Fertility & birth rates in Botswana and Nigeria

Fertility rate in Botswana vs Nigeria by year

Chart Table

Botswana

Nigeria

1x

Year	Fertility rate
	Botswana	Nigeria
2023	2.73	4.48
2022	2.79	4.55
2021	2.83	4.64
2020	2.86	4.7
2019	2.91	4.86
2018	2.94	5.02
2017	2.97	5.18
2016	2.99	5.34
2015	3.01	5.5
2014	3.03	5.62
2013	3.05	5.69
2012	3.07	5.8
2011	3.1	5.89
2010	3.14	5.95
2009	3.13	5.99
2008	3.13	6.02
2007	3.13	6.03
2006	3.11	6.05
2005	3.08	6.06
2004	3.06	6.09
2003	3.11	6.1
2002	3.18	6.12
2001	3.25	6.13
2000	3.29	6.12
1999	3.31	6.08
1998	3.36	6.07
1997	3.43	6.14
1996	3.57	6.22
1995	3.79	6.27
1994	4.02	6.32
1993	4.15	6.35
1992	4.26	6.39
1991	4.37	6.43
1990	4.51	6.46
1989	4.67	6.49
1988	4.88	6.5
1987	5.1	6.5
1986	5.33	6.56
1985	5.48	6.62
1984	5.63	6.7
1983	5.79	6.78
1982	5.97	6.8
1981	6.16	6.82
1980	6.29	6.85
1979	6.4	6.89
1978	6.48	6.92
1977	6.54	6.86
1976	6.6	6.81
1975	6.61	6.77
1974	6.61	6.7
1973	6.59	6.63
1972	6.56	6.58
1971	6.54	6.53
1970	6.55	6.47
1969	6.56	6.44
1968	6.58	6.42
1967	6.6	6.4
1966	6.61	6.39
1965	6.6	6.37
1964	6.61	6.36
1963	6.58	6.35
1962	6.54	6.36
1961	6.56	6.35
1960	6.6	6.36

According to the latest available data on birth rates, the fertility rate in Botswana was 2.73 children per woman in 2023, compared to 4.48 in Nigeria in 2023. The replacement level is considered to be 2.1 children per woman.

Check Botswana vs Nigeria population clock for a dynamic visualization of the changing population.

Natural population change by year

Chart Table

Botswana

Nigeria

1x

Year	Natural population change
	Botswana	Nigeria
2023	47,098	4,834,309
2022	47,400	4,739,502
2021	40,894	4,641,562
2020	45,610	4,525,164
2019	45,110	4,609,941
2018	44,171	4,659,898
2017	43,154	4,706,183
2016	41,993	4,761,594
2015	40,897	4,823,045
2014	40,046	4,862,319
2013	39,404	4,811,751
2012	39,202	4,774,508
2011	38,613	4,728,363
2010	38,101	4,629,173
2009	36,671	4,528,149
2008	35,433	4,412,976
2007	33,832	4,265,428
2006	31,340	4,135,703
2005	29,385	4,013,788
2004	27,481	3,877,376
2003	26,545	3,751,120
2002	26,163	3,606,814
2001	26,112	3,478,370
2000	25,850	3,343,196
1999	25,358	3,155,425
1998	25,397	3,003,946
1997	25,738	2,936,500
1996	26,847	2,882,205
1995	28,478	2,830,771
1994	30,664	2,735,198
1993	31,691	2,673,675
1992	31,995	2,596,173
1991	32,219	2,527,807
1990	33,015	2,491,928
1989	33,756	2,452,324
1988	34,564	2,376,419
1987	35,647	2,322,397
1986	36,203	2,295,003
1985	35,966	2,289,784
1984	35,530	2,278,060
1983	35,142	2,292,089
1982	34,859	2,233,401
1981	34,327	2,179,884
1980	33,934	2,121,618
1979	32,486	2,074,807
1978	30,596	2,019,621
1977	29,009	1,923,917
1976	27,497	1,827,289
1975	25,762	1,718,623
1974	24,160	1,624,813
1973	22,449	1,525,485
1972	21,004	1,448,928
1971	19,926	1,373,896
1970	19,438	1,295,507
1969	19,024	1,213,484
1968	18,725	1,168,254
1967	18,463	1,082,884
1966	18,250	1,095,582
1965	18,045	1,061,840
1964	17,634	1,028,272
1963	17,084	995,116
1962	16,507	966,452
1961	16,185	932,111
1960	15,861	901,301

The chart above illustrates the comparison of the absolute yearly changes in population resulting from births and deaths.

Excluding migration, the natural population change due to births and deaths from 2022 to 2023 was +1.9% in Botswana and +2.12% in Nigeria.

For the past 10 years, the annual natural population change has been +1.88% in Botswana and +2.29% in Nigeria.

Birth rate in Botswana vs Nigeria by year

Chart Table

Botswana

Nigeria

Annual births per 1,000 people

1x

Year	Annual births per 1,000 people
	Botswana	Nigeria
2023	24.7	33
2022	25.3	33.2
2021	25.4	33.5
2020	25.5	33.7
2019	25.8	34.7
2018	25.9	35.7
2017	26.1	36.7
2016	26.3	37.8
2015	26.5	39
2014	26.8	39.9
2013	27.2	40.4
2012	27.7	41.1
2011	28	41.8
2010	28.4	42.1
2009	28.4	42.5
2008	28.4	42.8
2007	28.3	42.9
2006	28.1	43.2
2005	27.7	43.4
2004	27.3	43.5
2003	27.4	43.7
2002	27.6	43.8
2001	27.9	43.9
2000	27.9	43.9
1999	27.7	43.4
1998	27.7	43.2
1997	27.9	43.5
1996	28.6	43.9
1995	29.9	44.1
1994	31.3	44
1993	31.9	44.1
1992	32.4	44.2
1991	32.8	44.3
1990	33.6	44.5
1989	34.5	44.8
1988	35.8	44.7
1987	37.2	44.8
1986	38.5	45.3
1985	39.4	45.9
1984	40.2	46.5
1983	41.2	47.5
1982	42.3	47.5
1981	43.4	47.9
1980	44.7	48.3
1979	44.7	48.8
1978	45.1	49.3
1977	45.8	49.1
1976	46.2	49
1975	46.2	49
1974	46.1	48.7
1973	45.7	48.2
1972	45.5	48
1971	45.5	47.8
1970	45.7	47.4
1969	45.5	47.3
1968	45.5	47.2
1967	45.5	47.1
1966	45.6	47
1965	45.8	46.9
1964	45.8	46.9
1963	45.9	46.8
1962	46	46.7
1961	46.6	46.6
1960	47.1	46.5

The latest reported birth rate per 1,000 people in 2023 was 24.7 in Botswana and 33 in Nigeria, compared with 47.1 and 46.5, respectively, in 1960.

Children 0-14 years as share of population

Chart Table

Botswana

Factual

UN forecast

Nigeria

Factual

UN forecast

1x

Year	Young
	Botswana	Nigeria
2100	16.9%	20.4%
2099	16.9%	20.5%
2098	17%	20.6%
2097	17.1%	20.7%
2096	17.2%	20.8%
2095	17.3%	20.9%
2094	17.4%	21%
2093	17.5%	21.1%
2092	17.5%	21.2%
2091	17.6%	21.4%
2090	17.7%	21.5%
2089	17.8%	21.6%
2088	17.8%	21.8%
2087	17.9%	21.9%
2086	18%	22.1%
2085	18.1%	22.2%
2084	18.2%	22.4%
2083	18.2%	22.6%
2082	18.3%	22.7%
2081	18.4%	22.9%
2080	18.5%	23.1%
2079	18.6%	23.3%
2078	18.7%	23.5%
2077	18.9%	23.7%
2076	19%	23.9%
2075	19.1%	24.1%
2074	19.3%	24.3%
2073	19.4%	24.5%
2072	19.6%	24.7%
2071	19.8%	25%
2070	20%	25.2%
2069	20.2%	25.4%
2068	20.3%	25.7%
2067	20.5%	25.9%
2066	20.7%	26.1%
2065	20.9%	26.4%
2064	21.1%	26.6%
2063	21.3%	26.9%
2062	21.5%	27.2%
2061	21.7%	27.4%
2060	21.8%	27.7%
2059	22%	28%
2058	22.2%	28.3%
2057	22.4%	28.6%
2056	22.5%	29%
2055	22.7%	29.3%
2054	22.9%	29.6%
2053	23%	30%
2052	23.2%	30.3%
2051	23.4%	30.7%
2050	23.6%	31.1%
2049	23.9%	31.5%
2048	24.1%	31.8%
2047	24.4%	32.2%
2046	24.7%	32.6%
2045	25%	32.9%
2044	25.3%	33.3%
2043	25.7%	33.7%
2042	26.1%	34%
2041	26.5%	34.4%
2040	26.9%	34.7%
2039	27.4%	35%
2038	27.9%	35.4%
2037	28.3%	35.7%
2036	29%	36%
2035	29.4%	36.3%
2034	29.8%	36.6%
2033	30.1%	37%
2032	30.5%	37.4%
2031	30.8%	37.8%
2030	31.1%	38.3%
2029	31.3%	38.8%
2028	31.5%	39.3%
2027	31.7%	39.8%
2026	31.9%	40.3%
2025	32%	40.8%
2024	32.1%	41%
2023	32.3%	41.5%
2022	32.4%	42%
2021	32.6%	42.4%
2020	32.9%	42.8%
2019	33.3%	43.2%
2018	33.6%	43.6%
2017	33.9%	43.9%
2016	34.2%	44.1%
2015	34.4%	44.3%
2014	34.4%	44.4%
2013	34.4%	44.5%
2012	34.2%	44.5%
2011	34%	44.5%
2010	34.1%	44.4%
2009	34.2%	44.4%
2008	34.5%	44.3%
2007	34.8%	44.2%
2006	35.1%	44.1%
2005	35.5%	44%
2004	35.9%	43.9%
2003	36.5%	43.8%
2002	37.1%	43.8%
2001	37.7%	43.7%
2000	38.4%	43.7%
1999	39.1%	43.8%
1998	39.8%	43.9%
1997	40.6%	44.1%
1996	41.4%	44.2%
1995	42.2%	44.4%
1994	43%	44.6%
1993	43.7%	44.8%
1992	44.2%	45%
1991	44.7%	45.2%
1990	45.1%	45.3%
1989	45.5%	45.5%
1988	45.8%	45.5%
1987	46%	45.6%
1986	46.1%	45.6%
1985	46.2%	45.5%
1984	46.2%	45.4%
1983	46.2%	45.2%
1982	46.2%	45%
1981	46.2%	44.8%
1980	46.1%	44.6%
1979	46%	44.4%
1978	46.5%	44.2%
1977	47%	43.9%
1976	47.3%	43.7%
1975	47.7%	43.4%
1974	48.2%	43.2%
1973	48.6%	43%
1972	49.1%	42.8%
1971	49.3%	42.5%
1970	49.2%	42.4%
1969	48.9%	42.2%
1968	48.6%	42%
1967	48.2%	41.8%
1966	47.9%	41.7%
1965	47.5%	41.5%
1964	47.2%	41.4%
1963	46.8%	41.2%
1962	46.2%	41.1%
1961	45.6%	41.1%
1960	45.1%	41.1%

Children aged 0-14 make up 32.1% of the population in Botswana and 41% in Nigeria in 2024, compared to 45.1% and 45.3% respectively in 1990.

Demographics of Botswana and Nigeria compared.

Maternal mortality chart: Botswana vs Nigeria

Chart Table

Botswana

Nigeria

1x

Year	Maternal mortality per 100K births
	Botswana	Nigeria
2023	155	993
2022	120	1,016
2021	165	1,046
2020	98	1,065
2019	100	1,091
2018	99	1,118
2017	46	1,142
2016	72	1,155
2015	141	1,168
2014	212	1,155
2013	221	1,146
2012	288	1,124
2011	269	1,108
2010	228	1,094
2009	213	1,088
2008	199	1,081
2007	201	1,063
2006	204	1,067
2005	166	1,060
2004	151	1,075
2003	142	1,090
2002	140	1,117
2001	138	1,130
2000	136	1,136
1999	131	1,165
1998	126	1,189
1997	123	1,184
1996	130	1,185
1995	148	1,186
1994	182	1,193
1993	230	1,200
1992	263	1,246
1991	283	1,282
1990	296	1,285
1989	300	1,304
1988	319	1,332
1987	302	1,351
1986	304	1,363
1985	313	1,344

The maternal mortality rate, which is the probability of dying during childbirth or within 42 days of pregnancy termination, is 155 deaths per 100,000 live births in Botswana, compared to 993 deaths in Nigeria.

Under-five mortality rates

Chart Table

Botswana

Nigeria

Probability that a newborn baby will die before reaching age five

1x

Year	Under 5 mortality rate
	Botswana	Nigeria
2023	3.96%	10.5%
2022	4.07%	10.8%
2021	4.2%	11.1%
2020	4.39%	11.4%
2019	4.5%	11.8%
2018	4.59%	12%
2017	4.65%	12.3%
2016	4.9%	12.5%
2015	4.98%	12.6%
2014	5.11%	12.8%
2013	5.1%	12.9%
2012	5.34%	13.1%
2011	5.68%	13.3%
2010	5.58%	13.5%
2009	5.78%	13.8%
2008	6.03%	14.1%
2007	6.16%	14.5%
2006	6.43%	15%
2005	7.03%	15.5%
2004	7.63%	16%
2003	7.85%	16.5%
2002	8%	17.1%
2001	8.12%	17.7%
2000	8.11%	18.2%
1999	7.91%	18.8%
1998	7.57%	19.3%
1997	7.37%	19.7%
1996	7.1%	20.1%
1995	6.74%	20.4%
1994	6.72%	20.6%
1993	6.2%	20.7%
1992	5.7%	20.8%
1991	5.29%	20.9%
1990	5.01%	21%
1989	4.87%	21%
1988	4.88%	21%
1987	5%	20.9%
1986	5.22%	20.9%
1985	5.5%	20.8%
1984	5.8%	20.7%
1983	6.12%	20.7%
1982	6.47%	20.8%
1981	6.86%	21%
1980	7.29%	21.3%
1979	7.74%	21.8%
1978	8.23%	22.3%
1977	8.77%	22.9%
1976	9.32%	23.6%
1975	9.88%	24.4%
1974	10.4%	25.2%
1973	10.9%	26.1%
1972	11.4%	26.9%
1971	11.9%	27.7%
1970	12.4%	28.5%
1969	12.8%	29.3%
1968	13.2%	30%
1967	13.6%	30.7%
1966	14%	31.3%
1965	14.5%	32%
1964	14.9%	32.7%
1963	15.3%	-
1962	15.8%	-
1961	16.3%	-
1960	16.8%	-

The chance that a newborn baby will die before reaching age five is 3.96% in Botswana and 10.5% in Nigeria. Above is a chart with historical data on under-five mortality rates.