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Fertility & birth rates in Italy and Nigeria

Updated on by Georank team

Italy has an annual birth rate of 6.4 births per 1,000 people, compared to 33 for Nigeria. The average number of children a woman is expected to have during her lifetime — the fertility rate, is 1.2 in Italy and 4.48 in Nigeria — 273.5% difference.

1960 vs 2023, the fertility rate has decreased by 50% in Italy and by 29.6% in Nigeria — in 1960, it was 2.4 and 6.36, respectively.

  • Italy is ranked 190/196 by birth rate compared to 20/196 for Nigeria.
  • The mean age for first-time mothers is 31.8 years in Italy, compared to 20.4 years in Nigeria.
  • The mean age at childbearing (for all the births, not just the first) is 32.3 in Italy — it's 29.1 in Nigeria.
  • Annual births per 1,000 women ages 15-19 (adolescent birth rate or teenage mother rate) is 2.85 in Italy vs 86.4 in Nigeria.
  • In Italy, 19.6% of the population is composed of women of reproductive age (15-49), compared to 24% in Nigeria.

Fertility rate in Italy vs Nigeria by year

Italy
Nigeria
1x
Year Fertility rate
Italy Nigeria
2023 1.2 4.48
2022 1.24 4.55
2021 1.25 4.64
2020 1.24 4.7
2019 1.27 4.86
2018 1.31 5.02
2017 1.34 5.18
2016 1.36 5.34
2015 1.36 5.5
2014 1.38 5.62
2013 1.39 5.69
2012 1.42 5.8
2011 1.42 5.89
2010 1.44 5.95
2009 1.44 5.99
2008 1.44 6.02
2007 1.39 6.03
2006 1.37 6.05
2005 1.33 6.06
2004 1.34 6.09
2003 1.29 6.1
2002 1.27 6.12
2001 1.25 6.13
2000 1.26 6.12
1999 1.23 6.08
1998 1.22 6.07
1997 1.22 6.14
1996 1.2 6.22
1995 1.19 6.27
1994 1.21 6.32
1993 1.25 6.35
1992 1.3 6.39
1991 1.3 6.43
1990 1.33 6.46
1989 1.33 6.49
1988 1.36 6.5
1987 1.33 6.5
1986 1.35 6.56
1985 1.42 6.62
1984 1.46 6.7
1983 1.51 6.78
1982 1.56 6.8
1981 1.58 6.82
1980 1.64 6.85
1979 1.73 6.89
1978 1.84 6.92
1977 1.93 6.86
1976 2.04 6.81
1975 2.17 6.77
1974 2.28 6.7
1973 2.3 6.63
1972 2.35 6.58
1971 2.4 6.53
1970 2.38 6.47
1969 2.47 6.44
1968 2.46 6.42
1967 2.5 6.4
1966 2.58 6.39
1965 2.6 6.37
1964 2.66 6.36
1963 2.51 6.35
1962 2.46 6.36
1961 2.44 6.35
1960 2.4 6.36

Data sources: World Bank | Health (1960–2023, retrieved 2026-04-06).

GeoRank.org/birth-rate/italy/nigeria | CC BY

According to the latest available data on birth rates, the fertility rate in Italy was 1.2 children per woman in 2023, compared to 4.48 in Nigeria in 2023. The replacement level is considered to be 2.1 children per woman.

Check Italy vs Nigeria population clock for a dynamic visualization of the changing population.

Natural population change by year

Italy
Nigeria
1x
Year Natural population change
Italy Nigeria
2023 -283,125 4,834,309
2022 -318,674 4,739,502
2021 -301,579 4,641,562
2020 -338,801 4,525,164
2019 -215,025 4,609,941
2018 -192,475 4,659,898
2017 -192,007 4,706,183
2016 -138,265 4,761,594
2015 -162,620 4,823,045
2014 -96,513 4,862,319
2013 -90,468 4,811,751
2012 -78,248 4,774,508
2011 -48,021 4,728,363
2010 -23,928 4,629,173
2009 -17,866 4,528,149
2008 -11,842 4,412,976
2007 -5,876 4,265,428
2006 0 4,135,703
2005 -17,450 4,013,788
2004 11,566 3,877,376
2003 -40,179 3,751,120
2002 -22,836 3,606,814
2001 -11,396 3,478,370
2000 -17,082 3,343,196
1999 -22,766 3,155,425
1998 -39,835 3,003,946
1997 -22,756 2,936,500
1996 -22,744 2,882,205
1995 -34,107 2,830,771
1994 -17,053 2,735,198
1993 0 2,673,675
1992 22,718 2,596,173
1991 11,352 2,527,807
1990 22,688 2,491,928
1989 28,336 2,452,324
1988 33,977 2,376,419
1987 16,980 2,322,397
1986 11,319 2,295,003
1985 28,297 2,289,784
1984 50,919 2,278,060
1983 33,939 2,292,089
1982 79,161 2,233,401
1981 73,452 2,179,884
1980 84,650 2,121,618
1979 129,531 2,074,807
1978 168,465 2,019,621
1977 190,248 1,923,917
1976 228,445 1,827,289
1975 271,660 1,718,623
1974 336,176 1,624,813
1973 328,508 1,525,485
1972 364,355 1,448,928
1971 383,922 1,373,896
1970 376,753 1,295,507
1969 390,827 1,213,484
1968 399,268 1,168,254
1967 439,074 1,082,884
1966 488,427 1,095,582
1965 474,222 1,061,840
1964 527,089 1,028,272
1963 440,767 995,116
1962 427,387 966,452
1961 459,880 932,111
1960 426,697 901,301

Data sources: World Bank | Health (1960–2023, retrieved 2026-04-06).

GeoRank.org/birth-rate/italy/nigeria | CC BY

The chart above illustrates the comparison of the absolute yearly changes in population resulting from births and deaths.

Excluding migration, the natural population change due to births and deaths from 2022 to 2023 was -0.48% in Italy and +2.12% in Nigeria.

For the past 10 years, the annual natural population change has been -0.38% in Italy and +2.29% in Nigeria.

Birth rate in Italy vs Nigeria by year

Italy
Nigeria

Annual births per 1,000 people

1x
Year Annual births per 1,000 people
Italy Nigeria
2023 6.4 33
2022 6.7 33.2
2021 6.8 33.5
2020 6.8 33.7
2019 7 34.7
2018 7.3 35.7
2017 7.6 36.7
2016 7.9 37.8
2015 8.1 39
2014 8.3 39.9
2013 8.5 40.4
2012 8.9 41.1
2011 9.1 41.8
2010 9.4 42.1
2009 9.6 42.5
2008 9.7 42.8
2007 9.6 42.9
2006 9.6 43.2
2005 9.5 43.4
2004 9.7 43.5
2003 9.5 43.7
2002 9.4 43.8
2001 9.4 43.9
2000 9.5 43.9
1999 9.4 43.4
1998 9.3 43.2
1997 9.4 43.5
1996 9.3 43.9
1995 9.2 44.1
1994 9.4 44
1993 9.7 44.1
1992 10 44.2
1991 9.9 44.3
1990 10 44.5
1989 9.9 44.8
1988 10.1 44.7
1987 9.7 44.8
1986 9.8 45.3
1985 10.2 45.9
1984 10.4 46.5
1983 10.6 47.5
1982 10.9 47.5
1981 11 47.9
1980 11.3 48.3
1979 11.9 48.8
1978 12.6 49.3
1977 13.2 49.1
1976 14 49
1975 14.9 49
1974 15.8 48.7
1973 16 48.2
1972 16.3 48
1971 16.8 47.8
1970 16.7 47.4
1969 17.4 47.3
1968 17.5 47.2
1967 17.9 47.1
1966 18.7 47
1965 19 46.9
1964 19.7 46.9
1963 18.7 46.8
1962 18.4 46.7
1961 18.4 46.6
1960 18.1 46.5

Data sources: World Bank | Health (1960–2023, retrieved 2026-04-06).

GeoRank.org/birth-rate/italy/nigeria | CC BY

The latest reported birth rate per 1,000 people in 2023 was 6.4 in Italy and 33 in Nigeria, compared with 18.1 and 46.5, respectively, in 1960.

Birth rate data compared

Italy Nigeria
Fertility rate 1.2 4.48
Fertility rate rank 182/196 15/196
Birth rate 6.4 33
Birth rate rank 190/196 20/196
Population change due to births and deaths -283,125 +4,834,309
Natural population change rank 191/196 3/196
Natural population change rate -0.48% +2.12%
Population growth -0.05% +2.1%
Population growth rank 170/197 48/197
Age at first childbirth 31.8 years 20.4 years
Average age at childbearing 32.3 years 29.1 years
Annual births per 1,000 women ages 15-19 2.92 80.7
Annual births per 1,000 women ages 20-29 38.3 200.4
Annual births per 1,000 women ages 30+ 11.7 67.2
Female of reproductive age (15-49), share of population 19.6% 24%
Any modern method of contraceptive prevalence among married women ages 15-49 51.8% 18.2%
Share of births attended by skilled health staff 99.8% 50.7%
Maternal mortality per live birth 0.006% 0.99%
Neonatal mortality rate (before reaching 28 days of age) 0.16% 3.37%
Infant mortality rate (before reaching 1 year of age) 0.23% 6.01%
Mortality rate before reaching 5 years of age 0.28% 10.5%
Life expectancy 84.2 years 55 years

Children 0-14 years as share of population

Italy
Factual

UN forecast
Nigeria
Factual

UN forecast
1x
Year Young
Italy Nigeria
2100 11.1% 20.4%
2099 11.1% 20.5%
2098 11.1% 20.6%
2097 11.1% 20.7%
2096 11.1% 20.8%
2095 11.1% 20.9%
2094 11.1% 21%
2093 11.2% 21.1%
2092 11.2% 21.2%
2091 11.2% 21.4%
2090 11.2% 21.5%
2089 11.3% 21.6%
2088 11.3% 21.8%
2087 11.3% 21.9%
2086 11.3% 22.1%
2085 11.3% 22.2%
2084 11.3% 22.4%
2083 11.3% 22.6%
2082 11.3% 22.7%
2081 11.2% 22.9%
2080 11.2% 23.1%
2079 11.2% 23.3%
2078 11.1% 23.5%
2077 11.1% 23.7%
2076 11% 23.9%
2075 10.9% 24.1%
2074 10.9% 24.3%
2073 10.8% 24.5%
2072 10.8% 24.7%
2071 10.7% 25%
2070 10.7% 25.2%
2069 10.6% 25.4%
2068 10.6% 25.7%
2067 10.6% 25.9%
2066 10.5% 26.1%
2065 10.5% 26.4%
2064 10.5% 26.6%
2063 10.6% 26.9%
2062 10.6% 27.2%
2061 10.6% 27.4%
2060 10.6% 27.7%
2059 10.7% 28%
2058 10.7% 28.3%
2057 10.8% 28.6%
2056 10.8% 29%
2055 10.8% 29.3%
2054 10.9% 29.6%
2053 10.9% 30%
2052 10.9% 30.3%
2051 10.9% 30.7%
2050 10.9% 31.1%
2049 10.9% 31.5%
2048 10.8% 31.8%
2047 10.8% 32.2%
2046 10.7% 32.6%
2045 10.7% 32.9%
2044 10.6% 33.3%
2043 10.6% 33.7%
2042 10.5% 34%
2041 10.5% 34.4%
2040 10.4% 34.7%
2039 10.4% 35%
2038 10.3% 35.4%
2037 10.3% 35.7%
2036 10.3% 36%
2035 10.3% 36.3%
2034 10.4% 36.6%
2033 10.4% 37%
2032 10.5% 37.4%
2031 10.7% 37.8%
2030 10.8% 38.3%
2029 11% 38.8%
2028 11.1% 39.3%
2027 11.3% 39.8%
2026 11.5% 40.3%
2025 11.8% 40.8%
2024 11.9% 41%
2023 12.1% 41.5%
2022 12.4% 42%
2021 12.6% 42.4%
2020 12.8% 42.8%
2019 13% 43.2%
2018 13.2% 43.6%
2017 13.4% 43.9%
2016 13.6% 44.1%
2015 13.7% 44.3%
2014 13.8% 44.4%
2013 13.9% 44.5%
2012 14% 44.5%
2011 14% 44.5%
2010 14% 44.4%
2009 14% 44.4%
2008 14% 44.3%
2007 14% 44.2%
2006 14.1% 44.1%
2005 14.1% 44%
2004 14.2% 43.9%
2003 14.2% 43.8%
2002 14.2% 43.8%
2001 14.2% 43.7%
2000 14.3% 43.7%
1999 14.3% 43.8%
1998 14.3% 43.9%
1997 14.4% 44.1%
1996 14.5% 44.2%
1995 14.6% 44.4%
1994 14.8% 44.6%
1993 15% 44.8%
1992 15.2% 45%
1991 15.8% 45.2%
1990 16.5% 45.3%
1989 17% 45.5%
1988 17.5% 45.5%
1987 18.1% 45.6%
1986 18.7% 45.6%
1985 19.3% 45.5%
1984 19.9% 45.4%
1983 20.5% 45.2%
1982 21.1% 45%
1981 21.6% 44.8%
1980 22.3% 44.6%
1979 22.8% 44.4%
1978 23.4% 44.2%
1977 23.7% 43.9%
1976 24.1% 43.7%
1975 24.3% 43.4%
1974 24.5% 43.2%
1973 24.6% 43%
1972 24.6% 42.8%
1971 24.6% 42.5%
1970 24.7% 42.4%
1969 24.7% 42.2%
1968 24.6% 42%
1967 24.6% 41.8%
1966 24.5% 41.7%
1965 24.5% 41.5%
1964 24.5% 41.4%
1963 24.5% 41.2%
1962 24.7% 41.1%
1961 25% 41.1%
1960 25% 41.1%

Data sources: World Bank | Health (1960–2024, retrieved 2026-04-06); United Nations | World Population Prospects (2025–2100, retrieved 2026-03-10).

GeoRank.org/birth-rate/italy/nigeria | CC BY

Children aged 0-14 make up 11.9% of the population in Italy and 41% in Nigeria in 2024, compared to 16.5% and 45.3% respectively in 1990.

Demographics of Italy and Nigeria compared.

Fertility rates around the globe

1x

Data sources: World Bank | Health (1960–2023, retrieved 2026-04-06).

GeoRank.org/birth-rate/italy/nigeria | CC BY

Maternal mortality chart: Italy vs Nigeria

Italy
Nigeria
1x
Year Maternal mortality per 100K births
Italy Nigeria
2023 6 993
2022 10 1,016
2021 7 1,046
2020 8 1,065
2019 7 1,091
2018 7 1,118
2017 8 1,142
2016 8 1,155
2015 8 1,168
2014 8 1,155
2013 8 1,146
2012 8 1,124
2011 8 1,108
2010 8 1,094
2009 8 1,088
2008 7 1,081
2007 7 1,063
2006 7 1,067
2005 8 1,060
2004 8 1,075
2003 8 1,090
2002 10 1,117
2001 10 1,130
2000 11 1,136
1999 11 1,165
1998 12 1,189
1997 13 1,184
1996 14 1,185
1995 15 1,186
1994 15 1,193
1993 16 1,200
1992 17 1,246
1991 18 1,282
1990 18 1,285
1989 19 1,304
1988 20 1,332
1987 21 1,351
1986 22 1,363
1985 22 1,344

Data sources: World Bank | Gender (1985–2023, retrieved 2026-04-06).

GeoRank.org/birth-rate/italy/nigeria | CC BY

The maternal mortality rate, which is the probability of dying during childbirth or within 42 days of pregnancy termination, is 6 deaths per 100,000 live births in Italy, compared to 993 deaths in Nigeria.

Under-five mortality rates

Italy
Nigeria

Probability that a newborn baby will die before reaching age five

1x
Year Under 5 mortality rate
Italy Nigeria
2023 0.28% 10.5%
2022 0.28% 10.8%
2021 0.29% 11.1%
2020 0.3% 11.4%
2019 0.31% 11.8%
2018 0.32% 12%
2017 0.33% 12.3%
2016 0.34% 12.5%
2015 0.35% 12.6%
2014 0.36% 12.8%
2013 0.37% 12.9%
2012 0.38% 13.1%
2011 0.39% 13.3%
2010 0.4% 13.5%
2009 0.41% 13.8%
2008 0.41% 14.1%
2007 0.42% 14.5%
2006 0.43% 15%
2005 0.45% 15.5%
2004 0.46% 16%
2003 0.48% 16.5%
2002 0.51% 17.1%
2001 0.53% 17.7%
2000 0.56% 18.2%
1999 0.59% 18.8%
1998 0.62% 19.3%
1997 0.66% 19.7%
1996 0.7% 20.1%
1995 0.75% 20.4%
1994 0.8% 20.6%
1993 0.85% 20.7%
1992 0.89% 20.8%
1991 0.93% 20.9%
1990 0.97% 21%
1989 1% 21%
1988 1.04% 21%
1987 1.08% 20.9%
1986 1.14% 20.9%
1985 1.2% 20.8%
1984 1.27% 20.7%
1983 1.35% 20.7%
1982 1.43% 20.8%
1981 1.52% 21%
1980 1.61% 21.3%
1979 1.7% 21.8%
1978 1.82% 22.3%
1977 1.95% 22.9%
1976 2.11% 23.6%
1975 2.31% 24.4%
1974 2.53% 25.2%
1973 2.76% 26.1%
1972 2.98% 26.9%
1971 3.18% 27.7%
1970 3.36% 28.5%
1969 3.51% 29.3%
1968 3.64% 30%
1967 3.78% 30.7%
1966 3.93% 31.3%
1965 4.11% 32%
1964 4.31% 32.7%
1963 4.53% -
1962 4.76% -
1961 4.98% -
1960 5.19% -

Data sources: World Bank | Health (1960–2023, retrieved 2026-04-06).

GeoRank.org/birth-rate/italy/nigeria | CC BY

The chance that a newborn baby will die before reaching age five is 0.28% in Italy and 10.5% in Nigeria. Above is a chart with historical data on under-five mortality rates.

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Data sources:

  1. World Bank | Health (1960–2024, retrieved 2026-04-06)
  2. United Nations | World Population Prospects (2025–2100, retrieved 2026-03-10)
  3. United Nations Economic Commission for Europe (UNECE) (2023, retrieved 2026-03-10)
  4. Central Intelligence Agency (CIA) (2025, retrieved 2026-02-20)

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