Fertility & birth rates in East Timor and Vanuatu

Fertility rate in East Timor vs Vanuatu chart

According to the latest available data on birth rates, the fertility rate in East Timor was 2.71 children per woman in 2023, compared to 3.6 in Vanuatu in 2023. The replacement level is considered to be 2.1 children per woman.

Check East Timor vs Vanuatu population clock for a dynamic visualization of the changing population.

The chart below showcases historical changes in the birth rates.

Table

Year	Fertility rate
	East Timor	Vanuatu
1960	6.32	6.78
1961	6.27	6.73
1962	6.22	6.67
1963	6.16	6.62
1964	6.08	6.57
1965	6.01	6.52
1966	5.93	6.51
1967	5.86	6.51
1968	5.79	6.46
1969	5.72	6.41
1970	5.66	6.35
1971	5.58	6.29
1972	5.49	6.23
1973	5.39	6.15
1974	5.29	6.06
1975	5.19	5.98
1976	5.12	5.89
1977	5.09	5.81
1978	5.09	5.77
1979	5.14	5.73
1980	5.22	5.69
1981	5.53	5.65
1982	5.56	5.6
1983	5.59	5.55
1984	5.61	5.49
1985	5.65	5.43
1986	5.67	5.38
1987	5.68	5.33
1988	5.72	5.27
1989	5.76	5.21
1990	5.81	5.17
1991	5.84	5.13
1992	5.87	5.09
1993	5.88	5.02
1994	5.91	4.94
1995	5.94	4.85
1996	5.94	4.75
1997	5.96	4.66
1998	5.96	4.6
1999	5.97	4.56
2000	5.93	4.54
2001	5.92	4.5
2002	5.9	4.38
2003	5.85	4.29
2004	5.74	4.21
2005	5.61	4.13
2006	5.47	4.1
2007	5.33	4.12
2008	5.17	4.16
2009	4.99	4.16
2010	4.82	4.13
2011	4.61	4.09
2012	4.4	4.06
2013	4.21	4.04
2014	4	4
2015	3.78	3.95
2016	3.58	3.92
2017	3.4	3.88
2018	3.24	3.83
2019	3.12	3.79
2020	3.01	3.74
2021	2.89	3.7
2022	2.8	3.65
2023	2.71	3.6
2024	2.63	3.57
2025	2.56	3.53
2026	2.5	3.5
2027	2.45	3.46
2028	2.4	3.42
2029	2.36	3.39
2030	2.32	3.35
2031	2.29	3.32
2032	2.25	3.28
2033	2.22	3.25
2034	2.19	3.21
2035	2.17	3.18
2036	2.14	3.15
2037	2.12	3.13
2038	2.09	3.1
2039	2.07	3.08
2040	2.05	3.05
2041	2.03	3.03
2042	2.02	3
2043	2	2.97
2044	1.99	2.94
2045	1.97	2.92
2046	1.96	2.9
2047	1.95	2.88
2048	1.94	2.85
2049	1.93	2.83
2050	1.92	2.8

Children 0-14 years as share of population

Table

Year	Share of people 0-14 years old
	East Timor	Vanuatu
1960	40.1%	44.6%
1961	39.7%	44.8%
1962	39.3%	45.1%
1963	39%	45.2%
1964	38.8%	45.4%
1965	38.7%	45.5%
1966	38.9%	45.7%
1967	39.1%	45.8%
1968	39.3%	45.8%
1969	39.5%	45.8%
1970	39.6%	45.7%
1971	39.7%	45.7%
1972	39.7%	45.6%
1973	39.8%	45.5%
1974	39.7%	45.5%
1975	39.4%	45.4%
1976	39%	45.2%
1977	38.5%	45.1%
1978	38%	45%
1979	37.5%	44.5%
1980	37.4%	44%
1981	37.8%	43.9%
1982	38.4%	44%
1983	38.8%	44%
1984	39.3%	44.1%
1985	39.7%	44.2%
1986	40.2%	44.2%
1987	40.7%	44.1%
1988	41.3%	44.1%
1989	41.9%	44%
1990	42.2%	43.9%
1991	42.4%	43.9%
1992	42.6%	44.1%
1993	42.7%	44.8%
1994	42.9%	45.2%
1995	43%	45%
1996	43%	44.8%
1997	43%	44.4%
1998	42.9%	44%
1999	42.7%	43.5%
2000	42.6%	42.9%
2001	42.5%	42.4%
2002	42.4%	41.8%
2003	42.2%	41.3%
2004	42%	40.7%
2005	42.1%	40.2%
2006	42.2%	39.6%
2007	42.3%	39.2%
2008	42.1%	38.8%
2009	41.9%	38.5%
2010	41.6%	38.2%
2011	41.3%	38.1%
2012	40.9%	38.2%
2013	40.4%	38.2%
2014	39.8%	38.4%
2015	39.1%	38.5%
2016	38.4%	38.7%
2017	37.8%	38.8%
2018	37.2%	38.9%
2019	36.6%	39%
2020	36%	39%
2021	35.4%	39%
2022	34.8%	38.8%
2023	34.2%	38.6%
2024	33.7%	38.3%
2025	33.1%	38%
2026	32.6%	37.6%
2027	32.1%	37.1%
2028	31.6%	36.7%
2029	31%	36.2%
2030	30.4%	35.8%
2031	29.8%	35.3%
2032	29.2%	34.9%
2033	28.7%	34.5%
2034	28.1%	34.1%
2035	27.6%	33.7%
2036	27.2%	33.4%
2037	26.9%	33.2%
2038	26.7%	32.9%
2039	26.4%	32.7%
2040	26.2%	32.5%
2041	25.9%	32.3%
2042	25.6%	32.2%
2043	25.4%	32%
2044	25.1%	31.8%
2045	24.8%	31.6%
2046	24.5%	31.5%
2047	24.1%	31.3%
2048	23.8%	31.1%
2049	23.5%	30.9%
2050	23.1%	30.6%

Children aged 0-14 make up 33.7% of the population in East Timor and 38.3% in Vanuatu in 2024, compared to 42.2% and 43.9% respectively in 1990.

Demographics of East Timor and Vanuatu compared.

Natural population change in East Timor vs Vanuatu by year

For the past 10 years, the annual natural population change (excluding migration) has been +1.7% in East Timor and +2.53% in Vanuatu. The chart below illustrates the comparison of the absolute yearly changes resulting from births and deaths.

Table

Year	Population change due to births and deaths
	East Timor	Vanuatu
1960	7,012	1,796
1961	7,330	1,872
1962	7,639	1,947
1963	7,938	2,025
1964	8,235	2,098
1965	8,526	2,180
1966	8,810	2,278
1967	9,089	2,384
1968	9,356	2,470
1969	9,611	2,529
1970	9,824	2,597
1971	9,964	2,685
1972	10,030	2,775
1973	10,033	2,876
1974	8,405	2,968
1975	-1,062	3,074
1976	783	3,174
1977	296	3,285
1978	-1,000	3,428
1979	987	3,590
1980	6,940	3,383
1981	9,336	3,592
1982	9,579	3,778
1983	9,686	3,944
1984	10,922	4,088
1985	10,788	4,219
1986	11,062	4,360
1987	11,945	4,427
1988	12,118	4,577
1989	17,758	4,656
1990	18,343	4,762
1991	18,605	4,859
1992	19,880	4,941
1993	20,770	4,973
1994	21,746	4,973
1995	21,962	4,945
1996	22,703	4,897
1997	23,501	4,854
1998	23,590	4,866
1999	21,871	4,871
2000	21,579	5,026
2001	23,314	5,144
2002	25,410	5,181
2003	26,900	5,258
2004	26,751	5,353
2005	26,412	5,454
2006	26,221	5,606
2007	26,074	5,842
2008	25,888	6,138
2009	25,696	6,362
2010	25,515	6,548
2011	25,237	6,715
2012	24,890	6,877
2013	24,538	7,036
2014	24,040	7,143
2015	23,391	7,220
2016	22,778	7,315
2017	22,145	7,371
2018	21,650	7,379
2019	21,307	7,364
2020	21,166	7,233
2021	20,101	7,199
2022	20,625	7,358
2023	20,495	7,359

Maternal mortality chart: East Timor vs Vanuatu

The maternal mortality rate, which is the probability of dying during childbirth or within 42 days of pregnancy termination, is 192 deaths per 100,000 live births in East Timor, compared to 100 deaths in Vanuatu.

Table

Year	Maternal mortality per 100K births
	East Timor	Vanuatu
1985	1,916	211
1986	1,860	194
1987	1,763	200
1988	1,743	172
1989	1,511	162
1990	1,477	151
1991	1,439	140
1992	1,368	140
1993	1,308	133
1994	1,254	131
1995	1,239	131
1996	1,193	129
1997	1,166	131
1998	1,157	134
1999	1,488	146
2000	796	133
2001	761	132
2002	724	128
2003	714	131
2004	683	131
2005	648	127
2006	600	123
2007	559	120
2008	518	117
2009	477	114
2010	439	114
2011	404	112
2012	374	109
2013	349	110
2014	327	110
2015	305	109
2016	287	107
2017	269	107
2018	251	108
2019	237	105
2020	257	107
2021	263	124
2022	235	105
2023	192	100

Under-five mortality rates

The chance that a newborn baby will die before reaching age five is 5% in East Timor and 1.68% in Vanuatu. Below is the historical data on under-five mortality rates.

Table

Year	Mortality rate before reaching 5 years of age, per 1,000 live births
	East Timor	Vanuatu
1960	-	15.2%
1961	-	14.7%
1962	-	14.3%
1963	-	13.8%
1964	-	13.4%
1965	-	12.9%
1966	-	12.4%
1967	-	12%
1968	-	11.5%
1969	-	11%
1970	-	10.6%
1971	-	10.2%
1972	-	9.73%
1973	-	9.34%
1974	-	8.95%
1975	-	8.58%
1976	-	8.21%
1977	-	7.84%
1978	-	7.45%
1979	-	7.07%
1980	-	6.67%
1981	-	6.27%
1982	-	5.87%
1983	-	5.48%
1984	-	5.12%
1985	27.1%	4.78%
1986	26.3%	4.47%
1987	24.4%	4.2%
1988	24.1%	3.96%
1989	23%	3.76%
1990	22.5%	3.58%
1991	22.2%	3.43%
1992	21.1%	3.29%
1993	20%	3.18%
1994	19.2%	3.08%
1995	19.3%	3%
1996	18.5%	2.92%
1997	17.7%	2.86%
1998	18%	2.79%
1999	19.4%	2.74%
2000	11.1%	2.68%
2001	10.6%	2.63%
2002	10.1%	2.58%
2003	9.61%	2.54%
2004	9.17%	2.5%
2005	8.75%	2.45%
2006	8.36%	2.4%
2007	8.01%	2.34%
2008	7.68%	2.27%
2009	7.38%	2.2%
2010	7.11%	2.12%
2011	6.86%	2.05%
2012	6.63%	1.99%
2013	6.42%	1.94%
2014	6.23%	1.9%
2015	6.06%	1.87%
2016	5.91%	1.84%
2017	5.78%	1.82%
2018	5.66%	1.8%
2019	5.55%	1.78%
2020	5.42%	1.77%
2021	5.28%	1.74%
2022	5.14%	1.71%
2023	5%	1.68%