Fertility & birth rates in Ethiopia and Guinea

Fertility rate in Ethiopia vs Guinea by year

Chart Table

Ethiopia

Guinea

1x

Year	Fertility rate
	Ethiopia	Guinea
2023	3.99	4.22
2022	4.08	4.3
2021	4.18	4.4
2020	4.27	4.49
2019	4.35	4.58
2018	4.37	4.67
2017	4.4	4.79
2016	4.47	4.92
2015	4.53	5
2014	4.61	5.07
2013	4.71	5.15
2012	4.89	5.23
2011	5.08	5.34
2010	5.28	5.44
2009	5.49	5.53
2008	5.7	5.6
2007	5.89	5.66
2006	6.05	5.7
2005	6.19	5.73
2004	6.3	5.73
2003	6.4	5.74
2002	6.5	5.78
2001	6.58	5.83
2000	6.65	5.92
1999	6.72	5.99
1998	6.79	6.05
1997	6.87	6.12
1996	6.93	6.21
1995	7	6.29
1994	7.05	6.36
1993	7.09	6.41
1992	7.13	6.45
1991	7.16	6.48
1990	7.2	6.52
1989	7.23	6.55
1988	7.26	6.56
1987	7.29	6.57
1986	7.32	6.55
1985	7.34	6.53
1984	7.36	6.51
1983	7.35	6.49
1982	7.34	6.49
1981	7.31	6.46
1980	7.29	6.46
1979	7.25	6.45
1978	7.23	6.44
1977	7.19	6.43
1976	7.13	6.4
1975	7.08	6.37
1974	7.02	6.34
1973	6.96	6.31
1972	6.9	6.28
1971	6.84	6.26
1970	6.78	6.24
1969	6.72	6.23
1968	6.7	6.21
1967	6.68	6.2
1966	6.66	6.19
1965	6.63	6.18
1964	6.61	6.17
1963	6.59	6.15
1962	6.56	6.14
1961	6.53	6.13
1960	6.51	6.11

According to the latest available data on birth rates, the fertility rate in Ethiopia was 3.99 children per woman in 2023, compared to 4.22 in Guinea in 2023. The replacement level is considered to be 2.1 children per woman.

Check Ethiopia vs Guinea population clock for a dynamic visualization of the changing population.

Natural population change by year

Chart Table

Ethiopia

Guinea

1x

Year	Natural population change
	Ethiopia	Guinea
2023	3,338,649	356,147
2022	3,300,114	352,517
2021	3,204,673	345,121
2020	3,199,718	342,289
2019	3,132,780	338,984
2018	3,015,231	332,585
2017	2,899,143	328,542
2016	2,809,889	324,608
2015	2,713,529	316,604
2014	2,623,647	309,539
2013	2,546,020	304,430
2012	2,533,398	298,094
2011	2,527,811	293,318
2010	2,498,048	288,512
2009	2,467,118	281,920
2008	2,465,283	274,327
2007	2,436,753	266,070
2006	2,393,585	258,518
2005	2,353,375	251,209
2004	2,296,999	242,075
2003	2,231,223	234,774
2002	2,189,683	229,022
2001	2,137,791	227,642
2000	2,083,622	227,081
1999	2,010,987	223,968
1998	1,984,989	219,385
1997	1,945,112	220,373
1996	1,896,364	214,896
1995	1,831,068	205,644
1994	1,788,133	201,439
1993	1,734,851	195,612
1992	1,673,839	189,682
1991	1,579,416	181,299
1990	1,479,663	169,926
1989	1,441,769	164,707
1988	1,393,356	159,566
1987	1,356,853	154,178
1986	1,050,277	148,137
1985	997,050	142,313
1984	920,670	136,640
1983	863,472	130,629
1982	1,080,853	126,831
1981	1,018,838	121,223
1980	1,007,516	117,186
1979	987,203	113,141
1978	943,388	109,415
1977	929,381	105,990
1976	899,577	102,449
1975	801,425	99,267
1974	777,306	96,315
1973	807,535	93,764
1972	779,808	91,147
1971	787,047	88,358
1970	760,821	85,418
1969	736,428	82,799
1968	715,602	79,892
1967	695,283	77,251
1966	616,281	74,748
1965	642,359	72,134
1964	618,667	69,848
1963	590,998	67,690
1962	563,650	65,672
1961	538,518	63,766
1960	511,694	61,848

The chart above illustrates the comparison of the absolute yearly changes in population resulting from births and deaths.

Excluding migration, the natural population change due to births and deaths from 2022 to 2023 was +2.59% in Ethiopia and +2.47% in Guinea.

For the past 10 years, the annual natural population change has been +2.64% in Ethiopia and +2.6% in Guinea.

Birth rate in Ethiopia vs Guinea by year

Chart Table

Ethiopia

Guinea

Annual births per 1,000 people

1x

Year	Annual births per 1,000 people
	Ethiopia	Guinea
2023	31.9	33.8
2022	32.4	34.4
2021	32.9	35
2020	33.3	35.5
2019	33.5	36
2018	33.4	36.3
2017	33.2	36.9
2016	33.3	37.4
2015	33.3	37.8
2014	33.4	38
2013	33.6	38.4
2012	34.6	38.7
2011	35.7	39.2
2010	36.6	39.6
2009	37.5	39.9
2008	38.9	40.1
2007	40.1	40.2
2006	41.1	40.3
2005	42.1	40.4
2004	42.7	40.2
2003	43.3	40.3
2002	44.3	40.6
2001	45	41.3
2000	45.6	41.8
1999	46.4	42.4
1998	47	42.8
1997	47.9	43.9
1996	48.6	44.2
1995	49	44.3
1994	49.6	45.1
1993	50.1	45.4
1992	50.4	45.9
1991	50.2	45.8
1990	50.8	45.5
1989	50.8	46
1988	50.9	46.2
1987	51.2	46.3
1986	51.5	46.2
1985	51.6	46.1
1984	51.4	46
1983	51.1	45.9
1982	50.8	45.9
1981	50.3	45.7
1980	51.4	45.8
1979	51.3	45.7
1978	51	45.7
1977	51.2	45.7
1976	50.7	45.6
1975	50.6	45.6
1974	50.4	45.6
1973	50.1	45.6
1972	50	45.6
1971	49.9	45.6
1970	49.7	45.5
1969	49.6	45.5
1968	49.5	45.5
1967	49.6	45.5
1966	49.5	45.5
1965	49.3	45.5
1964	49	45.5
1963	48.7	45.6
1962	48.5	45.6
1961	48.1	45.6
1960	47.9	45.6

The latest reported birth rate per 1,000 people in 2023 was 31.9 in Ethiopia and 33.8 in Guinea, compared with 47.9 and 45.6, respectively, in 1960.

Children 0-14 years as share of population

Chart Table

Ethiopia

Factual

UN forecast

Guinea

Factual

UN forecast

1x

Year	Young
	Ethiopia	Guinea
2100	19.2%	20.5%
2099	19.4%	20.6%
2098	19.5%	20.8%
2097	19.6%	20.9%
2096	19.8%	21%
2095	19.9%	21.2%
2094	20.1%	21.3%
2093	20.2%	21.4%
2092	20.4%	21.6%
2091	20.5%	21.7%
2090	20.7%	21.9%
2089	20.9%	22%
2088	21%	22.2%
2087	21.2%	22.3%
2086	21.4%	22.5%
2085	21.5%	22.6%
2084	21.7%	22.8%
2083	21.9%	22.9%
2082	22.1%	23.1%
2081	22.3%	23.3%
2080	22.5%	23.4%
2079	22.6%	23.6%
2078	22.8%	23.8%
2077	23.1%	24%
2076	23.3%	24.1%
2075	23.5%	24.3%
2074	23.7%	24.5%
2073	23.9%	24.7%
2072	24.2%	25%
2071	24.4%	25.2%
2070	24.7%	25.4%
2069	24.9%	25.6%
2068	25.2%	25.9%
2067	25.4%	26.1%
2066	25.7%	26.4%
2065	26%	26.6%
2064	26.2%	26.9%
2063	26.5%	27.2%
2062	26.8%	27.5%
2061	27.1%	27.7%
2060	27.4%	28%
2059	27.6%	28.3%
2058	27.9%	28.6%
2057	28.2%	28.9%
2056	28.5%	29.2%
2055	28.8%	29.5%
2054	29%	29.8%
2053	29.3%	30.1%
2052	29.6%	30.4%
2051	29.9%	30.7%
2050	30.2%	31%
2049	30.5%	31.3%
2048	30.8%	31.7%
2047	31.1%	32%
2046	31.5%	32.4%
2045	31.9%	32.7%
2044	32.2%	33.1%
2043	32.6%	33.5%
2042	33%	33.9%
2041	33.4%	34.3%
2040	33.8%	34.7%
2039	34.3%	35.1%
2038	34.7%	35.5%
2037	35.1%	35.9%
2036	35.6%	36.4%
2035	36%	36.8%
2034	36.5%	37.3%
2033	36.8%	37.7%
2032	37.2%	38.1%
2031	37.5%	38.5%
2030	37.7%	38.9%
2029	37.9%	39.3%
2028	38.2%	39.7%
2027	38.4%	40%
2026	38.6%	40.4%
2025	38.9%	40.7%
2024	39.1%	40.9%
2023	39.4%	41.2%
2022	39.7%	41.6%
2021	40.1%	41.9%
2020	40.5%	42.1%
2019	40.9%	42.4%
2018	41.3%	42.6%
2017	41.8%	42.9%
2016	42.3%	43.1%
2015	42.9%	43.3%
2014	43.4%	43.5%
2013	44%	43.8%
2012	44.6%	44%
2011	45.2%	44.2%
2010	45.7%	44.5%
2009	46.2%	44.7%
2008	46.6%	44.9%
2007	46.9%	45.1%
2006	47.2%	45.3%
2005	47.4%	45.3%
2004	47.6%	45.3%
2003	47.7%	45.4%
2002	47.8%	45.5%
2001	47.8%	45.3%
2000	47.7%	44.9%
1999	47.6%	44.7%
1998	47.4%	44.5%
1997	47.1%	44.2%
1996	46.9%	43.9%
1995	46.7%	43.8%
1994	46.5%	43.7%
1993	46.4%	43.6%
1992	46.2%	43.5%
1991	46.2%	43.4%
1990	46.2%	43.3%
1989	46.1%	43.2%
1988	46%	43.1%
1987	46%	43.1%
1986	46%	43%
1985	46.1%	43%
1984	46.2%	42.9%
1983	46.4%	42.8%
1982	46.5%	42.7%
1981	46.4%	42.6%
1980	46.3%	42.4%
1979	46.2%	42.2%
1978	46.1%	42%
1977	45.9%	41.8%
1976	45.7%	41.5%
1975	45.6%	41.3%
1974	45.4%	41.1%
1973	45.2%	40.9%
1972	44.9%	40.7%
1971	44.5%	40.5%
1970	44.2%	40.4%
1969	43.8%	40.3%
1968	43.5%	40.3%
1967	43.2%	40.2%
1966	42.9%	40.2%
1965	42.5%	40.1%
1964	42.3%	40%
1963	42.2%	39.9%
1962	42.1%	39.9%
1961	42.2%	39.7%
1960	42.2%	39.6%

Children aged 0-14 make up 39.1% of the population in Ethiopia and 40.9% in Guinea in 2024, compared to 46.2% and 43.3% respectively in 1990.

Demographics of Ethiopia and Guinea compared.

Maternal mortality chart: Ethiopia vs Guinea

Chart Table

Ethiopia

Guinea

1x

Year	Maternal mortality per 100K births
	Ethiopia	Guinea
2023	195	494
2022	207	500
2021	250	533
2020	244	528
2019	269	548
2018	297	560
2017	327	582
2016	364	606
2015	401	642
2014	444	664
2013	494	682
2012	545	703
2011	588	728
2010	619	750
2009	649	766
2008	678	772
2007	704	802
2006	729	825
2005	754	843
2004	764	869
2003	797	892
2002	826	916
2001	856	946
2000	870	951
1999	901	960
1998	911	971
1997	957	994
1996	1,008	1,010
1995	1,060	1,042
1994	1,113	1,081
1993	1,168	1,094
1992	1,218	1,124
1991	1,239	1,143
1990	1,320	1,162
1989	1,296	1,188
1988	1,306	1,202
1987	1,289	1,218
1986	1,317	1,234
1985	1,329	1,248

The maternal mortality rate, which is the probability of dying during childbirth or within 42 days of pregnancy termination, is 195 deaths per 100,000 live births in Ethiopia, compared to 494 deaths in Guinea.

Under-five mortality rates

Chart Table

Ethiopia

Guinea

Probability that a newborn baby will die before reaching age five

1x

Year	Under 5 mortality rate
	Ethiopia	Guinea
2023	4.65%	9.5%
2022	4.82%	9.78%
2021	5%	10.1%
2020	5.2%	10.3%
2019	5.41%	10.6%
2018	5.64%	10.8%
2017	5.89%	11%
2016	6.17%	11.2%
2015	6.49%	11.4%
2014	6.82%	11.6%
2013	7.16%	11.7%
2012	7.53%	11.8%
2011	7.91%	12%
2010	8.32%	12.2%
2009	8.76%	12.4%
2008	9.23%	12.7%
2007	9.74%	12.9%
2006	10.3%	13.3%
2005	10.9%	13.7%
2004	11.5%	14.1%
2003	12.1%	14.6%
2002	12.8%	15.2%
2001	13.4%	15.9%
2000	14%	16.5%
1999	14.7%	17.2%
1998	15.3%	17.9%
1997	15.9%	18.6%
1996	16.6%	19.3%
1995	17.2%	20%
1994	17.9%	20.7%
1993	18.5%	21.4%
1992	19.1%	22.1%
1991	19.7%	22.7%
1990	20.2%	23.3%
1989	20.6%	23.9%
1988	21%	24.4%
1987	21.5%	24.8%
1986	29.7%	25.3%
1985	30.3%	25.8%
1984	31.4%	26.2%
1983	32%	26.7%
1982	23.5%	27.2%
1981	23.8%	27.7%
1980	24%	28.2%
1979	24.2%	28.7%
1978	24.4%	29.2%
1977	24.5%	29.7%
1976	24.5%	30.1%
1975	28.2%	30.6%
1974	28.3%	30.9%
1973	24.6%	31.3%
1972	24.7%	31.6%
1971	24.7%	31.9%
1970	24.7%	32.2%
1969	24.8%	32.5%
1968	24.8%	32.8%
1967	24.9%	33.1%
1966	27.8%	33.4%
1965	-	33.6%
1964	-	33.9%
1963	-	34.2%
1962	-	34.4%
1961	-	34.7%
1960	-	35%

The chance that a newborn baby will die before reaching age five is 4.65% in Ethiopia and 9.5% in Guinea. Above is a chart with historical data on under-five mortality rates.