Fertility & birth rates in Ethiopia and Guinea-Bissau

Fertility rate in Ethiopia vs Guinea-Bissau chart

According to the latest available data on birth rates, the fertility rate in Ethiopia was 3.99 children per woman in 2023, compared to 3.84 in Guinea-Bissau in 2023. The replacement level is considered to be 2.1 children per woman.

Check Ethiopia vs Guinea-Bissau population clock for a dynamic visualization of the changing population.

The chart below showcases historical changes in the birth rates.

Table

Year	Fertility rate
	Ethiopia	Guinea-Bissau
1960	6.51	5.92
1961	6.53	5.93
1962	6.56	5.94
1963	6.59	5.95
1964	6.61	5.96
1965	6.63	5.97
1966	6.66	5.98
1967	6.68	5.99
1968	6.7	6.01
1969	6.72	6.02
1970	6.78	6.04
1971	6.84	6.06
1972	6.9	6.08
1973	6.96	6.1
1974	7.02	6.12
1975	7.08	6.15
1976	7.13	6.19
1977	7.19	6.25
1978	7.23	6.32
1979	7.25	6.4
1980	7.29	6.49
1981	7.31	6.57
1982	7.34	6.64
1983	7.35	6.69
1984	7.36	6.73
1985	7.34	6.74
1986	7.32	6.73
1987	7.29	6.72
1988	7.26	6.69
1989	7.23	6.66
1990	7.2	6.5
1991	7.16	6.47
1992	7.13	6.44
1993	7.09	6.37
1994	7.05	6.3
1995	7	6.22
1996	6.93	6.14
1997	6.87	6.06
1998	6.79	5.97
1999	6.72	5.87
2000	6.65	5.79
2001	6.58	5.69
2002	6.5	5.63
2003	6.4	5.58
2004	6.3	5.5
2005	6.19	5.46
2006	6.05	5.41
2007	5.89	5.37
2008	5.7	5.27
2009	5.49	5.18
2010	5.28	5.11
2011	5.08	5.07
2012	4.89	5
2013	4.71	4.93
2014	4.61	4.79
2015	4.53	4.66
2016	4.47	4.52
2017	4.4	4.35
2018	4.37	4.24
2019	4.35	4.15
2020	4.27	4.08
2021	4.18	4
2022	4.08	3.91
2023	3.99	3.84
2024	3.91	3.76
2025	3.81	3.68
2026	3.72	3.62
2027	3.64	3.56
2028	3.57	3.5
2029	3.5	3.44
2030	3.43	3.37
2031	3.36	3.31
2032	3.3	3.25
2033	3.24	3.2
2034	3.19	3.15
2035	3.14	3.09
2036	3.08	3.04
2037	3.03	3
2038	2.99	2.95
2039	2.94	2.91
2040	2.9	2.87
2041	2.86	2.84
2042	2.83	2.8
2043	2.79	2.77
2044	2.75	2.74
2045	2.72	2.71
2046	2.68	2.67
2047	2.65	2.64
2048	2.62	2.62
2049	2.59	2.59
2050	2.55	2.56

Children 0-14 years as share of population

Table

Year	Share of people 0-14 years old
	Ethiopia	Guinea-Bissau
1960	42.2%	36.9%
1961	42.2%	37.1%
1962	42.1%	37.7%
1963	42.2%	38.4%
1964	42.3%	39.6%
1965	42.5%	41%
1966	42.9%	41.9%
1967	43.2%	42.1%
1968	43.5%	41.8%
1969	43.8%	41.9%
1970	44.2%	41.9%
1971	44.5%	41.9%
1972	44.9%	41.9%
1973	45.2%	41.6%
1974	45.4%	41.4%
1975	45.6%	41.8%
1976	45.7%	42.6%
1977	45.9%	43.7%
1978	46.1%	44.8%
1979	46.2%	45.1%
1980	46.3%	45%
1981	46.4%	45.3%
1982	46.5%	45.5%
1983	46.4%	45.7%
1984	46.2%	45.9%
1985	46.1%	45.9%
1986	46%	46%
1987	46%	45.9%
1988	46%	45.9%
1989	46.1%	45.8%
1990	46.2%	45.7%
1991	46.2%	45.5%
1992	46.2%	45.5%
1993	46.4%	45.4%
1994	46.5%	45.4%
1995	46.7%	45.3%
1996	46.9%	45.2%
1997	47.1%	45.1%
1998	47.4%	45%
1999	47.6%	44.8%
2000	47.7%	44.7%
2001	47.8%	44.5%
2002	47.8%	44.3%
2003	47.7%	44.2%
2004	47.6%	44%
2005	47.4%	43.9%
2006	47.2%	43.8%
2007	46.9%	43.6%
2008	46.6%	43.5%
2009	46.2%	43.3%
2010	45.7%	43.2%
2011	45.2%	43%
2012	44.6%	42.8%
2013	44%	42.7%
2014	43.4%	42.5%
2015	42.9%	42.2%
2016	42.3%	42%
2017	41.8%	41.7%
2018	41.3%	41.3%
2019	40.9%	40.9%
2020	40.5%	40.5%
2021	40.1%	40.1%
2022	39.7%	39.7%
2023	39.4%	39.2%
2024	39.1%	38.8%
2025	38.8%	38.3%
2026	38.5%	37.8%
2027	38.3%	37.4%
2028	38.1%	36.9%
2029	37.8%	36.4%
2030	37.6%	36%
2031	37.3%	35.5%
2032	37%	35.1%
2033	36.6%	34.8%
2034	36.2%	34.4%
2035	35.8%	34.1%
2036	35.4%	33.7%
2037	34.9%	33.4%
2038	34.5%	33%
2039	34%	32.7%
2040	33.6%	32.4%
2041	33.2%	32%
2042	32.8%	31.7%
2043	32.4%	31.4%
2044	32%	31%
2045	31.7%	30.7%
2046	31.3%	30.4%
2047	31%	30.1%
2048	30.7%	29.7%
2049	30.3%	29.4%
2050	30%	29.1%

Children aged 0-14 make up 39.1% of the population in Ethiopia and 38.8% in Guinea-Bissau in 2024, compared to 46.2% and 45.7% respectively in 1990.

Demographics of Ethiopia and Guinea-Bissau compared.

Natural population change in Ethiopia vs Guinea-Bissau by year

For the past 10 years, the annual natural population change (excluding migration) has been +2.64% in Ethiopia and +2.44% in Guinea-Bissau. The chart below illustrates the comparison of the absolute yearly changes resulting from births and deaths.

Table

Year	Population change due to births and deaths
	Ethiopia	Guinea-Bissau
1960	511,694	10,618
1961	538,518	10,756
1962	563,650	10,662
1963	590,998	9,190
1964	618,667	8,989
1965	642,359	7,789
1966	616,281	6,955
1967	695,283	6,742
1968	715,602	7,289
1969	736,428	7,857
1970	760,821	7,632
1971	787,047	8,183
1972	779,808	7,911
1973	807,535	8,430
1974	777,306	10,321
1975	801,425	11,998
1976	899,577	13,688
1977	929,381	15,484
1978	943,388	17,468
1979	987,203	19,736
1980	1,007,516	21,024
1981	1,018,838	21,611
1982	1,080,853	22,131
1983	863,472	22,542
1984	920,670	22,861
1985	997,050	23,116
1986	1,050,277	23,301
1987	1,356,853	23,549
1988	1,393,356	23,940
1989	1,441,769	24,286
1990	1,479,663	23,936
1991	1,579,416	24,527
1992	1,673,839	25,747
1993	1,734,851	26,943
1994	1,788,133	27,895
1995	1,831,068	29,142
1996	1,896,364	29,778
1997	1,945,112	29,792
1998	1,984,989	30,390
1999	2,010,987	30,916
2000	2,083,622	32,816
2001	2,137,791	33,461
2002	2,189,683	34,561
2003	2,231,223	35,649
2004	2,296,999	36,495
2005	2,353,375	37,347
2006	2,393,585	38,886
2007	2,436,753	40,288
2008	2,465,283	40,841
2009	2,467,118	41,950
2010	2,498,048	43,067
2011	2,527,811	44,405
2012	2,533,398	45,480
2013	2,546,020	46,472
2014	2,623,647	46,615
2015	2,713,529	46,846
2016	2,809,889	46,814
2017	2,899,143	46,318
2018	3,015,231	46,659
2019	3,132,780	47,196
2020	3,199,718	46,718
2021	3,204,673	47,242
2022	3,300,114	48,920
2023	3,338,649	49,498

Maternal mortality chart: Ethiopia vs Guinea-Bissau

The maternal mortality rate, which is the probability of dying during childbirth or within 42 days of pregnancy termination, is 195 deaths per 100,000 live births in Ethiopia, compared to 505 deaths in Guinea-Bissau.

Table

Year	Maternal mortality per 100K births
	Ethiopia	Guinea-Bissau
1985	1,329	1,851
1986	1,317	1,825
1987	1,289	1,796
1988	1,306	1,759
1989	1,296	1,698
1990	1,320	1,709
1991	1,239	1,663
1992	1,218	1,633
1993	1,168	1,613
1994	1,113	1,644
1995	1,060	1,556
1996	1,008	1,539
1997	957	1,642
1998	911	1,465
1999	901	1,461
2000	870	1,295
2001	856	1,222
2002	826	1,141
2003	797	1,069
2004	764	980
2005	754	956
2006	729	831
2007	704	792
2008	678	802
2009	649	753
2010	619	698
2011	588	678
2012	545	704
2013	494	707
2014	444	662
2015	401	631
2016	364	617
2017	327	597
2018	297	585
2019	269	598
2020	244	603
2021	250	617
2022	207	539
2023	195	505

Under-five mortality rates

The chance that a newborn baby will die before reaching age five is 4.65% in Ethiopia and 6.93% in Guinea-Bissau. Below is the historical data on under-five mortality rates.

Table

Year	Mortality rate before reaching 5 years of age, per 1,000 live births
	Ethiopia	Guinea-Bissau
1966	27.8%	-
1967	24.9%	-
1968	24.8%	-
1969	24.8%	-
1970	24.7%	-
1971	24.7%	-
1972	24.7%	-
1973	24.6%	-
1974	28.3%	-
1975	28.2%	-
1976	24.5%	-
1977	24.5%	-
1978	24.4%	-
1979	24.2%	-
1980	24%	-
1981	23.8%	-
1982	23.5%	-
1983	32%	-
1984	31.4%	-
1985	30.3%	24.4%
1986	29.7%	24%
1987	21.5%	23.5%
1988	21%	23.1%
1989	20.6%	22.7%
1990	20.2%	22.2%
1991	19.7%	21.8%
1992	19.1%	21.3%
1993	18.5%	20.9%
1994	17.9%	20.4%
1995	17.2%	19.9%
1996	16.6%	19.4%
1997	15.9%	18.9%
1998	15.3%	18.4%
1999	14.7%	17.9%
2000	14%	17.4%
2001	13.4%	16.8%
2002	12.8%	16.3%
2003	12.1%	15.7%
2004	11.5%	15.1%
2005	10.9%	14.5%
2006	10.3%	13.9%
2007	9.74%	13.2%
2008	9.23%	12.6%
2009	8.76%	12%
2010	8.32%	11.4%
2011	7.91%	10.9%
2012	7.53%	10.4%
2013	7.16%	9.93%
2014	6.82%	9.53%
2015	6.49%	9.18%
2016	6.17%	8.84%
2017	5.89%	8.53%
2018	5.64%	8.21%
2019	5.41%	7.91%
2020	5.2%	7.66%
2021	5%	7.41%
2022	4.82%	7.16%
2023	4.65%	6.93%