Fertility & birth rates in Nigeria and United Arab Emirates

Fertility rate in Nigeria vs United Arab Emirates chart

According to the latest available data on birth rates, the fertility rate in Nigeria was 4.48 children per woman in 2023, compared to 1.2 in the United Arab Emirates in 2023. The replacement level is considered to be 2.1 children per woman.

Check Nigeria vs the United Arab Emirates population clock for a dynamic visualization of the changing population.

The chart below showcases historical changes in the birth rates.

Table

Year	Fertility rate
	Nigeria	UAE
1960	6.36	6.5
1961	6.35	6.49
1962	6.36	6.49
1963	6.35	6.5
1964	6.36	6.49
1965	6.37	6.5
1966	6.39	6.5
1967	6.4	6.51
1968	6.42	6.53
1969	6.44	6.52
1970	6.47	6.52
1971	6.53	6.52
1972	6.58	6.5
1973	6.63	6.46
1974	6.7	6.41
1975	6.77	6.35
1976	6.81	6.29
1977	6.86	6.22
1978	6.92	6.15
1979	6.89	6.06
1980	6.85	5.95
1981	6.82	5.81
1982	6.8	5.66
1983	6.78	5.48
1984	6.7	5.3
1985	6.62	5.13
1986	6.56	5
1987	6.5	4.88
1988	6.5	4.77
1989	6.49	4.65
1990	6.46	4.51
1991	6.43	4.25
1992	6.39	4.09
1993	6.35	3.82
1994	6.32	3.76
1995	6.27	3.28
1996	6.22	3.06
1997	6.14	2.83
1998	6.07	2.77
1999	6.08	2.79
2000	6.12	2.73
2001	6.13	2.62
2002	6.12	2.54
2003	6.1	2.49
2004	6.09	2.38
2005	6.06	2.23
2006	6.05	1.96
2007	6.03	1.79
2008	6.02	1.52
2009	5.99	1.58
2010	5.95	1.57
2011	5.89	1.54
2012	5.8	1.53
2013	5.69	1.53
2014	5.62	1.48
2015	5.5	1.42
2016	5.34	1.37
2017	5.18	1.35
2018	5.02	1.29
2019	4.86	1.25
2020	4.7	1.29
2021	4.64	1.16
2022	4.55	1.15
2023	4.48	1.2
2024	4.38	1.21
2025	4.3	1.21
2026	4.2	1.21
2027	4.1	1.21
2028	4.01	1.22
2029	3.92	1.22
2030	3.82	1.23
2031	3.73	1.23
2032	3.65	1.24
2033	3.56	1.25
2034	3.48	1.25
2035	3.41	1.26
2036	3.34	1.26
2037	3.27	1.27
2038	3.21	1.28
2039	3.16	1.28
2040	3.1	1.28
2041	3.04	1.29
2042	2.99	1.29
2043	2.94	1.3
2044	2.89	1.3
2045	2.85	1.31
2046	2.8	1.31
2047	2.76	1.31
2048	2.73	1.32
2049	2.69	1.32
2050	2.66	1.33

Children 0-14 years as share of population

Table

Year	Share of people 0-14 years old
	Nigeria	UAE
1960	41.1%	37.8%
1961	41.1%	36.7%
1962	41.1%	35.8%
1963	41.2%	35.1%
1964	41.4%	34.5%
1965	41.5%	33.9%
1966	41.7%	33.2%
1967	41.8%	32.1%
1968	42%	31.2%
1969	42.2%	30.6%
1970	42.4%	29.8%
1971	42.5%	29%
1972	42.8%	28.3%
1973	43%	27.8%
1974	43.2%	27.4%
1975	43.4%	27.2%
1976	43.7%	26.9%
1977	43.9%	26.8%
1978	44.2%	26.9%
1979	44.4%	27.1%
1980	44.6%	27.4%
1981	44.8%	28%
1982	45%	28.8%
1983	45.2%	29.5%
1984	45.4%	30.2%
1985	45.5%	30.7%
1986	45.6%	31.2%
1987	45.6%	31.2%
1988	45.5%	30.9%
1989	45.5%	30.3%
1990	45.3%	29.6%
1991	45.2%	28.8%
1992	45%	28.1%
1993	44.8%	27.4%
1994	44.6%	26.7%
1995	44.4%	25.9%
1996	44.2%	25.2%
1997	44.1%	24.3%
1998	43.9%	23.1%
1999	43.8%	22%
2000	43.7%	20.8%
2001	43.7%	19.8%
2002	43.8%	18.9%
2003	43.8%	18.3%
2004	43.9%	17.8%
2005	44%	17.5%
2006	44.1%	17.2%
2007	44.2%	17%
2008	44.3%	16.9%
2009	44.4%	16.9%
2010	44.4%	16.9%
2011	44.5%	16.8%
2012	44.5%	16.8%
2013	44.5%	16.8%
2014	44.4%	16.8%
2015	44.3%	16.8%
2016	44.1%	16.8%
2017	43.9%	16.8%
2018	43.6%	16.7%
2019	43.2%	16.6%
2020	42.8%	16.6%
2021	42.4%	16.5%
2022	42%	16.5%
2023	41.5%	16.3%
2024	41%	16.1%
2025	40.5%	16%
2026	40%	15.9%
2027	39.5%	15.9%
2028	39%	15.9%
2029	38.5%	15.9%
2030	38%	16%
2031	37.6%	16.1%
2032	37.2%	16.3%
2033	36.8%	16.5%
2034	36.5%	16.7%
2035	36.2%	16.9%
2036	35.9%	17.1%
2037	35.5%	17.3%
2038	35.2%	17.5%
2039	34.9%	17.7%
2040	34.5%	17.9%
2041	34.2%	18%
2042	33.8%	18.1%
2043	33.5%	18.2%
2044	33.1%	18.3%
2045	32.8%	18.3%
2046	32.4%	18.3%
2047	32%	18.3%
2048	31.6%	18.3%
2049	31.3%	18.2%
2050	30.9%	18.1%

Children aged 0-14 make up 41% of the population in Nigeria and 16.1% in the United Arab Emirates in 2024, compared to 45.3% and 29.6% respectively in 1990.

Demographics of Nigeria and the United Arab Emirates compared.

Natural population change in Nigeria vs United Arab Emirates by year

For the past 10 years, the annual natural population change (excluding migration) has been +2.29% in Nigeria and +0.93% in the United Arab Emirates. The chart below illustrates the comparison of the absolute yearly changes resulting from births and deaths.

Table

Year	Population change due to births and deaths
	Nigeria	UAE
1960	901,301	3,418
1961	932,111	3,657
1962	966,452	3,901
1963	995,116	4,157
1964	1,028,272	4,410
1965	1,061,840	4,675
1966	1,095,582	4,955
1967	1,082,884	5,264
1968	1,168,254	5,588
1969	1,213,484	6,138
1970	1,295,507	6,922
1971	1,373,896	7,839
1972	1,448,928	8,818
1973	1,525,485	9,822
1974	1,624,813	10,835
1975	1,718,623	11,859
1976	1,827,289	12,876
1977	1,923,917	15,787
1978	2,019,621	18,879
1979	2,074,807	21,987
1980	2,121,618	25,005
1981	2,179,884	27,560
1982	2,233,401	29,585
1983	2,292,089	31,480
1984	2,278,060	33,250
1985	2,289,784	34,855
1986	2,295,003	36,829
1987	2,322,397	37,741
1988	2,376,419	38,861
1989	2,452,324	40,148
1990	2,491,928	41,339
1991	2,527,807	41,409
1992	2,596,173	42,119
1993	2,673,675	41,324
1994	2,735,198	42,976
1995	2,830,771	38,685
1996	2,882,205	37,886
1997	2,936,500	38,207
1998	3,003,946	41,176
1999	3,155,425	46,198
2000	3,343,196	49,993
2001	3,478,370	52,789
2002	3,606,814	55,922
2003	3,751,120	59,118
2004	3,877,376	60,344
2005	4,013,788	60,046
2006	4,135,703	54,338
2007	4,265,428	55,048
2008	4,412,976	55,426
2009	4,528,149	66,521
2010	4,629,173	69,907
2011	4,728,363	73,496
2012	4,774,508	78,682
2013	4,811,751	82,977
2014	4,862,319	84,277
2015	4,823,045	85,044
2016	4,761,594	87,028
2017	4,706,183	89,382
2018	4,659,898	86,840
2019	4,609,941	86,296
2020	4,525,164	87,871
2021	4,641,562	76,802
2022	4,739,502	81,758
2023	4,834,309	92,698

Maternal mortality chart: Nigeria vs United Arab Emirates

The maternal mortality rate, which is the probability of dying during childbirth or within 42 days of pregnancy termination, is 993 deaths per 100,000 live births in Nigeria, compared to 3 deaths in the United Arab Emirates.

Table

Year	Maternal mortality per 100K births
	Nigeria	UAE
1985	1,344	19
1986	1,363	19
1987	1,351	19
1988	1,332	19
1989	1,304	19
1990	1,285	19
1991	1,282	19
1992	1,246	19
1993	1,200	19
1994	1,193	19
1995	1,186	18
1996	1,185	16
1997	1,184	14
1998	1,189	12
1999	1,165	10
2000	1,136	8
2001	1,130	7
2002	1,117	5
2003	1,090	5
2004	1,075	4
2005	1,060	4
2006	1,067	3
2007	1,063	3
2008	1,081	3
2009	1,088	3
2010	1,094	3
2011	1,108	4
2012	1,124	4
2013	1,146	4
2014	1,155	3
2015	1,168	3
2016	1,155	3
2017	1,142	3
2018	1,118	3
2019	1,091	3
2020	1,065	6
2021	1,046	6
2022	1,016	2
2023	993	3

Under-five mortality rates

The chance that a newborn baby will die before reaching age five is 10.5% in Nigeria and 0.5% in the United Arab Emirates. Below is the historical data on under-five mortality rates.

Table

Year	Mortality rate before reaching 5 years of age, per 1,000 live births
	Nigeria	UAE
1960	-	20.1%
1961	-	19%
1962	-	18%
1963	-	16.9%
1964	32.7%	15.8%
1965	32%	14.8%
1966	31.3%	13.7%
1967	30.7%	12.6%
1968	30%	11.6%
1969	29.3%	10.6%
1970	28.5%	9.62%
1971	27.7%	8.72%
1972	26.9%	7.89%
1973	26.1%	7.12%
1974	25.2%	6.43%
1975	24.4%	5.8%
1976	23.6%	5.23%
1977	22.9%	4.7%
1978	22.3%	4.22%
1979	21.8%	3.78%
1980	21.3%	3.4%
1981	21%	3.06%
1982	20.8%	2.77%
1983	20.7%	2.52%
1984	20.7%	2.31%
1985	20.8%	2.12%
1986	20.9%	1.97%
1987	20.9%	1.83%
1988	21%	1.71%
1989	21%	1.61%
1990	21%	1.51%
1991	20.9%	1.43%
1992	20.8%	1.37%
1993	20.7%	1.31%
1994	20.6%	1.26%
1995	20.4%	1.21%
1996	20.1%	1.18%
1997	19.7%	1.15%
1998	19.3%	1.12%
1999	18.8%	1.09%
2000	18.2%	1.07%
2001	17.7%	1.05%
2002	17.1%	1.03%
2003	16.5%	1.01%
2004	16%	1%
2005	15.5%	0.98%
2006	15%	0.96%
2007	14.5%	0.94%
2008	14.1%	0.92%
2009	13.8%	0.9%
2010	13.5%	0.88%
2011	13.3%	0.86%
2012	13.1%	0.84%
2013	12.9%	0.82%
2014	12.8%	0.79%
2015	12.6%	0.77%
2016	12.5%	0.73%
2017	12.3%	0.7%
2018	12%	0.67%
2019	11.8%	0.63%
2020	11.4%	0.6%
2021	11.1%	0.56%
2022	10.8%	0.53%
2023	10.5%	0.5%