Fertility & birth rates in Eswatini and Vanuatu

Fertility rate in Eswatini vs Vanuatu chart

According to the latest available data on birth rates, the fertility rate in Eswatini was 2.75 children per woman in 2023, compared to 3.6 in Vanuatu in 2023. The replacement level is considered to be 2.1 children per woman.

Check Eswatini vs Vanuatu population clock for a dynamic visualization of the changing population.

The chart below showcases historical changes in the birth rates.

Table

Year	Fertility rate
	Eswatini	Vanuatu
1960	6.75	6.78
1961	6.77	6.73
1962	6.79	6.67
1963	6.8	6.62
1964	6.79	6.57
1965	6.79	6.52
1966	6.8	6.51
1967	6.77	6.51
1968	6.76	6.46
1969	6.76	6.41
1970	6.75	6.35
1971	6.74	6.29
1972	6.72	6.23
1973	6.72	6.15
1974	6.71	6.06
1975	6.71	5.98
1976	6.7	5.89
1977	6.68	5.81
1978	6.65	5.77
1979	6.61	5.73
1980	6.57	5.69
1981	6.54	5.65
1982	6.49	5.6
1983	6.43	5.55
1984	6.36	5.49
1985	6.28	5.43
1986	6.11	5.38
1987	5.9	5.33
1988	5.69	5.27
1989	5.48	5.21
1990	5.3	5.17
1991	5.13	5.13
1992	4.98	5.09
1993	4.82	5.02
1994	4.66	4.94
1995	4.52	4.85
1996	4.38	4.75
1997	4.24	4.66
1998	4.13	4.6
1999	4.09	4.56
2000	4.03	4.54
2001	3.94	4.5
2002	3.85	4.38
2003	3.8	4.29
2004	3.76	4.21
2005	3.7	4.13
2006	3.63	4.1
2007	3.58	4.12
2008	3.57	4.16
2009	3.5	4.16
2010	3.38	4.13
2011	3.32	4.09
2012	3.27	4.06
2013	3.24	4.04
2014	3.18	4
2015	3.12	3.95
2016	3.07	3.92
2017	3.02	3.88
2018	2.97	3.83
2019	2.93	3.79
2020	2.89	3.74
2021	2.84	3.7
2022	2.8	3.65
2023	2.75	3.6
2024	2.72	3.57
2025	2.68	3.53
2026	2.64	3.5
2027	2.61	3.46
2028	2.57	3.42
2029	2.54	3.39
2030	2.51	3.35
2031	2.49	3.32
2032	2.45	3.28
2033	2.42	3.25
2034	2.4	3.21
2035	2.37	3.18
2036	2.35	3.15
2037	2.32	3.13
2038	2.3	3.1
2039	2.28	3.08
2040	2.26	3.05
2041	2.24	3.03
2042	2.22	3
2043	2.2	2.97
2044	2.18	2.94
2045	2.16	2.92
2046	2.14	2.9
2047	2.13	2.88
2048	2.11	2.85
2049	2.1	2.83
2050	2.08	2.8

Children 0-14 years as share of population

Table

Year	Share of people 0-14 years old
	Eswatini	Vanuatu
1960	46.9%	44.6%
1961	47.2%	44.8%
1962	47.4%	45.1%
1963	47.7%	45.2%
1964	47.8%	45.4%
1965	47.7%	45.5%
1966	47.7%	45.7%
1967	47.5%	45.8%
1968	47.3%	45.8%
1969	47.2%	45.8%
1970	47.2%	45.7%
1971	47.2%	45.7%
1972	47.3%	45.6%
1973	47.4%	45.5%
1974	47.5%	45.5%
1975	47.7%	45.4%
1976	47.9%	45.2%
1977	48.1%	45.1%
1978	48.3%	45%
1979	48.5%	44.5%
1980	48.7%	44%
1981	48.9%	43.9%
1982	49.2%	44%
1983	49.3%	44%
1984	49.4%	44.1%
1985	49.5%	44.2%
1986	49.4%	44.2%
1987	49.3%	44.1%
1988	48.7%	44.1%
1989	48.1%	44%
1990	47.6%	43.9%
1991	47.1%	43.9%
1992	46.6%	44.1%
1993	46.4%	44.8%
1994	47%	45.2%
1995	47.4%	45%
1996	46.9%	44.8%
1997	46.2%	44.4%
1998	45.3%	44%
1999	44.4%	43.5%
2000	43.6%	42.9%
2001	42.9%	42.4%
2002	42.3%	41.8%
2003	41.8%	41.3%
2004	41.4%	40.7%
2005	41.1%	40.2%
2006	40.8%	39.6%
2007	40.4%	39.2%
2008	39.9%	38.8%
2009	39.3%	38.5%
2010	38.8%	38.2%
2011	38.4%	38.1%
2012	38%	38.2%
2013	37.6%	38.2%
2014	37.2%	38.4%
2015	36.8%	38.5%
2016	36.4%	38.7%
2017	36%	38.8%
2018	35.6%	38.9%
2019	35.1%	39%
2020	34.7%	39%
2021	34.3%	39%
2022	34%	38.8%
2023	33.7%	38.6%
2024	33.4%	38.3%
2025	33%	38%
2026	32.6%	37.6%
2027	32.2%	37.1%
2028	31.8%	36.7%
2029	31.4%	36.2%
2030	31%	35.8%
2031	30.7%	35.3%
2032	30.3%	34.9%
2033	29.9%	34.5%
2034	29.5%	34.1%
2035	29.1%	33.7%
2036	28.7%	33.4%
2037	28.4%	33.2%
2038	28%	32.9%
2039	27.7%	32.7%
2040	27.4%	32.5%
2041	27.1%	32.3%
2042	26.8%	32.2%
2043	26.5%	32%
2044	26.2%	31.8%
2045	26%	31.6%
2046	25.7%	31.5%
2047	25.4%	31.3%
2048	25.1%	31.1%
2049	24.9%	30.9%
2050	24.6%	30.6%

Children aged 0-14 make up 33.4% of the population in Eswatini and 38.3% in Vanuatu in 2024, compared to 47.6% and 43.9% respectively in 1990.

Demographics of Eswatini and Vanuatu compared.

Natural population change in Eswatini vs Vanuatu by year

For the past 10 years, the annual natural population change (excluding migration) has been +1.63% in Eswatini and +2.53% in Vanuatu. The chart below illustrates the comparison of the absolute yearly changes resulting from births and deaths.

Table

Year	Population change due to births and deaths
	Eswatini	Vanuatu
1960	9,947	1,796
1961	10,262	1,872
1962	10,601	1,947
1963	10,929	2,025
1964	11,266	2,098
1965	11,719	2,180
1966	12,282	2,278
1967	12,773	2,384
1968	13,449	2,470
1969	14,164	2,529
1970	14,873	2,597
1971	15,615	2,685
1972	16,353	2,775
1973	17,145	2,876
1974	17,971	2,968
1975	18,849	3,074
1976	19,734	3,174
1977	20,609	3,285
1978	21,466	3,428
1979	22,299	3,590
1980	23,153	3,383
1981	23,973	3,592
1982	24,742	3,778
1983	24,883	3,944
1984	26,149	4,088
1985	26,835	4,219
1986	27,096	4,360
1987	27,285	4,427
1988	27,396	4,577
1989	28,257	4,656
1990	28,349	4,762
1991	28,497	4,859
1992	28,446	4,941
1993	28,046	4,973
1994	26,703	4,973
1995	23,029	4,945
1996	21,858	4,897
1997	20,686	4,854
1998	19,762	4,866
1999	19,420	4,871
2000	18,830	5,026
2001	17,824	5,144
2002	16,924	5,181
2003	16,396	5,258
2004	15,979	5,353
2005	15,945	5,454
2006	16,133	5,606
2007	16,595	5,842
2008	17,275	6,138
2009	17,656	6,362
2010	17,652	6,548
2011	17,645	6,715
2012	18,308	6,877
2013	18,903	7,036
2014	19,107	7,143
2015	19,223	7,220
2016	19,233	7,315
2017	19,278	7,371
2018	19,392	7,379
2019	19,488	7,364
2020	18,899	7,233
2021	17,314	7,199
2022	20,125	7,358
2023	20,147	7,359

Maternal mortality chart: Eswatini vs Vanuatu

The maternal mortality rate, which is the probability of dying during childbirth or within 42 days of pregnancy termination, is 118 deaths per 100,000 live births in Eswatini, compared to 100 deaths in Vanuatu.

Table

Year	Maternal mortality per 100K births
	Eswatini	Vanuatu
1985	580	211
1986	548	194
1987	521	200
1988	494	172
1989	505	162
1990	520	151
1991	545	140
1992	580	140
1993	609	133
1994	645	131
1995	612	131
1996	604	129
1997	550	131
1998	475	134
1999	409	146
2000	361	133
2001	307	132
2002	331	128
2003	392	131
2004	451	131
2005	529	127
2006	511	123
2007	647	120
2008	766	117
2009	855	114
2010	752	114
2011	765	112
2012	613	109
2013	491	110
2014	369	110
2015	283	109
2016	213	107
2017	151	107
2018	133	108
2019	96	105
2020	102	107
2021	219	124
2022	112	105
2023	118	100

Under-five mortality rates

The chance that a newborn baby will die before reaching age five is 4.5% in Eswatini and 1.68% in Vanuatu. Below is the historical data on under-five mortality rates.

Table

Year	Mortality rate before reaching 5 years of age, per 1,000 live births
	Eswatini	Vanuatu
1960	20.7%	15.2%
1961	20.4%	14.7%
1962	20%	14.3%
1963	19.6%	13.8%
1964	19.2%	13.4%
1965	18.8%	12.9%
1966	18.3%	12.4%
1967	17.9%	12%
1968	17.4%	11.5%
1969	17%	11%
1970	16.5%	10.6%
1971	16%	10.2%
1972	15.4%	9.73%
1973	14.9%	9.34%
1974	14.3%	8.95%
1975	13.7%	8.58%
1976	13.2%	8.21%
1977	12.6%	7.84%
1978	12%	7.45%
1979	11.5%	7.07%
1980	10.9%	6.67%
1981	10.4%	6.27%
1982	9.89%	5.87%
1983	10.4%	5.48%
1984	8.85%	5.12%
1985	8.37%	4.78%
1986	7.93%	4.47%
1987	7.54%	4.2%
1988	7.2%	3.96%
1989	6.93%	3.76%
1990	6.75%	3.58%
1991	6.72%	3.43%
1992	6.85%	3.29%
1993	7.17%	3.18%
1994	7.62%	3.08%
1995	8.12%	3%
1996	8.71%	2.92%
1997	9.3%	2.86%
1998	9.87%	2.79%
1999	10.4%	2.74%
2000	10.9%	2.68%
2001	11.3%	2.63%
2002	11.4%	2.58%
2003	11.6%	2.54%
2004	11.6%	2.5%
2005	11.6%	2.45%
2006	10.5%	2.4%
2007	10%	2.34%
2008	9.82%	2.27%
2009	9.25%	2.2%
2010	8.18%	2.12%
2011	6.81%	2.05%
2012	6.38%	1.99%
2013	6.16%	1.94%
2014	6.17%	1.9%
2015	5.86%	1.87%
2016	5.53%	1.84%
2017	5.43%	1.82%
2018	5.1%	1.8%
2019	5.16%	1.78%
2020	4.98%	1.77%
2021	4.76%	1.74%
2022	4.62%	1.71%
2023	4.5%	1.68%