 30
2022 32.4 30.5
2021 32.9 31
2020 33.3 31.4
2019 33.5 31.8
2018 33.4 32.4
2017 33.2 33
2016 33.3 34.2
2015 33.3 35.2
2014 33.4 36.1
2013 33.6 37.1
2012 34.6 37.6
2011 35.7 38
2010 36.6 38.3
2009 37.5 38.7
2008 38.9 39.3
2007 40.1 40
2006 41.1 40.3
2005 42.1 40.6
2004 42.7 40.8
2003 43.3 41.3
2002 44.3 41.6
2001 45 41.8
2000 45.6 42.3
1999 46.4 42.7
1998 47 43.2
1997 47.9 43.6
1996 48.6 43.9
1995 49 44.3
1994 49.6 44.5
1993 50.1 44.6
1992 50.4 44.8
1991 50.2 44.9
1990 50.8 45.3
1989 50.8 46.5
1988 50.9 46.8
1987 51.2 47.2
1986 51.5 47.7
1985 51.6 48.1
1984 51.4 48.4
1983 51.1 48.7
1982 50.8 48.8
1981 50.3 48.8
1980 51.4 48.6
1979 51.3 47.8
1978 51 45.3
1977 51.2 44
1976 50.7 42.5
1975 50.6 40.8
1974 50.4 38.8
1973 50.1 39.1
1972 50 38.6
1971 49.9 39.5
1970 49.7 38.6
1969 49.6 39.6
1968 49.5 38.8
1967 49.6 38.6
1966 49.5 40
1965 49.3 41.9
1964 49 44
1963 48.7 44.1
1962 48.5 44.6
1961 48.1 45.2
1960 47.9 45.4

Data sources: World Bank | Health (1960–2023, retrieved 2026-04-06).

GeoRank.org/birth-rate/ethiopia/guinea-bissau | CC BY

The latest reported birth rate per 1,000 people in 2023 was 31.9 in Ethiopia and 30 in Guinea-Bissau, compared with 47.9 and 45.4, respectively, in 1960.

Birth rate data compared

Ethiopia Guinea-Bissau
Fertility rate 3.99 3.84
Fertility rate rank 27/196 32/196
Birth rate 31.9 30
Birth rate rank 23/196 32/196
Population change due to births and deaths +3,338,649 +49,498
Natural population change rank 5/196 95/196
Natural population change rate +2.59% +2.3%
Population growth +2.62% +2.23%
Population growth rank 25/197 42/197
Age at first childbirth 19.3 years n/a
Average age at childbearing 29 years 29.4 years
Annual births per 1,000 women ages 15-19 64.5 78.1
Annual births per 1,000 women ages 20-29 185.9 164.4
Annual births per 1,000 women ages 30+ 61 58.1
Female of reproductive age (15-49), share of population 25.1% 25.5%
Any modern method of contraceptive prevalence among married women ages 15-49 34.6% 20.2%
Share of births attended by skilled health staff 49.8% 53.8%
Maternal mortality per live birth 0.2% 0.51%
Neonatal mortality rate (before reaching 28 days of age) 2.74% 3.27%
Infant mortality rate (before reaching 1 year of age) 3.57% 4.31%
Mortality rate before reaching 5 years of age 4.65% 6.93%
Life expectancy 68.1 years 64.6 years

Children 0-14 years as share of population

Ethiopia
Factual

UN forecast
Guinea-Bissau
Factual

UN forecast
1x
Year Young
Ethiopia Guinea-Bissau
2100 19.2% 19.7%
2099 19.4% 19.8%
2098 19.5% 19.9%
2097 19.6% 20%
2096 19.8% 20.2%
2095 19.9% 20.3%
2094 20.1% 20.4%
2093 20.2% 20.5%
2092 20.4% 20.6%
2091 20.5% 20.8%
2090 20.7% 20.9%
2089 20.9% 21%
2088 21% 21.2%
2087 21.2% 21.3%
2086 21.4% 21.5%
2085 21.5% 21.6%
2084 21.7% 21.8%
2083 21.9% 21.9%
2082 22.1% 22.1%
2081 22.3% 22.2%
2080 22.5% 22.4%
2079 22.6% 22.6%
2078 22.8% 22.7%
2077 23.1% 22.9%
2076 23.3% 23.1%
2075 23.5% 23.3%
2074 23.7% 23.4%
2073 23.9% 23.6%
2072 24.2% 23.8%
2071 24.4% 24%
2070 24.7% 24.2%
2069 24.9% 24.4%
2068 25.2% 24.6%
2067 25.4% 24.8%
2066 25.7% 25.1%
2065 26% 25.3%
2064 26.2% 25.5%
2063 26.5% 25.7%
2062 26.8% 26%
2061 27.1% 26.2%
2060 27.4% 26.5%
2059 27.6% 26.7%
2058 27.9% 27%
2057 28.2% 27.3%
2056 28.5% 27.5%
2055 28.8% 27.8%
2054 29% 28.1%
2053 29.3% 28.4%
2052 29.6% 28.7%
2051 29.9% 29%
2050 30.2% 29.3%
2049 30.5% 29.6%
2048 30.8% 29.9%
2047 31.1% 30.2%
2046 31.5% 30.5%
2045 31.9% 30.9%
2044 32.2% 31.2%
2043 32.6% 31.5%
2042 33% 31.9%
2041 33.4% 32.2%
2040 33.8% 32.5%
2039 34.3% 32.9%
2038 34.7% 33.2%
2037 35.1% 33.6%
2036 35.6% 33.9%
2035 36% 34.3%
2034 36.5% 34.6%
2033 36.8% 35%
2032 37.2% 35.3%
2031 37.5% 35.7%
2030 37.7% 36.2%
2029 37.9% 36.6%
2028 38.2% 37.1%
2027 38.4% 37.6%
2026 38.6% 38.1%
2025 38.9% 38.6%
2024 39.1% 38.8%
2023 39.4% 39.2%
2022 39.7% 39.7%
2021 40.1% 40.1%
2020 40.5% 40.5%
2019 40.9% 40.9%
2018 41.3% 41.3%
2017 41.8% 41.7%
2016 42.3% 42%
2015 42.9% 42.2%
2014 43.4% 42.5%
2013 44% 42.7%
2012 44.6% 42.8%
2011 45.2% 43%
2010 45.7% 43.2%
2009 46.2% 43.3%
2008 46.6% 43.5%
2007 46.9% 43.6%
2006 47.2% 43.8%
2005 47.4% 43.9%
2004 47.6% 44%
2003 47.7% 44.2%
2002 47.8% 44.3%
2001 47.8% 44.5%
2000 47.7% 44.7%
1999 47.6% 44.8%
1998 47.4% 45%
1997 47.1% 45.1%
1996 46.9% 45.2%
1995 46.7% 45.3%
1994 46.5% 45.4%
1993 46.4% 45.4%
1992 46.2% 45.5%
1991 46.2% 45.5%
1990 46.2% 45.7%
1989 46.1% 45.8%
1988 46% 45.9%
1987 46% 45.9%
1986 46% 46%
1985 46.1% 45.9%
1984 46.2% 45.9%
1983 46.4% 45.7%
1982 46.5% 45.5%
1981 46.4% 45.3%
1980 46.3% 45%
1979 46.2% 45.1%
1978 46.1% 44.8%
1977 45.9% 43.7%
1976 45.7% 42.6%
1975 45.6% 41.8%
1974 45.4% 41.4%
1973 45.2% 41.6%
1972 44.9% 41.9%
1971 44.5% 41.9%
1970 44.2% 41.9%
1969 43.8% 41.9%
1968 43.5% 41.8%
1967 43.2% 42.1%
1966 42.9% 41.9%
1965 42.5% 41%
1964 42.3% 39.6%
1963 42.2% 38.4%
1962 42.1% 37.7%
1961 42.2% 37.1%
1960 42.2% 36.9%

Data sources: World Bank | Health (1960–2024, retrieved 2026-04-06); United Nations | World Population Prospects (2025–2100, retrieved 2026-03-10).

GeoRank.org/birth-rate/ethiopia/guinea-bissau | CC BY

Children aged 0-14 make up 39.1% of the population in Ethiopia and 38.8% in Guinea-Bissau in 2024, compared to 46.2% and 45.7% respectively in 1990.

Demographics of Ethiopia and Guinea-Bissau compared.

Fertility rates around the globe

1x

Data sources: World Bank | Health (1960–2023, retrieved 2026-04-06).

GeoRank.org/birth-rate/ethiopia/guinea-bissau | CC BY

Maternal mortality chart: Ethiopia vs Guinea-Bissau

Ethiopia
Guinea-Bissau
1x
Year Maternal mortality per 100K births
Ethiopia Guinea-Bissau
2023 195 505
2022 207 539
2021 250 617
2020 244 603
2019 269 598
2018 297 585
2017 327 597
2016 364 617
2015 401 631
2014 444 662
2013 494 707
2012 545 704
2011 588 678
2010 619 698
2009 649 753
2008 678 802
2007 704 792
2006 729 831
2005 754 956
2004 764 980
2003 797 1,069
2002 826 1,141
2001 856 1,222
2000 870 1,295
1999 901 1,461
1998 911 1,465
1997 957 1,642
1996 1,008 1,539
1995 1,060 1,556
1994 1,113 1,644
1993 1,168 1,613
1992 1,218 1,633
1991 1,239 1,663
1990 1,320 1,709
1989 1,296 1,698
1988 1,306 1,759
1987 1,289 1,796
1986 1,317 1,825
1985 1,329 1,851

Data sources: World Bank | Gender (1985–2023, retrieved 2026-04-06).

GeoRank.org/birth-rate/ethiopia/guinea-bissau | CC BY

The maternal mortality rate, which is the probability of dying during childbirth or within 42 days of pregnancy termination, is 195 deaths per 100,000 live births in Ethiopia, compared to 505 deaths in Guinea-Bissau.

Under-five mortality rates

Ethiopia
Guinea-Bissau

Probability that a newborn baby will die before reaching age five

1x
Year Under 5 mortality rate
Ethiopia Guinea-Bissau
2023 4.65% 6.93%
2022 4.82% 7.16%
2021 5% 7.41%
2020 5.2% 7.66%
2019 5.41% 7.91%
2018 5.64% 8.21%
2017 5.89% 8.53%
2016 6.17% 8.84%
2015 6.49% 9.18%
2014 6.82% 9.53%
2013 7.16% 9.93%
2012 7.53% 10.4%
2011 7.91% 10.9%
2010 8.32% 11.4%
2009 8.76% 12%
2008 9.23% 12.6%
2007 9.74% 13.2%
2006 10.3% 13.9%
2005 10.9% 14.5%
2004 11.5% 15.1%
2003 12.1% 15.7%
2002 12.8% 16.3%
2001 13.4% 16.8%
2000 14% 17.4%
1999 14.7% 17.9%
1998 15.3% 18.4%
1997 15.9% 18.9%
1996 16.6% 19.4%
1995 17.2% 19.9%
1994 17.9% 20.4%
1993 18.5% 20.9%
1992 19.1% 21.3%
1991 19.7% 21.8%
1990 20.2% 22.2%
1989 20.6% 22.7%
1988 21% 23.1%
1987 21.5% 23.5%
1986 29.7% 24%
1985 30.3% 24.4%
1984 31.4% -
1983 32% -
1982 23.5% -
1981 23.8% -
1980 24% -
1979 24.2% -
1978 24.4% -
1977 24.5% -
1976 24.5% -
1975 28.2% -
1974 28.3% -
1973 24.6% -
1972 24.7% -
1971 24.7% -
1970 24.7% -
1969 24.8% -
1968 24.8% -
1967 24.9% -
1966 27.8% -

Data sources: World Bank | Health (1966–2023, retrieved 2026-04-06).

GeoRank.org/birth-rate/ethiopia/guinea-bissau | CC BY

The chance that a newborn baby will die before reaching age five is 4.65% in Ethiopia and 6.93% in Guinea-Bissau. Above is a chart with historical data on under-five mortality rates.

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Data sources:

  1. World Bank | Health (1960–2024, retrieved 2026-04-06)
  2. United Nations | World Population Prospects (2025–2100, retrieved 2026-03-10)
  3. Central Intelligence Agency (CIA) (2025, retrieved 2026-02-20)

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