Fertility & birth rates in Ethiopia and Iran

Fertility rate in Ethiopia vs Iran chart

According to the latest available data on birth rates, the fertility rate in Ethiopia was 3.99 children per woman in 2023, compared to 1.7 in Iran in 2023. The replacement level is considered to be 2.1 children per woman.

Check Ethiopia vs Iran population clock for a dynamic visualization of the changing population.

The chart below showcases historical changes in the birth rates.

Table

Year	Fertility rate
	Ethiopia	Iran
1960	6.51	7.52
1961	6.53	7.46
1962	6.56	7.4
1963	6.59	7.32
1964	6.61	7.24
1965	6.63	7.22
1966	6.66	7.21
1967	6.68	7.19
1968	6.7	7.12
1969	6.72	7.01
1970	6.78	6.8
1971	6.84	6.55
1972	6.9	6.26
1973	6.96	6.06
1974	7.02	5.97
1975	7.08	5.95
1976	7.13	6.07
1977	7.19	6.18
1978	7.23	6.34
1979	7.25	6.55
1980	7.29	6.63
1981	7.31	6.62
1982	7.34	6.59
1983	7.35	6.53
1984	7.36	6.43
1985	7.34	6.24
1986	7.32	6.01
1987	7.29	5.72
1988	7.26	5.43
1989	7.23	5.17
1990	7.2	4.93
1991	7.16	4.57
1992	7.13	4.1
1993	7.09	3.67
1994	7.05	3.24
1995	7	2.85
1996	6.93	2.54
1997	6.87	2.32
1998	6.79	2.19
1999	6.72	2.09
2000	6.65	2
2001	6.58	1.92
2002	6.5	1.84
2003	6.4	1.8
2004	6.3	1.78
2005	6.19	1.76
2006	6.05	1.76
2007	5.89	1.75
2008	5.7	1.74
2009	5.49	1.74
2010	5.28	1.75
2011	5.08	1.79
2012	4.89	1.85
2013	4.71	1.91
2014	4.61	1.98
2015	4.53	2.02
2016	4.47	2.05
2017	4.4	2.02
2018	4.37	1.92
2019	4.35	1.77
2020	4.27	1.7
2021	4.18	1.71
2022	4.08	1.7
2023	3.99	1.7
2024	3.91	1.68
2025	3.81	1.67
2026	3.72	1.66
2027	3.64	1.65
2028	3.57	1.64
2029	3.5	1.64
2030	3.43	1.63
2031	3.36	1.63
2032	3.3	1.63
2033	3.24	1.63
2034	3.19	1.63
2035	3.14	1.63
2036	3.08	1.63
2037	3.03	1.63
2038	2.99	1.63
2039	2.94	1.63
2040	2.9	1.63
2041	2.86	1.63
2042	2.83	1.63
2043	2.79	1.63
2044	2.75	1.63
2045	2.72	1.63
2046	2.68	1.63
2047	2.65	1.63
2048	2.62	1.63
2049	2.59	1.63
2050	2.55	1.63

Children 0-14 years as share of population

Table

Year	Share of people 0-14 years old
	Ethiopia	Iran
1960	42.2%	43.5%
1961	42.2%	44.1%
1962	42.1%	44.6%
1963	42.2%	44.9%
1964	42.3%	45%
1965	42.5%	45%
1966	42.9%	44.9%
1967	43.2%	44.8%
1968	43.5%	44.8%
1969	43.8%	44.7%
1970	44.2%	44.6%
1971	44.5%	44.4%
1972	44.9%	44.2%
1973	45.2%	43.8%
1974	45.4%	43.5%
1975	45.6%	43.2%
1976	45.7%	43%
1977	45.9%	42.9%
1978	46.1%	43%
1979	46.2%	43.1%
1980	46.3%	43.3%
1981	46.4%	42.9%
1982	46.5%	42.7%
1983	46.4%	43%
1984	46.2%	43.3%
1985	46.1%	43.5%
1986	46%	43.7%
1987	46%	43.9%
1988	46%	44%
1989	46.1%	44.2%
1990	46.2%	44.1%
1991	46.2%	43.9%
1992	46.2%	43.6%
1993	46.4%	43.6%
1994	46.5%	43.2%
1995	46.7%	42.1%
1996	46.9%	40.7%
1997	47.1%	39.1%
1998	47.4%	37.3%
1999	47.6%	35.4%
2000	47.7%	33.6%
2001	47.8%	31.7%
2002	47.8%	30.1%
2003	47.7%	28.7%
2004	47.6%	27.4%
2005	47.4%	26.2%
2006	47.2%	25.3%
2007	46.9%	24.6%
2008	46.6%	24%
2009	46.2%	23.7%
2010	45.7%	23.4%
2011	45.2%	23.3%
2012	44.6%	23.3%
2013	44%	23.3%
2014	43.4%	23.4%
2015	42.9%	23.6%
2016	42.3%	23.8%
2017	41.8%	23.9%
2018	41.3%	24%
2019	40.9%	23.9%
2020	40.5%	23.8%
2021	40.1%	23.6%
2022	39.7%	23.2%
2023	39.4%	22.8%
2024	39.1%	22.4%
2025	38.8%	22%
2026	38.5%	21.6%
2027	38.3%	21.1%
2028	38.1%	20.5%
2029	37.8%	19.9%
2030	37.6%	19.3%
2031	37.3%	18.6%
2032	37%	18%
2033	36.6%	17.4%
2034	36.2%	17%
2035	35.8%	16.7%
2036	35.4%	16.4%
2037	34.9%	16.2%
2038	34.5%	15.9%
2039	34%	15.8%
2040	33.6%	15.6%
2041	33.2%	15.5%
2042	32.8%	15.4%
2043	32.4%	15.3%
2044	32%	15.3%
2045	31.7%	15.2%
2046	31.3%	15.2%
2047	31%	15.2%
2048	30.7%	15.2%
2049	30.3%	15.1%
2050	30%	15.1%

Children aged 0-14 make up 39.1% of the population in Ethiopia and 22.4% in Iran in 2024, compared to 46.2% and 44.1% respectively in 1990.

Demographics of Ethiopia and Iran compared.

Natural population change in Ethiopia vs Iran by year

For the past 10 years, the annual natural population change (excluding migration) has been +2.64% in Ethiopia and +1.1% in Iran. The chart below illustrates the comparison of the absolute yearly changes resulting from births and deaths.

Table

Year	Population change due to births and deaths
	Ethiopia	Iran
1960	511,694	584,060
1961	538,518	594,674
1962	563,650	595,538
1963	590,998	620,126
1964	618,667	635,589
1965	642,359	663,029
1966	616,281	695,040
1967	695,283	727,276
1968	715,602	743,992
1969	736,428	780,660
1970	760,821	794,612
1971	787,047	805,830
1972	779,808	804,043
1973	807,535	831,880
1974	777,306	873,369
1975	801,425	929,481
1976	899,577	1,013,347
1977	929,381	1,091,542
1978	943,388	1,156,974
1979	987,203	1,294,306
1980	1,007,516	1,361,293
1981	1,018,838	1,376,830
1982	1,080,853	1,514,240
1983	863,472	1,573,612
1984	920,670	1,653,051
1985	997,050	1,661,750
1986	1,050,277	1,659,289
1987	1,356,853	1,639,644
1988	1,393,356	1,614,512
1989	1,441,769	1,609,739
1990	1,479,663	1,530,434
1991	1,579,416	1,495,594
1992	1,673,839	1,365,466
1993	1,734,851	1,219,658
1994	1,788,133	1,008,076
1995	1,831,068	879,648
1996	1,896,364	784,508
1997	1,945,112	726,574
1998	1,984,989	717,655
1999	2,010,987	723,237
2000	2,083,622	731,203
2001	2,137,791	743,658
2002	2,189,683	752,205
2003	2,231,223	732,600
2004	2,296,999	801,203
2005	2,353,375	837,305
2006	2,393,585	884,529
2007	2,436,753	919,254
2008	2,465,283	940,983
2009	2,467,118	958,322
2010	2,498,048	980,380
2011	2,527,811	1,023,925
2012	2,533,398	1,073,804
2013	2,546,020	1,119,533
2014	2,623,647	1,158,552
2015	2,713,529	1,178,317
2016	2,809,889	1,186,949
2017	2,899,143	1,140,549
2018	3,015,231	1,035,052
2019	3,132,780	893,063
2020	3,199,718	663,978
2021	3,204,673	645,725
2022	3,300,114	753,525
2023	3,338,649	750,150

Maternal mortality chart: Ethiopia vs Iran

The maternal mortality rate, which is the probability of dying during childbirth or within 42 days of pregnancy termination, is 195 deaths per 100,000 live births in Ethiopia, compared to 16 deaths in Iran.

Table

Year	Maternal mortality per 100K births
	Ethiopia	Iran
1985	1,329	160
1986	1,317	148
1987	1,289	136
1988	1,306	126
1989	1,296	113
1990	1,320	107
1991	1,239	94
1992	1,218	86
1993	1,168	80
1994	1,113	71
1995	1,060	65
1996	1,008	59
1997	957	55
1998	911	50
1999	901	46
2000	870	43
2001	856	40
2002	826	38
2003	797	37
2004	764	34
2005	754	33
2006	729	32
2007	704	31
2008	678	30
2009	649	28
2010	619	27
2011	588	26
2012	545	25
2013	494	24
2014	444	23
2015	401	22
2016	364	21
2017	327	20
2018	297	19
2019	269	18
2020	244	34
2021	250	51
2022	207	21
2023	195	16

Under-five mortality rates

The chance that a newborn baby will die before reaching age five is 4.65% in Ethiopia and 1.18% in Iran. Below is the historical data on under-five mortality rates.

Table

Year	Mortality rate before reaching 5 years of age, per 1,000 live births
	Ethiopia	Iran
1966	27.8%	-
1967	24.9%	-
1968	24.8%	-
1969	24.8%	-
1970	24.7%	-
1971	24.7%	18.9%
1972	24.7%	18%
1973	24.6%	17.1%
1974	28.3%	16.2%
1975	28.2%	15.3%
1976	24.5%	14.4%
1977	24.5%	13.5%
1978	24.4%	12.6%
1979	24.2%	11.7%
1980	24%	10.8%
1981	23.8%	10%
1982	23.5%	9.3%
1983	32%	8.67%
1984	31.4%	8.13%
1985	30.3%	7.64%
1986	29.7%	7.2%
1987	21.5%	6.8%
1988	21%	6.42%
1989	20.6%	6.07%
1990	20.2%	5.76%
1991	19.7%	5.48%
1992	19.1%	5.22%
1993	18.5%	5%
1994	17.9%	4.79%
1995	17.2%	4.59%
1996	16.6%	4.4%
1997	15.9%	4.21%
1998	15.3%	4.02%
1999	14.7%	3.83%
2000	14%	3.63%
2001	13.4%	3.42%
2002	12.8%	3.22%
2003	12.1%	3.02%
2004	11.5%	2.83%
2005	10.9%	2.65%
2006	10.3%	2.48%
2007	9.74%	2.32%
2008	9.23%	2.17%
2009	8.76%	2.04%
2010	8.32%	1.93%
2011	7.91%	1.84%
2012	7.53%	1.75%
2013	7.16%	1.68%
2014	6.82%	1.61%
2015	6.49%	1.55%
2016	6.17%	1.5%
2017	5.89%	1.45%
2018	5.64%	1.39%
2019	5.41%	1.35%
2020	5.2%	1.3%
2021	5%	1.26%
2022	4.82%	1.22%
2023	4.65%	1.18%