Fertility & birth rates in Ethiopia and Niger

Fertility rate in Ethiopia vs Niger chart

According to the latest available data on birth rates, the fertility rate in Ethiopia was 3.99 children per woman in 2023, compared to 6.06 in Niger in 2023. The replacement level is considered to be 2.1 children per woman.

Check Ethiopia vs Niger population clock for a dynamic visualization of the changing population.

The chart below showcases historical changes in the birth rates.

Table

Year	Fertility rate
	Ethiopia	Niger
1960	6.51	7.53
1961	6.53	7.51
1962	6.56	7.5
1963	6.59	7.49
1964	6.61	7.48
1965	6.63	7.47
1966	6.66	7.48
1967	6.68	7.49
1968	6.7	7.5
1969	6.72	7.51
1970	6.78	7.51
1971	6.84	7.52
1972	6.9	7.52
1973	6.96	7.53
1974	7.02	7.54
1975	7.08	7.54
1976	7.13	7.56
1977	7.19	7.6
1978	7.23	7.66
1979	7.25	7.72
1980	7.29	7.78
1981	7.31	7.82
1982	7.34	7.86
1983	7.35	7.9
1984	7.36	7.92
1985	7.34	7.93
1986	7.32	7.9
1987	7.29	7.87
1988	7.26	7.84
1989	7.23	7.82
1990	7.2	7.81
1991	7.16	7.8
1992	7.13	7.8
1993	7.09	7.79
1994	7.05	7.79
1995	7	7.78
1996	6.93	7.78
1997	6.87	7.8
1998	6.79	7.84
1999	6.72	7.84
2000	6.65	7.83
2001	6.58	7.81
2002	6.5	7.8
2003	6.4	7.79
2004	6.3	7.78
2005	6.19	7.77
2006	6.05	7.74
2007	5.89	7.73
2008	5.7	7.7
2009	5.49	7.68
2010	5.28	7.64
2011	5.08	7.59
2012	4.89	7.53
2013	4.71	7.45
2014	4.61	7.34
2015	4.53	7.22
2016	4.47	7.04
2017	4.4	6.87
2018	4.37	6.71
2019	4.35	6.54
2020	4.27	6.37
2021	4.18	6.2
2022	4.08	6.14
2023	3.99	6.06
2024	3.91	5.93
2025	3.81	5.79
2026	3.72	5.64
2027	3.64	5.49
2028	3.57	5.35
2029	3.5	5.22
2030	3.43	5.08
2031	3.36	4.93
2032	3.3	4.8
2033	3.24	4.69
2034	3.19	4.55
2035	3.14	4.44
2036	3.08	4.32
2037	3.03	4.21
2038	2.99	4.1
2039	2.94	4
2040	2.9	3.91
2041	2.86	3.82
2042	2.83	3.74
2043	2.79	3.66
2044	2.75	3.59
2045	2.72	3.53
2046	2.68	3.46
2047	2.65	3.39
2048	2.62	3.34
2049	2.59	3.28
2050	2.55	3.22

Children 0-14 years as share of population

Table

Year	Share of people 0-14 years old
	Ethiopia	Niger
1960	42.2%	49%
1961	42.2%	48.9%
1962	42.1%	48.8%
1963	42.2%	48.8%
1964	42.3%	48.8%
1965	42.5%	48.7%
1966	42.9%	48.6%
1967	43.2%	48.5%
1968	43.5%	48.4%
1969	43.8%	48.3%
1970	44.2%	48.1%
1971	44.5%	48%
1972	44.9%	47.9%
1973	45.2%	47.7%
1974	45.4%	47.6%
1975	45.6%	47.4%
1976	45.7%	47.3%
1977	45.9%	47.1%
1978	46.1%	47%
1979	46.2%	47%
1980	46.3%	47%
1981	46.4%	47%
1982	46.5%	47%
1983	46.4%	47%
1984	46.2%	47%
1985	46.1%	47%
1986	46%	47%
1987	46%	47%
1988	46%	47%
1989	46.1%	46.9%
1990	46.2%	46.8%
1991	46.2%	46.8%
1992	46.2%	46.7%
1993	46.4%	46.7%
1994	46.5%	46.7%
1995	46.7%	46.7%
1996	46.9%	46.7%
1997	47.1%	46.8%
1998	47.4%	46.9%
1999	47.6%	47.1%
2000	47.7%	47.3%
2001	47.8%	47.5%
2002	47.8%	47.8%
2003	47.7%	48%
2004	47.6%	48.2%
2005	47.4%	48.5%
2006	47.2%	48.7%
2007	46.9%	48.9%
2008	46.6%	49.1%
2009	46.2%	49.3%
2010	45.7%	49.4%
2011	45.2%	49.5%
2012	44.6%	49.5%
2013	44%	49.4%
2014	43.4%	49.3%
2015	42.9%	49.2%
2016	42.3%	49%
2017	41.8%	48.8%
2018	41.3%	48.6%
2019	40.9%	48.3%
2020	40.5%	48%
2021	40.1%	47.7%
2022	39.7%	47.3%
2023	39.4%	47%
2024	39.1%	46.6%
2025	38.8%	46.2%
2026	38.5%	45.8%
2027	38.3%	45.5%
2028	38.1%	45%
2029	37.8%	44.6%
2030	37.6%	44.2%
2031	37.3%	43.8%
2032	37%	43.4%
2033	36.6%	43%
2034	36.2%	42.6%
2035	35.8%	42.2%
2036	35.4%	41.8%
2037	34.9%	41.3%
2038	34.5%	40.9%
2039	34%	40.4%
2040	33.6%	39.9%
2041	33.2%	39.4%
2042	32.8%	38.9%
2043	32.4%	38.4%
2044	32%	37.9%
2045	31.7%	37.4%
2046	31.3%	36.9%
2047	31%	36.4%
2048	30.7%	35.9%
2049	30.3%	35.5%
2050	30%	35%

Children aged 0-14 make up 39.1% of the population in Ethiopia and 46.6% in Niger in 2024, compared to 46.2% and 46.8% respectively in 1990.

Demographics of Ethiopia and Niger compared.

Natural population change in Ethiopia vs Niger by year

For the past 10 years, the annual natural population change (excluding migration) has been +2.64% in Ethiopia and +3.43% in Niger. The chart below illustrates the comparison of the absolute yearly changes resulting from births and deaths.

Table

Year	Population change due to births and deaths
	Ethiopia	Niger
1960	511,694	105,081
1961	538,518	107,693
1962	563,650	110,280
1963	590,998	113,072
1964	618,667	115,386
1965	642,359	116,963
1966	616,281	119,314
1967	695,283	121,358
1968	715,602	123,301
1969	736,428	125,389
1970	760,821	128,184
1971	787,047	128,223
1972	779,808	133,813
1973	807,535	137,695
1974	777,306	142,606
1975	801,425	147,962
1976	899,577	154,489
1977	929,381	161,792
1978	943,388	171,614
1979	987,203	180,632
1980	1,007,516	189,251
1981	1,018,838	195,938
1982	1,080,853	202,012
1983	863,472	207,962
1984	920,670	213,111
1985	997,050	219,206
1986	1,050,277	224,365
1987	1,356,853	231,371
1988	1,393,356	237,296
1989	1,441,769	245,278
1990	1,479,663	256,594
1991	1,579,416	266,527
1992	1,673,839	278,690
1993	1,734,851	292,135
1994	1,788,133	306,026
1995	1,831,068	323,630
1996	1,896,364	341,223
1997	1,945,112	358,745
1998	1,984,989	377,120
1999	2,010,987	394,212
2000	2,083,622	410,779
2001	2,137,791	428,417
2002	2,189,683	446,767
2003	2,231,223	467,295
2004	2,296,999	488,328
2005	2,353,375	511,167
2006	2,393,585	533,374
2007	2,436,753	556,808
2008	2,465,283	579,727
2009	2,467,118	602,671
2010	2,498,048	624,685
2011	2,527,811	645,175
2012	2,533,398	664,009
2013	2,546,020	686,070
2014	2,623,647	704,609
2015	2,713,529	721,630
2016	2,809,889	738,999
2017	2,899,143	752,384
2018	3,015,231	763,536
2019	3,132,780	775,474
2020	3,199,718	784,437
2021	3,204,673	793,428
2022	3,300,114	829,651
2023	3,338,649	864,139

Maternal mortality chart: Ethiopia vs Niger

The maternal mortality rate, which is the probability of dying during childbirth or within 42 days of pregnancy termination, is 195 deaths per 100,000 live births in Ethiopia, compared to 350 deaths in Niger.

Table

Year	Maternal mortality per 100K births
	Ethiopia	Niger
1985	1,329	1,137
1986	1,317	1,107
1987	1,289	1,074
1988	1,306	1,040
1989	1,296	1,010
1990	1,320	983
1991	1,239	957
1992	1,218	926
1993	1,168	903
1994	1,113	883
1995	1,060	865
1996	1,008	854
1997	957	841
1998	911	839
1999	901	841
2000	870	845
2001	856	843
2002	826	835
2003	797	813
2004	764	790
2005	754	764
2006	729	737
2007	704	704
2008	678	669
2009	649	647
2010	619	621
2011	588	585
2012	545	554
2013	494	526
2014	444	497
2015	401	473
2016	364	450
2017	327	433
2018	297	420
2019	269	406
2020	244	388
2021	250	396
2022	207	361
2023	195	350

Under-five mortality rates

The chance that a newborn baby will die before reaching age five is 4.65% in Ethiopia and 11.5% in Niger. Below is the historical data on under-five mortality rates.

Table

Year	Mortality rate before reaching 5 years of age, per 1,000 live births
	Ethiopia	Niger
1966	27.8%	-
1967	24.9%	31.9%
1968	24.8%	32.3%
1969	24.8%	32.7%
1970	24.7%	33.2%
1971	24.7%	33.6%
1972	24.7%	34%
1973	24.6%	34.2%
1974	28.3%	34.3%
1975	28.2%	34.2%
1976	24.5%	33.9%
1977	24.5%	33.5%
1978	24.4%	33%
1979	24.2%	32.6%
1980	24%	32.3%
1981	23.8%	32.3%
1982	23.5%	32.5%
1983	32%	32.9%
1984	31.4%	33.3%
1985	30.3%	33.7%
1986	29.7%	34%
1987	21.5%	34.1%
1988	21%	34%
1989	20.6%	33.7%
1990	20.2%	33.2%
1991	19.7%	32.5%
1992	19.1%	31.7%
1993	18.5%	30.6%
1994	17.9%	29.4%
1995	17.2%	28.1%
1996	16.6%	26.9%
1997	15.9%	25.7%
1998	15.3%	24.7%
1999	14.7%	23.7%
2000	14%	22.8%
2001	13.4%	21.8%
2002	12.8%	20.6%
2003	12.1%	19.4%
2004	11.5%	18.3%
2005	10.9%	17.2%
2006	10.3%	16.2%
2007	9.74%	15.4%
2008	9.23%	14.7%
2009	8.76%	14.1%
2010	8.32%	13.7%
2011	7.91%	13.3%
2012	7.53%	13.1%
2013	7.16%	12.9%
2014	6.82%	12.7%
2015	6.49%	12.6%
2016	6.17%	12.5%
2017	5.89%	12.4%
2018	5.64%	12.3%
2019	5.41%	12.2%
2020	5.2%	12.1%
2021	5%	11.9%
2022	4.82%	11.7%
2023	4.65%	11.5%