Fertility & birth rates in Tuvalu and Vanuatu

Fertility rate in Tuvalu vs Vanuatu by year

Chart Table

Tuvalu

Vanuatu

1x

Year	Fertility rate
	Tuvalu	Vanuatu
2023	3.21	3.6
2022	3.24	3.65
2021	3.28	3.7
2020	3.31	3.74
2019	3.33	3.79
2018	3.33	3.83
2017	3.3	3.88
2016	3.3	3.92
2015	3.31	3.95
2014	3.33	4
2013	3.39	4.04
2012	3.47	4.06
2011	3.46	4.09
2010	3.44	4.13
2009	3.43	4.16
2008	3.42	4.16
2007	3.45	4.12
2006	3.53	4.1
2005	3.55	4.13
2004	3.55	4.21
2003	3.58	4.29
2002	3.64	4.38
2001	3.75	4.5
2000	3.84	4.54
1999	3.92	4.56
1998	3.95	4.6
1997	3.95	4.66
1996	3.95	4.75
1995	3.96	4.85
1994	3.92	4.94
1993	3.92	5.02
1992	3.86	5.09
1991	3.79	5.13
1990	3.75	5.17
1989	3.8	5.21
1988	3.88	5.27
1987	3.94	5.33
1986	3.97	5.38
1985	3.97	5.43
1984	3.95	5.49
1983	3.91	5.55
1982	3.88	5.6
1981	3.8	5.65
1980	3.73	5.69
1979	3.65	5.73
1978	3.59	5.77
1977	3.56	5.81
1976	3.55	5.89
1975	3.58	5.98
1974	3.63	6.06
1973	3.71	6.15
1972	3.81	6.23
1971	3.94	6.29
1970	4.08	6.35
1969	4.23	6.41
1968	4.36	6.46
1967	4.49	6.51
1966	4.64	6.51
1965	4.73	6.52
1964	4.83	6.57
1963	4.91	6.62
1962	5	6.67
1961	5.09	6.73
1960	5.15	6.78

According to the latest available data on birth rates, the fertility rate in Tuvalu was 3.21 children per woman in 2023, compared to 3.6 in Vanuatu in 2023. The replacement level is considered to be 2.1 children per woman.

Check Tuvalu vs Vanuatu population clock for a dynamic visualization of the changing population.

Natural population change by year

Chart Table

Tuvalu

Vanuatu

1x

Year	Natural population change
	Tuvalu	Vanuatu
2023	137	7,359
2022	150	7,358
2021	151	7,199
2020	161	7,233
2019	166	7,364
2018	169	7,379
2017	163	7,371
2016	157	7,315
2015	153	7,220
2014	149	7,143
2013	148	7,036
2012	148	6,877
2011	142	6,715
2010	136	6,548
2009	130	6,362
2008	125	6,138
2007	125	5,842
2006	129	5,606
2005	131	5,454
2004	132	5,353
2003	136	5,258
2002	141	5,181
2001	151	5,144
2000	159	5,026
1999	166	4,871
1998	172	4,866
1997	177	4,854
1996	182	4,897
1995	191	4,945
1994	195	4,973
1993	202	4,973
1992	196	4,941
1991	203	4,859
1990	204	4,762
1989	208	4,656
1988	215	4,577
1987	219	4,427
1986	219	4,360
1985	215	4,219
1984	212	4,088
1983	206	3,944
1982	198	3,778
1981	186	3,592
1980	173	3,383
1979	158	3,590
1978	141	3,428
1977	128	3,285
1976	117	3,174
1975	108	3,074
1974	102	2,968
1973	101	2,876
1972	94	2,775
1971	101	2,685
1970	102	2,597
1969	102	2,529
1968	97	2,470
1967	92	2,384
1966	91	2,278
1965	93	2,180
1964	98	2,098
1963	106	2,025
1962	113	1,947
1961	120	1,872
1960	126	1,796

The chart above illustrates the comparison of the absolute yearly changes in population resulting from births and deaths.

Excluding migration, the natural population change due to births and deaths from 2022 to 2023 was +1.39% in Tuvalu and +2.3% in Vanuatu.

For the past 10 years, the annual natural population change has been +1.48% in Tuvalu and +2.53% in Vanuatu.

Birth rate in Tuvalu vs Vanuatu by year

Chart Table

Tuvalu

Vanuatu

Annual births per 1,000 people

1x

Year	Annual births per 1,000 people
	Tuvalu	Vanuatu
2023	23.1	28.1
2022	24.1	28.7
2021	24.4	29.3
2020	24.6	29.9
2019	24.9	30.7
2018	24.9	31.4
2017	24.3	32.1
2016	23.8	32.5
2015	23.3	32.8
2014	23	33.1
2013	22.8	33.2
2012	22.9	33.2
2011	22.5	33.1
2010	22.2	33
2009	21.9	32.8
2008	21.7	32.5
2007	21.9	31.9
2006	22.4	31.4
2005	22.7	31.2
2004	23.1	31.4
2003	23.6	31.6
2002	24.5	31.8
2001	25.6	32.3
2000	26.6	32.3
1999	27.6	32.4
1998	28.4	32.8
1997	29	33.3
1996	29.8	34.3
1995	30.8	35.4
1994	31.5	36.3
1993	32.6	37.3
1992	33.1	38.1
1991	33.3	38.5
1990	33.7	39
1989	34.7	39.4
1988	36	39.9
1987	36.9	40.4
1986	37.4	40.8
1985	37.5	41
1984	37.4	41.2
1983	36.9	41.2
1982	36.2	41.1
1981	35	40.8
1980	33.7	40.3
1979	32.3	40.3
1978	30.6	40.2
1977	29.5	40.2
1976	28.8	40.6
1975	28.5	41
1974	28.6	41.3
1973	29.4	41.6
1972	29.5	41.9
1971	30	42.1
1970	30.5	42.3
1969	31.1	42.6
1968	30.6	42.9
1967	30.2	43.2
1966	30.4	43.2
1965	31	43.2
1964	32.4	43.4
1963	34.3	43.7
1962	36.5	43.9
1961	38.8	44.2
1960	40.8	44.3

The latest reported birth rate per 1,000 people in 2023 was 23.1 in Tuvalu and 28.1 in Vanuatu, compared with 40.8 and 44.3, respectively, in 1960.

Children 0-14 years as share of population

Chart Table

Tuvalu

Factual

UN forecast

Vanuatu

Factual

UN forecast

1x

Year	Young
	Tuvalu	Vanuatu
2100	19%	20.6%
2099	19%	20.7%
2098	19.2%	20.9%
2097	19.3%	21%
2096	19.4%	21.2%
2095	19.6%	21.3%
2094	19.7%	21.5%
2093	19.9%	21.7%
2092	20.1%	21.8%
2091	20.3%	22%
2090	20.5%	22.2%
2089	20.6%	22.3%
2088	20.8%	22.5%
2087	21%	22.7%
2086	21.2%	22.9%
2085	21.4%	23.1%
2084	21.5%	23.3%
2083	21.7%	23.5%
2082	21.8%	23.7%
2081	21.9%	23.8%
2080	22%	24%
2079	22.1%	24.2%
2078	22.1%	24.4%
2077	22.2%	24.6%
2076	22.3%	24.8%
2075	22.4%	25%
2074	22.5%	25.1%
2073	22.6%	25.3%
2072	22.7%	25.5%
2071	22.8%	25.7%
2070	22.9%	25.9%
2069	23.1%	26.1%
2068	23.3%	26.2%
2067	23.5%	26.5%
2066	23.8%	26.7%
2065	24.1%	26.9%
2064	24.4%	27.1%
2063	24.7%	27.4%
2062	25.1%	27.6%
2061	25.4%	27.9%
2060	25.7%	28.1%
2059	26.1%	28.4%
2058	26.5%	28.7%
2057	26.8%	28.9%
2056	27.1%	29.2%
2055	27.3%	29.5%
2054	27.5%	29.8%
2053	27.7%	30%
2052	27.8%	30.3%
2051	27.9%	30.5%
2050	27.9%	30.8%
2049	27.8%	31%
2048	27.7%	31.2%
2047	27.6%	31.4%
2046	27.4%	31.6%
2045	27.3%	31.7%
2044	27.1%	31.9%
2043	27%	32.1%
2042	26.9%	32.2%
2041	26.9%	32.4%
2040	26.9%	32.6%
2039	27%	32.8%
2038	27.3%	33%
2037	27.7%	33.3%
2036	28%	33.6%
2035	28.4%	33.9%
2034	29%	34.3%
2033	29.6%	34.7%
2032	30.3%	35.1%
2031	30.9%	35.5%
2030	31.5%	36%
2029	32.1%	36.5%
2028	32.6%	36.9%
2027	32.9%	37.4%
2026	33%	37.8%
2025	33%	38.2%
2024	32.9%	38.3%
2023	32.6%	38.6%
2022	32%	38.8%
2021	31.6%	39%
2020	31.7%	39%
2019	31.7%	39%
2018	31.6%	38.9%
2017	31.6%	38.8%
2016	31.8%	38.7%
2015	31.9%	38.5%
2014	32.1%	38.4%
2013	32.4%	38.2%
2012	32.5%	38.2%
2011	32.6%	38.1%
2010	32.8%	38.2%
2009	33.1%	38.5%
2008	33.5%	38.8%
2007	34%	39.2%
2006	34.5%	39.6%
2005	35%	40.2%
2004	35.5%	40.7%
2003	36%	41.3%
2002	36.3%	41.8%
2001	36.3%	42.4%
2000	36.3%	42.9%
1999	36.2%	43.5%
1998	36.3%	44%
1997	36.3%	44.4%
1996	36.3%	44.8%
1995	36.2%	45%
1994	36.1%	45.2%
1993	35.9%	44.8%
1992	35.4%	44.1%
1991	35%	43.9%
1990	34.5%	43.9%
1989	34.1%	44%
1988	33.5%	44.1%
1987	32.9%	44.1%
1986	32.3%	44.2%
1985	31.7%	44.2%
1984	31.6%	44.1%
1983	32.1%	44%
1982	32.8%	44%
1981	33.4%	43.9%
1980	34%	44%
1979	34.5%	44.5%
1978	35.5%	45%
1977	37%	45.1%
1976	38.1%	45.2%
1975	38.9%	45.4%
1974	39.4%	45.5%
1973	40.2%	45.5%
1972	41.3%	45.6%
1971	42.3%	45.7%
1970	43.2%	45.7%
1969	43.9%	45.8%
1968	44.3%	45.8%
1967	44.1%	45.8%
1966	43.9%	45.7%
1965	43.9%	45.5%
1964	44.1%	45.4%
1963	43.9%	45.2%
1962	43.1%	45.1%
1961	42.1%	44.8%
1960	41%	44.6%

Children aged 0-14 make up 32.9% of the population in Tuvalu and 38.3% in Vanuatu in 2024, compared to 34.5% and 43.9% respectively in 1990.

Demographics of Tuvalu and Vanuatu compared.

Maternal mortality chart: Tuvalu vs Vanuatu

Chart Table

Tuvalu

Vanuatu

1x

Year	Maternal mortality per 100K births
	Tuvalu	Vanuatu
2023	170	100
2022	220	105
2021	157	124
2020	206	107
2019	155	105
2018	153	108
2017	171	107
2016	170	107
2015	169	109
2014	168	110
2013	168	110
2012	168	109
2011	169	112
2010	213	114
2009	215	114
2008	219	117
2007	222	120
2006	226	123
2005	230	127
2004	209	131
2003	210	131
2002	234	128
2001	235	132
2000	237	133
1999	242	146
1998	245	134
1997	249	131
1996	277	129
1995	281	131
1994	284	131
1993	286	133
1992	312	140
1991	289	140
1990	291	151
1989	296	162
1988	300	172
1987	252	200
1986	226	194
1985	230	211

The maternal mortality rate, which is the probability of dying during childbirth or within 42 days of pregnancy termination, is 170 deaths per 100,000 live births in Tuvalu, compared to 100 deaths in Vanuatu.

Under-five mortality rates

Chart Table

Tuvalu

Vanuatu

Probability that a newborn baby will die before reaching age five

1x

Year	Under 5 mortality rate
	Tuvalu	Vanuatu
2023	1.99%	1.68%
2022	2.05%	1.71%
2021	2.12%	1.74%
2020	2.19%	1.77%
2019	2.27%	1.78%
2018	2.35%	1.8%
2017	2.43%	1.82%
2016	2.52%	1.84%
2015	2.61%	1.87%
2014	2.71%	1.9%
2013	2.8%	1.94%
2012	2.91%	1.99%
2011	3.02%	2.05%
2010	3.14%	2.12%
2009	3.28%	2.2%
2008	3.42%	2.27%
2007	3.56%	2.34%
2006	3.68%	2.4%
2005	3.8%	2.45%
2004	3.89%	2.5%
2003	3.98%	2.54%
2002	4.07%	2.58%
2001	4.16%	2.63%
2000	4.26%	2.68%
1999	4.39%	2.74%
1998	4.52%	2.79%
1997	4.67%	2.86%
1996	4.81%	2.92%
1995	4.94%	3%
1994	5.05%	3.08%
1993	5.15%	3.18%
1992	5.24%	3.29%
1991	5.31%	3.43%
1990	5.37%	3.58%
1989	5.42%	3.76%
1988	5.47%	3.96%
1987	5.53%	4.2%
1986	5.59%	4.47%
1985	5.66%	4.78%
1984	5.76%	5.12%
1983	5.9%	5.48%
1982	6.06%	5.87%
1981	6.26%	6.27%
1980	6.49%	6.67%
1979	6.76%	7.07%
1978	7.08%	7.45%
1977	7.43%	7.84%
1976	7.84%	8.21%
1975	8.31%	8.58%
1974	8.81%	8.95%
1973	9.37%	9.34%
1972	9.93%	9.73%
1971	10.5%	10.2%
1970	11.1%	10.6%
1969	11.7%	11%
1968	12.3%	11.5%
1967	12.9%	12%
1966	13.6%	12.4%
1965	14.2%	12.9%
1964	14.9%	13.4%
1963	15.6%	13.8%
1962	16.3%	14.3%
1961	17%	14.7%
1960	17.7%	15.2%

The chance that a newborn baby will die before reaching age five is 1.99% in Tuvalu and 1.68% in Vanuatu. Above is a chart with historical data on under-five mortality rates.