Fertility & birth rates in Italy and Portugal

Fertility rate in Italy vs Portugal chart

According to the latest available data on birth rates, the fertility rate in Italy was 1.2 children per woman in 2023, compared to 1.44 in Portugal in 2023. The replacement level is considered to be 2.1 children per woman.

Check Italy vs Portugal population clock for a dynamic visualization of the changing population.

The chart below showcases historical changes in the birth rates.

Table

Year	Fertility rate
	Italy	Portugal
1960	2.4	3.16
1961	2.44	3.21
1962	2.46	3.23
1963	2.51	3.12
1964	2.66	3.21
1965	2.6	3.15
1966	2.58	3.16
1967	2.5	3.16
1968	2.46	3.12
1969	2.47	3.12
1970	2.38	3.01
1971	2.4	3
1972	2.35	2.86
1973	2.3	2.77
1974	2.28	2.7
1975	2.17	2.75
1976	2.04	2.82
1977	1.93	2.69
1978	1.84	2.45
1979	1.73	2.31
1980	1.64	2.25
1981	1.58	2.13
1982	1.56	2.07
1983	1.51	1.95
1984	1.46	1.9
1985	1.42	1.72
1986	1.35	1.66
1987	1.33	1.62
1988	1.36	1.61
1989	1.33	1.57
1990	1.33	1.56
1991	1.3	1.56
1992	1.3	1.54
1993	1.25	1.52
1994	1.21	1.45
1995	1.19	1.41
1996	1.2	1.44
1997	1.22	1.47
1998	1.22	1.47
1999	1.23	1.5
2000	1.26	1.55
2001	1.25	1.45
2002	1.27	1.46
2003	1.29	1.44
2004	1.34	1.4
2005	1.33	1.41
2006	1.37	1.37
2007	1.39	1.35
2008	1.44	1.39
2009	1.44	1.34
2010	1.44	1.39
2011	1.42	1.35
2012	1.42	1.28
2013	1.39	1.21
2014	1.38	1.24
2015	1.36	1.31
2016	1.36	1.37
2017	1.34	1.38
2018	1.31	1.42
2019	1.27	1.44
2020	1.24	1.42
2021	1.25	1.35
2022	1.24	1.43
2023	1.2	1.44
2024	1.21	1.45
2025	1.22	1.45
2026	1.22	1.45
2027	1.23	1.46
2028	1.24	1.46
2029	1.24	1.46
2030	1.25	1.46
2031	1.26	1.47
2032	1.26	1.47
2033	1.27	1.47
2034	1.28	1.48
2035	1.28	1.48
2036	1.29	1.48
2037	1.29	1.48
2038	1.3	1.49
2039	1.3	1.49
2040	1.31	1.49
2041	1.31	1.49
2042	1.31	1.49
2043	1.32	1.49
2044	1.32	1.5
2045	1.33	1.5
2046	1.33	1.5
2047	1.34	1.5
2048	1.34	1.5
2049	1.35	1.5
2050	1.35	1.5

Children 0-14 years as share of population

Table

Year	Share of people 0-14 years old
	Italy	Portugal
1960	25%	29.3%
1961	25%	29.1%
1962	24.7%	29.1%
1963	24.5%	29.1%
1964	24.5%	29.1%
1965	24.5%	29.1%
1966	24.5%	29.2%
1967	24.6%	29.2%
1968	24.6%	29.2%
1969	24.7%	29.1%
1970	24.7%	28.7%
1971	24.6%	28.4%
1972	24.6%	28.2%
1973	24.6%	27.9%
1974	24.5%	27.7%
1975	24.3%	27.4%
1976	24.1%	27.2%
1977	23.7%	27.1%
1978	23.4%	26.8%
1979	22.8%	26.4%
1980	22.3%	25.9%
1981	21.6%	25.4%
1982	21.1%	25%
1983	20.5%	24.5%
1984	19.9%	24.1%
1985	19.3%	23.7%
1986	18.7%	23.1%
1987	18.1%	22.5%
1988	17.5%	21.9%
1989	17%	21.2%
1990	16.5%	20.5%
1991	15.8%	19.7%
1992	15.2%	19.1%
1993	15%	18.6%
1994	14.8%	18.2%
1995	14.6%	17.8%
1996	14.5%	17.4%
1997	14.4%	17.1%
1998	14.3%	16.8%
1999	14.3%	16.6%
2000	14.3%	16.4%
2001	14.2%	16.2%
2002	14.2%	16.1%
2003	14.2%	16.1%
2004	14.2%	16%
2005	14.1%	15.9%
2006	14.1%	15.8%
2007	14%	15.6%
2008	14%	15.5%
2009	14%	15.4%
2010	14%	15.2%
2011	14%	15%
2012	14%	14.9%
2013	13.9%	14.8%
2014	13.8%	14.6%
2015	13.7%	14.3%
2016	13.6%	14.1%
2017	13.4%	13.9%
2018	13.2%	13.7%
2019	13%	13.5%
2020	12.8%	13.3%
2021	12.6%	13.1%
2022	12.4%	13%
2023	12.1%	12.9%
2024	11.9%	12.8%
2025	11.7%	12.7%
2026	11.4%	12.6%
2027	11.2%	12.6%
2028	11%	12.6%
2029	10.9%	12.6%
2030	10.7%	12.7%
2031	10.6%	12.7%
2032	10.5%	12.7%
2033	10.4%	12.7%
2034	10.3%	12.7%
2035	10.3%	12.8%
2036	10.3%	12.9%
2037	10.3%	12.9%
2038	10.3%	13%
2039	10.4%	13%
2040	10.4%	13.1%
2041	10.5%	13.1%
2042	10.5%	13.2%
2043	10.6%	13.2%
2044	10.7%	13.3%
2045	10.7%	13.3%
2046	10.8%	13.4%
2047	10.8%	13.4%
2048	10.9%	13.4%
2049	10.9%	13.5%
2050	10.9%	13.5%

Children aged 0-14 make up 11.9% of the population in Italy and 12.8% in Portugal in 2024, compared to 16.5% and 20.5% respectively in 1990.

Demographics of Italy and Portugal compared.

Natural population change in Italy vs Portugal by year

For the past 10 years, the annual natural population change (excluding migration) has been -0.38% in Italy and -0.29% in Portugal. The chart below illustrates the comparison of the absolute yearly changes resulting from births and deaths.

Table

Year	Population change due to births and deaths
	Italy	Portugal
1960	426,697	118,693
1961	459,880	117,867
1962	427,387	123,217
1963	440,767	113,783
1964	527,089	120,170
1965	474,222	115,182
1966	488,427	107,171
1967	439,074	106,495
1968	399,268	100,737
1969	390,827	89,329
1970	376,753	87,672
1971	383,922	82,980
1972	364,355	83,715
1973	328,508	76,835
1974	336,176	74,412
1975	271,660	81,841
1976	228,445	85,138
1977	190,248	84,156
1978	168,465	70,731
1979	129,531	67,628
1980	84,650	63,481
1981	73,452	56,152
1982	79,161	58,479
1983	33,939	47,798
1984	50,919	45,983
1985	28,297	33,077
1986	11,319	31,102
1987	16,980	28,084
1988	33,977	24,047
1989	28,336	22,011
1990	22,688	13,976
1991	11,352	12,948
1992	22,718	13,933
1993	0	7,972
1994	-17,053	9,991
1995	-34,107	4,011
1996	-22,744	4,026
1997	-22,756	8,087
1998	-39,835	7,112
1999	-22,766	8,175
2000	-17,082	15,435
2001	-11,396	8,290
2002	-22,836	8,335
2003	-40,179	4,184
2004	11,566	7,339
2005	-17,450	2,101
2006	0	3,156
2007	-5,876	-1,055
2008	-11,842	0
2009	-17,866	-5,284
2010	-23,928	-4,230
2011	-48,021	-5,279
2012	-78,248	-17,875
2013	-90,468	-24,052
2014	-96,513	-22,882
2015	-162,620	-23,823
2016	-138,265	-23,749
2017	-192,007	-23,691
2018	-192,475	-25,709
2019	-215,025	-24,687
2020	-338,801	-39,129
2021	-301,579	-45,592
2022	-318,674	-40,694
2023	-283,168	-32,792

Maternal mortality chart: Italy vs Portugal

The maternal mortality rate, which is the probability of dying during childbirth or within 42 days of pregnancy termination, is 6 deaths per 100,000 live births in Italy, compared to 15 deaths in Portugal.

Table

Year	Maternal mortality per 100K births
	Italy	Portugal
1985	22	20
1986	22	19
1987	21	19
1988	20	18
1989	19	18
1990	18	17
1991	18	17
1992	17	16
1993	16	15
1994	15	13
1995	15	12
1996	14	12
1997	13	12
1998	12	11
1999	11	10
2000	11	9
2001	10	9
2002	10	9
2003	8	8
2004	8	8
2005	8	8
2006	7	8
2007	7	8
2008	7	9
2009	8	9
2010	8	10
2011	8	10
2012	8	10
2013	8	10
2014	8	11
2015	8	11
2016	8	12
2017	8	13
2018	7	14
2019	7	15
2020	8	14
2021	7	19
2022	10	16
2023	6	15

Under-five mortality rates

The chance that a newborn baby will die before reaching age five is 0.28% in Italy and 0.32% in Portugal. Below is the historical data on under-five mortality rates.

Table

Year	Mortality rate before reaching 5 years of age, per 1,000 live births
	Italy	Portugal
1960	5.19%	11.4%
1961	4.98%	11%
1962	4.76%	10.4%
1963	4.53%	9.76%
1964	4.31%	9.1%
1965	4.11%	8.53%
1966	3.93%	8.09%
1967	3.78%	7.76%
1968	3.64%	7.51%
1969	3.51%	7.22%
1970	3.36%	6.81%
1971	3.18%	6.3%
1972	2.98%	5.78%
1973	2.76%	5.27%
1974	2.53%	4.79%
1975	2.31%	4.35%
1976	2.11%	3.94%
1977	1.95%	3.57%
1978	1.82%	3.24%
1979	1.7%	2.97%
1980	1.61%	2.75%
1981	1.52%	2.58%
1982	1.43%	2.43%
1983	1.35%	2.29%
1984	1.27%	2.16%
1985	1.2%	2.04%
1986	1.14%	1.93%
1987	1.08%	1.82%
1988	1.04%	1.7%
1989	1%	1.59%
1990	0.97%	1.47%
1991	0.93%	1.36%
1992	0.89%	1.25%
1993	0.85%	1.14%
1994	0.8%	1.05%
1995	0.75%	0.98%
1996	0.7%	0.92%
1997	0.66%	0.86%
1998	0.62%	0.82%
1999	0.59%	0.77%
2000	0.56%	0.72%
2001	0.53%	0.66%
2002	0.51%	0.61%
2003	0.48%	0.55%
2004	0.46%	0.5%
2005	0.45%	0.47%
2006	0.43%	0.44%
2007	0.42%	0.42%
2008	0.41%	0.4%
2009	0.41%	0.39%
2010	0.4%	0.38%
2011	0.39%	0.37%
2012	0.38%	0.37%
2013	0.37%	0.36%
2014	0.36%	0.36%
2015	0.35%	0.36%
2016	0.34%	0.36%
2017	0.33%	0.36%
2018	0.32%	0.35%
2019	0.31%	0.35%
2020	0.3%	0.34%
2021	0.29%	0.33%
2022	0.28%	0.32%
2023	0.28%	0.32%