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Fertility & birth rates in Mexico and Nigeria

Updated on by Georank team

Mexico has an annual birth rate of 15.7 births per 1,000 people, compared to 33 for Nigeria. The average number of children a woman is expected to have during her lifetime — the fertility rate, is 1.91 in Mexico and 4.48 in Nigeria — 134.7% difference.

1960 vs 2023, the fertility rate has decreased by 71.8% in Mexico and by 29.6% in Nigeria — in 1960, it was 6.76 and 6.36, respectively.

  • Mexico is ranked 100/196 by birth rate compared to 20/196 for Nigeria.
  • The mean age for first-time mothers is 21.3 years in Mexico, compared to 20.4 years in Nigeria.
  • The mean age at childbearing (for all the births, not just the first) is 26.8 in Mexico — it's 29.1 in Nigeria.
  • Annual births per 1,000 women ages 15-19 (adolescent birth rate or teenage mother rate) is 60.1 in Mexico vs 86.4 in Nigeria.
  • In Mexico, 27.1% of the population is composed of women of reproductive age (15-49), compared to 24% in Nigeria.

Fertility rate in Mexico vs Nigeria by year

Mexico
Nigeria
1x
Year Fertility rate
Mexico Nigeria
2023 1.91 4.48
2022 1.94 4.55
2021 1.97 4.64
2020 1.99 4.7
2019 2.02 4.86
2018 2.03 5.02
2017 2.04 5.18
2016 2.09 5.34
2015 2.14 5.5
2014 2.21 5.62
2013 2.27 5.69
2012 2.29 5.8
2011 2.32 5.89
2010 2.34 5.95
2009 2.36 5.99
2008 2.39 6.02
2007 2.42 6.03
2006 2.46 6.05
2005 2.5 6.06
2004 2.54 6.09
2003 2.58 6.1
2002 2.63 6.12
2001 2.67 6.13
2000 2.71 6.12
1999 2.76 6.08
1998 2.82 6.07
1997 2.89 6.14
1996 2.96 6.22
1995 3.04 6.27
1994 3.13 6.32
1993 3.21 6.35
1992 3.29 6.39
1991 3.36 6.43
1990 3.44 6.46
1989 3.53 6.49
1988 3.64 6.5
1987 3.8 6.5
1986 3.97 6.56
1985 4.09 6.62
1984 4.18 6.7
1983 4.3 6.78
1982 4.43 6.8
1981 4.57 6.82
1980 4.74 6.85
1979 4.96 6.89
1978 5.2 6.92
1977 5.36 6.86
1976 5.54 6.81
1975 5.74 6.77
1974 5.95 6.7
1973 6.12 6.63
1972 6.28 6.58
1971 6.42 6.53
1970 6.53 6.47
1969 6.63 6.44
1968 6.71 6.42
1967 6.75 6.4
1966 6.79 6.39
1965 6.82 6.37
1964 6.83 6.36
1963 6.82 6.35
1962 6.8 6.36
1961 6.78 6.35
1960 6.76 6.36

Data sources: World Bank | Health (1960–2023, retrieved 2026-04-06).

GeoRank.org/birth-rate/mexico/nigeria | CC BY

According to the latest available data on birth rates, the fertility rate in Mexico was 1.91 children per woman in 2023, compared to 4.48 in Nigeria in 2023. The replacement level is considered to be 2.1 children per woman.

Check Mexico vs Nigeria population clock for a dynamic visualization of the changing population.

Natural population change by year

Mexico
Nigeria
1x
Year Natural population change
Mexico Nigeria
2023 1,238,366 4,834,309
2022 1,224,397 4,739,502
2021 936,682 4,641,562
2020 1,031,637 4,525,164
2019 1,357,485 4,609,941
2018 1,366,076 4,659,898
2017 1,384,178 4,706,183
2016 1,445,256 4,761,594
2015 1,508,439 4,823,045
2014 1,587,620 4,862,319
2013 1,642,609 4,811,751
2012 1,656,599 4,774,508
2011 1,659,161 4,728,363
2010 1,658,682 4,629,173
2009 1,661,180 4,528,149
2008 1,670,846 4,412,976
2007 1,684,915 4,265,428
2006 1,706,084 4,135,703
2005 1,732,663 4,013,788
2004 1,759,250 3,877,376
2003 1,788,016 3,751,120
2002 1,820,665 3,606,814
2001 1,836,418 3,478,370
2000 1,845,383 3,343,196
1999 1,859,475 3,155,425
1998 1,871,650 3,003,946
1997 1,898,383 2,936,500
1996 1,922,554 2,882,205
1995 1,941,458 2,830,771
1994 1,959,775 2,735,198
1993 1,963,708 2,673,675
1992 1,956,659 2,596,173
1991 1,942,832 2,527,807
1990 1,926,480 2,491,928
1989 1,927,752 2,452,324
1988 1,936,601 2,376,419
1987 1,971,231 2,322,397
1986 1,998,043 2,295,003
1985 1,983,622 2,289,784
1984 1,960,428 2,278,060
1983 1,939,193 2,292,089
1982 1,921,772 2,233,401
1981 1,904,384 2,179,884
1980 1,893,158 2,121,618
1979 1,908,018 2,074,807
1978 1,921,419 2,019,621
1977 1,902,964 1,923,917
1976 1,891,958 1,827,289
1975 1,880,241 1,718,623
1974 1,868,809 1,624,813
1973 1,845,593 1,525,485
1972 1,823,302 1,448,928
1971 1,790,990 1,373,896
1970 1,753,370 1,295,507
1969 1,711,297 1,213,484
1968 1,671,918 1,168,254
1967 1,620,534 1,082,884
1966 1,566,170 1,095,582
1965 1,508,344 1,061,840
1964 1,447,360 1,028,272
1963 1,387,678 995,116
1962 1,328,319 966,452
1961 1,265,833 932,111
1960 1,206,955 901,301

Data sources: World Bank | Health (1960–2023, retrieved 2026-04-06).

GeoRank.org/birth-rate/mexico/nigeria | CC BY

The chart above illustrates the comparison of the absolute yearly changes in population resulting from births and deaths.

Excluding migration, the natural population change due to births and deaths from 2022 to 2023 was +0.95% in Mexico and +2.12% in Nigeria.

For the past 10 years, the annual natural population change has been +1.05% in Mexico and +2.29% in Nigeria.

Birth rate in Mexico vs Nigeria by year

Mexico
Nigeria

Annual births per 1,000 people

1x
Year Annual births per 1,000 people
Mexico Nigeria
2023 15.7 33
2022 16 33.2
2021 16.4 33.5
2020 16.6 33.7
2019 16.9 34.7
2018 17 35.7
2017 17.2 36.7
2016 17.7 37.8
2015 18.2 39
2014 19 39.9
2013 19.6 40.4
2012 19.9 41.1
2011 20.1 41.8
2010 20.3 42.1
2009 20.6 42.5
2008 20.8 42.8
2007 21.1 42.9
2006 21.5 43.2
2005 21.9 43.4
2004 22.4 43.5
2003 22.8 43.7
2002 23.4 43.8
2001 23.8 43.9
2000 24.2 43.9
1999 24.6 43.4
1998 25.1 43.2
1997 25.8 43.5
1996 26.4 43.9
1995 27.1 44.1
1994 27.7 44
1993 28.3 44.1
1992 28.7 44.2
1991 29.1 44.3
1990 29.4 44.5
1989 29.9 44.8
1988 30.4 44.7
1987 31.4 44.8
1986 32.3 45.3
1985 32.7 45.9
1984 33.1 46.5
1983 33.4 47.5
1982 33.9 47.5
1981 34.3 47.9
1980 35 48.3
1979 36.2 48.8
1978 37.4 49.3
1977 38.1 49.1
1976 39.1 49
1975 40.1 49
1974 41.2 48.7
1973 42.1 48.2
1972 43 48
1971 43.9 47.8
1970 44.5 47.4
1969 45.1 47.3
1968 45.6 47.2
1967 45.9 47.1
1966 46.3 47
1965 46.5 46.9
1964 46.8 46.9
1963 46.8 46.8
1962 46.8 46.7
1961 46.8 46.6
1960 46.9 46.5

Data sources: World Bank | Health (1960–2023, retrieved 2026-04-06).

GeoRank.org/birth-rate/mexico/nigeria | CC BY

The latest reported birth rate per 1,000 people in 2023 was 15.7 in Mexico and 33 in Nigeria, compared with 46.9 and 46.5, respectively, in 1960.

Birth rate data compared

Mexico Nigeria
Fertility rate 1.91 4.48
Fertility rate rank 104/196 15/196
Birth rate 15.7 33
Birth rate rank 100/196 20/196
Population change due to births and deaths +1,238,366 +4,834,309
Natural population change rank 12/196 3/196
Natural population change rate +0.95% +2.12%
Population growth +0.86% +2.1%
Population growth rank 110/197 48/197
Age at first childbirth 21.3 years 20.4 years
Average age at childbearing 26.8 years 29.1 years
Annual births per 1,000 women ages 15-19 57.7 80.7
Annual births per 1,000 women ages 20-29 99.1 200.4
Annual births per 1,000 women ages 30+ 16.3 67.2
Female of reproductive age (15-49), share of population 27.1% 24%
Any modern method of contraceptive prevalence among married women ages 15-49 69.1% 18.2%
Share of births attended by skilled health staff 96.6% 50.7%
Maternal mortality per live birth 0.04% 0.99%
Neonatal mortality rate (before reaching 28 days of age) 0.76% 3.37%
Infant mortality rate (before reaching 1 year of age) 1.08% 6.01%
Mortality rate before reaching 5 years of age 1.25% 10.5%
Life expectancy 75.6 years 55 years

Children 0-14 years as share of population

Mexico
Factual

UN forecast
Nigeria
Factual

UN forecast
1x
Year Young
Mexico Nigeria
2100 13.3% 20.4%
2099 13.3% 20.5%
2098 13.3% 20.6%
2097 13.3% 20.7%
2096 13.4% 20.8%
2095 13.4% 20.9%
2094 13.4% 21%
2093 13.5% 21.1%
2092 13.5% 21.2%
2091 13.5% 21.4%
2090 13.6% 21.5%
2089 13.6% 21.6%
2088 13.7% 21.8%
2087 13.7% 21.9%
2086 13.8% 22.1%
2085 13.8% 22.2%
2084 13.9% 22.4%
2083 14% 22.6%
2082 14% 22.7%
2081 14.1% 22.9%
2080 14.1% 23.1%
2079 14.2% 23.3%
2078 14.3% 23.5%
2077 14.3% 23.7%
2076 14.4% 23.9%
2075 14.5% 24.1%
2074 14.6% 24.3%
2073 14.6% 24.5%
2072 14.7% 24.7%
2071 14.8% 25%
2070 14.9% 25.2%
2069 15% 25.4%
2068 15.1% 25.7%
2067 15.2% 25.9%
2066 15.3% 26.1%
2065 15.4% 26.4%
2064 15.5% 26.6%
2063 15.6% 26.9%
2062 15.7% 27.2%
2061 15.8% 27.4%
2060 16% 27.7%
2059 16.1% 28%
2058 16.2% 28.3%
2057 16.4% 28.6%
2056 16.5% 29%
2055 16.7% 29.3%
2054 16.9% 29.6%
2053 17% 30%
2052 17.2% 30.3%
2051 17.4% 30.7%
2050 17.6% 31.1%
2049 17.8% 31.5%
2048 17.9% 31.8%
2047 18.1% 32.2%
2046 18.3% 32.6%
2045 18.5% 32.9%
2044 18.7% 33.3%
2043 18.9% 33.7%
2042 19.1% 34%
2041 19.3% 34.4%
2040 19.5% 34.7%
2039 19.7% 35%
2038 20% 35.4%
2037 20.2% 35.7%
2036 20.5% 36%
2035 20.7% 36.3%
2034 21% 36.6%
2033 21.3% 37%
2032 21.6% 37.4%
2031 21.9% 37.8%
2030 22.2% 38.3%
2029 22.6% 38.8%
2028 23% 39.3%
2027 23.5% 39.8%
2026 23.9% 40.3%
2025 24.3% 40.8%
2024 24.5% 41%
2023 24.9% 41.5%
2022 25.3% 42%
2021 25.7% 42.4%
2020 26% 42.8%
2019 26.3% 43.2%
2018 26.7% 43.6%
2017 27.2% 43.9%
2016 27.6% 44.1%
2015 28% 44.3%
2014 28.3% 44.4%
2013 28.7% 44.5%
2012 29% 44.5%
2011 29.4% 44.5%
2010 29.8% 44.4%
2009 30.2% 44.4%
2008 30.6% 44.3%
2007 31.1% 44.2%
2006 31.6% 44.1%
2005 32.1% 44%
2004 32.5% 43.9%
2003 33% 43.8%
2002 33.4% 43.8%
2001 33.9% 43.7%
2000 34.3% 43.7%
1999 34.8% 43.8%
1998 35.2% 43.9%
1997 35.6% 44.1%
1996 36% 44.2%
1995 36.5% 44.4%
1994 36.9% 44.6%
1993 37.3% 44.8%
1992 37.8% 45%
1991 38.4% 45.2%
1990 39% 45.3%
1989 39.7% 45.5%
1988 40.3% 45.5%
1987 41% 45.6%
1986 41.6% 45.6%
1985 42.3% 45.5%
1984 43% 45.4%
1983 43.7% 45.2%
1982 44.4% 45%
1981 45.2% 44.8%
1980 45.8% 44.6%
1979 46.3% 44.4%
1978 46.7% 44.2%
1977 47% 43.9%
1976 47.2% 43.7%
1975 47.5% 43.4%
1974 47.6% 43.2%
1973 47.7% 43%
1972 47.7% 42.8%
1971 47.8% 42.5%
1970 47.7% 42.4%
1969 47.7% 42.2%
1968 47.6% 42%
1967 47.6% 41.8%
1966 47.5% 41.7%
1965 47.4% 41.5%
1964 47.3% 41.4%
1963 47.2% 41.2%
1962 47.1% 41.1%
1961 47% 41.1%
1960 46.8% 41.1%

Data sources: World Bank | Health (1960–2024, retrieved 2026-04-06); United Nations | World Population Prospects (2025–2100, retrieved 2026-03-10).

GeoRank.org/birth-rate/mexico/nigeria | CC BY

Children aged 0-14 make up 24.5% of the population in Mexico and 41% in Nigeria in 2024, compared to 39% and 45.3% respectively in 1990.

Demographics of Mexico and Nigeria compared.

Fertility rates around the globe

1x

Data sources: World Bank | Health (1960–2023, retrieved 2026-04-06).

GeoRank.org/birth-rate/mexico/nigeria | CC BY

Maternal mortality chart: Mexico vs Nigeria

Mexico
Nigeria
1x
Year Maternal mortality per 100K births
Mexico Nigeria
2023 42 993
2022 45 1,016
2021 104 1,046
2020 61 1,065
2019 43 1,091
2018 44 1,118
2017 44 1,142
2016 43 1,155
2015 43 1,168
2014 44 1,155
2013 45 1,146
2012 46 1,124
2011 47 1,108
2010 50 1,094
2009 51 1,088
2008 51 1,081
2007 50 1,063
2006 51 1,067
2005 52 1,060
2004 53 1,075
2003 54 1,090
2002 55 1,117
2001 55 1,130
2000 56 1,136
1999 58 1,165
1998 60 1,189
1997 62 1,184
1996 64 1,185
1995 66 1,186
1994 69 1,193
1993 71 1,200
1992 73 1,246
1991 77 1,282
1990 81 1,285
1989 85 1,304
1988 88 1,332
1987 93 1,351
1986 100 1,363
1985 107 1,344

Data sources: World Bank | Gender (1985–2023, retrieved 2026-04-06).

GeoRank.org/birth-rate/mexico/nigeria | CC BY

The maternal mortality rate, which is the probability of dying during childbirth or within 42 days of pregnancy termination, is 42 deaths per 100,000 live births in Mexico, compared to 993 deaths in Nigeria.

Under-five mortality rates

Mexico
Nigeria

Probability that a newborn baby will die before reaching age five

1x
Year Under 5 mortality rate
Mexico Nigeria
2023 1.25% 10.5%
2022 1.29% 10.8%
2021 1.33% 11.1%
2020 1.38% 11.4%
2019 1.42% 11.8%
2018 1.47% 12%
2017 1.52% 12.3%
2016 1.57% 12.5%
2015 1.62% 12.6%
2014 1.68% 12.8%
2013 1.73% 12.9%
2012 1.79% 13.1%
2011 1.85% 13.3%
2010 1.91% 13.5%
2009 1.98% 13.8%
2008 2.04% 14.1%
2007 2.11% 14.5%
2006 2.19% 15%
2005 2.27% 15.5%
2004 2.36% 16%
2003 2.46% 16.5%
2002 2.57% 17.1%
2001 2.68% 17.7%
2000 2.81% 18.2%
1999 2.94% 18.8%
1998 3.09% 19.3%
1997 3.24% 19.7%
1996 3.4% 20.1%
1995 3.57% 20.4%
1994 3.74% 20.6%
1993 3.92% 20.7%
1992 4.12% 20.8%
1991 4.32% 20.9%
1990 4.53% 21%
1989 4.75% 21%
1988 4.98% 21%
1987 5.21% 20.9%
1986 5.46% 20.9%
1985 5.71% 20.8%
1984 5.98% 20.7%
1983 6.26% 20.7%
1982 6.55% 20.8%
1981 6.86% 21%
1980 7.18% 21.3%
1979 7.51% 21.8%
1978 7.85% 22.3%
1977 8.18% 22.9%
1976 8.52% 23.6%
1975 8.86% 24.4%
1974 9.21% 25.2%
1973 9.56% 26.1%
1972 9.93% 26.9%
1971 10.3% 27.7%
1970 10.7% 28.5%
1969 11.1% 29.3%
1968 11.5% 30%
1967 11.9% 30.7%
1966 12.3% 31.3%
1965 12.7% 32%
1964 13.2% 32.7%
1963 13.7% -
1962 14.3% -
1961 14.8% -
1960 15.5% -

Data sources: World Bank | Health (1960–2023, retrieved 2026-04-06).

GeoRank.org/birth-rate/mexico/nigeria | CC BY

The chance that a newborn baby will die before reaching age five is 1.25% in Mexico and 10.5% in Nigeria. Above is a chart with historical data on under-five mortality rates.

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Data sources:

  1. World Bank | Health (1960–2024, retrieved 2026-04-06)
  2. United Nations | World Population Prospects (2025–2100, retrieved 2026-03-10)
  3. Central Intelligence Agency (CIA) (2025, retrieved 2026-02-20)

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