Fertility & birth rates in Ethiopia and Libya

Fertility rate in Ethiopia vs Libya chart

According to the latest available data on birth rates, the fertility rate in Ethiopia was 3.99 children per woman in 2023, compared to 2.36 in Libya in 2023. The replacement level is considered to be 2.1 children per woman.

Check Ethiopia vs Libya population clock for a dynamic visualization of the changing population.

The chart below showcases historical changes in the birth rates.

Table

Year	Fertility rate
	Ethiopia	Libya
1960	6.51	7.51
1961	6.53	7.56
1962	6.56	7.61
1963	6.59	7.69
1964	6.61	7.75
1965	6.63	7.82
1966	6.66	7.89
1967	6.68	7.93
1968	6.7	7.97
1969	6.72	8.01
1970	6.78	8.05
1971	6.84	8.1
1972	6.9	8.07
1973	6.96	8.05
1974	7.02	8.02
1975	7.08	7.98
1976	7.13	7.93
1977	7.19	7.87
1978	7.23	7.79
1979	7.25	7.68
1980	7.29	7.54
1981	7.31	7.37
1982	7.34	7.16
1983	7.35	6.91
1984	7.36	6.62
1985	7.34	6.33
1986	7.32	6.02
1987	7.29	5.72
1988	7.26	5.41
1989	7.23	5.09
1990	7.2	4.78
1991	7.16	4.46
1992	7.13	4.16
1993	7.09	3.88
1994	7.05	3.65
1995	7	3.44
1996	6.93	3.26
1997	6.87	3.13
1998	6.79	3.04
1999	6.72	2.97
2000	6.65	2.91
2001	6.58	2.87
2002	6.5	2.83
2003	6.4	2.8
2004	6.3	2.77
2005	6.19	2.77
2006	6.05	2.7
2007	5.89	2.65
2008	5.7	2.6
2009	5.49	2.56
2010	5.28	2.6
2011	5.08	2.65
2012	4.89	2.68
2013	4.71	2.72
2014	4.61	2.75
2015	4.53	2.71
2016	4.47	2.67
2017	4.4	2.63
2018	4.37	2.58
2019	4.35	2.54
2020	4.27	2.51
2021	4.18	2.46
2022	4.08	2.4
2023	3.99	2.36
2024	3.91	2.3
2025	3.81	2.25
2026	3.72	2.21
2027	3.64	2.18
2028	3.57	2.14
2029	3.5	2.11
2030	3.43	2.08
2031	3.36	2.06
2032	3.3	2.03
2033	3.24	2.01
2034	3.19	1.99
2035	3.14	1.97
2036	3.08	1.95
2037	3.03	1.94
2038	2.99	1.92
2039	2.94	1.91
2040	2.9	1.9
2041	2.86	1.89
2042	2.83	1.88
2043	2.79	1.87
2044	2.75	1.86
2045	2.72	1.85
2046	2.68	1.84
2047	2.65	1.83
2048	2.62	1.83
2049	2.59	1.82
2050	2.55	1.82

Children 0-14 years as share of population

Table

Year	Share of people 0-14 years old
	Ethiopia	Libya
1960	42.2%	43.6%
1961	42.2%	44.2%
1962	42.1%	44.8%
1963	42.2%	45.5%
1964	42.3%	46.1%
1965	42.5%	47%
1966	42.9%	48.4%
1967	43.2%	49.5%
1968	43.5%	50.3%
1969	43.8%	50.7%
1970	44.2%	50.9%
1971	44.5%	50.9%
1972	44.9%	50.9%
1973	45.2%	50.2%
1974	45.4%	49.3%
1975	45.6%	48.9%
1976	45.7%	48.6%
1977	45.9%	48.2%
1978	46.1%	48%
1979	46.2%	47.9%
1980	46.3%	47.7%
1981	46.4%	47.5%
1982	46.5%	47.3%
1983	46.4%	46.8%
1984	46.2%	46.1%
1985	46.1%	45.5%
1986	46%	44.8%
1987	46%	44.1%
1988	46%	43.4%
1989	46.1%	42.6%
1990	46.2%	41.7%
1991	46.2%	40.7%
1992	46.2%	39.7%
1993	46.4%	38.6%
1994	46.5%	37.4%
1995	46.7%	36.3%
1996	46.9%	35.2%
1997	47.1%	34.2%
1998	47.4%	33.3%
1999	47.6%	32.5%
2000	47.7%	32%
2001	47.8%	31.7%
2002	47.8%	31.5%
2003	47.7%	31.3%
2004	47.6%	31.2%
2005	47.4%	31.1%
2006	47.2%	30.9%
2007	46.9%	30.6%
2008	46.6%	30.3%
2009	46.2%	30.1%
2010	45.7%	29.9%
2011	45.2%	30.7%
2012	44.6%	31.5%
2013	44%	31.3%
2014	43.4%	31.1%
2015	42.9%	31%
2016	42.3%	30.9%
2017	41.8%	30.6%
2018	41.3%	30.3%
2019	40.9%	29.9%
2020	40.5%	29.5%
2021	40.1%	29%
2022	39.7%	28.5%
2023	39.4%	28%
2024	39.1%	27.4%
2025	38.8%	26.8%
2026	38.5%	26.2%
2027	38.3%	25.6%
2028	38.1%	25.1%
2029	37.8%	24.5%
2030	37.6%	23.9%
2031	37.3%	23.4%
2032	37%	23%
2033	36.6%	22.5%
2034	36.2%	22.1%
2035	35.8%	21.8%
2036	35.4%	21.5%
2037	34.9%	21.3%
2038	34.5%	21%
2039	34%	20.9%
2040	33.6%	20.7%
2041	33.2%	20.6%
2042	32.8%	20.5%
2043	32.4%	20.4%
2044	32%	20.3%
2045	31.7%	20.2%
2046	31.3%	20.1%
2047	31%	20%
2048	30.7%	19.9%
2049	30.3%	19.8%
2050	30%	19.6%

Children aged 0-14 make up 39.1% of the population in Ethiopia and 27.4% in Libya in 2024, compared to 46.2% and 41.7% respectively in 1990.

Demographics of Ethiopia and Libya compared.

Natural population change in Ethiopia vs Libya by year

For the past 10 years, the annual natural population change (excluding migration) has been +2.64% in Ethiopia and +1.43% in Libya. The chart below illustrates the comparison of the absolute yearly changes resulting from births and deaths.

Table

Year	Population change due to births and deaths
	Ethiopia	Libya
1960	511,694	38,391
1961	538,518	42,167
1962	563,650	46,252
1963	590,998	50,421
1964	618,667	55,227
1965	642,359	59,134
1966	616,281	60,394
1967	695,283	61,889
1968	715,602	63,971
1969	736,428	66,782
1970	760,821	70,488
1971	787,047	74,934
1972	779,808	77,864
1973	807,535	81,256
1974	777,306	89,337
1975	801,425	94,862
1976	899,577	101,146
1977	929,381	107,769
1978	943,388	114,669
1979	987,203	121,469
1980	1,007,516	128,034
1981	1,018,838	130,233
1982	1,080,853	133,511
1983	863,472	122,183
1984	920,670	110,028
1985	997,050	110,194
1986	1,050,277	109,325
1987	1,356,853	107,761
1988	1,393,356	105,469
1989	1,441,769	102,823
1990	1,479,663	99,898
1991	1,579,416	96,582
1992	1,673,839	93,568
1993	1,734,851	90,553
1994	1,788,133	88,765
1995	1,831,068	87,661
1996	1,896,364	86,945
1997	1,945,112	86,899
1998	1,984,989	87,613
1999	2,010,987	88,743
2000	2,083,622	89,814
2001	2,137,791	93,370
2002	2,189,683	97,598
2003	2,231,223	102,144
2004	2,296,999	107,144
2005	2,353,375	112,823
2006	2,393,585	115,645
2007	2,436,753	116,704
2008	2,465,283	117,481
2009	2,467,118	118,102
2010	2,498,048	122,926
2011	2,527,811	121,016
2012	2,533,398	108,855
2013	2,546,020	110,772
2014	2,623,647	110,420
2015	2,713,529	108,096
2016	2,809,889	105,265
2017	2,899,143	103,891
2018	3,015,231	101,619
2019	3,132,780	97,842
2020	3,199,718	92,950
2021	3,204,673	88,005
2022	3,300,114	91,951
2023	3,338,649	75,760

Maternal mortality chart: Ethiopia vs Libya

The maternal mortality rate, which is the probability of dying during childbirth or within 42 days of pregnancy termination, is 195 deaths per 100,000 live births in Ethiopia, compared to 59 deaths in Libya.

Table

Year	Maternal mortality per 100K births
	Ethiopia	Libya
1985	1,329	86
1986	1,317	82
1987	1,289	77
1988	1,306	74
1989	1,296	70
1990	1,320	67
1991	1,239	64
1992	1,218	61
1993	1,168	60
1994	1,113	59
1995	1,060	59
1996	1,008	61
1997	957	64
1998	911	67
1999	901	69
2000	870	71
2001	856	71
2002	826	69
2003	797	68
2004	764	67
2005	754	66
2006	729	66
2007	704	67
2008	678	68
2009	649	70
2010	619	71
2011	588	81
2012	545	74
2013	494	75
2014	444	77
2015	401	76
2016	364	74
2017	327	69
2018	297	66
2019	269	65
2020	244	71
2021	250	98
2022	207	60
2023	195	59

Under-five mortality rates

The chance that a newborn baby will die before reaching age five is 4.65% in Ethiopia and 3.08% in Libya. Below is the historical data on under-five mortality rates.

Table

Year	Mortality rate before reaching 5 years of age, per 1,000 live births
	Ethiopia	Libya
1960	-	27.7%
1961	-	26%
1962	-	24.3%
1963	-	22.7%
1964	-	21.2%
1965	-	19.7%
1966	27.8%	18.3%
1967	24.9%	17%
1968	24.8%	15.8%
1969	24.8%	14.7%
1970	24.7%	13.6%
1971	24.7%	12.6%
1972	24.7%	11.7%
1973	24.6%	10.9%
1974	28.3%	10.2%
1975	28.2%	9.5%
1976	24.5%	8.91%
1977	24.5%	8.39%
1978	24.4%	7.92%
1979	24.2%	7.5%
1980	24%	7.11%
1981	23.8%	6.76%
1982	23.5%	6.42%
1983	32%	6.1%
1984	31.4%	5.79%
1985	30.3%	5.5%
1986	29.7%	5.21%
1987	21.5%	4.94%
1988	21%	4.67%
1989	20.6%	4.42%
1990	20.2%	4.19%
1991	19.7%	3.98%
1992	19.1%	3.78%
1993	18.5%	3.61%
1994	17.9%	3.46%
1995	17.2%	3.32%
1996	16.6%	3.2%
1997	15.9%	3.09%
1998	15.3%	2.99%
1999	14.7%	2.9%
2000	14%	2.81%
2001	13.4%	2.73%
2002	12.8%	2.65%
2003	12.1%	2.55%
2004	11.5%	2.44%
2005	10.9%	2.31%
2006	10.3%	2.17%
2007	9.74%	2.02%
2008	9.23%	1.88%
2009	8.76%	1.76%
2010	8.32%	1.66%
2011	7.91%	1.96%
2012	7.53%	1.51%
2013	7.16%	1.45%
2014	6.82%	1.39%
2015	6.49%	1.33%
2016	6.17%	1.28%
2017	5.89%	1.24%
2018	5.64%	1.19%
2019	5.41%	1.16%
2020	5.2%	1.12%
2021	5%	1.08%
2022	4.82%	1.05%
2023	4.65%	3.08%