Fertility & birth rates in Afghanistan and Nigeria

Fertility rate in Afghanistan vs Nigeria by year

Chart Table

Afghanistan

Nigeria

1x

Year	Fertility rate
	Afghanistan	Nigeria
2023	4.84	4.48
2022	4.93	4.55
2021	5.04	4.64
2020	5.15	4.7
2019	5.24	4.86
2018	5.33	5.02
2017	5.43	5.18
2016	5.54	5.34
2015	5.65	5.5
2014	5.77	5.62
2013	5.88	5.69
2012	5.99	5.8
2011	6.09	5.89
2010	6.2	5.95
2009	6.3	5.99
2008	6.39	6.02
2007	6.51	6.03
2006	6.69	6.05
2005	6.86	6.06
2004	7.02	6.09
2003	7.17	6.1
2002	7.32	6.12
2001	7.45	6.13
2000	7.57	6.12
1999	7.64	6.08
1998	7.69	6.07
1997	7.73	6.14
1996	7.76	6.22
1995	7.77	6.27
1994	7.77	6.32
1993	7.76	6.35
1992	7.7	6.39
1991	7.63	6.43
1990	7.58	6.46
1989	7.56	6.49
1988	7.55	6.5
1987	7.55	6.5
1986	7.55	6.56
1985	7.55	6.62
1984	7.55	6.7
1983	7.57	6.78
1982	7.6	6.8
1981	7.62	6.82
1980	7.64	6.85
1979	7.61	6.89
1978	7.6	6.92
1977	7.59	6.86
1976	7.56	6.81
1975	7.54	6.77
1974	7.53	6.7
1973	7.49	6.63
1972	7.45	6.58
1971	7.43	6.53
1970	7.4	6.47
1969	7.39	6.44
1968	7.36	6.42
1967	7.34	6.4
1966	7.32	6.39
1965	7.31	6.37
1964	7.3	6.36
1963	7.3	6.35
1962	7.29	6.36
1961	7.28	6.35
1960	7.28	6.36

According to the latest available data on birth rates, the fertility rate in Afghanistan was 4.84 children per woman in 2023, compared to 4.48 in Nigeria in 2023. The replacement level is considered to be 2.1 children per woman.

Check Afghanistan vs Nigeria population clock for a dynamic visualization of the changing population.

Natural population change by year

Chart Table

Afghanistan

Nigeria

1x

Year	Natural population change
	Afghanistan	Nigeria
2023	1,228,719	4,834,309
2022	1,219,475	4,739,502
2021	1,133,611	4,641,562
2020	1,134,407	4,525,164
2019	1,138,485	4,609,941
2018	1,115,262	4,659,898
2017	1,101,218	4,706,183
2016	1,090,016	4,761,594
2015	1,077,068	4,823,045
2014	1,053,788	4,862,319
2013	1,033,778	4,811,751
2012	1,004,814	4,774,508
2011	966,743	4,728,363
2010	943,473	4,629,173
2009	920,581	4,528,149
2008	891,246	4,412,976
2007	889,848	4,265,428
2006	875,301	4,135,703
2005	855,112	4,013,788
2004	850,940	3,877,376
2003	826,165	3,751,120
2002	776,048	3,606,814
2001	764,090	3,478,370
2000	782,727	3,343,196
1999	760,727	3,155,425
1998	719,860	3,003,946
1997	709,778	2,936,500
1996	685,005	2,882,205
1995	653,280	2,830,771
1994	609,096	2,735,198
1993	541,257	2,673,675
1992	440,132	2,596,173
1991	409,954	2,527,807
1990	402,433	2,491,928
1989	381,158	2,452,324
1988	358,397	2,376,419
1987	314,361	2,322,397
1986	310,066	2,295,003
1985	228,469	2,289,784
1984	205,262	2,278,060
1983	263,778	2,292,089
1982	263,210	2,233,401
1981	343,468	2,179,884
1980	365,396	2,121,618
1979	361,750	2,074,807
1978	369,101	2,019,621
1977	372,567	1,923,917
1976	357,775	1,827,289
1975	343,850	1,718,623
1974	330,232	1,624,813
1973	315,062	1,525,485
1972	300,633	1,448,928
1971	288,267	1,373,896
1970	275,129	1,295,507
1969	263,823	1,213,484
1968	251,798	1,168,254
1967	239,967	1,082,884
1966	228,786	1,095,582
1965	217,741	1,061,840
1964	207,867	1,028,272
1963	198,035	995,116
1962	188,427	966,452
1961	179,094	932,111
1960	170,257	901,301

The chart above illustrates the comparison of the absolute yearly changes in population resulting from births and deaths.

Excluding migration, the natural population change due to births and deaths from 2022 to 2023 was +2.96% in Afghanistan and +2.12% in Nigeria.

For the past 10 years, the annual natural population change has been +3.04% in Afghanistan and +2.29% in Nigeria.

Birth rate in Afghanistan vs Nigeria by year

Chart Table

Afghanistan

Nigeria

Annual births per 1,000 people

1x

Year	Annual births per 1,000 people
	Afghanistan	Nigeria
2023	35.4	33
2022	36	33.2
2021	36.3	33.5
2020	36.6	33.7
2019	37.1	34.7
2018	37.6	35.7
2017	38.2	36.7
2016	38.7	37.8
2015	39.4	39
2014	39.6	39.9
2013	40.3	40.4
2012	40.7	41.1
2011	41	41.8
2010	41.8	42.1
2009	42.2	42.5
2008	42.5	42.8
2007	43.8	42.9
2006	44.1	43.2
2005	45	43.4
2004	46.5	43.5
2003	47.1	43.7
2002	47.5	43.8
2001	49.6	43.9
2000	51.5	43.9
1999	50.9	43.4
1998	51.5	43.2
1997	52.1	43.5
1996	52.5	43.9
1995	52.7	44.1
1994	52.4	44
1993	50.8	44.1
1992	50.3	44.2
1991	52.3	44.3
1990	52.9	44.5
1989	51.7	44.8
1988	51.7	44.7
1987	52.2	44.8
1986	52.2	45.3
1985	51.7	45.9
1984	50.4	46.5
1983	51.2	47.5
1982	52	47.5
1981	55.2	47.9
1980	53.5	48.3
1979	52	48.8
1978	51.3	49.3
1977	51.3	49.1
1976	51.3	49
1975	51.3	49
1974	51.4	48.7
1973	51.3	48.2
1972	51.2	48
1971	51.3	47.8
1970	51.2	47.4
1969	51.3	47.3
1968	51.2	47.2
1967	51.1	47.1
1966	51	47
1965	50.9	46.9
1964	50.9	46.9
1963	50.8	46.8
1962	50.7	46.7
1961	50.6	46.6
1960	50.5	46.5

The latest reported birth rate per 1,000 people in 2023 was 35.4 in Afghanistan and 33 in Nigeria, compared with 50.5 and 46.5, respectively, in 1960.

Children 0-14 years as share of population

Chart Table

Afghanistan

Factual

UN forecast

Nigeria

Factual

UN forecast

1x

Year	Young
	Afghanistan	Nigeria
2100	21%	20.4%
2099	21.2%	20.5%
2098	21.3%	20.6%
2097	21.5%	20.7%
2096	21.6%	20.8%
2095	21.8%	20.9%
2094	21.9%	21%
2093	22.1%	21.1%
2092	22.3%	21.2%
2091	22.4%	21.4%
2090	22.6%	21.5%
2089	22.8%	21.6%
2088	23%	21.8%
2087	23.1%	21.9%
2086	23.3%	22.1%
2085	23.5%	22.2%
2084	23.7%	22.4%
2083	23.9%	22.6%
2082	24.2%	22.7%
2081	24.4%	22.9%
2080	24.6%	23.1%
2079	24.8%	23.3%
2078	25%	23.5%
2077	25.3%	23.7%
2076	25.5%	23.9%
2075	25.8%	24.1%
2074	26%	24.3%
2073	26.2%	24.5%
2072	26.5%	24.7%
2071	26.7%	25%
2070	27%	25.2%
2069	27.3%	25.4%
2068	27.5%	25.7%
2067	27.8%	25.9%
2066	28%	26.1%
2065	28.3%	26.4%
2064	28.6%	26.6%
2063	28.8%	26.9%
2062	29.1%	27.2%
2061	29.4%	27.4%
2060	29.6%	27.7%
2059	29.9%	28%
2058	30.2%	28.3%
2057	30.4%	28.6%
2056	30.7%	29%
2055	31.1%	29.3%
2054	31.4%	29.6%
2053	31.7%	30%
2052	32%	30.3%
2051	32.4%	30.7%
2050	32.7%	31.1%
2049	33.1%	31.5%
2048	33.4%	31.8%
2047	33.8%	32.2%
2046	34.2%	32.6%
2045	34.6%	32.9%
2044	35%	33.3%
2043	35.4%	33.7%
2042	35.8%	34%
2041	36.3%	34.4%
2040	36.7%	34.7%
2039	37.2%	35%
2038	37.6%	35.4%
2037	38%	35.7%
2036	38.4%	36%
2035	38.8%	36.3%
2034	39.2%	36.6%
2033	39.6%	37%
2032	40.1%	37.4%
2031	40.5%	37.8%
2030	40.9%	38.3%
2029	41.3%	38.8%
2028	41.7%	39.3%
2027	42%	39.8%
2026	42.4%	40.3%
2025	42.7%	40.8%
2024	42.9%	41%
2023	43.2%	41.5%
2022	43.6%	42%
2021	43.9%	42.4%
2020	44.2%	42.8%
2019	44.6%	43.2%
2018	45%	43.6%
2017	45.4%	43.9%
2016	45.8%	44.1%
2015	46.3%	44.3%
2014	46.7%	44.4%
2013	47.2%	44.5%
2012	47.6%	44.5%
2011	48%	44.5%
2010	48.5%	44.4%
2009	48.9%	44.4%
2008	49.3%	44.3%
2007	49.6%	44.2%
2006	49.9%	44.1%
2005	50%	44%
2004	50.2%	43.9%
2003	50.2%	43.8%
2002	50.2%	43.8%
2001	50.2%	43.7%
2000	50%	43.7%
1999	49.8%	43.8%
1998	49.6%	43.9%
1997	49.3%	44.1%
1996	49%	44.2%
1995	48.7%	44.4%
1994	48.5%	44.6%
1993	48.2%	44.8%
1992	48%	45%
1991	47.8%	45.2%
1990	47.7%	45.3%
1989	47.5%	45.5%
1988	47.4%	45.5%
1987	47.3%	45.6%
1986	47.2%	45.6%
1985	47%	45.5%
1984	46.8%	45.4%
1983	46.6%	45.2%
1982	46.5%	45%
1981	46.3%	44.8%
1980	46.1%	44.6%
1979	45.8%	44.4%
1978	45.6%	44.2%
1977	45.4%	43.9%
1976	45.2%	43.7%
1975	45%	43.4%
1974	44.8%	43.2%
1973	44.6%	43%
1972	44.4%	42.8%
1971	44.2%	42.5%
1970	43.9%	42.4%
1969	43.7%	42.2%
1968	43.4%	42%
1967	43.2%	41.8%
1966	42.9%	41.7%
1965	42.6%	41.5%
1964	42.4%	41.4%
1963	42.2%	41.2%
1962	42.1%	41.1%
1961	42%	41.1%
1960	41.9%	41.1%

Children aged 0-14 make up 42.9% of the population in Afghanistan and 41% in Nigeria in 2024, compared to 47.7% and 45.3% respectively in 1990.

Demographics of Afghanistan and Nigeria compared.

Maternal mortality chart: Afghanistan vs Nigeria

Chart Table

Afghanistan

Nigeria

1x

Year	Maternal mortality per 100K births
	Afghanistan	Nigeria
2023	521	993
2022	551	1,016
2021	660	1,046
2020	634	1,065
2019	601	1,091
2018	629	1,118
2017	659	1,142
2016	702	1,155
2015	741	1,168
2014	755	1,155
2013	778	1,146
2012	810	1,124
2011	838	1,108
2010	893	1,094
2009	925	1,088
2008	955	1,081
2007	1,032	1,063
2006	1,069	1,067
2005	1,108	1,060
2004	1,166	1,075
2003	1,201	1,090
2002	1,263	1,117
2001	1,311	1,130
2000	1,372	1,136
1999	1,346	1,165
1998	1,464	1,189
1997	1,376	1,184
1996	1,389	1,185
1995	1,414	1,186
1994	1,396	1,193
1993	1,347	1,200
1992	1,443	1,246
1991	1,534	1,282
1990	1,550	1,285
1989	1,520	1,304
1988	1,572	1,332
1987	1,821	1,351
1986	1,857	1,363
1985	2,232	1,344

The maternal mortality rate, which is the probability of dying during childbirth or within 42 days of pregnancy termination, is 521 deaths per 100,000 live births in Afghanistan, compared to 993 deaths in Nigeria.

Under-five mortality rates

Chart Table

Afghanistan

Nigeria

Probability that a newborn baby will die before reaching age five

1x

Year	Under 5 mortality rate
	Afghanistan	Nigeria
2023	5.55%	10.5%
2022	5.74%	10.8%
2021	5.93%	11.1%
2020	6.13%	11.4%
2019	6.33%	11.8%
2018	6.54%	12%
2017	6.76%	12.3%
2016	7%	12.5%
2015	7.24%	12.6%
2014	7.51%	12.8%
2013	7.8%	12.9%
2012	8.12%	13.1%
2011	8.46%	13.3%
2010	8.83%	13.5%
2009	9.22%	13.8%
2008	9.63%	14.1%
2007	10.1%	14.5%
2006	10.5%	15%
2005	11%	15.5%
2004	11.4%	16%
2003	11.9%	16.5%
2002	12.3%	17.1%
2001	12.7%	17.7%
2000	13.2%	18.2%
1999	13.6%	18.8%
1998	14%	19.3%
1997	14.4%	19.7%
1996	14.8%	20.1%
1995	15.3%	20.4%
1994	15.8%	20.6%
1993	16.3%	20.7%
1992	16.9%	20.8%
1991	17.4%	20.9%
1990	18.1%	21%
1989	18.7%	21%
1988	21.8%	21%
1987	24.7%	20.9%
1986	25.3%	20.9%
1985	30.1%	20.8%
1984	30.9%	20.7%
1983	27.4%	20.7%
1982	28%	20.8%
1981	23.9%	21%
1980	24.6%	21.3%
1979	25.2%	21.8%
1978	25.8%	22.3%
1977	26.4%	22.9%
1976	27%	23.6%
1975	27.5%	24.4%
1974	28.1%	25.2%
1973	28.6%	26.1%
1972	29.1%	26.9%
1971	29.7%	27.7%
1970	30.2%	28.5%
1969	30.6%	29.3%
1968	31.2%	30%
1967	31.7%	30.7%
1966	32.2%	31.3%
1965	32.7%	32%
1964	33.2%	32.7%
1963	33.7%	-
1962	34.2%	-
1961	34.8%	-
1960	35.3%	-

The chance that a newborn baby will die before reaching age five is 5.55% in Afghanistan and 10.5% in Nigeria. Above is a chart with historical data on under-five mortality rates.