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Fertility & birth rates in Nigeria and Samoa

Updated on by Georank team

Nigeria has an annual birth rate of 33 births per 1,000 people, compared to 25.4 for Samoa. The average number of children a woman is expected to have during her lifetime — the fertility rate, is 4.48 in Nigeria and 3.83 in Samoa — 14.6% difference.

1960 vs 2023, the fertility rate has decreased by -29.6% in Nigeria and by -50.8% in Samoa — in 1960, it was 6.36 and 7.78, respectively.

Birth rates facts compared:

  • Nigeria is ranked 20/196 by birth rate compared to 53/196 for Samoa.
  • The mean age for first-time mothers is 20.4 years in Nigeria, compared to 23.6 years in Samoa.
  • The mean age at childbearing (for all the births, not just the first) is 29.2 in Nigeria — it's 29.2 in Samoa.
  • Annual births per 1,000 women ages 15-19 (adolescent birth rate or teenage mother rate) is 86.4 in Nigeria vs 43.5 in Samoa.
  • In Nigeria, 24% of the population is composed of women of reproductive age (15-49), compared to 22.1% in Samoa.
  • Excluding migration, the natural population change due to births and deaths from 2022 to 2023 was +2.12% in Nigeria and +1.92% in Samoa.

Birth rate data compared

Nigeria Samoa
Fertility rate 4.48 3.83
Birth rate 33 25.4
Birth rate rank 20/196 53/196
Age at first childbirth 20.4 years 23.6 years
Average age at childbearing 29.2 years 29.2 years
Annual births per 1,000 women ages 15-19 81.8 43.6
Annual births per 1,000 women ages 20-29 199.7 192.3
Annual births per 1,000 women ages 30+ 68.4 47.4
Female of reproductive age (15-49), share of population 24% 22.1%
Any modern method of contraceptive prevalence among married women ages 15-49 18.2% 15.8%
Share of births attended by skilled health staff 50.7% 88.9%
Maternal mortality per live birth 0.99% 0.1%
Neonatal mortality rate (before reaching 28 days of age) 3.37% 0.62%
Infant mortality rate (before reaching 1 year of age) 6.01% 1.28%
Mortality rate before reaching 5 years of age, per 1,000 live births 10.5% 1.57%
Population change due to births and deaths +4,834,309 +4,170
Natural population change rank 3/196 131/196
Natural population change rate +2.12% +1.92%
Population growth +2.1% +0.63%
Population growth rank 50/197 126/197
Life expectancy 54.8 years 71.9 years

Fertility rate in Nigeria vs Samoa chart

According to the latest available data on birth rates, the fertility rate in Nigeria was 4.48 children per woman in 2023, compared to 3.83 in Samoa in 2023. The replacement level is considered to be 2.1 children per woman.

Check Nigeria vs Samoa population clock for a dynamic visualization of the changing population.

The chart below showcases historical changes in the birth rates.

Nigeria
Factual

UN forecast
Samoa
Factual

UN forecast

Births per woman

Year Fertility rate
Nigeria Samoa
1960 6.36 7.78
1961 6.35 7.77
1962 6.36 7.76
1963 6.35 7.73
1964 6.36 7.7
1965 6.37 7.65
1966 6.39 7.6
1967 6.4 7.55
1968 6.42 7.5
1969 6.44 7.43
1970 6.47 7.34
1971 6.53 7.22
1972 6.58 7.07
1973 6.63 6.91
1974 6.7 6.75
1975 6.77 6.61
1976 6.81 6.47
1977 6.86 6.31
1978 6.92 6.15
1979 6.89 5.99
1980 6.85 5.86
1981 6.82 5.75
1982 6.8 5.68
1983 6.78 5.62
1984 6.7 5.55
1985 6.62 5.49
1986 6.56 5.42
1987 6.5 5.32
1988 6.5 5.21
1989 6.49 5.11
1990 6.46 5.01
1991 6.43 4.91
1992 6.39 4.87
1993 6.35 4.83
1994 6.32 4.79
1995 6.27 4.77
1996 6.22 4.74
1997 6.14 4.7
1998 6.07 4.64
1999 6.08 4.57
2000 6.12 4.52
2001 6.13 4.48
2002 6.12 4.44
2003 6.1 4.39
2004 6.09 4.34
2005 6.06 4.32
2006 6.05 4.32
2007 6.03 4.36
2008 6.02 4.42
2009 5.99 4.47
2010 5.95 4.52
2011 5.89 4.56
2012 5.8 4.55
2013 5.69 4.49
2014 5.62 4.42
2015 5.5 4.34
2016 5.34 4.26
2017 5.18 4.2
2018 5.02 4.14
2019 4.86 4.06
2020 4.7 4
2021 4.64 3.94
2022 4.55 3.88
2023 4.48 3.83
2024 4.38 3.8
2025 4.3 3.75
2026 4.2 3.7
2027 4.1 3.66
2028 4.01 3.62
2029 3.92 3.58
2030 3.82 3.54
2031 3.73 3.5
2032 3.65 3.46
2033 3.56 3.42
2034 3.48 3.39
2035 3.41 3.35
2036 3.34 3.31
2037 3.27 3.27
2038 3.21 3.24
2039 3.16 3.21
2040 3.1 3.17
2041 3.04 3.13
2042 2.99 3.1
2043 2.94 3.06
2044 2.89 3.04
2045 2.85 3.01
2046 2.8 2.98
2047 2.76 2.95
2048 2.73 2.92
2049 2.69 2.89
2050 2.66 2.86

Children 0-14 years as share of population

Nigeria
Factual

UN forecast
Samoa
Factual

UN forecast
Year Share of people 0-14 years old
Nigeria Samoa
1960 41.1% 50.1%
1961 41.1% 50.2%
1962 41.1% 50.6%
1963 41.2% 50.9%
1964 41.4% 51.2%
1965 41.5% 51.3%
1966 41.7% 51.3%
1967 41.8% 51.4%
1968 42% 51.4%
1969 42.2% 51.4%
1970 42.4% 51.2%
1971 42.5% 51%
1972 42.8% 50.8%
1973 43% 50.4%
1974 43.2% 49.9%
1975 43.4% 49.3%
1976 43.7% 48.6%
1977 43.9% 48%
1978 44.2% 47.4%
1979 44.4% 46.9%
1980 44.6% 46.4%
1981 44.8% 45.9%
1982 45% 45.2%
1983 45.2% 44.4%
1984 45.4% 43.7%
1985 45.5% 43.1%
1986 45.6% 42.6%
1987 45.6% 42.2%
1988 45.5% 42%
1989 45.5% 41.8%
1990 45.3% 41.5%
1991 45.2% 41.2%
1992 45% 40.8%
1993 44.8% 40.3%
1994 44.6% 40%
1995 44.4% 39.9%
1996 44.2% 39.9%
1997 44.1% 40.1%
1998 43.9% 40.2%
1999 43.8% 40.3%
2000 43.7% 40.5%
2001 43.7% 40.7%
2002 43.8% 40.5%
2003 43.8% 40.2%
2004 43.9% 39.9%
2005 44% 39.6%
2006 44.1% 39.4%
2007 44.2% 39%
2008 44.3% 38.7%
2009 44.4% 38.5%
2010 44.4% 38.4%
2011 44.5% 38.4%
2012 44.5% 38.3%
2013 44.5% 38.1%
2014 44.4% 38.1%
2015 44.3% 38.1%
2016 44.1% 38.1%
2017 43.9% 38.2%
2018 43.6% 38.3%
2019 43.2% 38.5%
2020 42.8% 38.6%
2021 42.4% 38.7%
2022 42% 38.8%
2023 41.5% 38.7%
2024 41% 38.5%
2025 40.5% 38.1%
2026 40% 37.5%
2027 39.5% 36.9%
2028 39% 36.3%
2029 38.5% 35.8%
2030 38% 35.2%
2031 37.6% 34.7%
2032 37.2% 34.2%
2033 36.8% 33.7%
2034 36.5% 33.3%
2035 36.2% 33%
2036 35.9% 32.7%
2037 35.5% 32.6%
2038 35.2% 32.6%
2039 34.9% 32.7%
2040 34.5% 32.7%
2041 34.2% 32.8%
2042 33.8% 32.9%
2043 33.5% 33%
2044 33.1% 33.1%
2045 32.8% 33.1%
2046 32.4% 33.1%
2047 32% 33%
2048 31.6% 32.9%
2049 31.3% 32.7%
2050 30.9% 32.5%

Children aged 0-14 make up 41% of the population in Nigeria and 38.5% in Samoa in 2024, compared to 45.3% and 41.5% respectively in 1990.

Demographics of Nigeria and Samoa compared.

Natural population change in Nigeria vs Samoa by year

For the past 10 years, the annual natural population change (excluding migration) has been +2.29% in Nigeria and +2.18% in Samoa. The chart below illustrates the comparison of the absolute yearly changes resulting from births and deaths.

Nigeria
Samoa

Natural population change

Year Population change due to births and deaths
Nigeria Samoa
1960 901,301 4,298
1961 932,111 4,399
1962 966,452 4,498
1963 995,116 4,544
1964 1,028,272 4,326
1965 1,061,840 4,605
1966 1,095,582 4,593
1967 1,082,884 4,621
1968 1,168,254 4,605
1969 1,213,484 4,592
1970 1,295,507 4,567
1971 1,373,896 4,534
1972 1,448,928 4,487
1973 1,525,485 4,446
1974 1,624,813 4,411
1975 1,718,623 4,465
1976 1,827,289 4,519
1977 1,923,917 4,555
1978 2,019,621 4,587
1979 2,074,807 4,624
1980 2,121,618 4,672
1981 2,179,884 4,720
1982 2,233,401 4,808
1983 2,292,089 4,914
1984 2,278,060 4,979
1985 2,289,784 4,998
1986 2,295,003 4,983
1987 2,322,397 4,909
1988 2,376,419 4,889
1989 2,452,324 4,845
1990 2,491,928 4,759
1991 2,527,807 4,655
1992 2,596,173 4,652
1993 2,673,675 4,769
1994 2,735,198 4,880
1995 2,830,771 4,976
1996 2,882,205 5,038
1997 2,936,500 5,053
1998 3,003,946 5,022
1999 3,155,425 4,937
2000 3,343,196 4,855
2001 3,478,370 4,759
2002 3,606,814 4,672
2003 3,751,120 4,622
2004 3,877,376 4,554
2005 4,013,788 4,503
2006 4,135,703 4,473
2007 4,265,428 4,480
2008 4,412,976 4,581
2009 4,528,149 4,525
2010 4,629,173 4,779
2011 4,728,363 4,860
2012 4,774,508 4,863
2013 4,811,751 4,875
2014 4,862,319 4,849
2015 4,823,045 4,795
2016 4,761,594 4,720
2017 4,706,183 4,661
2018 4,659,898 4,637
2019 4,609,941 4,495
2020 4,525,164 4,442
2021 4,641,562 4,379
2022 4,739,502 4,288
2023 4,834,309 4,170

Fertility rates around the globe

Fertility rate

Maternal mortality chart: Nigeria vs Samoa

The maternal mortality rate, which is the probability of dying during childbirth or within 42 days of pregnancy termination, is 993 deaths per 100,000 live births in Nigeria, compared to 101 deaths in Samoa.

Nigeria
Samoa
Year Maternal mortality per 100K births
Nigeria Samoa
1985 1,344 160
1986 1,363 153
1987 1,351 147
1988 1,332 143
1989 1,304 136
1990 1,285 135
1991 1,282 131
1992 1,246 124
1993 1,200 117
1994 1,193 112
1995 1,186 105
1996 1,185 103
1997 1,184 98
1998 1,189 96
1999 1,165 94
2000 1,136 93
2001 1,130 93
2002 1,117 89
2003 1,090 87
2004 1,075 86
2005 1,060 87
2006 1,067 86
2007 1,063 85
2008 1,081 87
2009 1,088 94
2010 1,094 92
2011 1,108 93
2012 1,124 101
2013 1,146 100
2014 1,155 106
2015 1,168 108
2016 1,155 108
2017 1,142 111
2018 1,118 110
2019 1,091 111
2020 1,065 114
2021 1,046 115
2022 1,016 110
2023 993 101

Under-five mortality rates

The chance that a newborn baby will die before reaching age five is 10.5% in Nigeria and 1.57% in Samoa. Below is the historical data on under-five mortality rates.

Nigeria
Samoa

Probability that a newborn baby will die before reaching age five

Year Mortality rate before reaching 5 years of age, per 1,000 live births
Nigeria Samoa
1960 - 10.7%
1961 - 10.3%
1962 - 9.93%
1963 - 9.56%
1964 32.7% 11.1%
1965 32% 8.9%
1966 31.3% 8.57%
1967 30.7% 8.23%
1968 30% 7.89%
1969 29.3% 7.53%
1970 28.5% 7.19%
1971 27.7% 6.85%
1972 26.9% 6.52%
1973 26.1% 6.2%
1974 25.2% 5.9%
1975 24.4% 5.62%
1976 23.6% 5.34%
1977 22.9% 5.07%
1978 22.3% 4.82%
1979 21.8% 4.59%
1980 21.3% 4.38%
1981 21% 4.19%
1982 20.8% 4.01%
1983 20.7% 3.85%
1984 20.7% 3.7%
1985 20.8% 3.56%
1986 20.9% 3.42%
1987 20.9% 3.3%
1988 21% 3.18%
1989 21% 3.08%
1990 21% 2.98%
1991 20.9% 2.89%
1992 20.8% 2.8%
1993 20.7% 2.7%
1994 20.6% 2.61%
1995 20.4% 2.52%
1996 20.1% 2.44%
1997 19.7% 2.35%
1998 19.3% 2.27%
1999 18.8% 2.19%
2000 18.2% 2.12%
2001 17.7% 2.06%
2002 17.1% 2%
2003 16.5% 1.97%
2004 16% 1.94%
2005 15.5% 1.93%
2006 15% 1.93%
2007 14.5% 1.93%
2008 14.1% 1.93%
2009 13.8% 2.54%
2010 13.5% 1.93%
2011 13.3% 1.92%
2012 13.1% 1.91%
2013 12.9% 1.89%
2014 12.8% 1.87%
2015 12.6% 1.85%
2016 12.5% 1.83%
2017 12.3% 1.81%
2018 12% 1.78%
2019 11.8% 2.02%
2020 11.4% 1.7%
2021 11.1% 1.66%
2022 10.8% 1.62%
2023 10.5% 1.57%

Compare countries by 7 more topics

Birth rate comparisons

Birth rate vs Nigeria vs Samoa
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