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Fertility & birth rates in Chad and Nigeria

Updated on by Georank team

Chad has an annual birth rate of 42.4 births per 1,000 people, compared to 33 for Nigeria. The average number of children a woman is expected to have during her lifetime — the fertility rate, is 6.12 in Chad and 4.48 in Nigeria — 26.8% difference.

1960 vs 2023, the fertility rate has decreased by -2.08% in Chad and by -29.6% in Nigeria — in 1960, it was 6.25 and 6.36, respectively.

Birth rates facts compared:

  • Chad is ranked 3/196 by birth rate compared to 20/196 for Nigeria.
  • The mean age for first-time mothers is 18.1 years in Chad, compared to 20.4 years in Nigeria.
  • The mean age at childbearing (for all the births, not just the first) is 29.3 in Chad — it's 29.2 in Nigeria.
  • Annual births per 1,000 women ages 15-19 (adolescent birth rate or teenage mother rate) is 134.7 in Chad vs 86.4 in Nigeria.
  • In Chad, 22.9% of the population is composed of women of reproductive age (15-49), compared to 24% in Nigeria.
  • Excluding migration, the natural population change due to births and deaths from 2022 to 2023 was +3.14% in Chad and +2.12% in Nigeria.

Birth rate data compared

Chad Nigeria
Fertility rate 6.12 4.48
Birth rate 42.4 33
Birth rate rank 3/196 20/196
Age at first childbirth 18.1 years 20.4 years
Average age at childbearing 29.3 years 29.2 years
Annual births per 1,000 women ages 15-19 129.1 81.8
Annual births per 1,000 women ages 20-29 266.9 199.7
Annual births per 1,000 women ages 30+ 102.7 68.4
Female of reproductive age (15-49), share of population 22.9% 24%
Any modern method of contraceptive prevalence among married women ages 15-49 6.7% 18.2%
Share of births attended by skilled health staff 47.2% 50.7%
Maternal mortality per live birth 0.75% 0.99%
Neonatal mortality rate (before reaching 28 days of age) 3.14% 3.37%
Infant mortality rate (before reaching 1 year of age) 5.87% 6.01%
Mortality rate before reaching 5 years of age, per 1,000 live births 10.1% 10.5%
Population change due to births and deaths +605,924 +4,834,309
Natural population change rank 32/196 3/196
Natural population change rate +3.14% +2.12%
Population growth +5.07% +2.1%
Population growth rank 2/197 50/197
Life expectancy 55.4 years 54.8 years

Fertility rate in Chad vs Nigeria chart

According to the latest available data on birth rates, the fertility rate in Chad was 6.12 children per woman in 2023, compared to 4.48 in Nigeria in 2023. The replacement level is considered to be 2.1 children per woman.

Check Chad vs Nigeria population clock for a dynamic visualization of the changing population.

The chart below showcases historical changes in the birth rates.

Chad
Factual

UN forecast
Nigeria
Factual

UN forecast

Births per woman

Year Fertility rate
Chad Nigeria
1960 6.25 6.36
1961 6.27 6.35
1962 6.29 6.36
1963 6.3 6.35
1964 6.32 6.36
1965 6.34 6.37
1966 6.36 6.39
1967 6.39 6.4
1968 6.43 6.42
1969 6.48 6.44
1970 6.53 6.47
1971 6.58 6.53
1972 6.85 6.58
1973 6.87 6.63
1974 6.86 6.7
1975 6.88 6.77
1976 6.89 6.81
1977 6.9 6.86
1978 6.89 6.92
1979 6.91 6.89
1980 6.91 6.85
1981 6.94 6.82
1982 6.96 6.8
1983 6.98 6.78
1984 7.02 6.7
1985 7.04 6.62
1986 7.07 6.56
1987 7.11 6.5
1988 7.15 6.5
1989 7.19 6.49
1990 7.22 6.46
1991 7.26 6.43
1992 7.3 6.39
1993 7.34 6.35
1994 7.31 6.32
1995 7.29 6.27
1996 7.29 6.22
1997 7.27 6.14
1998 7.27 6.07
1999 7.26 6.08
2000 7.25 6.12
2001 7.23 6.13
2002 7.2 6.12
2003 7.18 6.1
2004 7.16 6.09
2005 7.13 6.06
2006 7.12 6.05
2007 7.09 6.03
2008 7.06 6.02
2009 7.02 5.99
2010 6.99 5.95
2011 6.95 5.89
2012 6.91 5.8
2013 6.84 5.69
2014 6.78 5.62
2015 6.71 5.5
2016 6.62 5.34
2017 6.54 5.18
2018 6.46 5.02
2019 6.41 4.86
2020 6.35 4.7
2021 6.26 4.64
2022 6.22 4.55
2023 6.12 4.48
2024 6.03 4.38
2025 5.94 4.3
2026 5.83 4.2
2027 5.74 4.1
2028 5.63 4.01
2029 5.54 3.92
2030 5.44 3.82
2031 5.36 3.73
2032 5.25 3.65
2033 5.15 3.56
2034 5.06 3.48
2035 4.97 3.41
2036 4.88 3.34
2037 4.8 3.27
2038 4.72 3.21
2039 4.63 3.16
2040 4.55 3.1
2041 4.47 3.04
2042 4.39 2.99
2043 4.32 2.94
2044 4.24 2.89
2045 4.17 2.85
2046 4.1 2.8
2047 4.04 2.76
2048 3.97 2.73
2049 3.91 2.69
2050 3.85 2.66

Children 0-14 years as share of population

Chad
Factual

UN forecast
Nigeria
Factual

UN forecast
Year Share of people 0-14 years old
Chad Nigeria
1960 41% 41.1%
1961 41.2% 41.1%
1962 41.5% 41.1%
1963 41.7% 41.2%
1964 41.9% 41.4%
1965 42% 41.5%
1966 42.1% 41.7%
1967 42.2% 41.8%
1968 42.4% 42%
1969 42.5% 42.2%
1970 42.7% 42.4%
1971 43% 42.5%
1972 43.2% 42.8%
1973 43.5% 43%
1974 43.9% 43.2%
1975 44.2% 43.4%
1976 44.6% 43.7%
1977 45% 43.9%
1978 45.4% 44.2%
1979 45.7% 44.4%
1980 46.6% 44.6%
1981 47.5% 44.8%
1982 46.6% 45%
1983 45.8% 45.2%
1984 46.5% 45.4%
1985 47.3% 45.5%
1986 47.2% 45.6%
1987 47% 45.6%
1988 46.8% 45.5%
1989 46.8% 45.5%
1990 47.1% 45.3%
1991 47.1% 45.2%
1992 46.9% 45%
1993 47.5% 44.8%
1994 48.2% 44.6%
1995 47.9% 44.4%
1996 47.8% 44.2%
1997 48.2% 44.1%
1998 48.5% 43.9%
1999 48.6% 43.8%
2000 48.8% 43.7%
2001 49% 43.7%
2002 49.1% 43.8%
2003 49% 43.8%
2004 48.7% 43.9%
2005 48.6% 44%
2006 48.6% 44.1%
2007 48.7% 44.2%
2008 48.7% 44.3%
2009 48.7% 44.4%
2010 48.8% 44.4%
2011 48.7% 44.5%
2012 48.7% 44.5%
2013 48.6% 44.5%
2014 48.5% 44.4%
2015 48.5% 44.3%
2016 48.5% 44.1%
2017 48.4% 43.9%
2018 48.2% 43.6%
2019 48.1% 43.2%
2020 48% 42.8%
2021 47.7% 42.4%
2022 47.4% 42%
2023 46.7% 41.5%
2024 46.1% 41%
2025 46% 40.5%
2026 46% 40%
2027 45.9% 39.5%
2028 45.8% 39%
2029 45.6% 38.5%
2030 45.4% 38%
2031 45.1% 37.6%
2032 44.9% 37.2%
2033 44.6% 36.8%
2034 44.3% 36.5%
2035 44% 36.2%
2036 43.7% 35.9%
2037 43.3% 35.5%
2038 42.9% 35.2%
2039 42.4% 34.9%
2040 41.9% 34.5%
2041 41.4% 34.2%
2042 40.9% 33.8%
2043 40.5% 33.5%
2044 40% 33.1%
2045 39.6% 32.8%
2046 39.2% 32.4%
2047 38.8% 32%
2048 38.4% 31.6%
2049 38.1% 31.3%
2050 37.7% 30.9%

Children aged 0-14 make up 46.1% of the population in Chad and 41% in Nigeria in 2024, compared to 47.1% and 45.3% respectively in 1990.

Demographics of Chad and Nigeria compared.

Natural population change in Chad vs Nigeria by year

For the past 10 years, the annual natural population change (excluding migration) has been +3.18% in Chad and +2.29% in Nigeria. The chart below illustrates the comparison of the absolute yearly changes resulting from births and deaths.

Chad
Nigeria

Natural population change

Year Population change due to births and deaths
Chad Nigeria
1960 62,003 901,301
1961 63,639 932,111
1962 65,312 966,452
1963 67,414 995,116
1964 69,483 1,028,272
1965 70,913 1,061,840
1966 73,123 1,095,582
1967 76,142 1,082,884
1968 79,465 1,168,254
1969 83,413 1,213,484
1970 87,660 1,295,507
1971 89,404 1,373,896
1972 101,142 1,448,928
1973 104,418 1,525,485
1974 106,898 1,624,813
1975 109,315 1,718,623
1976 111,324 1,827,289
1977 113,498 1,923,917
1978 115,084 2,019,621
1979 117,780 2,074,807
1980 122,468 2,121,618
1981 111,907 2,179,884
1982 119,121 2,233,401
1983 144,684 2,292,089
1984 151,511 2,278,060
1985 145,845 2,289,784
1986 152,360 2,295,003
1987 156,797 2,322,397
1988 178,489 2,376,419
1989 188,485 2,452,324
1990 191,959 2,491,928
1991 200,102 2,527,807
1992 219,348 2,596,173
1993 229,984 2,673,675
1994 223,996 2,735,198
1995 234,010 2,830,771
1996 254,589 2,882,205
1997 261,030 2,936,500
1998 270,055 3,003,946
1999 278,264 3,155,425
2000 287,173 3,343,196
2001 297,254 3,478,370
2002 302,995 3,606,814
2003 314,740 3,751,120
2004 334,136 3,877,376
2005 352,302 4,013,788
2006 362,027 4,135,703
2007 376,732 4,265,428
2008 387,439 4,412,976
2009 401,937 4,528,149
2010 416,177 4,629,173
2011 428,989 4,728,363
2012 444,246 4,774,508
2013 454,517 4,811,751
2014 467,957 4,862,319
2015 478,010 4,823,045
2016 483,442 4,761,594
2017 494,304 4,706,183
2018 509,642 4,659,898
2019 530,540 4,609,941
2020 541,234 4,525,164
2021 554,851 4,641,562
2022 588,060 4,739,502
2023 605,924 4,834,309

Fertility rates around the globe

Fertility rate

Maternal mortality chart: Chad vs Nigeria

The maternal mortality rate, which is the probability of dying during childbirth or within 42 days of pregnancy termination, is 748 deaths per 100,000 live births in Chad, compared to 993 deaths in Nigeria.

Chad
Nigeria
Year Maternal mortality per 100K births
Chad Nigeria
1985 1,119 1,344
1986 1,068 1,363
1987 1,123 1,351
1988 1,093 1,332
1989 1,083 1,304
1990 1,113 1,285
1991 1,093 1,282
1992 1,119 1,246
1993 1,166 1,200
1994 1,151 1,193
1995 1,119 1,186
1996 1,150 1,185
1997 1,146 1,184
1998 1,177 1,189
1999 1,184 1,165
2000 1,208 1,136
2001 1,204 1,130
2002 1,199 1,117
2003 1,170 1,090
2004 1,167 1,075
2005 1,189 1,060
2006 1,220 1,067
2007 1,240 1,063
2008 1,264 1,081
2009 1,285 1,088
2010 1,284 1,094
2011 1,264 1,108
2012 1,245 1,124
2013 1,216 1,146
2014 1,198 1,155
2015 1,176 1,168
2016 1,133 1,155
2017 1,085 1,142
2018 1,020 1,118
2019 958 1,091
2020 877 1,065
2021 869 1,046
2022 775 1,016
2023 748 993

Under-five mortality rates

The chance that a newborn baby will die before reaching age five is 10.1% in Chad and 10.5% in Nigeria. Below is the historical data on under-five mortality rates.

Chad
Nigeria

Probability that a newborn baby will die before reaching age five

Year Mortality rate before reaching 5 years of age, per 1,000 live births
Chad Nigeria
1960 26.7% -
1961 26.6% -
1962 26.5% -
1963 26.4% -
1964 26.3% 32.7%
1965 26.1% 32%
1966 26% 31.3%
1967 25.9% 30.7%
1968 25.7% 30%
1969 25.6% 29.3%
1970 25.4% 28.5%
1971 25.3% 27.7%
1972 25.2% 26.9%
1973 25% 26.1%
1974 24.8% 25.2%
1975 24.7% 24.4%
1976 24.6% 23.6%
1977 24.4% 22.9%
1978 24.2% 22.3%
1979 24.1% 21.8%
1980 23.8% 21.3%
1981 23.6% 21%
1982 23.4% 20.8%
1983 23.2% 20.7%
1984 22.9% 20.7%
1985 22.6% 20.8%
1986 22.3% 20.9%
1987 22% 20.9%
1988 21.8% 21%
1989 21.5% 21%
1990 21.2% 21%
1991 20.9% 20.9%
1992 20.6% 20.8%
1993 20.3% 20.7%
1994 20.1% 20.6%
1995 19.8% 20.4%
1996 19.6% 20.1%
1997 19.3% 19.7%
1998 19% 19.3%
1999 18.7% 18.8%
2000 18.4% 18.2%
2001 18% 17.7%
2002 17.7% 17.1%
2003 17.3% 16.5%
2004 17% 16%
2005 16.7% 15.5%
2006 16.3% 15%
2007 15.9% 14.5%
2008 15.5% 14.1%
2009 15.2% 13.8%
2010 14.8% 13.5%
2011 14.4% 13.3%
2012 14% 13.1%
2013 13.7% 12.9%
2014 13.3% 12.8%
2015 12.9% 12.6%
2016 12.6% 12.5%
2017 12.2% 12.3%
2018 11.8% 12%
2019 11.5% 11.8%
2020 11.1% 11.4%
2021 10.8% 11.1%
2022 10.4% 10.8%
2023 10.1% 10.5%

Compare countries by 7 more topics

Birth rate comparisons

Birth rate vs Chad vs Nigeria
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