Fertility & birth rates in Ethiopia and Guinea

Fertility rate in Ethiopia vs Guinea chart

According to the latest available data on birth rates, the fertility rate in Ethiopia was 3.99 children per woman in 2023, compared to 4.22 in Guinea in 2023. The replacement level is considered to be 2.1 children per woman.

Check Ethiopia vs Guinea population clock for a dynamic visualization of the changing population.

The chart below showcases historical changes in the birth rates.

Table

Year	Fertility rate
	Ethiopia	Guinea
1960	6.51	6.11
1961	6.53	6.13
1962	6.56	6.14
1963	6.59	6.15
1964	6.61	6.17
1965	6.63	6.18
1966	6.66	6.19
1967	6.68	6.2
1968	6.7	6.21
1969	6.72	6.23
1970	6.78	6.24
1971	6.84	6.26
1972	6.9	6.28
1973	6.96	6.31
1974	7.02	6.34
1975	7.08	6.37
1976	7.13	6.4
1977	7.19	6.43
1978	7.23	6.44
1979	7.25	6.45
1980	7.29	6.46
1981	7.31	6.46
1982	7.34	6.49
1983	7.35	6.49
1984	7.36	6.51
1985	7.34	6.53
1986	7.32	6.55
1987	7.29	6.57
1988	7.26	6.56
1989	7.23	6.55
1990	7.2	6.52
1991	7.16	6.48
1992	7.13	6.45
1993	7.09	6.41
1994	7.05	6.36
1995	7	6.29
1996	6.93	6.21
1997	6.87	6.12
1998	6.79	6.05
1999	6.72	5.99
2000	6.65	5.92
2001	6.58	5.83
2002	6.5	5.78
2003	6.4	5.74
2004	6.3	5.73
2005	6.19	5.73
2006	6.05	5.7
2007	5.89	5.66
2008	5.7	5.6
2009	5.49	5.53
2010	5.28	5.44
2011	5.08	5.34
2012	4.89	5.23
2013	4.71	5.15
2014	4.61	5.07
2015	4.53	5
2016	4.47	4.92
2017	4.4	4.79
2018	4.37	4.67
2019	4.35	4.58
2020	4.27	4.49
2021	4.18	4.4
2022	4.08	4.3
2023	3.99	4.22
2024	3.91	4.13
2025	3.81	4.04
2026	3.72	3.96
2027	3.64	3.89
2028	3.57	3.81
2029	3.5	3.73
2030	3.43	3.66
2031	3.36	3.59
2032	3.3	3.52
2033	3.24	3.45
2034	3.19	3.38
2035	3.14	3.32
2036	3.08	3.27
2037	3.03	3.21
2038	2.99	3.16
2039	2.94	3.12
2040	2.9	3.07
2041	2.86	3.02
2042	2.83	2.98
2043	2.79	2.94
2044	2.75	2.9
2045	2.72	2.86
2046	2.68	2.82
2047	2.65	2.79
2048	2.62	2.75
2049	2.59	2.73
2050	2.55	2.7

Children 0-14 years as share of population

Table

Year	Share of people 0-14 years old
	Ethiopia	Guinea
1960	42.2%	39.6%
1961	42.2%	39.7%
1962	42.1%	39.9%
1963	42.2%	39.9%
1964	42.3%	40%
1965	42.5%	40.1%
1966	42.9%	40.2%
1967	43.2%	40.2%
1968	43.5%	40.3%
1969	43.8%	40.3%
1970	44.2%	40.4%
1971	44.5%	40.5%
1972	44.9%	40.7%
1973	45.2%	40.9%
1974	45.4%	41.1%
1975	45.6%	41.3%
1976	45.7%	41.5%
1977	45.9%	41.8%
1978	46.1%	42%
1979	46.2%	42.2%
1980	46.3%	42.4%
1981	46.4%	42.6%
1982	46.5%	42.7%
1983	46.4%	42.8%
1984	46.2%	42.9%
1985	46.1%	43%
1986	46%	43%
1987	46%	43.1%
1988	46%	43.1%
1989	46.1%	43.2%
1990	46.2%	43.3%
1991	46.2%	43.4%
1992	46.2%	43.5%
1993	46.4%	43.6%
1994	46.5%	43.7%
1995	46.7%	43.8%
1996	46.9%	43.9%
1997	47.1%	44.2%
1998	47.4%	44.5%
1999	47.6%	44.7%
2000	47.7%	44.9%
2001	47.8%	45.3%
2002	47.8%	45.5%
2003	47.7%	45.4%
2004	47.6%	45.3%
2005	47.4%	45.3%
2006	47.2%	45.3%
2007	46.9%	45.1%
2008	46.6%	44.9%
2009	46.2%	44.7%
2010	45.7%	44.5%
2011	45.2%	44.2%
2012	44.6%	44%
2013	44%	43.8%
2014	43.4%	43.5%
2015	42.9%	43.3%
2016	42.3%	43.1%
2017	41.8%	42.9%
2018	41.3%	42.6%
2019	40.9%	42.4%
2020	40.5%	42.1%
2021	40.1%	41.9%
2022	39.7%	41.6%
2023	39.4%	41.2%
2024	39.1%	40.9%
2025	38.8%	40.5%
2026	38.5%	40.2%
2027	38.3%	39.8%
2028	38.1%	39.5%
2029	37.8%	39.1%
2030	37.6%	38.7%
2031	37.3%	38.3%
2032	37%	37.9%
2033	36.6%	37.5%
2034	36.2%	37%
2035	35.8%	36.6%
2036	35.4%	36.2%
2037	34.9%	35.7%
2038	34.5%	35.3%
2039	34%	34.9%
2040	33.6%	34.5%
2041	33.2%	34.1%
2042	32.8%	33.7%
2043	32.4%	33.3%
2044	32%	32.9%
2045	31.7%	32.5%
2046	31.3%	32.2%
2047	31%	31.8%
2048	30.7%	31.5%
2049	30.3%	31.2%
2050	30%	30.8%

Children aged 0-14 make up 39.1% of the population in Ethiopia and 40.9% in Guinea in 2024, compared to 46.2% and 43.3% respectively in 1990.

Demographics of Ethiopia and Guinea compared.

Natural population change in Ethiopia vs Guinea by year

For the past 10 years, the annual natural population change (excluding migration) has been +2.64% in Ethiopia and +2.6% in Guinea. The chart below illustrates the comparison of the absolute yearly changes resulting from births and deaths.

Table

Year	Population change due to births and deaths
	Ethiopia	Guinea
1960	511,694	61,848
1961	538,518	63,766
1962	563,650	65,672
1963	590,998	67,690
1964	618,667	69,848
1965	642,359	72,134
1966	616,281	74,748
1967	695,283	77,251
1968	715,602	79,892
1969	736,428	82,799
1970	760,821	85,418
1971	787,047	88,358
1972	779,808	91,147
1973	807,535	93,764
1974	777,306	96,315
1975	801,425	99,267
1976	899,577	102,449
1977	929,381	105,990
1978	943,388	109,415
1979	987,203	113,141
1980	1,007,516	117,186
1981	1,018,838	121,223
1982	1,080,853	126,831
1983	863,472	130,629
1984	920,670	136,640
1985	997,050	142,313
1986	1,050,277	148,137
1987	1,356,853	154,178
1988	1,393,356	159,566
1989	1,441,769	164,707
1990	1,479,663	169,926
1991	1,579,416	181,299
1992	1,673,839	189,682
1993	1,734,851	195,612
1994	1,788,133	201,439
1995	1,831,068	205,644
1996	1,896,364	214,896
1997	1,945,112	220,373
1998	1,984,989	219,385
1999	2,010,987	223,968
2000	2,083,622	227,081
2001	2,137,791	227,642
2002	2,189,683	229,022
2003	2,231,223	234,774
2004	2,296,999	242,075
2005	2,353,375	251,209
2006	2,393,585	258,518
2007	2,436,753	266,070
2008	2,465,283	274,327
2009	2,467,118	281,920
2010	2,498,048	288,512
2011	2,527,811	293,318
2012	2,533,398	298,094
2013	2,546,020	304,430
2014	2,623,647	309,539
2015	2,713,529	316,604
2016	2,809,889	324,608
2017	2,899,143	328,542
2018	3,015,231	332,585
2019	3,132,780	338,984
2020	3,199,718	342,289
2021	3,204,673	345,121
2022	3,300,114	352,517
2023	3,338,649	356,147

Maternal mortality chart: Ethiopia vs Guinea

The maternal mortality rate, which is the probability of dying during childbirth or within 42 days of pregnancy termination, is 195 deaths per 100,000 live births in Ethiopia, compared to 494 deaths in Guinea.

Table

Year	Maternal mortality per 100K births
	Ethiopia	Guinea
1985	1,329	1,248
1986	1,317	1,234
1987	1,289	1,218
1988	1,306	1,202
1989	1,296	1,188
1990	1,320	1,162
1991	1,239	1,143
1992	1,218	1,124
1993	1,168	1,094
1994	1,113	1,081
1995	1,060	1,042
1996	1,008	1,010
1997	957	994
1998	911	971
1999	901	960
2000	870	951
2001	856	946
2002	826	916
2003	797	892
2004	764	869
2005	754	843
2006	729	825
2007	704	802
2008	678	772
2009	649	766
2010	619	750
2011	588	728
2012	545	703
2013	494	682
2014	444	664
2015	401	642
2016	364	606
2017	327	582
2018	297	560
2019	269	548
2020	244	528
2021	250	533
2022	207	500
2023	195	494

Under-five mortality rates

The chance that a newborn baby will die before reaching age five is 4.65% in Ethiopia and 9.5% in Guinea. Below is the historical data on under-five mortality rates.

Table

Year	Mortality rate before reaching 5 years of age, per 1,000 live births
	Ethiopia	Guinea
1960	-	35%
1961	-	34.7%
1962	-	34.4%
1963	-	34.2%
1964	-	33.9%
1965	-	33.6%
1966	27.8%	33.4%
1967	24.9%	33.1%
1968	24.8%	32.8%
1969	24.8%	32.5%
1970	24.7%	32.2%
1971	24.7%	31.9%
1972	24.7%	31.6%
1973	24.6%	31.3%
1974	28.3%	30.9%
1975	28.2%	30.6%
1976	24.5%	30.1%
1977	24.5%	29.7%
1978	24.4%	29.2%
1979	24.2%	28.7%
1980	24%	28.2%
1981	23.8%	27.7%
1982	23.5%	27.2%
1983	32%	26.7%
1984	31.4%	26.2%
1985	30.3%	25.8%
1986	29.7%	25.3%
1987	21.5%	24.8%
1988	21%	24.4%
1989	20.6%	23.9%
1990	20.2%	23.3%
1991	19.7%	22.7%
1992	19.1%	22.1%
1993	18.5%	21.4%
1994	17.9%	20.7%
1995	17.2%	20%
1996	16.6%	19.3%
1997	15.9%	18.6%
1998	15.3%	17.9%
1999	14.7%	17.2%
2000	14%	16.5%
2001	13.4%	15.9%
2002	12.8%	15.2%
2003	12.1%	14.6%
2004	11.5%	14.1%
2005	10.9%	13.7%
2006	10.3%	13.3%
2007	9.74%	12.9%
2008	9.23%	12.7%
2009	8.76%	12.4%
2010	8.32%	12.2%
2011	7.91%	12%
2012	7.53%	11.8%
2013	7.16%	11.7%
2014	6.82%	11.6%
2015	6.49%	11.4%
2016	6.17%	11.2%
2017	5.89%	11%
2018	5.64%	10.8%
2019	5.41%	10.6%
2020	5.2%	10.3%
2021	5%	10.1%
2022	4.82%	9.78%
2023	4.65%	9.5%