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Population in Papua New Guinea compared to Vanuatu: Trends, Charts, Rankings

Updated on by Georank team

The latest officially reported population of Papua New Guinea was 10,576,502 in 2024 vs 327,777 people in Vanuatu in 2024. In 2026, based on the adjusted UN estimation, the current Papua New Guinea's population is 11,002,753 people compared to 344,750 in Vanuatu.

Population statistics:

  • Papua New Guinea's population is 31.9 times bigger than Vanuatu's.
  • Papua New Guinea is ranked the 89th most populous country in the world, while Vanuatu is the 174th.
  • The countries together account for 0.14% of the world: 0.13% for Papua New Guinea vs 0.004% for Vanuatu.
  • For the last 10 years, Papua New Guinea has had an average growth rate of +2.23% per year vs +2.33% in Vanuatu.
  • Since 2006, the population of Papua New Guinea has increased from 6.75M people to 11M (63.1% growth), while Vanuatu has grown from 216K to 345K (59.7% growth).

Papua New Guinea vs Vanuatu: population by year and forecast

Papua New Guinea
Factual

Projection
Vanuatu
Factual

Projection
1x
Year Population
Papua New Guinea Vanuatu
2100 18,802,138 883,219
2099 18,790,040 878,572
2098 18,776,265 873,798
2097 18,758,897 868,872
2096 18,737,707 863,899
2095 18,714,219 858,713
2094 18,687,257 853,379
2093 18,658,233 847,908
2092 18,625,772 842,392
2091 18,590,001 836,807
2090 18,549,501 831,106
2089 18,510,463 825,333
2088 18,468,827 819,413
2087 18,424,378 813,386
2086 18,376,043 807,304
2085 18,325,641 801,030
2084 18,274,394 794,642
2083 18,218,709 788,195
2082 18,163,177 781,693
2081 18,104,285 775,091
2080 18,039,008 768,410
2079 17,975,778 761,593
2078 17,908,670 754,638
2077 17,840,781 747,679
2076 17,771,791 740,583
2075 17,699,428 733,404
2074 17,625,044 726,144
2073 17,548,128 718,748
2072 17,466,649 711,260
2071 17,381,598 703,705
2070 17,295,105 696,123
2069 17,205,503 688,506
2068 17,112,154 680,826
2067 17,015,090 673,074
2066 16,915,436 665,248
2065 16,812,946 657,389
2064 16,708,669 649,466
2063 16,604,296 641,532
2062 16,497,292 633,599
2061 16,386,905 625,729
2060 16,270,535 617,794
2059 16,152,614 609,801
2058 16,032,684 601,770
2057 15,909,649 593,715
2056 15,784,519 585,658
2055 15,656,542 577,507
2054 15,523,143 569,335
2053 15,389,244 561,113
2052 15,250,715 552,889
2051 15,110,389 544,646
2050 14,968,530 536,304
2049 14,821,865 527,975
2048 14,673,459 519,610
2047 14,522,926 511,256
2046 14,370,120 502,817
2045 14,213,585 494,393
2044 14,056,036 485,933
2043 13,897,765 477,540
2042 13,738,690 469,142
2041 13,577,382 460,812
2040 13,413,396 452,499
2039 13,247,486 444,231
2038 13,079,352 435,987
2037 12,909,735 427,825
2036 12,738,223 419,744
2035 12,566,543 411,746
2034 12,392,476 403,811
2033 12,218,246 395,944
2032 12,042,345 388,203
2031 11,865,316 380,500
2030 11,685,599 372,841
2029 11,504,890 365,246
2028 11,322,573 357,704
2027 11,138,409 350,204
2026 10,952,454 342,728
2025 10,765,048 335,246
2024 10,576,502 327,777
2023 10,389,635 320,409
2022 10,203,169 313,046
2021 10,012,896 305,868
2020 9,815,746 298,858
2019 9,609,010 291,985
2018 9,394,513 285,259
2017 9,178,714 278,507
2016 8,961,718 272,087
2015 8,743,246 266,101
2014 8,523,441 260,240
2013 8,302,698 254,482
2012 8,081,390 248,883
2011 7,859,346 243,474
2010 7,633,523 238,248
2009 7,406,438 232,731
2008 7,183,002 226,896
2007 6,963,345 221,276
2006 6,747,720 215,923
2005 6,535,905 210,760
2004 6,328,041 205,711
2003 6,123,997 200,746
2002 5,924,003 195,863
2001 5,728,435 191,031
2000 5,537,064 186,281
1999 5,349,333 182,048
1998 5,166,390 178,313
1997 4,987,883 174,626
1996 4,813,361 170,911
1995 4,644,278 167,137
1994 4,480,208 163,314
1993 4,320,872 159,463
1992 4,166,699 155,608
1991 4,021,837 151,793
1990 3,896,481 148,063
1989 3,796,078 144,393
1988 3,711,880 140,756
1987 3,632,543 137,187
1986 3,554,793 133,720
1985 3,478,936 130,356
1984 3,405,198 127,109
1983 3,333,633 123,998
1982 3,264,291 121,035
1981 3,197,019 118,249
1980 3,131,512 115,660
1979 3,067,341 113,040
1978 3,003,714 109,963
1977 2,940,327 106,618
1976 2,877,327 103,388
1975 2,814,820 100,269
1974 2,752,671 97,260
1973 2,690,629 94,362
1972 2,628,432 91,562
1971 2,566,421 88,862
1970 2,505,628 86,266
1969 2,446,927 83,755
1968 2,390,803 81,314
1967 2,337,532 78,921
1966 2,285,774 76,590
1965 2,235,820 74,358
1964 2,188,325 72,219
1963 2,141,376 70,159
1962 2,093,919 68,174
1961 2,046,127 66,264
1960 1,995,110 64,431

Data sources: United Nations | World Population Prospects (2025–2100, retrieved 2026-03-10); World Bank | Health (1960–2024, retrieved 2026-04-06).

GeoRank.org/population/papua-new-guinea/vanuatu | CC BY

From 2006 to 2016, the population of Papua New Guinea increased by 2,213,998 people (a 32.8% growth), while Vanuatu gained 56,164 people (a 26% growth).

For the next 10 years, from 2016 to 2026, Papua New Guinea gained 2,041,035 people (a 22.8% growth), while Vanuatu's population increased by 72,663 people (a 26.7% growth).

Papua New Guinea was ranked 100th most populous country in 2006 and is 89th in 2026. Vanuatu was ranked 175th in 2006 and ranked 174th now.

The UN's World Population Prospects forecasts that in 24 years (in 2050) Papua New Guinea's population will grow by 36% to 14,968,530 people with a rank change from 89th to 85th. The population of Vanuatu will increase by 55.6% to 536,304 people and rank change from 174th to 169th.

Papua New Guinea is projected to reach its peak in 2100 at 18.8M people compared to the peak of 883K people in 2100 for Vanuatu.

Population growth rate by year

Papua New Guinea
Factual

Projection
Vanuatu
Factual

Projection
1x
Year Growth rate
Papua New Guinea Vanuatu
2100 0.06% 0.53%
2099 0.07% 0.55%
2098 0.09% 0.57%
2097 0.11% 0.58%
2096 0.13% 0.6%
2095 0.14% 0.63%
2094 0.16% 0.65%
2093 0.17% 0.65%
2092 0.19% 0.67%
2091 0.22% 0.69%
2090 0.21% 0.7%
2089 0.23% 0.72%
2088 0.24% 0.74%
2087 0.26% 0.75%
2086 0.28% 0.78%
2085 0.28% 0.8%
2084 0.31% 0.82%
2083 0.31% 0.83%
2082 0.33% 0.85%
2081 0.36% 0.87%
2080 0.35% 0.9%
2079 0.37% 0.92%
2078 0.38% 0.93%
2077 0.39% 0.96%
2076 0.41% 0.98%
2075 0.42% 1%
2074 0.44% 1.03%
2073 0.47% 1.05%
2072 0.49% 1.07%
2071 0.5% 1.09%
2070 0.52% 1.11%
2069 0.55% 1.13%
2068 0.57% 1.15%
2067 0.59% 1.18%
2066 0.61% 1.2%
2065 0.62% 1.22%
2064 0.63% 1.24%
2063 0.65% 1.25%
2062 0.67% 1.26%
2061 0.72% 1.28%
2060 0.73% 1.31%
2059 0.75% 1.33%
2058 0.77% 1.36%
2057 0.79% 1.38%
2056 0.82% 1.41%
2055 0.86% 1.44%
2054 0.87% 1.47%
2053 0.91% 1.49%
2052 0.93% 1.51%
2051 0.95% 1.56%
2050 0.99% 1.58%
2049 1.01% 1.61%
2048 1.04% 1.63%
2047 1.06% 1.68%
2046 1.1% 1.7%
2045 1.12% 1.74%
2044 1.14% 1.76%
2043 1.16% 1.79%
2042 1.19% 1.81%
2041 1.22% 1.84%
2040 1.25% 1.86%
2039 1.29% 1.89%
2038 1.31% 1.91%
2037 1.35% 1.93%
2036 1.37% 1.94%
2035 1.4% 1.97%
2034 1.43% 1.99%
2033 1.46% 1.99%
2032 1.49% 2.02%
2031 1.54% 2.05%
2030 1.57% 2.08%
2029 1.61% 2.11%
2028 1.65% 2.14%
2027 1.7% 2.18%
2026 1.74% 2.23%
2025 1.78% 2.28%
2024 1.8% 2.3%
2023 1.83% 2.35%
2022 1.9% 2.35%
2021 2.01% 2.35%
2020 2.15% 2.35%
2019 2.28% 2.36%
2018 2.35% 2.42%
2017 2.42% 2.36%
2016 2.5% 2.25%
2015 2.58% 2.25%
2014 2.66% 2.26%
2013 2.74% 2.25%
2012 2.83% 2.22%
2011 2.96% 2.19%
2010 3.07% 2.37%
2009 3.11% 2.57%
2008 3.15% 2.54%
2007 3.2% 2.48%
2006 3.24% 2.45%
2005 3.28% 2.45%
2004 3.33% 2.47%
2003 3.38% 2.49%
2002 3.41% 2.53%
2001 3.46% 2.55%
2000 3.51% 2.33%
1999 3.54% 2.09%
1998 3.58% 2.11%
1997 3.63% 2.17%
1996 3.64% 2.26%
1995 3.66% 2.34%
1994 3.69% 2.41%
1993 3.7% 2.48%
1992 3.6% 2.51%
1991 3.22% 2.52%
1990 2.64% 2.54%
1989 2.27% 2.58%
1988 2.18% 2.6%
1987 2.19% 2.59%
1986 2.18% 2.58%
1985 2.17% 2.55%
1984 2.15% 2.51%
1983 2.12% 2.45%
1982 2.1% 2.36%
1981 2.09% 2.24%
1980 2.09% 2.32%
1979 2.12% 2.8%
1978 2.16% 3.14%
1977 2.19% 3.12%
1976 2.22% 3.11%
1975 2.26% 3.09%
1974 2.31% 3.07%
1973 2.37% 3.06%
1972 2.42% 3.04%
1971 2.43% 3.01%
1970 2.4% 3%
1969 2.35% 3%
1968 2.28% 3.03%
1967 2.26% 3.04%
1966 2.23% 3%
1965 2.17% 2.96%
1964 2.19% 2.94%
1963 2.27% 2.91%
1962 2.34% 2.88%
1961 2.56% 2.84%

Data sources: United Nations | World Population Prospects (2025–2100, retrieved 2026-03-10); World Bank | Health (1961–2024, retrieved 2026-04-06).

GeoRank.org/population/papua-new-guinea/vanuatu | CC BY

In 2024, the population of Papua New Guinea grew by 1.8%, while Vanuatu's population grew by 2.3%.

Live population counters

Papua New Guinea Vanuatu
Current population
11002753
344750
Population rank 89/197 174/197
Percent of world population 0.13% 0.004%
One net population change
2.81 minutes
1.19 hours
One birth every
2.06 minutes
58.5 minutes
One death every
7.76 minutes
5.38 hours
Daily growth/decline +512 +20
Annual growth/decline +186,867 +7,368
Annual growth/decline rate +1.8% +2.3%
Population growth rate rank 59/197 38/197
One migration net change every
1.29 days
1.01 weeks
Annual migration change -284 -52
Net migration rank 87/196 80/196
Foreign-born residents 31,171 3,315
Foreign-born residents rank 163/195 188/195
Foreign-born share of population 0.3% 1%
Foreign-born share rank 183/195 155/195

Natural population change vs migration

Papua New Guinea
Natural

Migration
Vanuatu
Natural

Migration
1x
Year Population change
Papua New Guinea Vanuatu
Natural Migration Natural Migration
2025 - -284 - -52
2024 - -707 - -43
2023 187,637 -787 7,359 0
2022 186,861 -787 7,358 0
2021 183,766 10,703 7,199 -201
2020 189,130 10,703 7,233 -201
2019 190,662 22,978 7,364 -652
2018 190,662 24,684 7,379 -638
2017 189,715 26,513 7,371 -610
2016 189,281 28,473 7,315 -1,235
2015 188,600 30,580 7,220 -1,324
2014 187,592 32,840 7,143 -1,320
2013 185,790 35,280 7,036 -1,343
2012 183,658 37,893 6,877 -1,369
2011 181,842 40,690 6,715 -1,395
2010 178,998 50,106 6,548 -1,413
2009 175,421 49,647 6,362 -467
2008 172,823 48,985 6,138 -372
2007 169,306 48,203 5,842 -374
2006 166,540 47,191 5,606 -364
2005 163,888 46,014 5,454 -364
2004 161,023 44,811 5,353 -349
2003 158,611 43,639 5,258 -342
2002 155,091 42,657 5,181 -329
2001 151,431 41,962 5,144 -328
2000 147,496 41,855 5,026 -339
1999 143,592 42,519 4,871 -1,090
1998 136,677 43,091 4,866 -1,178
1997 134,458 42,787 4,854 -1,166
1996 129,802 41,994 4,897 -1,154
1995 125,410 40,962 4,945 -1,140
1994 122,113 39,669 4,973 -1,132
1993 118,668 38,220 4,973 -1,115
1992 114,818 36,622 4,941 -1,095
1991 111,453 26,830 4,859 -1,078
1990 110,033 2,398 4,762 -1,072
1989 108,199 -19,824 4,656 -1,006
1988 106,256 -26,232 4,577 -959
1987 104,367 -25,720 4,427 -907
1986 102,346 -25,495 4,360 -938
1985 100,333 -25,470 4,219 -916
1984 98,103 -25,487 4,088 -907
1983 95,982 -25,465 3,944 -899
1982 93,522 -25,355 3,778 -897
1981 91,767 -25,383 3,592 -896
1980 90,266 -25,638 3,383 -896
1979 89,330 -25,618 3,590 -845
1978 88,747 -25,208 3,428 -15
1977 87,954 -24,722 3,285 -3
1976 86,965 -24,198 3,174 3
1975 85,809 -23,562 3,074 -15
1974 84,829 -22,771 2,968 -17
1973 83,821 -21,803 2,876 -22
1972 82,672 -20,303 2,775 -28
1971 80,599 -18,945 2,685 -40
1970 78,712 -18,773 2,597 -46
1969 76,454 -18,994 2,529 -53
1968 73,983 -19,188 2,470 -68
1967 71,519 -19,767 2,384 0
1966 69,206 -17,454 2,278 0
1965 66,693 -18,532 2,180 0
1964 64,558 -17,730 2,098 0
1963 62,260 -15,189 2,025 0
1962 59,974 -12,141 1,947 0
1961 58,151 -10,409 1,872 0
1960 56,326 -2,034 1,796 0

Data sources: World Bank | Health (1960–2025, retrieved 2026-04-06).

GeoRank.org/population/papua-new-guinea/vanuatu | CC BY

Over the last 10 years, 91% of the population change in Papua New Guinea is from natural causes (a gain of 1,883,906 people) and 8.98% is from migration (a gain of 185,900 people). In Vanuatu 92.2% is from natural causes (a gain of 72,941 people) and 7.81% is from migration (a loss of 6,181 people).

As of 2024, 31,171 residents or 0.3% of the population were not native-born in Papua New Guinea, compared to 3,315 people or 1% in Vanuatu.

Biggest cities by population

Papua New Guinea
City Population
Port Moresby 317K
Lae 101K
Vanuatu
City Population
Port Vila 49K
Luganville 17.7K

Compare countries by 7 more topics

Population map with other countries

1x

Data sources: World Bank | Health (1960–2024, retrieved 2026-04-06); United Nations | World Population Prospects (1960–2026, retrieved 2026-03-10); U.S. Census Bureau (1960–2025, retrieved 2026-02-08); Central Intelligence Agency (CIA) (2000–2019, retrieved 2026-02-20).

GeoRank.org/population/papua-new-guinea/vanuatu | CC BY

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Data sources:

  1. World Bank | Health (1960–2025, retrieved 2026-04-06)
  2. United Nations | World Population Prospects (1960–2100, retrieved 2026-03-10)
  3. U.S. Census Bureau (1960–2025, retrieved 2026-02-08)
  4. Central Intelligence Agency (CIA) (2000–2019, retrieved 2026-02-20)
  5. Wikidata (2026, retrieved 2026-02-08)

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